Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, March 04, 2016
Stock Market Pop-n-drop is Probable...or Maybe just a Drop / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Good Morning!
As mentioned last night, the algos took the SPX futures to 2002.50 before rolling over. This appears to be the final probe of the rally. Although the Premarket may currently show a positive number, chances are that the market may open in the red.
The only reason that I can give for this final surge is that the 61.8% retracement level is 1999.44.
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Friday, March 04, 2016
Stock Market Technicals Stay Strong Despite Early Morning Dip / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The stock market indices had a really good session, even though they were down in the morning, and looked like they could be breaking, especially the Nasdaq 100. Both the advance-decline and up/down volume were very strong, even during the down part of the session. It led me to believe we would get a rally, and we did, taking the S&P 500 to new highs, but the Nasdaq 100 closed down on the day.
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Thursday, March 03, 2016
SPX Breaks its First Support / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
SPX just broke its 2-hour Cycle Top at 1980.09, suggesting an end to this swing rally. It is now in a retracement back above that support. When it is broken a second time this may be a good aggressive short entry for any dry powder at hand. Confirmation may not come until SPX declines beneath its 50-day Moving Average at 1937.03. However, the decline has the potential to be massive, so take your best shot.
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Thursday, March 03, 2016
Stocks Follow Crude Oil Price Higher Towards New All Time Highs 2016 - Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The Dow's latest surge higher has put the stocks index within 3% of setting a new high for 2016, so it's not looking like it's going well for the bears who at least into early February were proclaiming that the Great Bear Market Apocalypse was upon us. Instead for the past couple of weeks or so have been increasingly going silent, into hibernation. Though I have to give it to the perma bears, those who have been wrong for the longest are still out there pumping out bear market and crash rhetoric of 30%, 40% even more than a 50% drops!
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Thursday, March 03, 2016
Stock Market Refusing To Fall....Sentiment Peeking Above Zero For Spread.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The market got a plethora of happy news yesterday, which began with China's central bank deciding it was time for yet another stimulus program. In addition, we heard Mr. Draghi of the Euro zone promise more help on the stimulus front, and lastly we had a better than expected, although still contracting, ISM Manufacturing Report. A triple play of good market news.
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Thursday, March 03, 2016
Waning Enthusiasm for Share Buybacks Signals Major Stock Market Reversal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
"State of the Global Markets Report -- 2016 Edition" (excerpt)
Editor's note: The following article was adapted from the just-published State of the Global Markets Report--2016 Edition, one of our most anticipated annual reports for technically minded investors and analysts around the world. We are making the first 10,000 copies of this $99 report available 100% free. Click here to get your free copy now >>
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Thursday, March 03, 2016
SPX Rally Curbed by the Trendline / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Each successive high has been stopped multiple times at the Broadening Flag trendline. Wave (c) of [y] consists of 17 waves, which is a very extended impulsive wave.
Tomorrow is day 43 from the January 20 low, a Primary Cycle Pivot day. It appears that we may have our Primary Cycle top after all, but measured from a prior low instead of the February 11 low.
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Thursday, March 03, 2016
Sprott Global: Minimally Consider 20% in Real Assets Including Farmland and Diamonds / Stock-Markets / Investing 2016
Gordon T Long interviews Jason Stevens of Sprott Global Resources Investment. Stevens has an education background in the natural resources and precious metals field for the past 12 years, and has worked alongside mining engineers, geologists and the industrial industry executives to support his research and work with Sprott Global.
Sprott Global is widely known for providing alternative investments in the precious metals field of economy for investors. Recently, they have created two qualitatively weighted indexes, ETFs, as opposed to market capital ratings that give larger companies a higher rating without any supporting evidence.
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Wednesday, March 02, 2016
Stock Market Teetering on the Edge of a Precipice - Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Transcript Excerpt: Its march 2nd 2016 Wednesday it's 11 o'clock here in london where 6 a.m.
Eastern Standard Time in New York or the USS yeah I'd like to talk today about
the stock markets and in my view looking at the technicals quiet worrying in my
opinion I've got done a little bit of analysis on the monthly chart of the Dow
Jones industrial average and to me I don't want to sound alarmist and I know
most people prefer things to work out you know more moderately but in looking
at the picture that you will see soon it looks quite scary you know what could
happen in the next few months six months even less than six months in my opinion
so here we go again so I've gone back as you can see on the chart coming up here
Wednesday, March 02, 2016
The Stock Markets Are Misreading the Economic Data / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The US markets are in a quandary.
On the one hand, some of the data (GDP growth, unemployment, etc.) suggests the Fed should continue to hike rates. On the other hand, other data points (food stamp usage, labor participation rate) suggest the US never actually entered a real recovery.
More importantly, how can the jobs data suggest such a strong employment situation… when one in seven Americans are on food stamps?
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Wednesday, March 02, 2016
That Makes TWO Central Bankers Ringing Bells At Market Top / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
In the last month, we’ve had two major confessions from Central Bankers.
We’ve already detailed the first, which came from the Head of the Bank of Japan, Haruhiko Kuroda.
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Wednesday, March 02, 2016
Stock Market Primary Cycle ...in hours! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
SPX closed precisely at the trendline of its Broadening (bearish) Flag formation. The rally from February 11 to the top took almost exactly 86 hours. This was no coincidence.
This would be considered a Primary Cycle in hours. Primary Cycles are often described in superlatives. Unfortunately, my Cycles Model works in days and I have to do the additional calculation for the hours.
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Wednesday, March 02, 2016
Stock Markets Dow, FTSE Tracking Crude Oil Rally Towards New All Time Highs 2016! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The Dow's latest 350 point surge higher to 16,836 has put the stocks index within 4% of setting a new high for the year, so it's not looking like it's going well for the stocks bears who at least into early February were proclaiming that the Great Bear Market Apocalypse was upon us. Instead for the past couple of weeks or so have been increasingly going into hibernation. Though I have to give it to the perma bears, those who have been wrong for the longest are still out there pumping out bear market and crash rhetoric of 30%, 40% even more than a 50% drops!
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Wednesday, March 02, 2016
Spectacular Day on Wall Street / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The stock market definitely had a turn-round Tuesday as the indices exploded from the get-go. They ran very sharply higher until midday when they consolidated, and then stair-stepped their way higher at a shallower angle, but still continued strong until the close when they spiked right into the close to finish at the highs for the day going away.
Net on the day, the Dow was up 348.58 at 16,865.08. The S&P 500 was up 46.12 to 1978.35. The Nasdaq 100 was up 132.50 to 4333.61, up 132% and more than 3% for the day.
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Wednesday, March 02, 2016
Stock Market In Like a Lion, Out Like a Lamb / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
"In like a lion, out like a lamb" is a proverb describing the month of March. The month of March usually starts with cold, unpleasant weather, but ends mild and pleasant. Seasonality in equity markets during the eighth year of a Presidential term had led me to expect quite the opposite but it now appears equity markets may more closely resemble weather expectations. My Hybrid Lindsay forecast for a high on February 29 (or very close to it) is outlined below.
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Tuesday, March 01, 2016
SPX Makes a Broadening Flag / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
It appears that SPX is completing a Broadening Flag formation at 1970.19. Its average target appears to be 1504.10. These are different from a Broadening Top, since they are reversal formations, while a Broadening Flag is a consolidation formation indicating a resumption of the previous move and may be more potent in terms of its ultimate target.
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Tuesday, March 01, 2016
Stock Market, Gold Topping Update / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The charts below were sent out to my subs last night. The SPX is in a bearish rising wedge formation and it looks like a top on March 2 near 1980 is in the offing. Gold and GDX are breaking down. The GDX charts below are just a possibility, but often times tops like this take longer than that projected in the charts below. March 14th is the new projected low for the stock market. A minimum of around 1840 SPX looks likely by that date. A rally into or around March 24 at this point looks likely for the stock market.
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Tuesday, March 01, 2016
Is the Most Hated Stocks Bull Market in History Over? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
"An ounce of patience is worth a pound of brains." ~ Dutch Proverb
Throughout this bull-run, a plethora of reasons has been laid out to indicate why this bull should have ended years ago. Mind you most of those reasons are valid, but that is where the bucket stops. Being right does not equate to making money on Wall Street. In fact, the opposite usually applies. The Fed recreated all the rules by flooding the markets with money and creating and maintaining an environment that fosters speculation.
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Tuesday, March 01, 2016
DOW Stocks Index Set For Bullish 2016 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Ahh, the Ides of March. This is a time when stock market participants get the heebie-jeebies and it is my expectation that the first part of the month will play into this superstitious claptrap. However, once an expected higher low is in place, then a big move to the upside will be witnessed that sees March end impressively in the green.
The January analysis outlined the expectation of a move down to put in a higher low. Bingo. The February analysis outlined the expectation of another downside test that puts in another higher low. Bingo again. In this March analysis, I'm gunning for the jackpot prize in calling for one final downside test to put in yet another higher low before price launches higher big time.
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Tuesday, March 01, 2016
Disturbing Global Shift Toward Financial Conservatism - Global Markets 2016 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
An excerpt from our new State of the Global Markets Report -- 2016 Edition
Editor's note: The following article was adapted from the just-published State of the Global Markets Report--2016 Edition, one of our most anticipated annual reports for technically minded investors and analysts around the world. We are making the first 10,000 copies of this $99 report available 100% free. Click here to get your free copy now >>
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