Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, February 11, 2016
Stock Market Sells Yellen's 'Deer in Headlights' Congressional Testimony / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Saxo Bank CIO and chief economist Steen Jakobsen phrased Fed Chair Janet Yellen's testimony before Congress this way: "The politicians were rude and pretty much clueless ... and Yellen often looked like a deer in headlights. Her performance today is probably the worst I have ever seen from seasoned central banker!"
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Thursday, February 11, 2016
Stock Market Positive Divergences...Market Wants Higher....Banks Atrocious....Fed Scary.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The market is begging to move higher based on how far it has fallen in such a short period of time. Quite the intense move lower, but what makes it look so technically bullish short-term is the very powerful positive divergences that exist in many areas of the market. While the S&P 500 and Dow didn't make new lows you can see by the MACD's, if they had, they would have created massive, positive divergences. The Nasdaq has been lagging badly and did make a new low. That new low has the potential for a positive divergence to kick in. The divergence is nowhere near as powerful as those of the S&P 500 and Dow, but a divergence is a divergence, and the Nasdaq has one, smaller in size though it may be.
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Thursday, February 11, 2016
With A Gloomy Start To 2016, A Bust Seems Just Around The Corner / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016
Taki Tsaklanos submits: Markets have corrected substantially since the beginning of the year as most of the gains of the past two years have been erased. According to Bloomberg, 40 out of the largest 63 markets have dropped over 20%! The image below shows the performance of markets word-wide since their last peaks. Most markets are in a bear market phase or at best are experiencing a market correction. The world is red!
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Thursday, February 11, 2016
Felix Zulauf talks Financial Repression and Warns of What is Ahead / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016
FRA Co-founder Gordon T. Long recently interviews Felix Zulauf, Founder and President at Zulauf Asset Management AG.
Felix Zulauf has worked in the financial markets and asset management for almost 40 years. He started his investment career as a trader for a large Swiss Bank and received training in research and portfolio management thereafter with several leading investment banks in New York, Zurich and in Paris. Felix joined Union Bank of Switzerland (UBS), Zurich, in 1977 and held several positions over the years including managing global mutual funds, heading the institutional portfolio management unit and at the same time acting as the global strategist for the UBS Group. After two years with a medium-sized Financial Organization as a member of the executive board, he founded his wholly owned Zulauf Asset Management AG in 1990, allowing him to independently practice his own individual investment philosophy.
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Wednesday, February 10, 2016
World Markets Are in Sync / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
Good Morning!
In order to understand what is happening to SPX, we must also look at the other major indices to gain a perspective.
Yesterday the Nikkei declined to, but below a major support, otherwise known as a head & Shoulders neckline. This morning I can say that the Nikkei Index broke that support and is poised for the follow-through.
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Wednesday, February 10, 2016
Mutual Funds, ETFs at Risk of a Run Warns David Stockman / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016
In one of his starkest warnings yet, Former White House Budget Director (Office of Management and Budget, OMB), David Stockman has warned that banks and the global financial system remain vulnerable and there is likely to be another global financial crisis which will be worse than the first involving “a run on mutual funds and ETFs.”
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Wednesday, February 10, 2016
Comparison of Current US Stock Market Performance to that in 2008 and 2000 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Rajveer Samuel Rawlin writes: A look back at stock market performance in two major bear market years of 2000 & 2008 reveals some interesting findings:
First lets look at the S & P 500 Chart in 2000:
Wednesday, February 10, 2016
Stock Market Wave Structure and Time / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The 10-minute chart again offers us the best clues as to the structure of the market moves.
Linking this together with the Cycles Model which expects a Primary Cycle Pivot tomorrow, it suggests a powerful reversal down in a third wave. Originally I had interpreted Wednesday’s Pivot as a Cycle Bottom. However, today’s late afternoon high altered that perception.
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Wednesday, February 10, 2016
Stock Market Panic Decline is Still on the Agenda / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
SPX has managed to remain flat all day. The final hour is when the institutional investors weigh back in. Do you think it may have been ramped for their benefit?
The panic decline is still on the agenda.
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Tuesday, February 09, 2016
WMD - Weapons of Mass Destruction / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016
“WMD” also is “Wasteful Monetary Devastation.”
WASTEFUL: We all know that governments spend money in wasteful ways and compensate with higher taxes, deficits, huge debt, “printed currencies” and inflation. “Bridges to nowhere,” various wars, and “giveaways” benefit a few at the expense of many.
MONETARY: Printing and digitally creating many trillions of dollars, euros, yen, or pounds may temporarily bail out banks and governments but in the big picture they destroy capital and weaken the economies of the nations which are deluding themselves.
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Tuesday, February 09, 2016
FEAR TRADE: Metals Up, Stocks and Jobs Down / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
Clint Siegner writes: Precious metals have risen sharply in recent days as investors looked for alternatives to the stock market and U.S. dollar. Both gold and silver pushed through important technical resistance levels. Metals bulls hope to see markets enter a virtuous cycle; improving charts followed by more speculative long interest leading to improved charts.
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Tuesday, February 09, 2016
It's Stock Market Panic Time! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The Nikkei 225 Index is in the news this morning. It declines to 16085.44 in their overnight session. That’s right. It is down 918.86 points. This puts it just above its Head & Shoulders neckline. There’s a lot more to come should the neckline be broken.
The futures are down 1129.50, or 15871.50. ZeroHedge reports, “With China offline for the rest of the week, global markets have found a new Asian bogeyman in the face of Japan which as reported last night saw its markets crash, and the Yen soar, showing that less than 2 weeks after the BOJ unveiled NIRP, yet another central bank has lost control.”
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Tuesday, February 09, 2016
Banks Not Happy....Leaders Not Leading....Rates Falling...Late Day Hammer... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
When you take the time to study what's taking place at any given moment in time in this crazy game we call the stock market, you need to look no further than the behavior in the financial banks. They will happily tell you what's taking place if you allow yourself to listen. To understand the banks you need to look at the CBOE Interest Rate 10-Year T Note ($TNX). Rates are on a straight decline lower. The treasury yield is ignoring the latest rate hike by the Fed, which tells us the picture it's painting is one of deflation.
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Tuesday, February 09, 2016
Stock Market SPX Setting Up for its Largest Decline Yet / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The retracement to 1860.69 tells us that the decline of sub-Minute Wave (i) is over. There may be a final probe above that level as the market attempts to close at the high.
Regardless of a higher or lower close, SPX is being set up for a massive Wave (iii) of [iii] of 3 likely to start tomorrow. Prepare for an even larger gap down than we experienced this morning.
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Tuesday, February 09, 2016
Financial Crisis 2007 All Over Again - Banks Starting To Implode / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016
So far, each financial crisis in the series that began with the junk bond bubble of 1989 has been noticeably different from its predecessors. New instruments, new malefactors, new monetary policy experiments in response.
But the one that's now emerging feels strikingly similar to what just happened a few years ago: Banks overexposed to assets they thought were safe but turn out to be highly risky see their balance sheets deteriorate, their liquidity dry up and their stocks plunge.
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Tuesday, February 09, 2016
Preparing for Crisis - It's About Risk Mitigation and Capital Preservation / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016
John Charalambakis is the Managing Director of Group, a boutique style asset and wealth management firm, which focuses on risk mitigation, capital preservation and growth through strategies that are rule based. Dr. Charalambakis has been teaching economics and finance in the US for the last twenty years. Currently he teaches economics at the Patterson School of Diplomacy & International Commerce at the University of Kentucky.
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Monday, February 08, 2016
Gold vs Stocks Macro Changes / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
A picture is worth 4-plus years and thousands of words, and the picture below has a lot to say. I'll say some words as well, since I have kept them bottled up for years in an effort to make sure we operate with discipline as opposed to gold bug style emotion.
The bear market and subsequent inflation-fueled credit bubble early last decade was when I first started paying close attention to macro markets (as opposed to stock trading, which I had done for a few years prior) and how they operate. Having seen well paid professionals lose half of my IRA in 2002, I took over all of our finances and never looked back. But I needed to understand how markets worked and that has been a challenging and rewarding endeavor, not to mention an ongoing learning experience.
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Monday, February 08, 2016
FTSE 100 Following Macro Trends in Peripheral Markets / Stock-Markets / UK Stock Market
Stock market bulls have seen some discouraging activity in the equities space over the last few months, and many traders are looking for an indication that declines in the major stock benchmarks have reached an exhaustion point. Those that have been caught long at the highs are likely showing even more concern, as positions based on the multi-year positive momentum have likely given back most of their gains.
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Monday, February 08, 2016
NDX, Banks and EuroStoxx All Tumble / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
NDX gapped down 76.48 points, putting it well beneath its Head & Shoulders neckline and its prior low.
ZeroHedge comments, “Just over two weeks ago, JPM's Marko Kolanovic, whose unprecedented ability to predict short-term market moves is starting to seem a little bizarre, warned that the next "significant risk for the S&P500" was the bursting of the "macro momentum bubble." Specifically, he said that there is an emerging negative feedback loop that is "becoming a significant risk for the S&P 500" adding that "as some assets are near the top and others near the bottom of their historical ranges, we are obviously not experiencing an asset bubble of all risky assets, but rather a bubble in relative performance: we call it a Macro-Momentum bubble."
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Monday, February 08, 2016
Stock Market Panic Decline Begins... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Good Morning!
SPX has plunged below 1860.00 this morning, challenging the Broadening trendline. Due to its position, the Broadening Flag appears to be a consolidation that allows the index to continue its former trend. I am not yet labeling the decline because the declining pattern may take several paths. Thus far, the pattern suggests that it may not stay at the trendline very long. Its next target appears to be at or below the Head & Shoulders neckline.
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