Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Wednesday, July 29, 2009
Economic Crisis Not Over but Stock Market Rally Can Last A Few More Quarters / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Claus Vogt writes: You might be familiar with this common example of probability theory: The exercise of drawing colored marbles from a container.
Half of the marbles are white, the other half are black. You remove one marble, write down the color, and put the marble back in the container. Then repeat the process, again and again.
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Wednesday, July 29, 2009
U.S. Dollar May Mount Turnaround if Equities Sell-Off / Stock-Markets / Futures Trading
The Dollar is trading weaker overnight as investors believe the U.S. economy is on the road to recovery. Traders are seeking higher risk currencies although this demand is not spreading to the equity markets. It will be interesting to see if a sharp break in equities will flip the currency markets with the Dollar coming out on top by the close.
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Wednesday, July 29, 2009
Chinese Whispers A Worry For Stocks / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
The two potential market moving economic catalysts Tuesday pointed in opposite directions, with the Case Shiller survey suggesting that the pace in price declines in U.S. real estate is slowing, but with the consumer confidence number slipping to 46.3 (from 49.3 in June), the market decided to call it a draw stocks meandered into the close broadly flat.
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Wednesday, July 29, 2009
Are Better than Expected Corporate Earnings Results Good? / Stock-Markets / Corporate Earnings
When you expect a failing grade, but just past that math class, is that “better than expected” necessarily good? Evidently on Wall Street, limping over the very low “expectations” hurdle has been enough to push stocks up and over to be solidly higher for the year. In the rear view mirror are now the market lows for this cycle, the worst economic collapse in a few generations and the broken banking system.
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Tuesday, July 28, 2009
Mark-to-Market Accounting Scapegoat for the Financial Crash / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009
Betsy Hansen writes: If you are a dedicated reader of the financial papers you may have fallen for the line that mark-to-market accounting rules are a major contributor to the financial crisis. I caution you to examine that argument with a great deal of skepticism. Mark-to-market accounting rules did make things worse in the financial markets, but this ill-conceived rule was not the primary cause of the crisis.
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Tuesday, July 28, 2009
Constructive Pattern for Nasdaq Q's / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
As tenuous as the SPY and e-SPU patterns might appear so far today, let’s notice that the PowerShares QQQ Trust (Nasdaq: QQQQ) has carved out a symmetrical triangle or coil since last Thursday’s peak at 39.49, which is a much more constructive pattern than the one carved out by the S&P indices.
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Tuesday, July 28, 2009
U.S. Dollar Stabilization and the Stock / Gold Ratio / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Dollar weakness has been excessive...at least for now..
The overnight wave of dollar selling was mostly led by a fresh wave of buying in commodity currencies (rather than only rising equities) courtesy of +$70 in crude prices and hawkish comments from the Reserve Bank of Australia raising the possibility of rate hikes before a peak in the unemployment rate. Markets were already expecting the RBA to raise rates by 25 bps by year-end.
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Tuesday, July 28, 2009
Sector Performance Analysis During the Stock Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Sector Analysis
Nilus Mattive writes: I spend a lot of time crunching data, reading third-party research, and studying market history. And one of my favorite things to watch is the relative performance of the individual market sectors.
Today, I’m going to give you the latest numbers on these important market groups, along with some additional thoughts about second-quarter earnings.
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Tuesday, July 28, 2009
Stage Three of a Stocks Bear Market Rally, Panic Buying / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
We’re on the verge of something big here.
What we’re on the verge of may surprise you.
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Tuesday, July 28, 2009
How Much Higher Can the FTSE 100 Stock Market Index Go? / Stock-Markets / UK Stock Market
Will the FTSE 100 break a new record today?
The index closed up 9 points yesterday. That made it the 11th winning session in a row. That's the longest streak of gains seen since early 2004. It's never managed 12 in a row before.
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Tuesday, July 28, 2009
Stocks Bear Market Short Covering Rally / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
This week I offer something unusual for outside the Box, in that I agree on almost all points with my friend David Rosenberg, except he tells it so much better than your humble analyst. David was the former Chief Economist at the former Merrill Lynch (ah, Mother Merrill, we barely knew ye.) and is now Chief Economist at Gluskin Sheff + Associates Inc., which is one of Canada's pre-eminent wealth management firms. Founded in 1984, they manage $4.4 billion. (For those who wonder, David left NYS to return home to Toronto. Much shorter commute time.) David looks at the recent stock market run-up, why he likes corporate bonds better than stocks, what is lagging with the consumer and a lot more. It is a very pithy read.
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Monday, July 27, 2009
Getting the Most Bang for Your BRIC Emerging Market Investments / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
At the end of the trading week a Bloomberg article appeared titled “BRIC IPOs Show Region’s ‘Growing Power,’ Biggs Says,” where famed investor and former Morgan Stanley chief global strategist Barton Biggs acknowledges that “clearly the BRICs are the big growth areas of the world.”
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Monday, July 27, 2009
Is Stock Market Rally 2009 Like Bear Rally of 2002? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
I have often thought that the 2009 rally resembles the rally off the September 11, 2001 lows that lasted into March, 2002. Even though the causes of the "crisis" are different, there are many noteworthy similarities.
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Monday, July 27, 2009
U.S. Dollar in Disarray as China Buys Resources and Assets / Stock-Markets / China Economy
This article is from portfolio manager Romeo Dator, who covers China for the U.S. Global Investors investment team.
Since peaking on March 5, the dollar has fallen nearly 12 percent against the trade-weighted U.S. Dollar Index (DXY).
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Monday, July 27, 2009
Is this a Stocks Bull Market? / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
My take on the stock market changed last week, because I started to buy and recommend some stocks, something I haven't done in a long time. The economy is still bad and I don't see any signs of a real recovery yet and certainly not a sustainable economic expansion, but it appears that the stock market is just going to keep going higher anyway. I do not need to know why to make money. You make money stock trading in the market by staying aligned with the market trend until the market proves you wrong. And it looks like the overall intermediate-term trend is up.
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Monday, July 27, 2009
Stock Market Trend Rubber Band Effect / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
General Commentary: - The system remains on a Neutral signal.
Things have changed somewhat this past week, while we were expecting a consolidation and possibly a short sharp pullback, the market went on to make new highs and even closed at the highest point so far this year.
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Monday, July 27, 2009
Unprecidented Stock Market Action Signaling... / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Unprecedented - The market's move is signaling something, here's what and how to profit.
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Monday, July 27, 2009
Stock Market Head and Shoulders Pattern Failure / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
The dangers of drinking from the horse trough - One of the most talked about themes of the past few weeks was the supposedly bearish “head and shoulders” pattern in the daily chart of the S&P 500 Index. The financial press drew investors’ attention to this pattern in the most alarmist tones they could muster. A plethora of market technicians were trotted out each day to remind one and all that this “H&S top” was a precursor of a major decline, if not an outright collapse.
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Monday, July 27, 2009
Yield Curve Points to Bottoming Process for a Stocks Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Bond yields are often ignored when analyzing stock markets. Yet their movements can provide valuable clues to the bottoming process of a bear market.
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Monday, July 27, 2009
Dow Jones IShares ETF IYJ Position Trading Update - Stop Loss Moved / Stock-Markets / Exchange Traded Funds
LONG-TERM TREND (> 1YR) OF THE MARKETS: DOWN
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