Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Friday, February 12, 2016
The Stock Market Dow Elevator; 18, 17, 16.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Doug_Wakefield
"Whatever the stock index, whatever the country, whatever the security, prices only rarely follow the predicted normal pattern. My student, Eugene Fama, investigated this for his doctoral thesis. Rather than examine the broad market index, he looked one by one at the thirty blue-chip stocks in the Dow. He found the same disturbing pattern; big price changes were far more common than the standard model allowed. Large changes, of more than five standard deviations from the average, happened two thousand times more often than expected. Under Gaussian rules, you should have encountered such drama only once every seven thousand years; in fact, the data showed, it happened once every three or four years." [The (Mis) Behavior of Markets (2004) World Renown mathematician Dr. Benoit Mandelbrot, pg 96]
Friday, February 12, 2016
Where to Hide Your Money From Reckless Governments / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016
By: Casey_Research
By Justin Spittler
A major central bank just made a desperate move…
If you’ve been reading the Dispatch, you know we’re living through a gigantic “global monetary experiment.”
In short, global central banks cut interest rates to zero to fight the 2008 financial crisis. They’ve held interest rates near zero ever since.
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Thursday, February 11, 2016
More Bankruptcy For Your Retirement Portfolio / Stock-Markets / Pensions & Retirement
By: Rodney_Johnson
There’s an old saying that if you owe the bank $1 million, you have a problem. But if you owe the bank $100 million, then the bank has a problem.
That’s the situation we’re in today.
States around the country have racked up outrageous unpaid balances for their pensions. Few of them have any plan for digging out of the hole. Since they have no plan, they’re creating issues for everyone who might be called upon to help them make good on their obligations.
Thursday, February 11, 2016
Stock Market Progress on the Downside... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX bounced from a lower low and retraced to challenge its Cycle Bottom at 1931.58. The bounce may be over. The next target is the Head & Shoulders neckline near 1798.00 to complete Wave [i] of C. This may be accomplished later today, with a Wave [ii] bounce at the close. I expect Wave [ii] to challenge the hourly Cycle Bottom again before the next big decline. Notice the opening gap wasn’t closed, denoting weakness and distribution.
Thursday, February 11, 2016
Janet Yellen, the Japanese Yen and the Dead Cat Bounce / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Mario_Innecco
Transcript excerpt: Thursday February 11 2016 it's nine o'clock London time so 4 a.m. New Yorktime with eastern standard time very interesting developments this morning in
the financial markets mostly I think in response a bit in response to chairwoman
Janet Yellen testimony to the U S Congress to the house and the markets
prior to that testimony yesterday I think it was around the morning New York
time the market prior to that works stronger dollar was up almost 200 points
you know people expect and Janet Yellen 2012 the market and admit that the
economy was weakening and that imply that they would start raising rates but
she didn't do any of that she basically said that yeah we still we are watching
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Thursday, February 11, 2016
Stock Market Gap Down... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The SPX Premarket is down below the Wave A low at 1828.45. The Elliott Wave pattern has morphed into another A-B-C, due to overlap in the Wave structure. What we are looking at is a hybrid Wave pattern that I have not seen before…but it is consistent and repeating. There is not enough time to complete an impulse down to the bottom of Wave (3). However, there is enough time for a Wave C. It appears that a gap down open is in the cards.
Thursday, February 11, 2016
Australian Stocks Bear Market Just Beginning / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: AnyOption
The selloff in global equity benchmarks has been swift and punishing for long only investors as asset reallocation comes after the hangover of accommodative monetary policy. Australia in particular has not been immune from these developments, between dealing with a downturn in trade across the Asia-Pacific region and softer commodity prices. Aside from external factors, domestically, uneven growth and slowing inflation have seen the Reserve Bank of Australia ease policy multiple times in an effort to make conditions more attractive and insulate the region. However, as evidenced by the reaction in the Australian ASX 200 over the last week, global conditions and sentiment remain a key driver of momentum. With circumstances only set to worsen, the bearish outlook facing the Australian ASX will likely prevail over the medium-term.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, February 11, 2016
Stock Market Sells Yellen's 'Deer in Headlights' Congressional Testimony / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Mike_Shedlock
Saxo Bank CIO and chief economist Steen Jakobsen phrased Fed Chair Janet Yellen's testimony before Congress this way: "The politicians were rude and pretty much clueless ... and Yellen often looked like a deer in headlights. Her performance today is probably the worst I have ever seen from seasoned central banker!"
Thursday, February 11, 2016
Stock Market Positive Divergences...Market Wants Higher....Banks Atrocious....Fed Scary.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
The market is begging to move higher based on how far it has fallen in such a short period of time. Quite the intense move lower, but what makes it look so technically bullish short-term is the very powerful positive divergences that exist in many areas of the market. While the S&P 500 and Dow didn't make new lows you can see by the MACD's, if they had, they would have created massive, positive divergences. The Nasdaq has been lagging badly and did make a new low. That new low has the potential for a positive divergence to kick in. The divergence is nowhere near as powerful as those of the S&P 500 and Dow, but a divergence is a divergence, and the Nasdaq has one, smaller in size though it may be.
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Thursday, February 11, 2016
With A Gloomy Start To 2016, A Bust Seems Just Around The Corner / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016
By: Submissions
Taki Tsaklanos submits: Markets have corrected substantially since the beginning of the year as most of the gains of the past two years have been erased. According to Bloomberg, 40 out of the largest 63 markets have dropped over 20%! The image below shows the performance of markets word-wide since their last peaks. Most markets are in a bear market phase or at best are experiencing a market correction. The world is red!
Thursday, February 11, 2016
Felix Zulauf talks Financial Repression and Warns of What is Ahead / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016
By: Gordon_T_Long
FRA Co-founder Gordon T. Long recently interviews Felix Zulauf, Founder and President at Zulauf Asset Management AG.
Felix Zulauf has worked in the financial markets and asset management for almost 40 years. He started his investment career as a trader for a large Swiss Bank and received training in research and portfolio management thereafter with several leading investment banks in New York, Zurich and in Paris. Felix joined Union Bank of Switzerland (UBS), Zurich, in 1977 and held several positions over the years including managing global mutual funds, heading the institutional portfolio management unit and at the same time acting as the global strategist for the UBS Group. After two years with a medium-sized Financial Organization as a member of the executive board, he founded his wholly owned Zulauf Asset Management AG in 1990, allowing him to independently practice his own individual investment philosophy.
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Wednesday, February 10, 2016
World Markets Are in Sync / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
In order to understand what is happening to SPX, we must also look at the other major indices to gain a perspective.
Yesterday the Nikkei declined to, but below a major support, otherwise known as a head & Shoulders neckline. This morning I can say that the Nikkei Index broke that support and is poised for the follow-through.
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Wednesday, February 10, 2016
Mutual Funds, ETFs at Risk of a Run Warns David Stockman / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016
By: GoldCore
In one of his starkest warnings yet, Former White House Budget Director (Office of Management and Budget, OMB), David Stockman has warned that banks and the global financial system remain vulnerable and there is likely to be another global financial crisis which will be worse than the first involving “a run on mutual funds and ETFs.”
Wednesday, February 10, 2016
Comparison of Current US Stock Market Performance to that in 2008 and 2000 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Submissions
Rajveer Samuel Rawlin writes: A look back at stock market performance in two major bear market years of 2000 & 2008 reveals some interesting findings:
First lets look at the S & P 500 Chart in 2000:
Wednesday, February 10, 2016
Stock Market Wave Structure and Time / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The 10-minute chart again offers us the best clues as to the structure of the market moves.
Linking this together with the Cycles Model which expects a Primary Cycle Pivot tomorrow, it suggests a powerful reversal down in a third wave. Originally I had interpreted Wednesday’s Pivot as a Cycle Bottom. However, today’s late afternoon high altered that perception.
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Wednesday, February 10, 2016
Stock Market Panic Decline is Still on the Agenda / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX has managed to remain flat all day. The final hour is when the institutional investors weigh back in. Do you think it may have been ramped for their benefit?
The panic decline is still on the agenda.
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Tuesday, February 09, 2016
WMD - Weapons of Mass Destruction / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016
By: DeviantInvestor
“WMD” also is “Wasteful Monetary Devastation.”
WASTEFUL: We all know that governments spend money in wasteful ways and compensate with higher taxes, deficits, huge debt, “printed currencies” and inflation. “Bridges to nowhere,” various wars, and “giveaways” benefit a few at the expense of many.
MONETARY: Printing and digitally creating many trillions of dollars, euros, yen, or pounds may temporarily bail out banks and governments but in the big picture they destroy capital and weaken the economies of the nations which are deluding themselves.
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Tuesday, February 09, 2016
FEAR TRADE: Metals Up, Stocks and Jobs Down / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: MoneyMetals
Clint Siegner writes: Precious metals have risen sharply in recent days as investors looked for alternatives to the stock market and U.S. dollar. Both gold and silver pushed through important technical resistance levels. Metals bulls hope to see markets enter a virtuous cycle; improving charts followed by more speculative long interest leading to improved charts.
Tuesday, February 09, 2016
It's Stock Market Panic Time! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The Nikkei 225 Index is in the news this morning. It declines to 16085.44 in their overnight session. That’s right. It is down 918.86 points. This puts it just above its Head & Shoulders neckline. There’s a lot more to come should the neckline be broken.
The futures are down 1129.50, or 15871.50. ZeroHedge reports, “With China offline for the rest of the week, global markets have found a new Asian bogeyman in the face of Japan which as reported last night saw its markets crash, and the Yen soar, showing that less than 2 weeks after the BOJ unveiled NIRP, yet another central bank has lost control.”
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Tuesday, February 09, 2016
Banks Not Happy....Leaders Not Leading....Rates Falling...Late Day Hammer... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
When you take the time to study what's taking place at any given moment in time in this crazy game we call the stock market, you need to look no further than the behavior in the financial banks. They will happily tell you what's taking place if you allow yourself to listen. To understand the banks you need to look at the CBOE Interest Rate 10-Year T Note ($TNX). Rates are on a straight decline lower. The treasury yield is ignoring the latest rate hike by the Fed, which tells us the picture it's painting is one of deflation.
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