Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Wednesday, February 17, 2016
Perverse Sort of Stock Market Wave Pattern / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
This has been a difficult retracement to follow. Here is the detail of what has happened.
The first Wave down from 1947.20 is clearly a Wave (a), since does not have a five wave structure. What fooled me was that I had assumed that Wave [b] was really a larger degree Wave B, which meant that Wave C of (3) would begin at 1881.60. Instead, it was the final wave [c] of A.
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Wednesday, February 17, 2016
FTSE Bounce to Prove Brief / Stock-Markets / UK Stock Market
By: AnyOption
The bounce in capital markets across the globe amid speculation of expanded stimulus from the European Central Bank and looser lending conditions in China may have sent risk assets and equities higher, but the positive sentiment is unlikely to last. Worsening fundamental conditions in the United Kingdom combined with a weak external environment have contributed to the sizable decline in FTSE 100 equity index over the last several months, with the benchmark dipping into a bear market last month following a widespread market selloff. A number of lingering issues continue to plague the index, keeping the pressure on performance high as concerns about the drag from energy, softer industrial activity, and another bout of regional bank weakness are offset gains from a more competitive Pound.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, February 17, 2016
Very Solid Stock Market Session and Nice Start to the Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices started off the week with a bang. They ran hard all day, with a huge gap down early morning, bounced, consolidated late afternoon, and then came on again right at the close to finish at the highs for the day. It couldn't be a better day.
Net on the day, the Dow was up 222.57 at 16,196.41, at the tick high for the day. The S&P 500 was up 30.80 to 1895.58, within pennies of its high. The Nasdaq 100 was up 85.14 to 4104.33, also at the tick high for the day.
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Tuesday, February 16, 2016
The 2016 Financial Market Meltdown and The Golden Age / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The majority of the world’s stock indices topped out this month on Monday, February 1st, 2016 after a strong oversold technical bounce in price. Several indexes are now in the process of their first re-test of those multi-month lows which should act as support.
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My belief is that the FED will abandon its plan to raise short-term rates in March 2016, given the “economic global contraction” in economic data including the Baltic Dry Index and troubled banking systems in the European Union.
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Tuesday, February 16, 2016
SPX Rolling Over / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX went on a low volume ramp over the extended weekend, topping out near 1895.00, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at midnight. Since then it has eased down near Short-term resistance at 1884.20. Today is a double Pivot Day in the Cycles Model, suggesting a strong reversal may be happening.
Tuesday, February 16, 2016
Euro Bond Crisis Returns As Germany Pushes Euro Sovereign Debt Bail-in Clause / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis
By: GoldCore
European Banks holding European sovereign debt may have to take haircuts and be part of bail in plans should that same debt default, according to a plan being pursued by German government advisers. In another attempt to shelter German tax payers from the largess and excess of fellow European neighbouring countries’ national banks, the move could trigger a run on billions of euro of sovereign debt of said banks. In an article penned by the Telegraph’s Ambrose-Evans Pritchard, one of the council’s dissenting members describes the plan as the “fastest way to break up the Eurozone”.
Tuesday, February 16, 2016
Latest Declines Suggest Stock Market Buying Opportunities / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Richard_Cox
For most of this year, stock markets around the world have been under pressure as the majority of investors are starting to take profits and prepare for the inevitable tightening cycle that is now expected for global interest rates. Of course, increases in interest rates will take some time to actually filter through the market but an ounce of expectation is worth a pound of action in the financial markets -- and this is why stock prices are currently falling through important psychological support levels.
Tuesday, February 16, 2016
Stocks Dive as Confidence in Fed Fades / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Mike_Whitney
“Investors are losing confidence in central bank policies. (They) have done all they can do, and these policies may not improve economic growth or may not support financial markets.” — Anthony Valeri, investment strategist at LPL Financial
Zero rates and QE have stopped working and that has investors worried. Very worried.
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Tuesday, February 16, 2016
Central Banks Fool The Markets Again, But Only For A Little While / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: John_Rubino
Over the weekend, the following happened: China’s exports and imports fell by 11.2% and 18.8%, respectively, numbers which, for a trading power, are nothing short of apocalyptic. Japan’s Q4 GDP shrank at an annualized rate of 1.4% which, for a country that had spent the previous three years borrowing and printing record amounts of new currency, is an extraordinary admission of failure. And US allies Turkey and Saudi Arabia appeared to be invading Syria, putting them — and by implication the US — in direct confrontation with Russia.
Monday, February 15, 2016
Three Simple Steps to Beat a 'Rigged' Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: DW
Alexander Green writes:
Monday, February 15, 2016
Is Stock Market Phase Low in Place? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Severe correction underway.
SPX: Intermediate trend - Possible phase low. Needs confirmation.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Monday, February 15, 2016
Ron Paul on What the Stock Markets Are Telling Us / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Dr_Ron_Paul
Last week US stock markets tumbled yet again, leaving the Dow Jones index down almost 1500 points for the year. In fact, most major world markets are in negative territory this year. There are many Wall Street cheerleaders who are trying to say that this is just a technical correction, that the bottom is near, and that everything will be getting better soon. They are ignoring the real message the markets are trying to send: you cannot print your way to prosperity.
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Sunday, February 14, 2016
Financial Meltdown 2008-style in 2016? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016
By: Clif_Droke
As the global market crisis continues, the danger posed by this crisis to the U.S. economy continues to be underestimated by economists and central bankers. A report recently showed that U.S. job openings surged in December and the number of American voluntarily quitting work hit a nine-year high. According to the report, this data points to “labor market strength despite a slowdown in economic growth.”
Further commenting on the supposedly improving labor market, Reuters stated: “The signs of a robust jobs market could ease concerns about the health of the economy, which were underscored by other reports on Feb. 9 showing a drop in small business confidence in January to a two-year low and further declines in wholesale inventories.”
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Saturday, February 13, 2016
France CAC40 Stock Market Technical Outlook / Stock-Markets / European Stock Markets
By: Austin_Galt
The French stock index, the CAC40, has traded more or less as outlined in analysis produced back in May 2015. That analysis called the top in place and outlined expectations of a bear market to play out.
Price hit a low this past week at 3892 which was just over 26% down from the May 2015 high and I believe that may well represent the final low to the bear market.
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Saturday, February 13, 2016
Stock Market Rally Time Off Retest?.......Still Some Positive Divergences... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
If we study the market charts we can see quite clearly that we're seeing bear-market action. That said, you can't go straight down forever. The Nasdaq fell 18% in just six weeks. By any bear-market measurement this is too much too fast. Price isn't the problem. It's the speed of the move along with price. Such a short time frame to have that size of a loss without some type of exhaustion. One would think anyway. There are missing ingredients to a short-term bottom, such I have recently discussed. Nothing with regards to a high put-call ratio for several hours over 1.5. No trin at 3.0 or higher, and clearly no dramatic VIX spike.
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Saturday, February 13, 2016
Potential Stocks Bear Market Uptrend Underway / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Tony_Caldaro
Another wild week! The market started the week at SPX 1880. After a gap down opening on Monday the market dropped to SPX 1828, but reversed course in the afternoon. By Wednesday it turned slightly positive for the week when hitting SPX 1882. Thursday, however, started off with a gap down opening as the market hit a new downtrend low at SPX 1810. By late Thursday into Friday the market was rallying back up again, and ended the week at SPX 1865. For the week the SPX/DOW were -1.10%, the NDX/NAZ were -0.55%, and the DJ World index was -2.70%. Economic reports for the week were biased negatively again. On the uptick: retail sales, business inventories, GNP, plus the budget and weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: wholesale inventories, export/import prices, consumer sentiment, investor sentiment and the WLEI. Next week, after a Monday holiday, we get reports on Industrial production, FOMC minutes, the Housing market and it’s Options expiration.
Saturday, February 13, 2016
SPX Challenging its Orthodox Broadening Top Formation / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX at the hourly level is still challenging its Orthodox Broadening Top formation. Earlier I had reported that I was expecting two Primary Pivot days. The first was Wednesday where SPX made the Wave B high at 1881.60. The second was today, where it appears to be making a Wave [ii] high that may be complete at 1864.28.
Friday, February 12, 2016
Stock Market Observations / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
I am showing the larger charts because they display the big picture more clearly. It is now clear that Intermediate Waves (1) through (5) of Primary Wave [C] are A-B-C Waves and not impulsive in the strict sense. We would normally expect to see a clean 5-wave decline in Wave C. This is either a rare variation or an outright aberration. Which is it? I don’t know.
This has Elliott Wavers tied in knots, since an A-B-C move is normally corrective and in this case tells the Elliottician that the next move is a rally! In fact, most analysts would say that today’s decline is a Wave B-with- rally-to-follow. What no one else is watching is the natural resistance at the cycle Bottom at 1868.20 which has been stopping the retracement rallies all week long.
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Friday, February 12, 2016
Will Capital Controls Return? / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2016
By: Dan_Amerman
The average person may have no interest in capital controls, but to rephrase a well-known saying, capital controls are interested in you. The residents of Greece found this out in 2015 when capital controls were imposed, and they could not legally send the money in their bank accounts out of the country.
Like the rest of the world, they had been encouraged to move their data to the Cloud, and their software to subscriptions, each of which required small monthly payments. But if all our data is in the Cloud and we can't pay to access it as a matter of law, because the money would have to leave the country - what can we do next?
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Friday, February 12, 2016
Looking For The Next Financial Crisis; Try Student Debt / Stock-Markets / Student Finances
By: Sol_Palha
"Calamities are of two kinds: misfortune to ourselves, and good fortune to others." ~ Ambrose Bierce
Student debt is increasing at the rate of almost $3000.00 per second; this is stunning considering that education tour system does not even rank in the top 10 globally ; we are ranked 18 out of 20. Worse yet, it indicates that colleges are simply forcing young individuals to take on mind-boggling amounts of debt in the hopes of landing a good job when they graduate. Getting a student loan is about as easy it was to get a loan during the booming housing market cycle and look how that story ended.
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