Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Friday, June 29, 2018
Stock Market Window Dressing Day / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX futures went as high as 2737.00 (~2732.00 cash) this morning before pulling back. There is still a probability of the retracement rally probing the mid-Cycle resistance at 2742.03, which is an approximate 50% retracement of the decline. Thus far this quarter has seen nearly a 3% gain in the SPX and today would be an important window dressing day.
Wave [i] of 1 would be considered a Leading Diagonal, while Waves [iii] and [v] appear to be impulsive. There is a cluster of Cycle Pivots starting today and going through the weekend. The first Cycle Pivot occurs around 1:00 pm today.
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Friday, June 29, 2018
Traders Buy Markets When They Cry, Sell When They Yell! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
We have been pouring over the charts to find out what to expect over the rest of 2018 and our advanced predictive modeling tools are showing us a few key elements that all traders need to be aware of. So, let’s get right to it.
First, the NASDAQ has likely neared or reached its peak near 7400 for the next few months. Don’t expect the NQ to move much beyond 7400 and don’t expect a lot of volatility in the NQ over the next few months. Our research shows the NQ should stall near 7400 and volatility should decrease through September (possibly).
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Friday, June 29, 2018
For Stocks, the Line in the Sand Has been Drawn / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: EWI
See illustrations of complete bull and bear market cycles
You may have heard pundits on financial television say something like, "I see support for the Dow at this price level," or "This stock should experience some resistance at that price level."
So, what do these analysts mean by support and resistance?
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Thursday, June 28, 2018
More Market Uncertainty as Stocks Keep Bouncing Up and Down / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Paul_Rejczak
Wednesday's trading session was bearish, as the main U.S. stock market indexes reversed their intraday uptrend and closed lower. Stocks bounced off the support level following Monday's sell-off, but they failed to continue higher. Will the market continue lower today? There are still two possible medium-term scenarios.
The U.S. stock market indexes lost between 0.7% and 1.5% on Wednesday, as the investors' sentiment worsened again. The S&P 500 index remains close to 2,700 mark and it currently trades 6.0% below the January's 26th record high of 2,872.87. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 0.7% and the technology Nasdaq Composite lost 1.5%, as it was relatively weaker than the broad stock market on Wednesday.
Thursday, June 28, 2018
Financial, Stocks, Gold, Dollar and Housing Markets Analysis and Trend Forecasts Schedule / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Greetings traders and investors.
I am sure you will be aware that the volume of my analysis and forecast postings has greatly diminished over the past year or so due to the impact of rampant theft of my content and collapse in ad revenues due to the widespread use of ad blockers. However, I have some great news in terms of my forthcoming analysis schedule to include detailed looks at the current state of the UK and US housing bull markets, as well as for in-depth updates for markets I have already been covering this year i.e. gold, silver, crude oil and bitcoin. And not forgetting a really in-depth look at the prospects for the stock market.
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Thursday, June 28, 2018
SPX Futures Challenge the 50-day and Fail / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX futures attempted a rally, challenging the 50-day Moving Average, but couldn’t break through. They have since slipped beneath the Head & Shoulders neckline and most likely have triggered that formation. That should send the SPX beneath the 200-day Moving Average at 2666.78 and possibly beneath the lower trendline of the Broadening Wedge formation at 2625.00.
Wednesday, June 27, 2018
Stock Market Studies for July 27, 2018: Amazon, Financial Stocks, China, GE / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
- Amazon will probably go up in July
- The financial sector has fallen 12 days in a row. A short term bounce is nearby.
- The Chinese stock market is getting crushed. It will probably fall a little more in the short term.
- GE’s stock spiked yesterday. This is likely a dead cat bounce. GE will probably fall within the next month.
Wednesday, June 27, 2018
Dow Stock Market Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Austin_Galt
Pattern – an uptrend is clearly in force and the action since the January 2018 looks corrective in nature. I believe this corrective phase still has more time to play out. Price made a low yesterday at 24084 and while we may see that level tested I favour it to hold for the time being.
Bollinger Bands – price is now back at the middle band I favour support to come in here and send it back to the upper channel for one final downside test which sees price hit the lower band. A move straight down to the lower band is certainly not out of the question and if that were to occur then it probably means the next leg higher will commence earlier than expected.
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Tuesday, June 26, 2018
Dow Breaks Below its 200 Dma. A Potentially Bearish Sign for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
Most of our recent medium-long term stock market studies have been bullish. Here’s a bearish study, and why I don’t think it’s as bearish as the results suggest.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average has closed below its 200 daily moving average for the first time in 501 days. This is a pretty long streak.
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Tuesday, June 26, 2018
Will the Stock Market Soar Over the Next 6-12 Months? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
As always, the economy’s fundamentals determine the stock market’s medium-long term outlook. Technicals determine the stock market’s short-medium term outlook. Here’s why:
- The stock market’s long term is bullish.
- The stock market’s medium term is bullish.
- The stock market’s short term is a 50-50 bet.
- Small caps will probably continue to outperform large caps over the next few months.
Let’s go from the long term, to the medium term, to the short term.
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Tuesday, June 26, 2018
State of the Markets… Gameplan for Transition from Bull to Bear / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: Plunger
First off, I would like to thank Rambus for allowing me the intellectual freedom to deliver to you the straight story as I see it. Our views are not always in sync but I will tell you he has not ever tried to spin my views. I understand I write here as a privilege and am presenting my honest opinion, with no ulterior motives. We just want to get these markets right and make money…Thanks Rambus.
This weekend I would like to review the main features characterizing the markets which I have chronicled over the past 6 months. Often times “less is more” so I will keep my remarks condensed and focus on the overall stock market and the precious metals.
This past week I have emphasized that the stock market is in a state of high risk. This is because valuations are sky high in all asset classes and I see the elements of a broad top in the market which will likely prove to be the end of this 9 year bull market. That’s not saying the market falls hard anytime soon, but the process of a top has begun and is ongoing. Stated differently, we are likely in Phase I of a bear market and once Phase II arrives it may prove to be devastating and adversely impact an entire nation of investors.
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Monday, June 25, 2018
Stock Market Double Bottom at Support / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.
Intermediate trend – The intermediate correction from 2873 has ended and we are in a new intermediate uptrend which should eventually take SPX to a new all-time high.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Monday, June 25, 2018
Could A Big Move In The Global Stock Markets Be Setting Up? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Over the past few months, our research team has authored many articles regarding the weakness in China/Asia as well as the recent rotation in the global markets as trade issues, debt issues, the G7 meeting and, more recently, concerns in the US and Europe regarding immigration and political issues create chaos in what was, just 18 months ago, a relatively calm global market. Yes, there have been some concerns over the past few year with regards to debt issues and other concerns, but the recent shakeup in the status-quo of the global markets seems to be presenting a massive opportunity for investors.
The recent news is that the European leaders are convening an Emergency Meeting to discuss immigration issues and other issues. This emergency meeting is warning us that other issues are at play here and immigration issues are the result of many failed policies and management by the EU to protect and distribute diversity to EU members.
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Sunday, June 24, 2018
Russell Has Gone up 8 Weeks in a Row. Bullish for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
Last week we published a study which demonstrated that when the Russell 2000 (small caps index) goes up 7 weeks in a row, the stock market’s future returns are very bullish.
The Russell 2000 has now extended that rally streak to 8 weeks up in a row.
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Sunday, June 24, 2018
Small Cap Stocks, Technology and Pharma To Drive A Renewed Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
We’ve been warning our followers not to become frightened by price rotation in the US majors for months. Our predictive analysis has been showing us the upside in this market is far from over and our most recent analysis of the global markets is showing us that emerging markets and many global markets may be “disconnecting” from the US majors in a dramatic price move. See our most recent research posts for more on this potential crisis in the making.
Friday, June 22, 2018
SPX/Gold, Long-term Yields & Yield Curve 3 Amigos Update / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2018
By: Gary_Tanashian
It has been a while since we’ve had a 3 Amigos update because a) Italy and global tariffs noise aside, nothing much has changed with the macro and b) I felt my ‘image-based metaphorical content to straight content’ ratio was getting a little excessive. So I gave it a rest.
Now it is time again for an update of these important macro riders in order to touch base with their signals. As always, I’ll remind you that there is much more to the macro market backdrop that NFTRH manages on an ongoing basis, but these three are important.
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Friday, June 22, 2018
Dow Has Fallen 8 days in a Row. Medium-long Term Bullish for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
The Dow Jones has fallen 8 days in a row. But as always, market stage matters (the same kind of price action means different things in different market stages). The Dow has fallen 8 days in a row while it’s still in an uptrend (i.e. is above its 200 daily moving average). This is uncommon – most 8 days in a row streaks occur when the Dow is in a downtrend (i.e. is below its 200 daily moving average).
Thursday, June 21, 2018
Financial Markets Analysis and Trend Forecasts 2018 - A Message from Nadeem Walayat / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Greetings fellow traders and investors.
I am sure you will be aware that the volume of my analysis and forecast postings has greatly diminished over the past year or so, but before I explain why, I'll give you the good news which is my forthcoming schedule of analysis that includes a detailed look at the current state of the UK and US housing bull markets, as well as for in-depth updates for markets I have already been covering this year i.e. gold, silver, crude oil and bitcoin. And then a really in-depth look at the prospects for the stock market which will include specific stock's to profit from in my machine intelligence investing series, more in my following video:
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Thursday, June 21, 2018
SPX Bouncing Above Support / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPB futures have been bouncing along the two trendlines near 2760.00 this morning. Should the break down, we may see a decline to the 50-day Moving Average at 2710.37. However, the Cycles Model is unclear about near-term direction. We should be open to the possibility of another probe of the Cycle Top. Depending on the strength of the potential move, we may see a challenge of the March 13 high.
ZeroHedge reports, “It started off well enough, with S&P futures in the green and the Nasdaq set for another all time high after trade war concerns eased further after Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross told the Senate neither the U.S. nor China want a trade war, while President Donald Trump said he expects to announce new trade deals with unspecified countries soon.
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Thursday, June 21, 2018
The NASDAQ’s Outperformance vs. the Dow is Very Bullish / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
First of all I’d like to thank Shawn. He raised a good question, one that I’ll answer in this study.
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