Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, September 19, 2014
Investor Open House! - You've Never Seen this Before and May Never Again! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
Dear reader,
After years of talking about it, it's finally here.
Our friends over at Elliott Wave International have just announced their first-ever Investor Open House!
For one exciting week -- from noon Eastern time Thursday, Sept. 25, to noon Wednesday, Oct. 1 -- they are throwing open the doors to ALL of their investor services. And it's 100% free!
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Thursday, September 18, 2014
Stock Market Dow Pop And Drop Top? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
The Dow hit an all time high today of 17221 which occurred shortly after the Fed meeting. Many readers will know that I have been looking for a pop into top around 17200 which flushes out all the stops that had built up above the 17th July high of 17151. Recent tops in August and September would have taken out some stops but the move today would have really nailed them, so to speak.
So, with the coast now clear, it's decision time on where the Dow goes from here. Does it follow through with conviction to the upside or is it time for a healthy correction and possibly something more? Let's investigate beginning with the daily chart.
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Thursday, September 18, 2014
Stocks Bullish as Fed Says No Rate Hikes Any Time Soon..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Ms. Yellen made sure she spoke the words the market wanted to hear. Keeping rates low is what the market wants, and keeping rates low is what the market will get. She won't do anything she knows will hurt the market, because she uses the market to keep her job safe. If she lets the market fall hard, then she's allowing the economy to slip, since the market is keeping the economy higher. Repeat after me. The Fed's job description is as follows: you will do whatever it takes to keep Wall Street rocking. Good luck! That's her job in a nutshell folks. Nothing more and nothing less. She's all about 401K's and funds doing well. As long as she's doing her job here, it's going to be very hard for the market to fall precipitously. That's even with froth still out of control week after week.
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Wednesday, September 17, 2014
Scotland Independence - Europe Holds Its Breath / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
This Thursday the 18th September Scotland goes to the polls to decide whether it wants to stay in a Union with the rest of Great Britian or go down the road of independence. At the moment the election is too close to call with sentiment equally divided between either camp. If the Scottish people do opt for going it alone it will send shock waves through-out Europe. Such a result, many believe, will feed the secession fevour spreading across Euroland and lead to continued Euro weakness.
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Tuesday, September 16, 2014
Stock Market Bears Beyond All Doubt / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
I have two pieces of good news this week (for bears).
- You will never again have to read about how the 2011 sideways movement has caused confusion over from which date to count the last basic advance in the 2009 bull market.
- Even if the sideways movement confusion had not been resolved previously, time has taken care of the any lingering uncertainties.
Tuesday, September 16, 2014
Stock Market Froth Annihilated...Money Moves Around..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
If you were a high-beta stock, or a four-letter stock with froth behind its name, you were slaughtered today. Little mercy out there for those who recently bought a plethora of stocks in the world of the Nasdaq or small cap stocks. The carnage across the board, yet the market didn't fall very much except for those areas. Some sectors were slightly green. Money refuses to totally leave as the big boys were transferring their dollars to those lower-beta, higher-dividend stocks. No mass exit yet. It can't be argued. Many stocks, the leading stocks in the Dow were up overall. The Fed still is making her actions felt for the bears. The low rate environment allowing transference of dollars.
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Monday, September 15, 2014
Stock Market Patiently Waiting for Mean Reversion / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
So far this year, small-cap growth stocks have surprisingly been lackluster. After 2013, when it gained a scorching 38.8 percent, the Russell 2000 has delivered a tepid 0.62 percent year-to-date (YTD).
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Monday, September 15, 2014
Stock Market Correction Underway / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - In 1932 and 1974, the 40-yr cycle was responsible for protracted market weakness. The current phase is due this year but where is the weakness? Has man (Federal Reserve) finally achieved dominance over universal rhythms or has it simply delayed the inevitable?
Intermediate trend - We are looking for the move from 1905 to end, after which a much more serious correction should start.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Saturday, September 13, 2014
Stock Market Pullback Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
After closing within three points of the all time high last week, the market went into a choppy pullback mode this week. For the week the SPX/DOW were -1.0%, the NDX/NAZ were -0.4%, and the DJ World index was -1.4%. On the economic front, reports came in mostly to the positive. On the uptick: consumer credit, retail sales, wholesale/business inventories, import prices, consumer sentiment, and the budget deficit improved. On the downtick: export prices, the WLEI and weekly jobless claims increased. Next week is FOMC week, and we get reports on Industrial production and Housing.
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Saturday, September 13, 2014
Stock Market Getting More Violent In The Handle..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Violent markets can be meaningful, even if we're not necessarily seeing resolution out of a range. We know the range is now down at the 50-day exponential moving average, or the last line in the sand for the bulls. The level being 1971. The 20's didn't do a great job of holding up, so now we focus on the last line in the sand for the bulls, or again, 1971. The top of the range being the old high or 2011. We have been in an increasingly violent and whipsaw range that reminds me of SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) when it was topping out for the very long term. Now listen up. These violent whipsaw handles can also be bullish, if price holds well enough, while the oscillators unwind from overbought. Handles can be violent, since both sides fight at critical junctures. The range can be more than 1% large, and, thus, things whip around to the top and bottom repeatedly.
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Saturday, September 13, 2014
Tail Risk - Investors Suffering Permanent Loss / Stock-Markets / Risk Analysis
In a recent memo to Oaktree Capital clients, Chairman Howard Marks writes about "the time I spent advising a sovereign wealth fund about how to organize for the next thirty years. My presentation was built significantly around my conviction that risk can't be quantified a priori. Another of their advisors, a professor from a business school north of New York, insisted it can. This is something I prefer not to debate, especially with people who're sure they have the answer but haven't bet much money on it."
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Saturday, September 13, 2014
The World Order Becomes Disorder / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By Donald G. M. Coxe, Chairman, Coxe Advisors LLC.
Is the post-Cold War global boom over?
Since the fall of Bolshevism, the world has seen remarkably sustained growth in international cooperation, brought about by freer trade and new technologies. Financial assets have generally performed well, increasing prosperity across most of the world. There were just two major interruptions—the tech crash in 2000, and the financial crash in 2008.
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Friday, September 12, 2014
Panic On The Streets Of London ... Can Scotland Ever Be The Same Again? / Stock-Markets / UK Politics
There is now less than one week of campaigning remaining before the Scottish Independence Referendum, which takes place next Thursday, September 18.
The pro-union ‘no’ vote campaign is back in the lead this week after the latest opinion poll from pollsters YouGov put them at 52%, marginally ahead of the pro-independence ‘yes’ campaign.
The referendum question being asked is simply “Should Scotland be an independent country?”
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Friday, September 12, 2014
Better Days Ahead For U.S. Stock And Housing Market / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
BIG PICTURE – After bottoming out in 2012, America’s housing market has climbed to a 6-year high and it is probable that the 2006-record will be surpassed within the next 2-3 years.
You will recall that we first turned positive about America’s housing market two years ago and at that time, we forecasted a multi-year upswing. Fast forward to today and property prices have already risen over the past couple of years and we expect them to appreciate for at least another 2-3 years.
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Wednesday, September 10, 2014
Scottish Independence Vote Investor Implications / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
Is your portfolio's fate dependent on Scotland's? Why is it that when a place known for haggis, kilts and bagpipes indicates it might want to be independent, the markets pay attention?
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Tuesday, September 09, 2014
Gold, Stocks and US Dollar Long Cycles, Trend Changes / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
Several markets seem over-extended and about to reverse their current trends.
S&P 500 Index: It bottomed in March 2009 about 670 and is currently about 2,000. The S&P, thanks to QE, ZIRP, Central Bank purchases, and who knows what other contrivances, has levitated to the magical 2,000 level. Will it go higher?
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Tuesday, September 09, 2014
Stock Market Trendlines Violated, Sell Signal Imminent / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
SPX has broken below its Broadening Wedge trendline for the second time today. Perhaps this is the charm. There is now enough information to label the Wave Structure as a Micro Wave I and ii. It is apparent that round number resistance held the bounce at 2000.00.
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Tuesday, September 09, 2014
Stock Market Cycle - Exactly Where We Are / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: I was on stage at The California Club in Los Angeles... being put on the spot. And I didn't have a good answer...
It was a private meeting, so it was a small crowd of less than 50 people. At the end of my speech, I answered a few questions.
I like to give good answers when I can. But this time, I didn't have a good answer. I fumbled around, sharing some facts. But I knew I could give a more accurate answer once I had run some numbers. I promised that I would respond more accurately in DailyWealth. So here goes...
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Tuesday, September 09, 2014
Stock Market Broadening Wedge Pattern Being Activated / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
SPX broke through its Broadening Wedge trendline and may have activated it for the downside panic to come. However, it has not broken beneath Friday’s low of 1990.10, leaving it open for another retest at 2007.71. Confirmation of the reversal would be the breakdown beneath 1990.10. So far, it has declined to 1991.88.
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Tuesday, September 09, 2014
Italy Stock Market Primed to Soar in the Draghi Asset Bubble / Stock-Markets / European Stock Markets
Brett Eversole writes: The Draghi Asset Bubble is here...
As regular DailyWealth readers know, we've been telling you about the opportunity in European stocks for more than two years... and about what my colleague Steve Sjuggerud has coined the "Draghi Asset Bubble" since last December.
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