Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, July 02, 2018
Stock Market Bucks “Sell in May and Go Away”. A Bullish Sign / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
As you probably already know, the stock market’s seasonality is bearish from May – September. That’s where the phrase “Sell in May and go Away” comes from.
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Monday, July 02, 2018
Stock Market Step Back / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.
Intermediate trend – Due to recent market action, the intermediate trend from 2873 may be extending its corrective phase.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Sunday, July 01, 2018
Stock Market Crash Even if China and the Trump Make Up? Currencies Think So / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash
By: Graham_Summers
As we noted earlier this week, China, tired of the “back and forth” with the Trump administration on trade negotiations, has resorted to devaluing the Yuan.
The goal here was to induce another sharp sell-off in stocks, similar to the ones induced by China’s August 2015 and January 2016 devaluations. By the way, those last two devaluations (red boxes) resulted in the S&P 500 dropping 11% and 12% in less than one week.
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Saturday, June 30, 2018
Stock Market’s Price Action Starting to Turn Bullish / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
As always, the economy’s fundamentals determine the stock market’s medium-long term outlook. Technicals determine the stock market’s short-medium term outlook. Here’s why:
- The stock market’s long term is bullish.
- The stock market’s medium term is bullish.
- The stock market’s short term is turning bullish (with Trump’s trade war as a wild card)
Let’s go from the long term, to the medium term, to the short term.
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Saturday, June 30, 2018
Trade Tariff War Akin to Raising Taxes, Recession Looms / Stock-Markets / Protectionism
By: MoneyMetals
Mike Gleason: It is my privilege now to welcome in Frank Holmes, CEO and Chief Investment Officer at U.S. Global Investors. Mr. Holmes has received various honors over the years, including being named America's Best Fund Manager for 2016 by the Mining Journal. He is also the co-author of the book, The Goldwatcher: Demystifying Gold Investing and is a regular guest on CNBC, Bloomberg, Fox Business, as well as right here on the Money Metals podcast.
Frank, welcome back and thanks for joining us again. How are you today?
Frank Holmes: I'm great, and it's great to be chatting with you about this languishing gold market.
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Friday, June 29, 2018
Stock Markets Hyper Risky / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Zeal_LLC
The lofty US stock markets remain riddled with euphoria and complacency, fueled by an exceptional bull. Investors believe downside risks are trivial, despite long years of epic central-bank easing catapulting valuations to dangerous bull-slaying extremes. This has left today’s markets hyper-risky, with a massive bear looming as the Fed and ECB increasingly slow and reverse their easy-money policies. Caveat emptor!
History proves that stock markets are forever cyclical, no trend lasts forever. Great bulls and bears alike eventually run their courses then give up their ghosts. Sooner or later every secular trend yields to extreme sentiment peaking, then the markets inevitably reverse. Popular greed late in bulls, and fear late in bears, ultimately hits unsustainable climaxes. All near-term buyers or sellers are sucked in, killing the trend.
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Friday, June 29, 2018
Stock Market Window Dressing Day / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX futures went as high as 2737.00 (~2732.00 cash) this morning before pulling back. There is still a probability of the retracement rally probing the mid-Cycle resistance at 2742.03, which is an approximate 50% retracement of the decline. Thus far this quarter has seen nearly a 3% gain in the SPX and today would be an important window dressing day.
Wave [i] of 1 would be considered a Leading Diagonal, while Waves [iii] and [v] appear to be impulsive. There is a cluster of Cycle Pivots starting today and going through the weekend. The first Cycle Pivot occurs around 1:00 pm today.
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Friday, June 29, 2018
Traders Buy Markets When They Cry, Sell When They Yell! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
We have been pouring over the charts to find out what to expect over the rest of 2018 and our advanced predictive modeling tools are showing us a few key elements that all traders need to be aware of. So, let’s get right to it.
First, the NASDAQ has likely neared or reached its peak near 7400 for the next few months. Don’t expect the NQ to move much beyond 7400 and don’t expect a lot of volatility in the NQ over the next few months. Our research shows the NQ should stall near 7400 and volatility should decrease through September (possibly).
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Friday, June 29, 2018
For Stocks, the Line in the Sand Has been Drawn / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: EWI
See illustrations of complete bull and bear market cycles
You may have heard pundits on financial television say something like, "I see support for the Dow at this price level," or "This stock should experience some resistance at that price level."
So, what do these analysts mean by support and resistance?
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Thursday, June 28, 2018
More Market Uncertainty as Stocks Keep Bouncing Up and Down / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Paul_Rejczak
Wednesday's trading session was bearish, as the main U.S. stock market indexes reversed their intraday uptrend and closed lower. Stocks bounced off the support level following Monday's sell-off, but they failed to continue higher. Will the market continue lower today? There are still two possible medium-term scenarios.
The U.S. stock market indexes lost between 0.7% and 1.5% on Wednesday, as the investors' sentiment worsened again. The S&P 500 index remains close to 2,700 mark and it currently trades 6.0% below the January's 26th record high of 2,872.87. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 0.7% and the technology Nasdaq Composite lost 1.5%, as it was relatively weaker than the broad stock market on Wednesday.
Thursday, June 28, 2018
Financial, Stocks, Gold, Dollar and Housing Markets Analysis and Trend Forecasts Schedule / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Greetings traders and investors.
I am sure you will be aware that the volume of my analysis and forecast postings has greatly diminished over the past year or so due to the impact of rampant theft of my content and collapse in ad revenues due to the widespread use of ad blockers. However, I have some great news in terms of my forthcoming analysis schedule to include detailed looks at the current state of the UK and US housing bull markets, as well as for in-depth updates for markets I have already been covering this year i.e. gold, silver, crude oil and bitcoin. And not forgetting a really in-depth look at the prospects for the stock market.
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Thursday, June 28, 2018
SPX Futures Challenge the 50-day and Fail / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX futures attempted a rally, challenging the 50-day Moving Average, but couldn’t break through. They have since slipped beneath the Head & Shoulders neckline and most likely have triggered that formation. That should send the SPX beneath the 200-day Moving Average at 2666.78 and possibly beneath the lower trendline of the Broadening Wedge formation at 2625.00.
Wednesday, June 27, 2018
Stock Market Studies for July 27, 2018: Amazon, Financial Stocks, China, GE / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
- Amazon will probably go up in July
- The financial sector has fallen 12 days in a row. A short term bounce is nearby.
- The Chinese stock market is getting crushed. It will probably fall a little more in the short term.
- GE’s stock spiked yesterday. This is likely a dead cat bounce. GE will probably fall within the next month.
Wednesday, June 27, 2018
Dow Stock Market Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Austin_Galt
Pattern – an uptrend is clearly in force and the action since the January 2018 looks corrective in nature. I believe this corrective phase still has more time to play out. Price made a low yesterday at 24084 and while we may see that level tested I favour it to hold for the time being.
Bollinger Bands – price is now back at the middle band I favour support to come in here and send it back to the upper channel for one final downside test which sees price hit the lower band. A move straight down to the lower band is certainly not out of the question and if that were to occur then it probably means the next leg higher will commence earlier than expected.
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Tuesday, June 26, 2018
Dow Breaks Below its 200 Dma. A Potentially Bearish Sign for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
Most of our recent medium-long term stock market studies have been bullish. Here’s a bearish study, and why I don’t think it’s as bearish as the results suggest.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average has closed below its 200 daily moving average for the first time in 501 days. This is a pretty long streak.
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Tuesday, June 26, 2018
Will the Stock Market Soar Over the Next 6-12 Months? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
As always, the economy’s fundamentals determine the stock market’s medium-long term outlook. Technicals determine the stock market’s short-medium term outlook. Here’s why:
- The stock market’s long term is bullish.
- The stock market’s medium term is bullish.
- The stock market’s short term is a 50-50 bet.
- Small caps will probably continue to outperform large caps over the next few months.
Let’s go from the long term, to the medium term, to the short term.
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Tuesday, June 26, 2018
State of the Markets… Gameplan for Transition from Bull to Bear / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: Plunger
First off, I would like to thank Rambus for allowing me the intellectual freedom to deliver to you the straight story as I see it. Our views are not always in sync but I will tell you he has not ever tried to spin my views. I understand I write here as a privilege and am presenting my honest opinion, with no ulterior motives. We just want to get these markets right and make money…Thanks Rambus.
This weekend I would like to review the main features characterizing the markets which I have chronicled over the past 6 months. Often times “less is more” so I will keep my remarks condensed and focus on the overall stock market and the precious metals.
This past week I have emphasized that the stock market is in a state of high risk. This is because valuations are sky high in all asset classes and I see the elements of a broad top in the market which will likely prove to be the end of this 9 year bull market. That’s not saying the market falls hard anytime soon, but the process of a top has begun and is ongoing. Stated differently, we are likely in Phase I of a bear market and once Phase II arrives it may prove to be devastating and adversely impact an entire nation of investors.
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Monday, June 25, 2018
Stock Market Double Bottom at Support / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.
Intermediate trend – The intermediate correction from 2873 has ended and we are in a new intermediate uptrend which should eventually take SPX to a new all-time high.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Monday, June 25, 2018
Could A Big Move In The Global Stock Markets Be Setting Up? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Over the past few months, our research team has authored many articles regarding the weakness in China/Asia as well as the recent rotation in the global markets as trade issues, debt issues, the G7 meeting and, more recently, concerns in the US and Europe regarding immigration and political issues create chaos in what was, just 18 months ago, a relatively calm global market. Yes, there have been some concerns over the past few year with regards to debt issues and other concerns, but the recent shakeup in the status-quo of the global markets seems to be presenting a massive opportunity for investors.
The recent news is that the European leaders are convening an Emergency Meeting to discuss immigration issues and other issues. This emergency meeting is warning us that other issues are at play here and immigration issues are the result of many failed policies and management by the EU to protect and distribute diversity to EU members.
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Sunday, June 24, 2018
Russell Has Gone up 8 Weeks in a Row. Bullish for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
Last week we published a study which demonstrated that when the Russell 2000 (small caps index) goes up 7 weeks in a row, the stock market’s future returns are very bullish.
The Russell 2000 has now extended that rally streak to 8 weeks up in a row.
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