Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, October 17, 2014
How to Trade the Ebola Stock Market Sell-Off / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: I believe Ebola may be the most serious threat to humanity since the bubonic plague of the Middle Ages. Already it has spread to a dozen countries, including the U.S., and more than 4,000 people are dead. According to Dr. Bruce Aylward of the World Health Organization (WHO), mortality rates are rising and now sit at 70%.
This outbreak is more grim proof that the global trend of war, terrorism, and ugliness is indeed a growth industry.
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Friday, October 17, 2014
Stock Market Pullback Underway, Euro downside, Commodities / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
BIG PICTURE – The first round of QE began in March 2009 and after 5½ years, the Federal Reserve’s bond buying program is coming to an end. Since the QE program boosted confidence, combated deflationary forces and sparked an epic bull market on Wall Street; it is hardly surprising that its end has brought about some turbulence in the stock market.
There can be no denying the fact that over the past few years, the QE program significantly assisted the stock market by tackling the deflationary forces within the economy. You will recall that when QE1 and QE2 were ending, the stock market abruptly reversed course and the major indices started to face intense selling pressure. Thereafter, when the Federal Reserve unleashed its next bout of bond purchases, buyers returned in earnest and piled into common stocks.
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Friday, October 17, 2014
Stock Market Seven Year Cycle and A Correction Ahead? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
From a duration perspective, is the current uptrend in today’s stock market getting risky? Based on history, should one assume that a correction may be nearing? Our main consideration of the following charts of the S&P 500 is the duration of the turning points.
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Friday, October 17, 2014
The 10th Man: What a Stock Market Correction Feels Like / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Back in the summer of 2007, when I was working for Lehman Brothers, I had a vacation to the Bahamas planned. This was unusual for me. Up until that point, in six years of working for Lehman, I had taken about five vacation days—total. But my wife and I were going to a semi-primitive resort on Cat Island, the most desolate island in the Bahamas. Interesting place for a vacation. Suffice to say that it’s plenty hot in the Bahamas in August.
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Thursday, October 16, 2014
Rising Market Volatility / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
SPX is down over 1% in the Premarket. Today is day 69 in the current Master Cycle. The nearest Pivot is 68.8, so it may have made the Pivot at yesterday’s close. That is why I was uncertain on how the Pivot would work.
There may be some attempt to rally SPX prior to the open, but there is no liquidity in the hedge funds’ favorite market, the E-mini.
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Thursday, October 16, 2014
Stock Market Negative Expectations As Investors Continue To Worry – Will Downtrend Extend Even Further? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified at this moment.
Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral:
Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: neutral
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: neutral
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Thursday, October 16, 2014
Stocks Bear Markets Move Fast and Are Intensely Emotional / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
As Bob Prechter says, bear markets move fast and are intensely emotional.
Please read this free report that could help you sidestep perhaps the biggest bear market in living memory.
Anyone who has been watching the market for the past few years knows that Wall Street wanted the stock market to get back to where it was.
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Thursday, October 16, 2014
Stock Market Splat.....But Well Off The Lows...... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
The market was primed to go higher today as Intel Corporation (INTC) and CSX Corp. (CSX), two key market leaders, were rocking after hours last night after reporting earnings. Futures were exploding higher due to those reports, and the fact that daily and sixty-minute short-term charts were oversold. A nice combination for the bulls to get some momentum. Then over night the news from overseas on their economies, plus further bad news on the Ebloa virus, caused the futures to reverse hard, allowing for a massive gap down across the board of 1% or a bit more. That's unusual for the indexes. They rarely move that much in a day at the open.
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Wednesday, October 15, 2014
The Best Strategy for Dealing With the Stock Market Sell-Off / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Marc Lichtenfeld writes:Investors have it tough today.
The market has been ugly the past few weeks, instilling fear in some investors that the bull market is over and they missed their chance at making money.
Additionally, interest rates are still so low, it's tough to generate any income from your nest egg.
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Wednesday, October 15, 2014
Why This Stock Market Selloff Is the Next "Buy the Dip" Opportunity in Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Brett Eversole writes: Investors are scared.
Over the past few years, we've seen investors hit the panic button every time the market sells off even a few percent.
"This is the big one," they think. So they run for the door as sentiment reaches a negative extreme. But in this bull market, these extremes in sentiment have turned out to be "buy the dip" moments... not the starts of crashes.
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Wednesday, October 15, 2014
Possible Stock Market Runing Correction / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Good Afternoon!
We may be witnessing a running correction, which I haven’t seen since September 2002. This is typified by a short Wave a followed by a very long Wave b, then followed up by a short Wave c, as we see in the chart. Today was a Pivot day and the only way I can interpret it is that Micro Wave c topped at 1863.76.
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Wednesday, October 15, 2014
Fat Lady Singing: The Alibaba IPO Top-Ticked the Stock Market, Precisely / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
"As flies to wanton boys are we to the gods. They kill us for their sport." - William Shakespeare, King Lear
Wall Street puffed up the stock market indices to get the 'largest ever' IPO of Alibaba out the door.
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Wednesday, October 15, 2014
Get Your Tactics Ready for the Ebola Stock Market Event / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: My sources tell me that Ebola is probably the most serious threat to humanity since the Bubonic Plague of the Middle Ages. Already it has spread to a dozen countries, including the U.S., and more than 4,000 people are dead. According to Dr. Bruce Aylward of the World Health Organization (WHO), mortality rates are rising and now sit at 70%.
This outbreak is more grim proof that Trend No. 6 – War, Terrorism, and Ugliness – is indeed a growth industry.
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Wednesday, October 15, 2014
Is This the Discount Sale Stock Market Investors Have Been Waiting For? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
George Leong writes: October has provided the usual bouts of anxiety that have characterized the month in past years. I warned that we could see volatility and so far, this has been the case.
From small-cap stocks to world-class blue-chip companies, we are seeing some selling capitulation emerge in the stock market.
All of the major key stock indices are below their respective 50-day and 200-day moving averages (MAs). As I said in a recent commentary, the chart risk is high.
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Wednesday, October 15, 2014
Stocks Bull Market Over? Trend Forecast to End Jan 2015 - Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
The stock market is in the midst of a roller coaster ride during the past few weeks with stomach churning down moves that have been encouraging the bears to once more call an end to the bull market backed by supporting reasons coalescing around expectations for the U.S. Fed is to bring QE to an end and signal that interest rate hikes just around the corner. Then there’s China economic weakness, a European recession, ISIS and not forgetting EBOLA! So plenty of doom for the bears to play pick and mix with for reasons why End Time is here!
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Wednesday, October 15, 2014
Stock Market Dow The Contrarian Play / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
I've been calling for one final high in the Dow to put an end to this most awesome bull market. This can be quite the mental challenge in the face of declining prices with many market commentators already calling the top in. But I remain steadfast. I still believe the final high is yet to be seen.
To make matters more interesting, the major support of the August 2014 low of 16333 has now been cracked. This level has been a line in the sand and the focus of many analysts. That includes me. However, it is now so obvious that my warning bells are ringing.
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Tuesday, October 14, 2014
No Relief for Stock Market Bulls until Next Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
A short-term trading cycle averaging 24 trading (not calendar) days has been identified. The 10/1/14 break of the cycle low on 9/12/14 confirmed the short-term change in trend from up to down.
A perfect cycle low of 24 days targets the next low for this Thursday, 10/16/14. As the chart shows, this cycle varies anywhere from 16 days to 28 days.
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Tuesday, October 14, 2014
Big Profits in the Big Difference Between a Correction and a Stocks Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Michael E. Lewitt writes: The current downdraft in stock prices has understandably sent the happy faces on CNBC running for cover as they try to figure out what went wrong.
After all, the U.S. economy is growing and the Federal Reserve has made it clear that interest rates won't be raised until the middle of next year. How could stocks have the temerity to sell off?
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Tuesday, October 14, 2014
Stock Market Just Not Excited....Rocks Lower.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
It's now one of those times when the market has decided it's time to unwind froth that has been built up over an eight-month period. When a market wants to unwind it finds a way to do so, but it's never going to be straight down. We are down approximately 6% off the top but a lot of it has been merciless selling without allowing the bulls to breathe. That's the best way to get those who are agnostic to turn bearish and for those who are bullish to turn at least agnostic. It removes the bullishness we've been seeing for too long. Ultimately we need to get more bears since we have seen a strong move down in bulls, but nothing even close to removing the bears. Coming in to last week the bears were still near historic lows.
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Tuesday, October 14, 2014
Investment Myth - Wars are bullish/bearish for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Interest rates, oil prices, earnings, GDP, wars, peace, terrorism, inflation, monetary policy, etc. -- NONE have a reliable effect on the stock market
You may remember that after the 2008-2009 crash, many called into question traditional economic models. Why did they fail?
And more importantly, will they warn us of a new approaching doomsday, should there be one?
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