Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Saturday, October 31, 2015
Stock Market Overbought...Action Positive....Pessimism Unwinding / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The market has hung in there very well. It has been at or near overbought for quite some time. Thankfully, it's not severely overbought, but it is overbought nonetheless. It's staying overbought as the market awaits the big report out on Tuesday morning. The ISM Manufacturing Report. The market is in a hopeful mood it seems. It's hanging on to hope that the number is over 50.0, or the number that separates recession from growth. If the number comes in below 50 then look out below. If it's above 50 the market should hang in well, instead of pulling back from 70 RSI readings. The bulls are also decently happy over some of the earnings reports that have come out lately. Some nice, upward surprises have taken place in various areas of the market, allowing for some buying across the board, although there are some real lagging sectors to be sure.
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Saturday, October 31, 2015
SPX Stock Market Breakdown? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
SPX is at the breakdown point again. It appears that the breakdown may appear at 2080 and it has bounced twice at 2082.00. This raises the probability of a trendline break before the close.
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Friday, October 30, 2015
One of America’s Largest Companies is Stockpiling Food and Gold for the Next Financial Crisis / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2015
By Justin Spittler
One of America’s largest companies is taking a controversial stance on employee benefits.
In a move that is sure to draw criticism from the mainstream press, Jonathan Johnson, chairman of online retail giant Overstock.com (OSTK), publicly stated that the company has stockpiled gold and food in preparation of a U.S. financial crisis.
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Friday, October 30, 2015
Stock Market Pivot Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The SPX Premarket is up 2 points as I write. It is no surprise to read that bullish fund flows are back. ZeroHedge writes, “The bullish fund flows are back. This is how Bank of America summarizes the latest EPFR capital flow sentiment: "Loving Wall Street: $15bn equity inflows + $5bn HY/IG inflows + 6 straight weeks of commodity inflows = investors are "risk-on."
Bank of America may be “talking” its book.” The information may be correct, but the conclusion may be flawed.
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Friday, October 30, 2015
Is Britain Preparing a Run for European Union Exit? / Stock-Markets / UK EU Referendum
Anthony Summers writes: To remain or not to remain? That is the question British voters have to answer.
A referendum was promised as part of the Conservative Party’s victory earlier this year. And the vote will decide whether England leaves the European Union (EU).
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Thursday, October 29, 2015
Financial Markets are a Game / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
Thursday, October 29, 2015
US Regulators Mandate Next Stage Of Textbook Financial Repression / Stock-Markets / Government Intervention
With comparatively little fanfare, Fidelity Investments has announced that 100% of their $115 billion Cash Reserves fund, the world's largest money fund, will be invested in US government debt by December 1st of 2015. It is expected that many other money fund companies will also change their policies and invest only in US government and agency securities, because of a change in regulations that will occur in 2016.
Since 2010 the US government has been implementing a textbook example of Financial Repression, when it comes to using private savings to control and even effectively pay down the size of the national debt. Far from slowing down or ending this process, these new policies will expand by many millions the number of people who will effectively be forced to fund the purchase of government debt at artificially low interest rates.
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Wednesday, October 28, 2015
“Ignore The Noise” & Focus On The Fact That Central Banks “Remain Extremely Accommodative / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
The primary focus this week is again on the “all powerful” Fed. If the Fed leans toward a rate hike in December, gold could come under pressure again in the short term. However, if it leans toward raising rates next year, then gold would be expected to eke out further gains.
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Wednesday, October 28, 2015
Stock Market Flat Until the Fed Announcement? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Good Morning!
The SPX Premarket is marginally higher this morning. It doesn’t Appear that much is going to happen until the 2 pm Fed Announcement. A year ago the market would have been tracking higher going into the Fed Announcement.
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Tuesday, October 27, 2015
Stocks Inflation Bull Run / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Equity markets continue to defy our call for no end-of-year rally as equity investors rush to invest idle cash and not miss out on the positive feedback loop of higher prices. SPX has broken the mid-Sept high at 2,020 leaving behind a series of higher highs and higher lows; the definition of an uptrend. Price is the ultimate arbiter but we cannot ignore other signals if we want to be successful in forecasting price.
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Tuesday, October 27, 2015
Doug Casey Answers Five of Today’s Biggest Investment Questions / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By Doug Casey
Editor’s Note: Casey Research founder Doug Casey answered dozens of investment questions during the recent Casey Research Summit. We transcribed five of Doug’s best answers, and we’re sharing them with you below. What you’re about to read is Doug speaking to a live audience. His responses are unrehearsed.
Tuesday, October 27, 2015
Stocks and Bonds Will Not Crash Soon / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Always do what you are afraid to do. -Ralph Waldo Emerson
We are listing excerpts from past market updates to illustrate how the mass mindset is always wrong. Even big shots like Bill Gross are not exempt from being sucked into this black hole, otherwise known as the mass mindset. Herd psychology clearly indicates that the only time a market is going to crash is when emotions have hit a boiling point. In other words, the crowd is foaming with joy. However, regarding bonds, there is one more factor that needs to be considered. The element of control and that element has a name; it is called the Fed.
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Tuesday, October 27, 2015
Stock Market Consolidation....S&P 500 2079 Gap Next Up....Then 2134.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
If ever there was a time for a brief newsletter, today is that day. There is literally nothing to add from Friday's report. Every market pauses from time to time no matter what direction it's moving in directionally. A pause to refresh. That's exactly what we saw today. The market made a strong move, and, thus, got overbought not only on the short-term charts, but on the daily charts as well. Daily charts hang in better at overbought, but those short-term charts do need occasional unwinding. We got a bit of that today, although nothing special as those ravenous-retail bulls are looking to buy all dips for the moment.
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Monday, October 26, 2015
Stock Market’s Technical Strength Grows / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The Continued Hollowing Out Of European Industry.
“The power of producing wealth is infinitely more important than wealth itself; it insures not only the possession and the increase of what has been gained, but also the replacement of what has been lost.” Freidrich List "The National System of Political Economy"
I always believed the above quote by Freidrich List and I could never understand the modern politician’s obsession with “free trade”.
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Monday, October 26, 2015
Fed Set to Spook the Markets Once Again! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The charts below show that the recent rally is just fodder for the beast. Prior to the last FED meeting on September 17, I warned of an impending sell-off due to the FED's statements. The S&P 500 fell from a high of 2020 to a low of 1871 in 8 trading days or about 7.3%! The BIG question this time is "how low?" not IF.
I have two downside targets: SPX 1913/15 and SPX 1828/30. Astro-wise, early this week, we have the "George Bayer Rule" of Mercury crossing the same path the sun did during a prior eclipse. The last time we saw this, the SPX fell 236 point in 4 trading days (late August 2015). We also have Mars joining in this time with Mercury.
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Monday, October 26, 2015
US Stocks Snorting Bull Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
I have some free time tonight and the better part of the day tomorrow to post a few charts before I have to catch my flight home on Tuesday. I just want to thank you again for you patience.
Lets take a quick look at the daily INDU chart I posted on Wednesday that now shows the breakout of the rounding top trendline. So far so good.
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Sunday, October 25, 2015
First Tier Resistance Breached Key Level Exceeded / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market?
Intermediate trend - SPX is in the midst of an intermediate correction (at least).
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses longer market trends.
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Saturday, October 24, 2015
Stock Market Primary V Nears New Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The market started the week at SPX 2033. After some choppy activity on Monday the market rose to SPX 2039 by Tuesday. Wednesday the market pulled back to SPX 2017. Then after two gap up openings the market hit SPX 2080 on Friday. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 2.3%, the NDX/NAZ gained 3.6%, and the DJ World index gained 1.2%. Economics reports for the week again came in mixed. On the uptick: housing starts, the NAHB, the FHFA and existing home sales. On the downtick: building permits, leading indicators, the WLEI, plus weekly jobless claims rose. Next week’s reports is highlighted by the FOMC meeting, Q3 GDP and the PCE.
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Saturday, October 24, 2015
Stock Market Big Follow Through day.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The market had a big follow-through day today after yesterday's nice up-day. There are two factors that made this happen. First of all, we had great earnings after hours yesterday from Microsoft Corporation (MSFT), AT&T, Inc. (T), Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN) and Google Inc. (GOOG). The futures exploded on those reports. Then last night we had the Euro-Zone money-man, Mr. Draghi, promise more easy money or another round of QE for everyone. The party hats were taken out.
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Saturday, October 24, 2015
Stock Market SPX Double Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
SPX made a higher high at 2:50 pm at 2079.74,, just two points higher than this morning’s high. The only discernible entry (aggressive) likely today would be a cross of the Cycle Top at 2068.92.
Unfortunately, this means that a very fast and severe decline may be likely once SPX crosses 2040.00, triggering its Orthodox Broadening Top for a potential target near 1600.00. Today appears to be point 7 in the formation and point 8 is the crash low. Should you chance it today or not, is up to you.
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