Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Tuesday, August 11, 2009

Betting Against Leveraged Stock Market Traders / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Guy_Lerner

By now you should know that one of my favorite aspects of the Rydex data is the amount of assets in the bullish and leveraged funds versus the amount of assets in the leveraged and bearish funds. Not only do we get to see what direction these market timers think the market will go, but we also get to see how much conviction (i.e., leverage) they have in their beliefs. See figure 1 a daily graph of the S&P500 (symbol: $INX) with the Rydex leveraged bulls (green line) versus the leveraged bears (red line) in the lower panel. Typically, we want to bet against the Rydex market timer even though they only represent a small sample of the overall market.

Tuesday, August 11, 2009

The Next Phase of the Credit Contraction and Stocks Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Adam_Brochert

Although the waiting is the hardest part. The next phase of the credit contraction and next down leg in the bear market is set to begin. Elliott Wave just announced that on a recent day there were only 3% bulls on a daily sentiment index for the US Dollar. Now I don't care what you think about the Dollar or it's ultimate fate, a trader should be interested in taking the other side of that trade!

Tuesday, August 11, 2009

Economic Recovery and China's Economy Creating a $300 Trillion Investment Profit Opportunity / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009

By: Money_Morning

William Patalon III writes: What's the name of the world's best-selling beer?

Hint: It's not Budweiser. And it's not Bud Light.

Tuesday, August 11, 2009

U.S. Stock Market Remains Strong / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Frederic_Simons

The US Stock bonds has shown remarkable resiliance during the last few days. One could get the feeling that it just does "not want to go down". During the trading days, it has become visible however that the Nasdaq is now somewhat underperforming the S&P. Traditionally, this tends to be a signal that a reversal might be happening soon, as the Nasdaq usually outperforms the S&P during upmoves.

Monday, August 10, 2009

Rally in SPY SDS Short ETF / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Purely from a pattern perspective, the ProShares UltraShort SPY (NYSE: SDS) pattern off of Friday’s low at 44.35 to this morning’s high at 45.59 exhibits bullish form, which if accurate warns us to expect more upside in the upcoming hours. 

Monday, August 10, 2009

SPX Post Crash Pattern Same as Nikkei, History Repeating / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Captain_Hook

Just about everybody has heard the truisms ‘history repeats’, and if this is not true ‘history rhymes’, however it’s been my observation that a far as present day stock market participants are concerned, not many take the validity of these statements as seriously as they should. After all, people are people right, even if they were acting in the context of another era, and in this case, other market bubbles. This is the important understanding that many are missing you see, that people are no different in the way they react to extreme market conditions (stress) today than they were during previous post crash episodes, including those that inspired Charles Mackay to pen the timeless Extraordinary Popular Delusions And The Madness Of Crowds all those years ago now.

Monday, August 10, 2009

Non Farm Payrolls Add to Stock Market Bullish Tone / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: PaddyPowerTrader

The positive price action on Friday was very much driven by reaction to the July Non-Farm Payrolls report as it was stronger than market expectations and more even more solid than last month (with positive revisions to previous months data), thus leaving the improving trend intact. With Jeffrey Frankel of the NBER reinforcing positive sentiment (he suggested that the recession may have ended in July), US equities responded positively to the news. The S&P 500 rallied to new cyclical highs, led by consumer cyclicals and transport stocks. An upgrade of American Express by Goldman Sachs also helped sentiment.

Monday, August 10, 2009

Stock Market Investing, Is Buy and Hold Back? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Joseph_Russo

Hop on board or you’ll miss the train
Our trusted shepherds of illusion would like nothing more than to ignite another round of buy & hold fever as the only means by which participants can hope to survive in the speculative buying frenzy that has occurred in equity markets since the March low.  Thus far, the measured results of their handiwork have them grinning ear to ear. 

Monday, August 10, 2009

Stock Market Collapse Trigger Pattern Repeating / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Graham_Summers

Stocks are overbought.

And by overbought, I mean WAY overbought.

Monday, August 10, 2009

Stock Market Expectations For a Pull Back / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Angelo_Campione

General Commentary: The system remains on a Neutral signal.

Well, the market keeps holding up and I'm sounding like a broken record by saying that we're due for a pull back. We didn't get the "musical chairs" effect I spoke about last week and it seems that the market is taunting the bears by reversing higher the moment we get a small dip.

Sunday, August 09, 2009

Aussie Dollar Signaling Financial Markets Risk Appetite Is Vulnerable to Reversal / Stock-Markets / Risk Analysis

By: Money_and_Markets

Bryan Rich writes: According to the financial markets, the world has become a very calm and comfortable place again. But has it?

Just a year ago markets were crashing all around us …

Sunday, August 09, 2009

The Market Impact of Never Ending Waves of Debt / Stock-Markets / US Debt

By: Money_and_Markets

Mike Larson writes: I don’t know if you’re a beach person. But I certainly am. My two girls and I love the sand, the sea, and the sun, and we’re thankful we get to enjoy them all the time here in South Florida.

Sunday, August 09, 2009

Mess with the Stock Market Bull and Get the Horns! / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Patrice_V_Johnson

LONG-TERM TREND (> 1YR) OF THE MARKETS: DOWN

SHORTS LONGS _____________________

Sunday, August 09, 2009

Watch for the Stock Market Pullback / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Peter_Navarro

The US stock market continues in a decisively bullish uptrend on the basis of an improving economy. The consensus -- often a dangerous thing but probably right this time -- is that the economy has hit bottom; and numerous indicators suggest that it is on an upward swing.

Sunday, August 09, 2009

Stock Market Continues On Breakout.. Approaching 70 Week Moving Averages / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Jack_Steiman

We have moved up over the past five months quite powerfully. There have been many critical levels of resistance along the way which have been headaches initially but in time have all been taken out by the bulls, putting those levels in their rear view mirror. 956 on the S&P 500 was the last big one that seemed as if it just couldn't happen. I mean come on, we've come so far so quickly, that level will fail for sure. Not to be the case. That too went away. Now we see two levels that are seemingly just too tough as well. One is the multi down trend line on the Nasday at 2015.

Sunday, August 09, 2009

Major Stock Market Indices Expected to End Lower Next Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Mike_Burk

The good news is: All of the major indices hit multi month highs last week and most of them closed at multi month highs on Friday.

Sunday, August 09, 2009

Strong Upmove in Financial Stocks XLF ETF Smacks Into Stronger Downtrend / Stock-Markets / Exchange Traded Funds

By: Mike_Paulenoff

This week¹s surge in financials in general and the TARP banks in particular ran the Financial Select Sector ETF (XLF) from last Friday¹s close at 130.01 to Thursday¹s high at 14.35, or 10.3%. However, as powerful as the upmove might have been, and still is, it may not be more powerful than the two-year down trendline that cuts across the price axis currently in the vicinity of 14.30.

Sunday, August 09, 2009

Stock Market Investor Sentiment: Extremely Bullish / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment

By: Guy_Lerner

Investor sentiment is extremely bullish as the "Dumb Money" indicator has registered its second most extreme reading ever. The current value is only less than the value seen in May, 2003, which was at the start of the last bull market.

Saturday, August 08, 2009

Has the Nasdaq 100 Been in a Bull Market or Bear Market Rally? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Marty_Chenard

Many investors believe the current NASDAQ 100 run-up has been a Bull market rally. Others think it has been a Bear market rally. What's the answer?

Saturday, August 08, 2009

What Growth is the S&P 500 Stock Market Index Pricing In? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Mike_Shedlock

Dave Rosenberg is asking the important question What Growth is the S&P 500 Pricing In?