Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Sunday, August 09, 2009
Stock Market Continues On Breakout.. Approaching 70 Week Moving Averages / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
We have moved up over the past five months quite powerfully. There have been many critical levels of resistance along the way which have been headaches initially but in time have all been taken out by the bulls, putting those levels in their rear view mirror. 956 on the S&P 500 was the last big one that seemed as if it just couldn't happen. I mean come on, we've come so far so quickly, that level will fail for sure. Not to be the case. That too went away. Now we see two levels that are seemingly just too tough as well. One is the multi down trend line on the Nasday at 2015.
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Sunday, August 09, 2009
Major Stock Market Indices Expected to End Lower Next Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The good news is: All of the major indices hit multi month highs last week and most of them closed at multi month highs on Friday.
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Sunday, August 09, 2009
Strong Upmove in Financial Stocks XLF ETF Smacks Into Stronger Downtrend / Stock-Markets / Exchange Traded Funds
This week¹s surge in financials in general and the TARP banks in particular ran the Financial Select Sector ETF (XLF) from last Friday¹s close at 130.01 to Thursday¹s high at 14.35, or 10.3%. However, as powerful as the upmove might have been, and still is, it may not be more powerful than the two-year down trendline that cuts across the price axis currently in the vicinity of 14.30.
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Sunday, August 09, 2009
Stock Market Investor Sentiment: Extremely Bullish / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
Investor sentiment is extremely bullish as the "Dumb Money" indicator has registered its second most extreme reading ever. The current value is only less than the value seen in May, 2003, which was at the start of the last bull market.
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Saturday, August 08, 2009
Has the Nasdaq 100 Been in a Bull Market or Bear Market Rally? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Many investors believe the current NASDAQ 100 run-up has been a Bull market rally. Others think it has been a Bear market rally. What's the answer?
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Saturday, August 08, 2009
What Growth is the S&P 500 Stock Market Index Pricing In? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Dave Rosenberg is asking the important question What Growth is the S&P 500 Pricing In?
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Saturday, August 08, 2009
Stocks Bull Market or Bear Market Rally, Which is it ? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
The Monthly Jobs Report did it again!
Sy Harding reports, “As I have been pointing out for many years, the Labor Department’s monthly jobs report has the record for coming in with a surprise in one direction or the other more often than any other economic report, and therefore produces more immediate triple-digit moves by the Dow in one direction or the other in reaction.
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Friday, August 07, 2009
Jobs Report Surprises the Financial Markets Again, Triggering Triple Digit Dow Moves / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
As I have been pointing out for many years, the Labor Department’s monthly jobs report has the record for coming in with a surprise in one direction or the other more often than any other economic report, and therefore produces more immediate triple-digit moves by the Dow in one direction or the other in reaction.
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Friday, August 07, 2009
Stock Market Rally and Economic Recovery, Experts Never Learn! / Stock-Markets / Economic Recovery
There is an inexplicable, but somehow widely held, belief that stock market movements are predictive of economic conditions. As such, the current rally in U.S. stock prices has caused many people to conclude that the recession is nearing an end. The widespread optimism is not confined to Wall Street, as even Barack Obama has pointed to the bubbly markets to vindicate his economic policies. However, reality is clearly at odds with these optimistic assumptions.
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Friday, August 07, 2009
Stock Market Bear Bashing, The Teddy Bears' Picnic: All Eyes On The Broken Clock! / Stock-Markets / Forecasts & Technical Analysis
Five months later and the S&P went up from 666 to pierce 1,000 and hardly a day passes without another theory for why it will dive catastrophically to 450.
Perhaps one day the watchers of that particular clock will be rewarded, but although they are adamant about the existence of the "end of the world" like Jehovah Witnesses they cleverly don't give any clues about when?
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Friday, August 07, 2009
China Is Through Screwing Around, Seeks to Deploy Reserves to Buy Real Assets / Stock-Markets / China Economy
Starting with the re-opening of formal trade arrangements in 1971, China has undergone a near unprecedented level of economic transformations. The country’s per-capita income doubled from 1978 to 1987 and again from 1987 to 1996.
In those 20 years, more than 300 million Chinese ascended out of poverty with accompanying dramatic changes in lifestyle, professions, and diet: between 1985 and 2008, average Chinese meat consumption more than doubled from 44 pounds to 110 per annum.
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Friday, August 07, 2009
Financial Markets And Economic Events for August 7th 2009 / Stock-Markets / UK Economy
The Bank of England's decision yesterday to expand its asset purchase programme by £50bn to £175bn surprised the markets, but it underlines the importance the MPC attaches to economic data in its policy deliberations. In particular, although recent output indicators have improved, the recession was deeper than previously thought, implying an even larger degree of spare capacity in the economy.
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Friday, August 07, 2009
S&P 500 Stock Market Trends Analysis for August 2009 / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
When analyzing monthly stock market trends, I use the S&P 500 charts to identify important trend lines. Trend following is a proven strategy to beat the market and grow your stock portfolio. Technical analysis provides the tools to analyze and identify trends in the stock market. Since the S&P 500 chart is the one used by professional traders for their analysis, it is important to understand how it is performing.
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Thursday, August 06, 2009
Main Resistance Level Still Holds for S&P 500 Stocks Index / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The main resistance level of about 1000 continues to hold for the S&P 500. This line is the barrier that has held the broad-based index since October 2008. As the new 4-month trading cycle began in early July, time is slowly running out for any additional advance. The mid-point of the cycle is in late August. This means that downward pressure can be expected to build in the second half of the cycle which is September and October.
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Thursday, August 06, 2009
Investing in the Frontier Emerging Markets with ETFs / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
Ron Rowland writes: As a Money and Markets reader, you probably know an awful lot about “emerging markets.” They’re the countries that aren’t quite as modernized as the U.S. but are developing fast: China, Brazil, India, Russia, etc.
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Wednesday, August 05, 2009
Stock Market Indices Finally Give a Little Back / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The indices finally suffered a down day, but even with that they rallied back late in the afternoon to pare the losses.
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Wednesday, August 05, 2009
Stock Market Investing, The Thrill of a Lifetime? / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
Anyone looking for thrills these days should forget roller coasters and skydiving. Instead, simply buy a few shares of U.S. stock. The past year has reminded us how truly stomach-churning the financial ride can be. And after a white-knuckled drop in 2008, investors who held on are now enjoying a dizzying ascent. In the past five months alone, the S&P has risen by 22 percent and the NASDAQ by 33 percent. Emerging markets are back almost to their pre-recession levels. Even individual American stocks have performed in a stellar manner. Apple, Cisco and Oracle have all risen by over 200 percent. Ford, an aging relic once given up for dead, has risen by 268 percent!
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Wednesday, August 05, 2009
Thoughts on the Next Decade of Market Performance / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
Last month I posted a poll on my website www.avaresearch.com asking readers by how much the U.S. stock market would return on average, annually over the next ten years. The results were a bit surprising.
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Wednesday, August 05, 2009
Financial Sector Stocks XLF ETF Nearing a Peak? / Stock-Markets / Banking Stocks
Now that the Financial Select Sector SPDR (NYSE: XLF) has climbed to my optimal next upside target zone 13.80-14.00 (I took my profit late yesterday), let's notice that the price structure has climbed vertically towards the top trendline of the July bullish price channel. My near term work aruges that we should expect a peak in and around the 14.00-14.20 area in the upcoming hours, which could coincide with the rebalance of Citigroup (C) after the close this evening. C is going into the S&P 500, and supposedly The Street must buy 650 million shares to "rebalance" their index portfolios.
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Wednesday, August 05, 2009
Goldman Sachs the Great American Financial Markets Bubble Machine / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
Matt Taibbi writes: From tech stocks to high gas prices, Goldman Sachs has engineered every major market manipulation since the Great Depression - and they're about to do it again
The first thing you need to know about Goldman Sachs is that it's everywhere. The world's most powerful investment bank is a great vampire squid wrapped around the face of humanity, relentlessly jamming its blood funnel into anything that smells like money. In fact, the history of the recent financial crisis, which doubles as a history of the rapid decline and fall of the suddenly swindled dry American empire, reads like a Who's Who of Goldman Sachs graduates.