Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Friday, October 31, 2014
Gold Price Falls, Stocks Record Highs as Japan Goes ‘Weimar’ / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: GoldCore
Stocks globally surged, while gold fell sharply today despite renewed irrational exuberance on hopes that the Bank of Japan’s vastly increasing money printing will fill some of the gaps left by the apparent end of Federal Reserve bond buying.
Friday, October 31, 2014
Welcome to the World of Volatility / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Steve_H_Hanke
My last column “Regime Uncertainty Weighs on Growth” (October 2014) stressed that market participants do not know what the Big Players (Read: governments and central banks) will do next. This regime uncertainty is creating an economic undertow. No wonder there have been so many recovery false dawns.
In the past month, markets have become very volatile. Equity and oil markets are the most notable. Why? Well, regime uncertainty continues to be ramped up. Indeed, Berlin-bashing by Paris and Rome over fiscal austerity has become the latest political rage. On top of that, weak economic data from the Continent and a spat of surprisingly weak U.S. data moved the world’s stock markets. If that wasn’t enough, there were some so-called mixed economic signals emitted from China. We must not forget the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) World Economic Outlook report that was unveiled at the World Bank — IMF meetings in Washington, D.C. The report contained a major policy flip-flop, switching mantras from fiscal austerity to fiscal stimulus. The volatility mixer was stirred further when the Saudis clarified that they would not cut back on oil production to prop up crude prices. The Kingdom wants to retain, or increase, its market share. To top it off, Ebola has reared its ugly head. All of this confirms what I call the School Boy’s Theory of History: it’s just one damn thing after another.
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Friday, October 31, 2014
Stocks Bear Market Crash Towards New All Time Highs as QE3 End Awaits QE4 Start / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The stock market has once more confounded the crescendo of bearish market expectations of not even 2 weeks ago when the widespread assumption was that an end of U.S. QE would trigger the long anticipated bear market that had so far failed to materialise for some 5 1/2 years! But were promised that this time would be different, for this time the stock market most definitely had topped and was destined to embark on a severe bear market with figures such as Dow 6k being bandied about, with further assumptions the the bear market would likely would start with a destructive imminent crash.
Thursday, October 30, 2014
How to Recognize a Stock Market “Bear Raid” on Wall Street / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Gary_Dorsch
October has a reputation as a graveyard for many Bull markets, a reputation that was enshrined by the “Black Monday,” Crash in October 1987, when the Dow Jones Industrials plunged -22% in a single day. And then again in October 2008, the Dow plummeted -3,000-points from as high as 10,882 on Oct 1st to as low as 7,882 hit on Oct 10th. The Dow ended the brutal month of Oct 2008, with a loss of -2,675 points, or -14.1% for the month. The S&P-500 Index fared worse, with a -17% decline, - the worst since the -23% drop in October 1987. Paper losses in US-stocks came to $2.5-trillion for the month. Emerging markets suffered even more, shedding -29%.
Thursday, October 30, 2014
U.S. Midterm Elections: Would a Republican Win Be Bullish for the Stock Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: John_Mauldin
I had an instant-messenger conversation with one of my clients the other day. It was pretty annoying—he wrote things like “BULL MARKET, DUDE,” and harangued me about my net-short positioning.
Then he started telling me that the market was going to rip if the Republicans took both houses of Congress in the midterm elections. At that point, I felt like I needed to intervene.
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Thursday, October 30, 2014
Stock Market S&P Index MAP Wave Analysis Forecast / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Marc_Horn
I have been looking for this for a while.
Over lunch at the Bank of England, Keynes tells Henry Clay of his hopes that Adam Smith’s ‘invisible hand’ can help Britain out of the economic hole it is in: “I find myself more and more relying for a solution of our problems on the invisible hand which I tried to eject from economic thinking twenty years ago.”11 April 1946
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Thursday, October 30, 2014
Stock Market Challenges the 50-day Averages / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The Premarket SPX is down this morning. It had earlier challenged the 50-day Moving Average at 1957.40 and has since bounced from that level.
USD/JP attempted a huge spike this morning to ignite the market, but the response was muted, so USD/JPY reversed into the red.
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Thursday, October 30, 2014
Fed...See You Later QE...Hello Forever Low Rates...... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jack_Steiman
Wow. An interesting day. Really, really interesting. Why? Because the Fed Yellen took away QE, but did not promise more. Of course, that will change if the market falls hard over time. She'll use QE again only if there's an emergency. Her emergency is a falling stock market. Morgan Stanley (MS). Yellen also did what made the most sense of all. She once again promised to keep rates near or at zero "for a considerable period of time". That basically means until we see the economy truly recover, which also coincides with global economic situations away from home. China, Japan, and the entire Euro Zone, on some level, is struggling and she knows this has an adverse affect on our economy.
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Wednesday, October 29, 2014
Flock of Black Swans Points to Imminent Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: The_Gold_Report
Between a rising U.S. Dollar Index and black swan events around the world, it's looking like bunker time for Bob Moriarty. In his latest interview with The Gold Report, the 321gold.com founder delivers a frank overview of U.S. international policy and lambasts commentators who look to their tea leaves in search of the next market moves. But it's not all gloom and doom: Moriarty also discusses metals companies with "no-lose deals," where resource investors can take advantage of more than favorable odds.
Wednesday, October 29, 2014
Stock Market Bubble Goes Pop / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Last night I noticed that SPX was near the lower trendline of its Ending Diagonal. A check back this morning shows the probe hit the Diagonal. This may not be good for the SPX.
Wednesday, October 29, 2014
The Most Important Stock Market Chart on the Planet / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Rambus_Chartology
In this Weekend Report I want to shows you what I think is the most important chart on the planet right now. I know many of you won't agree with this statement because there are a lot of important charts out there that are talking to us right now. This just my opinion based on the most recent price action that this chart exhibited on the recent plunge in the month of October. The chart I'm referring to this the long term monthly chart for the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
Before we get to the present charts I would like to show you a Weekend Report from January 2013. The signs that a new Bull market in US Stocks was beginning were there, almost 2 years ago. Even I am surprised how this has evolved exactly as described. http://rambus1.com/?p=9469
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Tuesday, October 28, 2014
China and India Changing the Global Marketplace / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
By: Harry_Dent
China is looking at investing in infrastructure in India. That’s the best idea I’ve heard in a long time.
China has overinvested — like 12 to 15 years of future urban migration out — with 27% of home vacancies in cities. India has underinvested in everything. The roads are terrible, electricity is nearly non-existent in rural areas and it’s shoddy at best in urban sectors. Water and sewer services are not up to snuff and there are slums everywhere.
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Tuesday, October 28, 2014
The Hedge Fund Rich List Infographic / Stock-Markets / Hedge Funds
By: Submissions
David submits: Hedge fund rich list includes many familiar faces such as those of the Goldman and Sachs boys, David Tepper and John Arnold. Others you may not be so familiar with, but that is why we have created this infographic, to introduce you to these wealthy traders, illustrate to you how they made their fortunes and hopefully provide you with the motivation you need to start trading yourself.
Monday, October 27, 2014
Ebola is The New Weather Excuse / Stock-Markets / Ebola
By: Michael_Pento
The perennially-optimistic crowd on Wall Street never lets the truth get in the way of a good story. So whenever the stock market doesn't move their way, they come up with a myriad of excuses to explain the fall. The members of what my good friend Peter Grandich likes to call, "The Don't Worry Be Happy Crowd" appear in the main stream media and try to deflect attention away from the truth.
What these cheerleaders are unwilling to admit is that the Federal Reserve's myriad of QEs and manipulations of interest rates have been pumping air into the stock market. Therefore, every exit attempt from its manipulations has, and will, begin a painful (yet necessary) deflation of this bubble.
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Monday, October 27, 2014
A Scary Story for Emerging Markets / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
By: John_Mauldin
The consequences of the coming bull market in the US dollar, which I’ve been predicting for a number of years, go far beyond suppression of commodity prices (which in general is a good thing for consumers – but could at some point threaten the US shale-oil boom). The all-too-predictable effects of a rising dollar on emerging markets that have been propped up by hot inflows and the dollar carry trade will spread far beyond the emerging markets themselves. This is another key aspect of the not-so-coincidental consequences that we will be exploring in our series on what I feel is a sea change in the global economic environment.
Monday, October 27, 2014
Gambling with Free Markets / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Submissions
Tom Naysburn writes: Financial and derivative trading is an interesting but violent game, full of love, fear, greed, loathing and ecstasy. There you go, I have owned up, and if your still wondering, it is emotional.
When I started in the City of London, apart from all the fun and learning, I was most impressed by a pervasive rule, that “your word was your bond”. Deals were done with counter parties who you may not have personally known, but when the phone went down and the ticket written up, you knew the deal was done. Your word was your bond, and by extension your firm’s word, was coveted at all costs. To rescind on a deal was infinitely more costly than the deal itself and consequently it did not happen. This principle of trust was honourable, good and tremendously impressive and was carried over into everyday dealings. It remains with me to this day.
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Monday, October 27, 2014
Stock Market Mixed Expectations Following Last Week's Bounce - Will Uptrend Extend? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 1,975 and profit target at 1,875, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:
Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: bearish
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: bearish
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Monday, October 27, 2014
Europe Redefines Bank Stress Tests / Stock-Markets / Banking Stocks
By: Raul_I_Meijer
The EU and ECB claim they conducts their stress tests and Asset Quality Reviews to restore confidence in the banking sector. That is easier said than done. The problem with the confidence boosting game is that if the tests are perceived as not strong enough, nobody knows which banks to trust anymore. And, on the other hand, if the tests are sufficiently stringent, there’s a genuine risk not many banks are found healthy.
There’s the additional issue of quite a large group of banks having been declared ‘systemic’ by their mother nations, which is of course equal to Too Big To Fail, and, in layman’s terms, ‘untouchable’.
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Monday, October 27, 2014
Federal Reserve to Markets: You're Too Easy! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: John_Rubino
As the end of the latest quantitative easing program approached, everyone was wondering if history would repeat in the form of a stock market correction that terrified the government into another round of debt monetization. And right on cue, volatility surged in late September, sending US stocks down by about 6% by mid-October.
Monday, October 27, 2014
Stock Market Intermediate Correction Underway / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market
Intermediate trend - Intermediate correction (primary wave IV) underway.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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