Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, April 30, 2010
Stock Market Holds 20...Handle In Place..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The market decided not to follow through on the downside once it had successfully taken out those 20-day exponential moving averages on the daily charts on the S&P 500, Dow, and WLSH. The Nasdaq never did lose its 20-day moving average on a closing basis. Only intraday. Once lost the market decided to rise yet again, and get all of the important index charts back above those critical 20's, although they're not nearly as critical in terms of support as those 50-day exponential moving averages. Understand that handles mean up and definitely down and we could fall right back below those 20's yet again.
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Friday, April 30, 2010
Three Stock Market Charts You Need to See Now / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Some of you have written in asking me about the new logo. I apologize for not clarifying this earlier. I am branding all of my content and communications going forward under the banner of Phoenix Capital Research.
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Friday, April 30, 2010
Stock Market Broadening Top Appears Yet Again! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
I first became aware of a potential broadening top formation last August, as my cyclical studies suggested a peak in August followed by a potential decline into the fall of 2009. That was not to happen, but I remained piqued by the continued behavior of the DJIA shown in the chart below. It seems that the upper trendline defined the top of each new rally as it attempted each new high. So I kept track of the formation as a matter of routine to see what would happen next.
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Thursday, April 29, 2010
It’s A Market Of Stocks, Not Just A Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
It’s A Market Of Stocks Not Just A Stock Market
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Thursday, April 29, 2010
Stock Market Rally is Two-Edged Sword / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The S&P 500 continues to climb, with its emini contract hitting 1204.50 mid-day in what increasingly could be a return trip to retest the recent high at 1216.75. My pattern and momentum work are pointing towards such a scenario - another mini panic that propels prices to new highs.
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Thursday, April 29, 2010
Corporate Earnings Again Trump Sovereign Debt Fears / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
US stocks rose upon hump day, rebounding from the biggest drop since February, as higher-than-estimated earnings and the Federal Reserve’s pledge to keep interest rates at a record low overshadowed a downgrade of Spain’s debt rating. Dow Chemical climbed 5.9% and insulation producer Owens Corning rallied 11% as profits topped average analyst forecasts. Goldman Sachs gained 2.6% after defending its business practices to a Senate panel.
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Thursday, April 29, 2010
Stock Market Minor Top Is Nigh / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The Greek "crisis" continues to unfold almost uniformly to our expectations, and its ramifications for the EU as a whole are certainly not painting a rosy picture for the coming decades.
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Thursday, April 29, 2010
Stock Market Snapback Session / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The stock market indices started with a gap up today, but quickly sold off reaching new pullback lows on the Nasdaq 100 in the 1992 area. At that point the S&P 500 retested yesterday's late lows near the 1182 area but held. That triggered a 5-wave snapback rally. In the last hour they rolled over, took back nearly half of the rally, but bounced in the last 10 minutes to close up on the day.
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Thursday, April 29, 2010
Stock Market Parabolic To Lateral..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Often times, when a market has had a rather large move up or down, it will need time to consolidate the move. To digest, it if you will. The market has made an enormous move higher since early February. A two-month plus move higher that was almost literally straight up. It is quite possible we have simply entered the lateral handle or consolidation phase that will need to be played delicately. A handle, once established, that can be played on weakness near the bottom. You go more to cash near the top of the range.
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Wednesday, April 28, 2010
Great Insight Into The Consumer And Retail Stock Sector / Stock-Markets / Sector Analysis
I had the privilege yesterday of receiving an email from Richard Davis of the Consumer Metrics Institute, Inc. Mr. Davis had read my blog post on the SPDR S&P Retail ETF (symbol: XRT), and he has graciously allowed me to post his email below with some very interesting data and insights with regards to the consumer.
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Wednesday, April 28, 2010
Goldman And The PIIGS Keep Stock Market Jittery / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The price action and news headlines Tuesday were dominated by US rating agency Standard and Poor’s decision to downgrade the sovereign ratings of Greece and Portugal to BB+ (by a savage and unprecedented three notches) and A- (down two notches) respectively. This saw a dramatic further significant ballooning in bond spreads and CDS to fresh highs whilst the domestic equity markets were down 6% and 5% respectively. With the downgrade of Greek sovereign ratings, the fate of Greek depends on ratings action by the other two major rating agencies Moody’s and Fitch.
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Wednesday, April 28, 2010
The #1 Rule for Making Money Is to Buy Whatever Chinese Are Buying / Stock-Markets / Investing 2010
I’ve said it hundreds, perhaps thousands, of times in this column, and in speeches and interviews that I’ve given over the last decade: “The #1 rule for making money over the next decade is to get long whatever the Chinese are buying.”
What are the Chinese buying? The list is long, but simple and logical.
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Wednesday, April 28, 2010
Stock Market Warning Sign, Global Liquidity is Drying Up! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
In last week’s Money and Markets column I told you the majority of my indicators are signaling that the stock market has probably entered the last phase of its medium-term uptrend, which began in March 2009.
I went over price-to-earnings ratios (based on twelve-months trailing GAAP earnings) and dividend yields. Both metrics are showing a heavily overvalued market.
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Wednesday, April 28, 2010
Fibonacci Trading Grids and the Fading Stock Market 1228 S&P 500 Target / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Investors and traders are increasingly recognizing the value of using Fibonacci ratios to anticipate support and resistance prices in major equity indexes. Fibonacci ratios are natural phenomena found in seashells, tree rings, music masterpieces like Beethoven’s ninth symphony, and even in the order found in the structure of galaxies.
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Wednesday, April 28, 2010
Stock Market Jitters, Correction and Support / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Tuesday's sharp sell-off in the NYSE is part of an extended market. Jitters about debt concerns in Greece and Portugal coupled with the Goldman Sachs hearing before the Senate has caused the broad-based index to correct. The NYSE is now on the first key support level of 7400-7500 (Chart 1).
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Wednesday, April 28, 2010
S&P 500 Corporate Earnings Beating Estimates / Stock-Markets / Corporate Earnings
To the surprise of many, the first quarter 2010 earnings for many S&P 500 companies are beating estimates, some substantially. If this is an indication of greater strength in the economy, does this mean the market rally will continue?
Analysts are behind the curve in raising their earnings estimates during the recovery. For example, over the last year quarterly earnings has surprised to the upside between 6 and 13 percent according to Thompson Reuters.
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Wednesday, April 28, 2010
Could Greek Debt Tragedy Morph into a Lehman Meltdown Market Crash? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
In an eerie sense of déjà vu, German finance minister Wolfgang Schauble pleaded with his country’s citizens on April 20th, to back a joint EU-IMF bail out for Greece worth up to €45-billion, warning that failure to act would risk another global financial meltdown. “We cannot allow the bankruptcy of a Euro member state like Greece to turn into a second Lehman Brothers,” he told Der Spiegel. “Greece’s debts are all in Euros, and it isn’t clear who holds how much of those debts. The consequences of a national bankruptcy would be incalculable. Greece is just as systemically important as a major bank,” Schauble warned.
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Wednesday, April 28, 2010
Stock Market Sell Signals Abound, VIX Spikes Higher, XLF Says Good-bye to Support / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Again Today on Financial Overhaul Bill - The U.S. Senate will take a second vote today on Democrats’ effort to overcome Republican objections and begin debate on financial-overhaul legislation.
“What are you afraid of?” Majority Leader Harry Reid of Nevada said to Republicans on the Senate floor today, arguing that the proposal can be amended during debate. Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, a Kentucky Republican, responded by saying, “This bill isn’t ready” and that more negotiations are needed.
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Wednesday, April 28, 2010
Stock Market Decisive Down Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The stock market indices had a decisively negative session today, gapping down from the get-go, snapping back in an early rally try but failing at resistance and then rolling over hard. By mid-day they bounced to test resistance once again, but failed again, and then rolled over just as hard in the afternoon.
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Wednesday, April 28, 2010
Stock Market Breaks Lower, Most 20-Day EMA's Gone...50's On Deck... / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Only the Nasdaq out of all of the major index charts is now still above its 20-day exponential moving average. It's above by just a few points thus its hanging by a thread. Not likely to hold. The S&P 500, Dow and total market, the WLSH, all lost their 20-day exponential moving averages today and did so on solid volume and a very poor advance decline line. The selling was real. The confluence of overbought daily and weekly charts across the board along with negative divergences on the daily charts and finally some poor sentiment conditions took over today. It was about time. The market was more than due for a beating but simply refused to sell off day after day.
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