Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, October 02, 2014
Stock Market Down Move Worst May Not Be Over / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,030 and profit target at 1,900, S&P 500 index)
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:
Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: bearish
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: bearish
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Thursday, October 02, 2014
Stock Market Falling....Bears Making Progress... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
The market has actually been struggling since early July. We were S&P 500 985 a few days into July, only to see us top out a bit ago at 2019. Only 2% higher before that gave way, and now we're actually below where we were at that early July reading. The froth has been catching up slowly, but surely. It has not allowed the market to make the next journey higher. Too many bulls. Not enough bears. The market getting full. Today we cracked 1950 on the S&P 500, or, basically, the two-year up trendline. Not good for the bulls. A long trend line, such as that, needs to hold, or things can get very nasty quite quickly. The market also started becoming more violent over the past three months, since that July top.
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Thursday, October 02, 2014
Stocks Interesting, Junk Bonds at Fair Value, Bill Gross Who Cares? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
David Tepper, co-founder of Appaloosa Management, spoke with Bloomberg TV's Stephanie Ruhle and Erik Schatzker on "Market Makers" today about a wide variety of subjects, including the bond market, the U.S. stock market, Bill Gross' departure from PIMCO and Roger Goodell. Appearing alongside Tepper for the interview was David Saltzman, executive director of the Robin Hood Foundation.
Tepper said that price-to-earnings ratios for U.S. stocks aren't high and that junk bonds are at the mid-point of fair value: "The U.S. economy is pretty good, stocks are not at high multiples right now." He also said: "I wish I didn't have any investment" in Fannie and Freddie.
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Wednesday, October 01, 2014
Dow Stocks Index And The No Mercy Cycle / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
The Dow hit an all time high at 17350 on the 19th September and there now seem to be many saying that is it - the bull market is done and the next great bear market is upon us. I disagree. For now, anyway. Let's investigate taking a bottom up approach beginning with the daily chart.
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Wednesday, October 01, 2014
Bubble Trouble - What 2014 Demographic Trends Show About Urban Life / Stock-Markets / Demographics
Demographic trends clearly show that as any emerging or more developed country urbanizes, people tend to have fewer kids. Urban life costs more and people tend to be more highly educated and naturally, they want to better educate their kids… so they choose to have one or two.
Nearly 25% choose their well-paid careers and social life over having children.
Almost all developed countries are experiencing a slowing down of their economies due to fewer kids and sluggish demographic growth.
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Wednesday, October 01, 2014
Stock Market Getting Edgy / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
SPX Premarket is drifting lower as I write. It seems to be held momentarily at Cycle Bottom support at 1967.22. Once it breaks, the selling floodgates are opened, IMO.
ZeroHedge reports that equity futures are failing despite an onslaught of bad news from Europe.
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Wednesday, October 01, 2014
Stock Market Wil-e-Coyote Moment May Have Arrived / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
SPX is doing a final retest of the 50-day Moving Average before dropping off its ledge. The decline may begin yet this afternoon, so I hope y’all are short, or doubly so. This is bear country for SPX.
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Wednesday, October 01, 2014
Stock Market Battle Important Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
This will be an important day because a formidable battle is going on.
Institutional Investors have been in Distribution, and the Fed will step up to the plate today and try to avert any negative consequences.
Tuesday, September 30, 2014
Everything You Need to Know About the Stock Market S&P Index Until Christmas / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By Andrey Dashkov
When I need to clear my mind, I put on my beat-up Saucony sneakers and drive to nearby Deer Lake Park in Burnaby, British Columbia. After a couple of miles, though, as my body gets into a rhythm, my mind wanders back to the thought that occupy it for hours each day: where will this market go next?
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Tuesday, September 30, 2014
SP500 and GOLD Intraday Elliott Wave Analysis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
US cash market will open in around 30mins when we may see a continuation to the upside following a reversal yesterday from 1955 seen on the S&P500. Based on the wave count we assume that price is now recovering in wave 2)/B) that could look for a resistance around 1990 later this week.
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Tuesday, September 30, 2014
Stock Market SPX has a New Broadening Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Nothing is as simple as it first appears. However, the new Orthodox Broadening Top is giving us a clear crash signal at the lower trendline of the Larger Orthodox Broadening Top. This is reminiscent of the 1987 crash which had a larger Broadening Wedge and an Orthodox Broadening Top in the Wave 2 position.
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Tuesday, September 30, 2014
Stock Market Breakdown And Save By The Bulls For Now...... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
The futures were rocking lower after protests in Hong Kong annihilated their market. Europe was down and we were sinking by the click with the Dow futures down nearly two points at their lows pre market. The S&P 500 1966 key-support double-low level was in jeopardy, and, sure enough, once the market opened, the S&P 500 made its way two points lower at 1964. It looked over, but strong positive divergences on the short-term sixty-minute charts saved the day as the S&P 500 came back from the lows to finish at 1977.
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Monday, September 29, 2014
Epic Investor Optimism that Can Be Reversed Only by a Huge Stocks Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Editor's note: The following article was republished here with permission from the co-editors of the September issue of The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast, a publication of Robert Prechter's Elliott Wave International, the world's largest financial forecasting firm. From Sept. 25 to Oct. 1, EWI is throwing open the doors to all of its investor services 100% free. Click here to join EWI's free Investor Open House now.
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Monday, September 29, 2014
Here's What Rising Interest Rates Really Do to Your Shares / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Sid Riggs writes: There is a lot of lip service being paid to the upcoming stock market crash that we're supposed to expect once the Federal Reserve starts raising rates.
Every time we get close to a regularly scheduled Federal Reserve statement, financial pundits pontificate about the nuances of what the Fed Chair might say, not say, or imply.
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Monday, September 29, 2014
Yo - Stock Market is Set For a Major Correction / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Wall Street came to a halt recently, as Chinese e-commerce giant Alibaba made its Initial Public Offering debut. The media became myopically focused over this so-called "historic event" and by its celebrity founder Jack Ma. By the time the closing bell had rung, the hype and fanfare propelled Alibaba up 36 percent on its first day of trading and caused the world's largest IPO to display a market cap worth $231 billion. The investing public seems to have forgotten the dangers associated with disregarding valuation metrics -- Alibaba is trading at a Price to Book value ratio north of 27!
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Monday, September 29, 2014
Is a Credible Stock Market Top Forming? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - In 1932 and 1974, the 40-yr cycle was responsible for protracted market weakness. The current phase is due this year but where is the weakness? Has man (Federal Reserve) finally achieved dominance over universal rhythms or has it simply delayed the inevitable?
Intermediate trend - We are looking for the move from 1905 to end, after which a much more serious correction should start.
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Monday, September 29, 2014
Stock Market S&P, NAS Change In Trend? None Apparent, But A Caveat / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
There have been no articles here on the stock market since last February, Fat Lady Has Yet To Sing. Some Questions About YOUR Stocks? A half-year later, there has still been no singing, but the questions about how profitable any of your stock holdings are is still very much pertinent ones to address. If any of your stock holdings have not increased at a rate proportionate to the averages of the indices, that could be a huge warning that should not go unheeded.
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Saturday, September 27, 2014
Stock Market Primary IV Underway? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
After establishing an all time high on OPEX Friday a week ago the market went into volatility mode this week. Every day we observed the DOW moving triple digits: three down and two up. For the week the SPX/DOW were -1.2%, the NDX/NAZ were -1.3%, and the DJ World index lost 2.0%. Economic reports for the week were skewed to the downside. On the uptick: the FHFA, new home sales and Q2 GDP. On the downtick: existing home sales, durable goods, the WLEI and weekly jobless claims rose. Next week, end of month/quarter, will be highlighted by Friday’s Payrolls report and the PCE and ISM during the week.
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Saturday, September 27, 2014
Debt and Inflation Consquences of American Fear / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Fear is defined by the ‘online dictionary’ as ‘a distressing emotion aroused by impending danger, evil, pain, etc., whether the threat is real or imagined’. America is in a permanent state of distress. America is in a permanent state of fear. Americans are, or must be, very fearful people. Why else would they surrender all their assets and all their liberties in exchange for some perceived protection?
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Saturday, September 27, 2014
Stock Market Bulls Roar Back... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
That's what a strong GDP can do for you if you're a bull. The market is ultimately always looking to go higher, so if you give it an excuse it usually doesn't have a problem doing so. The bears had their day yesterday with some strong down side action, which carried the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 below their 50-day exponential moving averages. You want to see, if you're a bear, a follow-through the very next day, but it didn't come. The futures were up last night immediately after the close. They built over night and exploded higher after the GDP report came out. After some decline ahead of the open, they ran higher as they day moved along.
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