Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Wednesday, July 22, 2009
China The Most Powerful Investment Trend for the Next Decade / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
Tony Sagami writes: Sometimes you have to connect a few dots to see the big picture. That was especially true last week. Now I see the unfolding of the single, most powerful investment trend for the next decade.
Here’s what I’m talking about …
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Tuesday, July 21, 2009
Onward And Upward For Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Equities are still on a roll with the S&P hitting an 8 month high, rising 1.1% yesterday. Caterpillar, Disney and Alcoa led the Dow up while CIT Group soared 70% on its 11th hour (temporary) expensive reprieve from bankruptcy. Meanwhile way out West, California lawmakers and Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger said they’ve struck a deal to close a $26 billion budget deficit that’s left the most-populous U.S. state paying bills with IOUs and its credit rating near junk. In other “bullish” news the free market arm of the administration, Government, I mean Goldman, Sachs now expects the S&P 500 to rise 15% from current levels to 1,060 during 2009. The previous guess was 940.
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Tuesday, July 21, 2009
Banks Still in Big Trouble; Protect Your Portfolio / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009
Martin Weiss writes: Since the debt crisis began with the eruption of the subprime mess in 2007, Wall Street pundits have declared “an end to the crisis” at least three times: in mid-2007, in early 2008, and now.
Each time, the government intervened with massive amounts of money to tamp down fear. Each time, investors rushed back to take risks. And each time, stocks rallied sharply.
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Tuesday, July 21, 2009
Stock Market Rally Facing Resistance / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
All that great analysis and divining of last week was toss back in our face as the markets raced higher, putting in their best week since March. The catalyst? Some better than expected economic reports, showing home building activity picking up (do we need more?) and unemployment claims fell (messed up seasonal factors with GM/Chrysler bankruptcies).Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, July 21, 2009
IYJ Trading Update and Dow Stocks Index Buy Signals / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
LONG-TERM TREND (> 1YR) OF THE MARKETS: DOWN
INTERMEDIATE-TERM TREND (> 3 WKS, & <1 YR) OF THE MARKETS: UP
Tuesday, July 21, 2009
Stock Market Strong Start to the Week / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
The indices started the week in strong fashion. Although they were very choppy during the day, they did hold support for most of the session, and then came on again in the last hour, closing at the highs for the day going away, which are also the highs for this entire rally.
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Monday, July 20, 2009
Stock Market Holy Short Covering, Batman! / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
If I were to watch one piece of data from the Rydex asset data, it would be the leveraged bulls v. leveraged bears. Not only can we discern what way this small group of market timers is leaning (i.e., bull v. bear bet), but we can also get a glimpse of how much conviction (i.e., use of leverage) they have in their belief. Typically, we want to bet against these market timers.
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Monday, July 20, 2009
Stock Market Bears Beware / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
At the risk of sounding a little crazy in knowing the fundamentals are indeed ‘that bad’, this is a cautionary note to those who are short stocks to expect volatility moving forward, but not the kind you are hoping for. And hey, the technicals in the markets are no hell either. In this regard, quite simply, there’s no buying power to legitimately send stocks higher on a lasting basis. To go along with this, the S&P 500 (SPX) is sporting a head and shoulders pattern measuring down to approximately 810. Again though; and in spite of this, if history is a good guide stocks will never get there within the present sequence.
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Monday, July 20, 2009
Semiconductor Sector Stocks Rally Leading the Way / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
"The technical evidence suggests that "the bottom" is in for semiconductors. The potential for a secular trend change is there. If the general market gains traction - a big "if" here as I view the current market rally as a counter trend rally in an ongoing bear market - then it would not surprise me to see the semiconductor sector providing leadership."
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Monday, July 20, 2009
Financial Market Recoils as CIT Bank Edges Toward Bankruptcy / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Jason Simpkins writes: The probably bankruptcy of CIT Group Inc. (NYSE: CIT) could have major implications on the retail and manufacturing sectors this week, as many related companies are reliant on the financing giant.
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Monday, July 20, 2009
Stock Markets Grind Higher on More Upside “Surprises” / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
It was a busy week for the bulls, who where urged on by almost obscene results from Goldman Sach’s. There was also what were perceived as respectable numbers from JP Morgan, BoA & Citi. Risk appetite returned last week, lifting stocks by 7% to their highest point in a month.
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Monday, July 20, 2009
Significant Turning Points in Key Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Larry Edelson writes: Martin’s strategic alliance with the Foundation for the Study of Cycles may turn out to be one of the best moves he’s ever made.
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Monday, July 20, 2009
Stocks Bear Market Counter Trend Rally NOT Over / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Down! The very-long-term cycles have taken over and if they make their lows when expected, the bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until 2012-2014. This would imply that much lower prices lie ahead. This will not be a straight-down decline, but a series of intermediate-term rallies and declines until we have reached the low point.
Monday, July 20, 2009
Investors It Does Not Pay to Fall A Sleep During a Stocks Bull Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
The vast majority of retail investors have “fallen asleep” on the broad market recovery since March. The sleepy character of market psychology has become even more pronounced in just the last few weeks as the market spent some time consolidating its gains. In that period of time we’ve seen quite a few analysts turn bearish on the market, which is usually a big mistake in a year when the dominant yearly Kress cycle is up.
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Sunday, July 19, 2009
Investment Banks and Market Manipulation / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
The Market Oracle Newsletter
July 18th, 2009 Issue #58 Vol. 3
Sunday, July 19, 2009
Stock Market Rally, Topping Exhaustion Move? / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
"In the short term, there is always hope for the bulls as prices on the S&P500 remain above the down sloping 40 week moving average and above the key support level at 876. In addition, personal research shows that prices will likely move higher in the week or two after the "Dumb Money" indicator has moved from extremely bullish zone (i.e., bear signal) to neutral as it did this past week. Into this this mini - lift would be the optimal time to sell (if you haven't done so already)."
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Sunday, July 19, 2009
Charting Perspective - Upward Wedge Puzzle - Index revealed and more on the Technology Sector / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
On July 6th 2009 I posted a charting puzzle concerning a USA Index, where I said:
"This index represents one of the most important market sectors in the USA and as you can see, it has an interesting history.
The price patterns displayed are well defined and the upward wedges on the daily chart are typical of ones common at the moment over a broad spectrum of the USA equity market.
Sunday, July 19, 2009
SPX Stock Index Trading Positions Update For July / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
On June 23 we suggested a full position in a July 980/990 SPX Call Spread for a net credit of $0.50 and a half position in a July 770/760 SPX Put Spread for a net credit of $0.40. If you entered this, the premium you received was $70 per $1,000 of capital utilized, i.e. 7.0% before commissions for 4 weeks in the position.
The official CBOE settlement price for the July SPX options was 940.03.
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Sunday, July 19, 2009
Goldman Sachs Raking in Massive Profits, Market Review / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Due to the fact that Goldman Sachs is currently the favorite of Washington they are raking in massive profits during a time when most banks and brokerage firms are struggling for survival.
Due to a very successful second quarter, Goldman has set aside $226,156 per employee in compensation – a 75% increase per employee. That means annualized compensation could be $1 million per employee for the year. We find this of great interest inasmuch as the recently converted bank received a $10 billion taxpayer bailout via Goldman’s connections in Washington. They also received a myriad of benefits from several other government schemes over the past two years. It is nice to know that in part American taxpayers made this possible while unemployment is running on a U6 basis at 20.5%, and Americans are losing their homes by the millions.
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Sunday, July 19, 2009
Stocks Heading towards a Major Top? / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The good news is: The OEX (S&P 100), OTC (NASADAQ composite) and NDX (NASDAQ 100) all closed at multi month highs on Friday.
Short Term - Last week we witnessed a blow off.
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