Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Tuesday, October 27, 2015
Stocks Inflation Bull Run / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Equity markets continue to defy our call for no end-of-year rally as equity investors rush to invest idle cash and not miss out on the positive feedback loop of higher prices. SPX has broken the mid-Sept high at 2,020 leaving behind a series of higher highs and higher lows; the definition of an uptrend. Price is the ultimate arbiter but we cannot ignore other signals if we want to be successful in forecasting price.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 27, 2015
Doug Casey Answers Five of Today’s Biggest Investment Questions / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By Doug Casey
Editor’s Note: Casey Research founder Doug Casey answered dozens of investment questions during the recent Casey Research Summit. We transcribed five of Doug’s best answers, and we’re sharing them with you below. What you’re about to read is Doug speaking to a live audience. His responses are unrehearsed.
Tuesday, October 27, 2015
Stocks and Bonds Will Not Crash Soon / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Always do what you are afraid to do. -Ralph Waldo Emerson
We are listing excerpts from past market updates to illustrate how the mass mindset is always wrong. Even big shots like Bill Gross are not exempt from being sucked into this black hole, otherwise known as the mass mindset. Herd psychology clearly indicates that the only time a market is going to crash is when emotions have hit a boiling point. In other words, the crowd is foaming with joy. However, regarding bonds, there is one more factor that needs to be considered. The element of control and that element has a name; it is called the Fed.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 27, 2015
Stock Market Consolidation....S&P 500 2079 Gap Next Up....Then 2134.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
If ever there was a time for a brief newsletter, today is that day. There is literally nothing to add from Friday's report. Every market pauses from time to time no matter what direction it's moving in directionally. A pause to refresh. That's exactly what we saw today. The market made a strong move, and, thus, got overbought not only on the short-term charts, but on the daily charts as well. Daily charts hang in better at overbought, but those short-term charts do need occasional unwinding. We got a bit of that today, although nothing special as those ravenous-retail bulls are looking to buy all dips for the moment.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 26, 2015
Stock Market’s Technical Strength Grows / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The Continued Hollowing Out Of European Industry.
“The power of producing wealth is infinitely more important than wealth itself; it insures not only the possession and the increase of what has been gained, but also the replacement of what has been lost.” Freidrich List "The National System of Political Economy"
I always believed the above quote by Freidrich List and I could never understand the modern politician’s obsession with “free trade”.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 26, 2015
Fed Set to Spook the Markets Once Again! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The charts below show that the recent rally is just fodder for the beast. Prior to the last FED meeting on September 17, I warned of an impending sell-off due to the FED's statements. The S&P 500 fell from a high of 2020 to a low of 1871 in 8 trading days or about 7.3%! The BIG question this time is "how low?" not IF.
I have two downside targets: SPX 1913/15 and SPX 1828/30. Astro-wise, early this week, we have the "George Bayer Rule" of Mercury crossing the same path the sun did during a prior eclipse. The last time we saw this, the SPX fell 236 point in 4 trading days (late August 2015). We also have Mars joining in this time with Mercury.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 26, 2015
US Stocks Snorting Bull Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
I have some free time tonight and the better part of the day tomorrow to post a few charts before I have to catch my flight home on Tuesday. I just want to thank you again for you patience.
Lets take a quick look at the daily INDU chart I posted on Wednesday that now shows the breakout of the rounding top trendline. So far so good.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, October 25, 2015
First Tier Resistance Breached Key Level Exceeded / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market?
Intermediate trend - SPX is in the midst of an intermediate correction (at least).
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses longer market trends.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, October 24, 2015
Stock Market Primary V Nears New Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The market started the week at SPX 2033. After some choppy activity on Monday the market rose to SPX 2039 by Tuesday. Wednesday the market pulled back to SPX 2017. Then after two gap up openings the market hit SPX 2080 on Friday. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 2.3%, the NDX/NAZ gained 3.6%, and the DJ World index gained 1.2%. Economics reports for the week again came in mixed. On the uptick: housing starts, the NAHB, the FHFA and existing home sales. On the downtick: building permits, leading indicators, the WLEI, plus weekly jobless claims rose. Next week’s reports is highlighted by the FOMC meeting, Q3 GDP and the PCE.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, October 24, 2015
Stock Market Big Follow Through day.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The market had a big follow-through day today after yesterday's nice up-day. There are two factors that made this happen. First of all, we had great earnings after hours yesterday from Microsoft Corporation (MSFT), AT&T, Inc. (T), Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN) and Google Inc. (GOOG). The futures exploded on those reports. Then last night we had the Euro-Zone money-man, Mr. Draghi, promise more easy money or another round of QE for everyone. The party hats were taken out.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, October 24, 2015
Stock Market SPX Double Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
SPX made a higher high at 2:50 pm at 2079.74,, just two points higher than this morning’s high. The only discernible entry (aggressive) likely today would be a cross of the Cycle Top at 2068.92.
Unfortunately, this means that a very fast and severe decline may be likely once SPX crosses 2040.00, triggering its Orthodox Broadening Top for a potential target near 1600.00. Today appears to be point 7 in the formation and point 8 is the crash low. Should you chance it today or not, is up to you.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, October 23, 2015
Stock Market SPX 78.6% Retracement / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
SPX appears to have made a 78.6% retracement of its decline from May 20 to August 24. Here are some points of interest. It will have re-entered its trading band at 2063.98 and closed this morning’s gap up beneath 2050.00. These would be considered aggressive short entries. The lower trendline of the small Diagonal formation is at 2030.00 at present.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, October 23, 2015
Why Stocks are About to Get DEMOLISHED / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Dear Investor,
You hear the abstract terms floating around the financial media -- devaluation, disinflation, low inflation, even negative inflation (whatever the heck that is!). Make no mistake about it; these terms refer to but one monetary force: deflation.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, October 22, 2015
11 Days to U.S. Government Shutdown Crisis... What Investors Should Know / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Sean Brodrick writes: America is on a collision course with a crippling crisis. One that could start as early as November 3 - just 11 days from now.
Importantly, the last time this happened, the market started selling off hard eight days before the actual crisis. So I want to make you aware of both the looming risks... and the potential profit opportunities.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, October 22, 2015
It’s Not Time to Sell the German DAX / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
He who trims himself to suit everyone will soon whittle himself away. - Raymond HullAgain, the talking heads are claiming that there is a pattern that overtly implies that the Dow tends to follow the DAX. When the markets were free or had some elements of freedom in them, one could give some credence to these patterns, but today where fraud and manipulation are the order of the day....... Such patterns have to be taken with a jar of salt. By maintaining an ultra-low interest environment for an unusually lengthy period of time, the Fed has fostered an environment that rewards speculators and destroys savers. Nothing could be more insane, but this is the predicament most people find themselves facing today.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, October 22, 2015
Notes from the Asylum / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By Jared Dillian
First, a shameless plug. Please follow me on Twitter.
Now on to today’s topic. You probably heard that Dreamy McDreamerson is the new Canadian prime minister, opening a can of Canadian whoop-ass on Harper. Here is the crux of it.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, October 22, 2015
SPX is Higher, But May Not Survive the Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
SPX Premarket is higher in a minute-retracement at 8:45, but may not survive until the open. Caterpillar shares tumbled as its revenues plunge 19%. There is a blitz of earnings reports today and it is difficult to say how it may close.
Will bad news finally be bad news?
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, October 22, 2015
Stocks Bullish but Bond Bull Market is Over / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
I generally send out two letters a week. The letter that arrives in your inbox over the weekend is Thoughts from the Frontline and is written by me. The second letter, which is called Outside the Box, generally comes in the middle of the week and is an article or essay written by someone else that I think merits your time. Quite often I disagree with the sentiment or analysis being expressed, but I find the writer makes me think about alternatives to my personally favored presuppositions. It is always good to listen to the other side of the story, especially when we are talking economics and finance and our investment portfolios!
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, October 22, 2015
Stock Market Diagonal Trendline is Broken / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
SPX appears to have not only broken its Ending Diagonal trendline, but also the horizontal supports, as well. Yesterday’s high at 10:45 at 2039.12 appears to be the Primary Cycle high.
We appear to be headed for a high probability low on Oct 30. It may stretch into the following week, but indications are ideal for a low next Friday, with the probability of Congress and the Senate agreeing to kick the can that weekend.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, October 22, 2015
4900 Nasdaq...2030 to 2050 S&P 500...Battle Zones For Both Sides / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The battle zone levels have been established. The Nasdaq at 4900 or the midpoint of the double top and 2030 to 2050 on the S&P 500 or the two-hundred day, exponential moving average and downtrend line. Getting over the last moving average is key for without it we cannot test that key, downtrend line. So for the short-term we focus on 2030 on the S&P 500. When markets get close to major breakout or breakdown levels, you see it get a bit more volatile as each side is trying harder to get what they want or need.
Read full article... Read full article...