Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, June 11, 2018
Why You Should Brace Yourself for Big Financial Changes / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
Extrapolating current trends into the future leave many people unprepared for major societal shifts
The one thing you can count on in financial markets, and society at large, is change.
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Monday, June 11, 2018
Inflation to Skyrocket When Fed Reverts to New QE & Interest Rate Cuts / Stock-Markets / Inflation
Welcome to this week’s Market Wrap Podcast, I’m Mike Gleason.
Coming up Michael Pento of Pento Portfolio Strategies joins me examine what’s happening beneath the surface in the markets right now, and why we should all be very leery of putting too much stock into what we’re hearing from the mainstream financial media these days regarding the economy. Don’t miss another sensational interview with Michael Pento, coming up after this week’s market update.
Gold prices see-sawed around the $1,300 level this week as silver prices advanced to 7-week highs. As of this Friday recording, gold trades at $1,298 an ounce, up 0.2% for the week. Silver prices come in at $16.75, good for a 1.8% weekly gain.
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Monday, June 11, 2018
Stock Market Topping Pattern or Just Consolidation? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
Stocks traded within a short-term consolidation on Friday, as investors took some profits off the table following the recent advance. The broad stock market accelerated its uptrend after breaking above three-week-long consolidation a week ago. Will it continue its uptrend or is this some topping pattern ahead of downward reversal? There are still two possible medium-term scenarios.
The U.S. stock market indexes gained 0.1-0.3% on Friday, as they fluctuated following the recent advance. The S&P 500 index remained close to its mid-March local high of around 2,800. It currently trades 3.9% below January's 26th record high of 2,872.87. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.3%, and the technology Nasdaq Composite gained 0.1%, as it was relatively weaker than the broad stock market on Friday.
Monday, June 11, 2018
G7 Chaos, Central Banks and US Fed Will Drive Stock Prices This Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
After last weeks closing bell for stocks and the early signs of the Capital Market Shift which we mentioned previously was taking place are now clearly evident. We wanted to alert all of our followers that this week could be very dramatic with a number of key events playing into global expectations.
Our research team at Technical Traders Ltd. have been combing through the charts trying to find hints of what may happen and what to expect in terms of price volatility next week. We know our ADL price modeling system is telling us that certain price weakness will continue in certain sectors and strength in others – but we are searching for the next opportunities for great trades.
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Monday, June 11, 2018
Is It 2016 Again For U.S. Equities, Emerging Markets And Gold? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
Bears seem to be roaming wherever you look, whether it be in the US equity market, the gold market, and especially in the emerging markets as of recently. Whether I read articles, or the comments to those articles, it seems there is a common expectation that “emerging market dominoes are falling” and it will “cause deleveraging and contagion” across portfolios worldwide.
It certainly sounds like a dire situation is developing in the world today. Does it not?
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Monday, June 11, 2018
SPX Unshackled / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.
Intermediate trend – The intermediate correction from 2873 has ended and a new intermediate uptrend has started with the bottoming of the 40-wk cycle on 5/29.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Sunday, June 10, 2018
Stock Market Could Pullback for 1-2 weeks, But Medium Term Bullish / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
As always, the economy’s fundamentals determine the stock market’s medium-long term outlook. Technicals determine the stock market’s short-medium term outlook. Here’s why the stock market could pullback for 1-2 weeks, but the medium term is bullish.
Let’s go from the long term, to the medium term, to the short term.
Long term is bullish
The Medium-Long Term Model states that there is no “significant correction” or bear market for U.S. equities on the horizon.
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Sunday, June 10, 2018
End of the World Stock Market Chart! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
I have only one chart to show you tonight which I call the “History Chart of the End of the World,” which I built out in 2013. I usually show this chart a couple of times a year just to keep the big picture in perspective. This long term monthly chart shows all the earth shattering events that felt like the end of the world when they occurred and I can personally attest to that fact because I was in the markets in each one of those events.
The crash into the 2009 low was the last time we had anything that really felt like it would be a life changing event similar to the 1929 crash. As you can see, that end of the world event in 2009, formed the fourth reversal point in that 10 year blue triangle consolidation pattern. The last slightly little thing to put a scare into investors was the BREXIT vote in early 2016 that turned out to be a non event. Most have already forgotten about it, but for several weeks it was big news.
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Saturday, June 09, 2018
5 "Tells" that the Stock Markets Are About to Reverse / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
Dear Reader,
Our friends at Elliott Wave International (elliottwave.com) just released a new, free report: "5 'Tells' that the Markets Are About to Reverse”. It reveals many false indicators – a.k.a. “head fakes” -- investors like you and me see every hour of every day.
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Friday, June 08, 2018
Fed’s Interest Rate Hike is Short term Bearish for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
The Fed is expected to hike interest rates next Wednesday.
Rate hikes in the current rate hike cycle have been a short term bearish factor for the stock market. The stock market has tended to go down or swing sideways during the next 2 weeks after a rate hike.
Here’s what happened to the S&P 500 after each rate hike in the current rate hike cycle.
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Thursday, June 07, 2018
Axel's Stock Market Outlook / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
Ask me what I am currently most enthusiastic about in the markets, and I’ll tell you it is the underpricing of rate hike expectations. Let me elaborate on why, what it means for investors’ portfolios and how to possibly profit from it.
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Thursday, June 07, 2018
Blue Chips Take the Lead, Enough to Push Stock Market Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
Investors' sentiment continued to improve on Wednesday, as the broad stock market accelerated its short-term uptrend following Monday's breakout above three-week-long consolidation. The S&P 500 index gets closer to march local high. Will the uptrend continue? There are still two possible medium-term scenarios, but bulls are much happier now.
The U.S. stock market indexes gained between 0.7% and 1.4% on Wednesday, extending their short-term uptrend, as investors' sentiment continued to improve and blue-chip stocks regained their strength. The S&P 500 index broke above 2,750 mark and it currently trades just 3.5% below January's 26th record high of 2,872.87. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 1.4%, as it was relatively stronger than the broad stock market yesterday, and the technology Nasdaq Composite gained 0.7%.
Thursday, June 07, 2018
Stock Market More Important for Gold than US Dollar / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
The fundamental drivers for Gold and the US Dollar are similar and that is why they typically trend together. Negative and/or falling real rates drive Gold and the same drives the greenback though with respect to differentials between the other competing currencies. When real rates are rising or strong in the US that is bearish for Gold and bullish for the US Dollar. The opposite is also true. And with the US Dollar being the global reserve currency, it naturally competes with Gold, which is an alternative. All being said, history as well as recent action suggests that weakness in the stock market is more crucial to Gold’s future than weakness in the US Dollar.
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Wednesday, June 06, 2018
SPX Extends But in a Limited Range / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
SPX futures are higher this morning as they progress toward their ultimate target at/near 2762.00. The Cycles Model has tomorrow tagged as the turn date, but we should see waning strength and possibly a turn in the indicators as early as today. The hourly Trading Bands are very tight, suggesting a reversal is coming in the SPX.
ZeroHedge reports, “Global stocks, US equity futures and Treasury yields extended gains while the dollar slumped as "risk-on" sentiment returned after the U.S. and China exchanged trade proposals meant to avoid an escalation of economic tensions, while European bonds declined and the euro strengthened following a Bloomberg report and hawkish comments from ECB speakers suggesting that the ECB's next, June 14 meeting will be "live" to debate the end of QE.”
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Wednesday, June 06, 2018
Russell 2000 Leading The Stock Market Charge Higher / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
While the US majors continue to push higher through recent price rotation levels, the IWM (Russell 2000 ETF) is showing investors where strength lies in the markets. Recently, we issued a research report showing that a massive dynamic shift is beginning to take place in the US market that provides an incredible opportunity for investors. Now, we have further proof that this shift is well underway and is likely much further along than we initially expected.
The Russell 2000 is one component of the US market that often reacts to market strength and weakness a bit differently than the S&P, DOW or NASDAQ index. The reason for this is that the Russell 2000 index makes up a broader scope of trading symbols that represent a greater chunk of the total market segment. The US majors don’t always follow the Russell 2000, but when the Russell 2000 index breaks recent all-time highs on a broad push higher – we need to pay attention.
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Wednesday, June 06, 2018
How Savvy Investors Do (and Don’t) Hedge against Inflation / Stock-Markets / Inflation
Inflation is a corrosive force that gradually – and sometimes rapidly – eats away at the nominal value of savings and investments.
It is perhaps the biggest threat looming on the horizon for millions of retirees who have been steered into assets marketed as “conservative” – such as dollar-denominated money market accounts, bonds, and annuities.
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Tuesday, June 05, 2018
Markets are Flat, Waiting for a Catalyst? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
Good Morning!
I am having difficulty with investing.com this morning. Not sure it is my computer or theirs.
SPX futures are flat. We are seeing the calm before the storm. Yesterday was a Primary Pivot which may account for the top being made. Another Primary Pivot occurs on Thursday. The second Pivot in a week may direct us to the catalyst for the decline to begin.
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Tuesday, June 05, 2018
Stock Market Predictive System Shows Nasdaq May Be Nearing A Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
Our proprietary predictive modeling systems are showing us a core market dynamic that many people are completely unaware of right now. We are going to show you something in this post that is so valuable that you won’t believe we are sharing it with you. Why are we doing this you might ask? Because we want you to think about how different your daily trading routine would be like as a member of Technical Traders Ltd. and how our specialized research and proprietary modeling systems can assist you in staying ahead of the markets.
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Monday, June 04, 2018
Catalyst for the Next Financial Crisis / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2018
The cause of the Great Recession circa 2008 was collapsing home prices that led to an insolvent banking system. However, the next economic crisis will result from the bursting of the worldwide bond bubble and its devastating effect on asset prices.
One of the dangers from spiking borrowing costs is the shutting out of distressed corporations from capital markets, which will inhibit their ability to roll over and service existing debt. This will lead to a massive increase in the number of insolvent corporations.
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Monday, June 04, 2018
NASDAQ Leading the S&P is a Bullish Sign / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
The NASDAQ and S&P are both up this year from January – May. However, the NASDAQ has massively outperformed the S&P by more than 6%.
Here are all the historical cases in which the NASDAQ outperformed the S&P by more than 6% from January-May (while both indexes are positive), and what happens next to the S&P for the rest of the year.
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