Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Sunday, August 02, 2009
State of the Economy and Markets, Bearish on Most Things Except Gold / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
There were quite a few economic reports out this week and many of them are starting to slowly turn more positive. This is good news, as a journey of 1000 miles begins one step at a time. However, much of what is reported in the media tends to have a spin put on it. I want the economy to improve as much as the next person, but I want to know if it’s for real or not, as in sustainable.
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Sunday, August 02, 2009
Stock Market On Breakout... Possible Back Test Coming... / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Market Overview - For weeks, and for that matter months, we saw the market race off the bottom at SP 500 666. Day after day and week after week we saw the market move higher, taking out important level after important level of resistance. Each one of those resistance levels bought about pullbacks that seemed to test the grit of every bull on Wall Street. We'd fail at various resistance levels once and then twice and sometimes three or more times.
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Sunday, August 02, 2009
Stock Market Dumb Money Bullish Again! / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Over the last 4 weeks, the S&P500 has gained a little more than 12%, and during that time, investor sentiment, as measured by the "Dumb Money" indicator, was neutral. Prior to last month's huge run up, the "Dumb Money" indicator was in bullish territory (i.e., bear signal) for 10 consecutive weeks, and during that time the S&P500 lost 3.5%. This week (or rather after last month's monstrous surge), we find the bulls ready to buy high and sell higher again as the "Dumb Money" indicator has moved back into an extreme bullish reading.
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Saturday, August 01, 2009
Weakening U.S. Dollar and Rising Urban Unemployment / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Bob Chapman writes: On Wednesday the Treasury’s five-year auction yield was 2.69% with 21.15% allotted at the high and bid to cover was 1.92 to 1. The average of the past ten auctions has been 2.20%. Indirect, central bank participation was 35.7% versus an average of 36.8%. Overall that was weak demand. Do not forget the Treasury has to raise $2 trillion by 9/30/09.
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Saturday, August 01, 2009
The Recession is Over, What to Do Now / Stock-Markets / Recession 2008 - 2010
One of the most watched indicators just flashed the “sell” signal…
What are you going to do?
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Saturday, August 01, 2009
Manipulated Government GDP Statistics Report is Just Plain Wrong / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
The GDP report was released Friday (7/31/09) and it was a compendium of incomprehensible and illogical numbers and, worse, it is just plain wrong.
Of course, since so much rides on an accurate assessment of our true economic state of affairs it behooves us to make sense of it as best we can understanding that the GDP report is less than perfect and riddled with difficult-to-rationalize statistical manipulations and quirky additions.
Friday, July 31, 2009
Stock Markets Best Month for 20 Years / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Dear Reader
The stock markets close July with many widely tracked indices experiencing their best performance for the month of July for more than 20 years. Many commentators are writing "where are the investors?", as few have ridden the rally, which is the whole point of a stocks stealth bull market as most investors smarting from the bear market remain paralysed by fear of the preceding bear market that either miss or in fact consistently bet against, convinced by a stream of statistics as to why this rally should imminently terminate, no matter that the so called 'bear market rally" has risen some 40% and for asian markets more than 100% since the March lows.
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Friday, July 31, 2009
Has Stock Market Volatility Ended Or Is It About To Resume? / Stock-Markets / Volatility
Thanks to the rally of the last three weeks, which saw the S&P 500 quickly gain 12.1%, the market, which was down for the year just three weeks ago, is now up, the Dow and S&P 500 up almost 10% for the year.
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Friday, July 31, 2009
Financial Stocks ETF XLF Needs to Break Its Down Trendline / Stock-Markets / Banking Stocks
The big picture of the Financial Select Sector ETF (XLF) shows that the recovery thus far has not yet challenged the dominant bear market down trendline, which cuts across the price axis at approximately 14.30 as we speak. Should the XLF seek out a test of its major down trendline in the next two weeks, the price structure will have to climb another 10%. Of course, to do that the index will have to climb above its prior recovery rally peak at 13.05, which should trigger acceleration towards the test of the 2 year down trendline. If the upmove exceeds the trendline at 14.30, my work will trigger higher intermediate term swing targets at 15.30 and then 18.00.
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Friday, July 31, 2009
Urgent Financial and Economic Crisis Investment Strategy Update / Stock-Markets / Recession 2008 - 2010
Hello — this is Martin Weiss with an important strategy update.
It’s only fair to acknowledge that the economic depression I foresaw in my book and in my reports is unfolding more slowly than I had expected.
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Friday, July 31, 2009
Mark Mobius Ready to Invest up to $10 Billion in Russia / Stock-Markets / Russia
USA’s Templeton is ready to invest in Russia 20 percent of the portfolio, which is to be increased to $50 billion during the forthcoming two years, the head of Templeton Asset Management, Mark Mobius said.
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Friday, July 31, 2009
Investor Risk Appetite Retuns As The Stocks Bears Run Scared / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
The bear slaughter continues apace. Stocks surged Thursday, hitting their highest levels in nearly 9 months, as investors eyed the latest batch of “better-than-expected” (yawn) profits and guidance, a weaker Dollar, a decent 7 year US Treasury bond auction, a report that suggested the labor market is starting to stabilize and soothing words from China that they would refill the punch bowl.
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Thursday, July 30, 2009
Stock Market Manages to Hold Gains After Strong Opening Gap / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
We had another up-day, and the indices started with a big rally that broke key multiple session consolidation ranges and went to new 3-week & 2009 rally highs.
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Thursday, July 30, 2009
Stock Markets Remain Strong / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Stock markets have experienced a very short consolidation phase over the last two days, without giving back much ground. Overnight, the Nasdaq future has even moved to new highs. What we have written in our last comments to the stock market remains true, as we are still expecting stocks to move higher in the next days and perhaps weeks to come:
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Thursday, July 30, 2009
Stock Market Holds Up Well Despite The Newsflow / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Yesterday was strange with bad news coming thick and fast, but yet again stocks proved remarkably resilient closing with only a mild red hue. Crude oil dropped below $64 barrel (after a jump in inventories) which should have pressured producers more. Investors frowned upon the terms Yahoo finally managed to extract from Microsoft.
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Thursday, July 30, 2009
Wall Street is Front-Running Your Stock Orders / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Where’s the volume?
Bull markets require volume, lots of it, and breadth: for the market to be moving across multiple sectors. This latest rally (which has the bulls braying that a new bull market is here) has neither.
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Wednesday, July 29, 2009
Economic Crisis Not Over but Stock Market Rally Can Last A Few More Quarters / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Claus Vogt writes: You might be familiar with this common example of probability theory: The exercise of drawing colored marbles from a container.
Half of the marbles are white, the other half are black. You remove one marble, write down the color, and put the marble back in the container. Then repeat the process, again and again.
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Wednesday, July 29, 2009
U.S. Dollar May Mount Turnaround if Equities Sell-Off / Stock-Markets / Futures Trading
The Dollar is trading weaker overnight as investors believe the U.S. economy is on the road to recovery. Traders are seeking higher risk currencies although this demand is not spreading to the equity markets. It will be interesting to see if a sharp break in equities will flip the currency markets with the Dollar coming out on top by the close.
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Wednesday, July 29, 2009
Chinese Whispers A Worry For Stocks / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
The two potential market moving economic catalysts Tuesday pointed in opposite directions, with the Case Shiller survey suggesting that the pace in price declines in U.S. real estate is slowing, but with the consumer confidence number slipping to 46.3 (from 49.3 in June), the market decided to call it a draw stocks meandered into the close broadly flat.
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Wednesday, July 29, 2009
Are Better than Expected Corporate Earnings Results Good? / Stock-Markets / Corporate Earnings
When you expect a failing grade, but just past that math class, is that “better than expected” necessarily good? Evidently on Wall Street, limping over the very low “expectations” hurdle has been enough to push stocks up and over to be solidly higher for the year. In the rear view mirror are now the market lows for this cycle, the worst economic collapse in a few generations and the broken banking system.
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