Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Wednesday, August 05, 2009
The Next Stock Market Panic is Here! / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
We’re in the midst of the next stock market panic and no one is paying attention.
Worst of all, it will be the type of panic that will take more folks by surprise and, in the end, will turn out to be more costly to most investors than last fall’s market sell-off.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, August 05, 2009
Consumer Confidence and Stock Market Investor Sentiment Indicators / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
The broad consumer confidence index reported a decline below the 50% level on July 28. Let’s see how some other dimensions of confidence look.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, August 05, 2009
Stock Market Signals a Medium-Term Rally / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
Claus Vogt writes: In last week’s Money and Markets column, I talked about probabilities. And I explained why I expect the current stock market rally to have legs. This market call, however, is valid for just a few quarters …
My long-term outlook hasn’t changed one iota!
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, August 05, 2009
Investment Grade Value Stock Index (IGVSI) Soars 24% / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
The Investment Grade Value Stock Index is a barometer of a small but elite sector of the stock market. Some Investment Grade Value Stocks are included in all averages and indices, but even the Dow Jones Industrial Average includes several issues that are below Investment Grade and very few boast an A+ S & P rating.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, August 05, 2009
Stocks Bear Market NOT Over, Stocks WILL Crash this Fall! / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Yesterday we detailed the different between this current economic contraction, and your usual run of the mill plain vanilla recessions. We also went over the MASSIVE consumer credit contraction that needs to occur before American households have finished de-leveraging.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, August 05, 2009
Runaway Stock Markets Relentlessly Moving Higher / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Are you waiting for that pullback to get into stocks ? Nervous of missing out ? This is what a lot of investors certainly feel like. For several stock market updates, we have told subscribers repeatedly what we think about the recent strong upmove and its psychological implications:
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, August 04, 2009
Stock Market Bubble-Mania in China Spreads to Global Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
The S&P-500 Index, a global bellwether for the world stock markets, extended its best five-month winning streak since 1938, by advancing through the psychological 1,000-level, and is up nearly 50% from its 12-year low set on March 10th. The S&P-500 gained 7.4% in July, its best monthly performance since 1997, even as average earnings per-share tumbled -32% and sales slid -16% from a year ago.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, August 04, 2009
The Next Three Government-Backed Asset Bubbles Unveiled / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
The good times are back!
U.S. GDP declined at a mere 1% annualized rate, after inflation, between April and June.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, August 04, 2009
Burning Fiat Paper Financial Casles / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
‘Its only castles burning’ – A piercing lyric central to a Neal Young classic and also an appropriate sentiment with respect to the paper castles burning in the world of finance these days. Whether it’s a result of inflation or deflation – value is being lost – paper is burning – to reflect the value that never was. Our service-based economy is all an illusion you see, poised to burn like Rome at its turn, in grand scale. This what happens in fiat currency economies, where paper castles that are built on whims and flap in the wind, easily susceptible to the first spark that comes along. So, don’t let such an outcome bring you down, find something that is turning (protect you) – that being gold – and you will come around just fine.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, August 04, 2009
Surging Commodity Prices Could Crush the Stock Market Recovery / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Stock markets around the world had another rip-roaring day yesterday.
The S&P 500 traded above 1,000 for the first time since November. The FTSE 100 hit its highest point since October.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, August 04, 2009
For Stock Markets It Seems the Only Way is UP / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
The markets summer of love with stocks continued unabated yesterday as the S&P topped 1,000 and the Nasdaq pushed through the 2,000 barrier for the first time since October. Yesterday’s fresh catalyst was Ford’s bullish sales report (up 2.4% YOY, their 1st monthly rise since Nov 2000) and a better than expected jump in manufacturing ISM (which was no clunker, see below), while renewed gains in commodities and oil (above $71 barrel) cheered producers.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 03, 2009
Financial Market Forecasts 2009 Update, Gold Ready For $1,000/oz / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
This is a follow up to the Q1 2009 Summary On Gold And Various Markets issued on March 31, 2009 ( http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article9800.html)
In the first quarter of 2009, we reached the climax of US banking collapse. Global central banks hurried to apply fiscal and monetary stimulus, including unconventional "Quantitative Easing", which entail ed the printing of over $1.5 trillion to buy troubled mortgage and derivative assets. Our conclusion then was
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 03, 2009
Stocks Bear Market Not Over And Stock Markets Will CRASH This Fall / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
A lot of commentators have begun heralding a new bull market in stocks. Day after day, I hear that March was THE bottom, that the next bull market has begun, and that anyone betting on another collapse is a moron.
These claims are not only wrong, they are completely misleading and should be depicted for what they are: nonsensical hype from sources with conflicted interests: folks whose jobs and income stem largely from people remaining bullish.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 03, 2009
Investment Thoughts, Stock Market Eventual Retest of March Lows / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Not going to chase the market for a number of reasons, but most of all we should see a retest of the March lows sometime in the distant future, maybe a year or so. The US banking sector is still not healthy and has been propped up by regulatory rule changes.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 03, 2009
Stock Market Makes Significant Transition Progress From Bear to Bull Market / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
The transition from a bear market to a bull market is just that; a transition. Transitions take time and are not binary events like turning a light on or off. Transitions in any market can be frustrating and stressful, but if we continue to focus on the most important and telling indicators, the market should get us pointed in the right direction and aligned with the primary trends.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 03, 2009
Stock Market Bulls Rush In / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
In a recent article entitled, “June Gloom / Summer Rally” penned just two months ago, we brought to readers’ attention the prospect of a summer rally following a brief period of gloom in June. We wrapped up that piece with the following remarks:
“As in 2007, July provides such opportunity for a commensurate equity consolidation. Following a successful summer/fall rally thereafter, October of 2009, the two-year anniversary of the all-time high may bring with it an echo of the blind bullishness experienced at that time.”
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 03, 2009
Bankrupt Bailed Out Banks Buying U.S. Treasuries to Keep Interest Rates Low / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
U.S. lenders bailed out by the government are returning the favor by stepping up purchases of Treasuries, helping to temper a rise in borrowing costs.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 03, 2009
Don't Invest in an Stock Index Tracker, Stick with Defensive Stocks / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
July was a very good month for the UK stock market – the best in more than six years, in fact.
The FTSE 100 rose by 8.5% during the month, as more and more investors flip from bearish to bullish, scared of being left behind by the rally. And with the banks set to report a rebound in profits (however artificial) this week, the cheer may well continue. Barclays has already set the scene this morning with a pre-tax profit of nearly £3bn for the first half of this year.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 03, 2009
Stock Market Momentum Slowing at Key Resistance Points / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The system remains on a Neutral signal.
Last week was another positive one, with a continuation of positive earnings announcements although now momentum seems to be slowing down as we approach some key resistance points.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, August 02, 2009
The Great Missed Stock Market Investment Opportunity of 2009 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
When the books have been written on 2009, the prevailing story will undoubtedly be one of lost opportunity. Countless numbers of investors caught up in the tangled web of pessimistic headlines failed to pull the trigger on what is turning out to be one of the best market recovery years of our lifetime.
Read full article... Read full article...