Stock Market Three Peaks and a Domed House
Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015 Nov 03, 2015 - 04:39 PM GMTPoint 27
A six-month cycle pointed to an important low in Sept/Oct this year. A low then matches seasonal expectations for equities. If that low was point 26 on Lindsay’s template, then the rally into point 27 will be short as the right shoulder after the cupola (point 27) usually occurs at about five months or less after the cupola (point 23). From 1901 through 2011 there have been only three instances of a longer time frame between points 23 and 27.
As October is 5 months from the May high we would seem to be at the critical point (27) in the pattern. Of course, for the market to turn down during the 4Q it is fighting normal seasonality. But, as shown in past reports, seasonality in pre-election years differs from “normal” as it does between points J and M of Lindsay’s Long Cycle.
Once point 27 is passed, prices normally suffer the greater part of the remaining loss rapidly.
Try a trial subscription at Seattle Technical Advisors.
Ed Carlson, author of George Lindsay and the Art of Technical Analysis, and his new book, George Lindsay's An Aid to Timing is an independent trader, consultant, and Chartered Market Technician (CMT) based in Seattle. Carlson manages the website Seattle Technical Advisors.com, where he publishes daily and weekly commentary. He spent twenty years as a stockbroker and holds an M.B.A. from Wichita State University.
© 2015 Copyright Ed Carlson - All Rights Reserved
Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.
© 2005-2022 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.