Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Thursday, June 14, 2018
Is the ECB Ending QE a Good Thing? Markets Think So / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX finally made its Master Cycle high at 11:30 am at 2791.47, just 10 points shy of its March 13 high. Nevertheless, this counts best as the “top” of Wave [2]. SPX futures put in an overnight high of 2789.00 but have eased down. The decline from the top so far is miniscule, so any (short) positions taken here would be considered to be aggressive.
Should the Orthodox Broadening Top be accurate, the next target would be “point 6” near 2570.00. The Ending Diagonal agrees, since a break of the lower trendline near 2740.00 may send the SPX to its target at 2553.80. This would give the SPX a clear break of its 200-day Moving Average at 2652.40.
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Thursday, June 14, 2018
Yield Curve Continues to Flatten. A Bullish Sign for the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
The Treasury yield curve continues to flatten. The 10 year yield – 2 year yield is now at 0.39%. Or as the bears would have you believe, “the Fed is about to end the economy and stock market”.
Facts and data disagree.
This is the first time in the current economic expansion cycle in which the yield curve flattened to 40 basis points (0.4%). As you can see, the yield curve still needs to flatten a lot more before a recession and bear market begins.
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Thursday, June 14, 2018
Stock Market Near Another Top? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Brad_Gudgeon
According to the Gann astro/cycles and my wave counts, we are near another important top. Ideally, this top should occur on June 14/15. The next possible cycle low is due sometime between June 28/29 and July 3/5 depending on the count and final top. My preferred count has the S&P 500 moving down into July 3/5 to a slightly higher high than the 2553 mark tagged on April 2. The alternate has a much lower drop going down into the 2460’s by June 28/29. The ideal top this week is a minimum 2805 SPX.When the market fell in February, it readjusted the normally dominant 20 week cycle, which is now due toward the end of June or early July. The Gann 64/128 TD lows remain the same, due in early July. At any rate, we should see a nice summer rally out of the expected drop. Major cycles are due to top on August 19th one month and fall into mid November and even January-February 2019.
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Wednesday, June 13, 2018
What Happens to Stocks, Forex, Commodities, and Bonds When the Fed Hikes Rates / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
The Fed is expected to hike interest rates today. As I’ve demonstrated in a previous study, the U.S. stock market has a tendency to fall a little after rate hikes in the current rate hike cycle.
Tuesday, June 12, 2018
What Happens Next to Stocks when Russell Goes up 6 Weeks in a Row / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
Small cap stocks (Russell 2000 Index) continues to lead the stock market higher.
As I demonstrated in a study last week, the Russell leading the S&P 500 is a medium term bullish sign for the stock market.
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Tuesday, June 12, 2018
Stock Market Eying Extension Into March Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Submissions
High Odds that Low of Year Confirmed
The first week of June was fairly easy to navigate and trade as the bullish pattern took a couple extra weeks of high level consolidation to finally complete its course. It really started with the breakout on Monday June 4 above the key 2742 level to confirm that the bull train is ready for the immediate breakout to accelerate above the prior two weeks’ worth of consolidation range (2742 vs.2700/2675). On the next day, the bull train grinded up a little and held above the 2742 breakout level to trap in more market participants for the high odds of a trend week.
Monday, June 11, 2018
Why You Should Brace Yourself for Big Financial Changes / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: EWI
Extrapolating current trends into the future leave many people unprepared for major societal shifts
The one thing you can count on in financial markets, and society at large, is change.
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Monday, June 11, 2018
Inflation to Skyrocket When Fed Reverts to New QE & Interest Rate Cuts / Stock-Markets / Inflation
By: MoneyMetals
Welcome to this week’s Market Wrap Podcast, I’m Mike Gleason.
Coming up Michael Pento of Pento Portfolio Strategies joins me examine what’s happening beneath the surface in the markets right now, and why we should all be very leery of putting too much stock into what we’re hearing from the mainstream financial media these days regarding the economy. Don’t miss another sensational interview with Michael Pento, coming up after this week’s market update.
Gold prices see-sawed around the $1,300 level this week as silver prices advanced to 7-week highs. As of this Friday recording, gold trades at $1,298 an ounce, up 0.2% for the week. Silver prices come in at $16.75, good for a 1.8% weekly gain.
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Monday, June 11, 2018
Stock Market Topping Pattern or Just Consolidation? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Paul_Rejczak
Stocks traded within a short-term consolidation on Friday, as investors took some profits off the table following the recent advance. The broad stock market accelerated its uptrend after breaking above three-week-long consolidation a week ago. Will it continue its uptrend or is this some topping pattern ahead of downward reversal? There are still two possible medium-term scenarios.
The U.S. stock market indexes gained 0.1-0.3% on Friday, as they fluctuated following the recent advance. The S&P 500 index remained close to its mid-March local high of around 2,800. It currently trades 3.9% below January's 26th record high of 2,872.87. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.3%, and the technology Nasdaq Composite gained 0.1%, as it was relatively weaker than the broad stock market on Friday.
Monday, June 11, 2018
G7 Chaos, Central Banks and US Fed Will Drive Stock Prices This Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
After last weeks closing bell for stocks and the early signs of the Capital Market Shift which we mentioned previously was taking place are now clearly evident. We wanted to alert all of our followers that this week could be very dramatic with a number of key events playing into global expectations.
Our research team at Technical Traders Ltd. have been combing through the charts trying to find hints of what may happen and what to expect in terms of price volatility next week. We know our ADL price modeling system is telling us that certain price weakness will continue in certain sectors and strength in others – but we are searching for the next opportunities for great trades.
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Monday, June 11, 2018
Is It 2016 Again For U.S. Equities, Emerging Markets And Gold? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: Avi_Gilburt
Bears seem to be roaming wherever you look, whether it be in the US equity market, the gold market, and especially in the emerging markets as of recently. Whether I read articles, or the comments to those articles, it seems there is a common expectation that “emerging market dominoes are falling” and it will “cause deleveraging and contagion” across portfolios worldwide.
It certainly sounds like a dire situation is developing in the world today. Does it not?
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Monday, June 11, 2018
SPX Unshackled / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.
Intermediate trend – The intermediate correction from 2873 has ended and a new intermediate uptrend has started with the bottoming of the 40-wk cycle on 5/29.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Sunday, June 10, 2018
Stock Market Could Pullback for 1-2 weeks, But Medium Term Bullish / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
As always, the economy’s fundamentals determine the stock market’s medium-long term outlook. Technicals determine the stock market’s short-medium term outlook. Here’s why the stock market could pullback for 1-2 weeks, but the medium term is bullish.
Let’s go from the long term, to the medium term, to the short term.
Long term is bullish
The Medium-Long Term Model states that there is no “significant correction” or bear market for U.S. equities on the horizon.
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Sunday, June 10, 2018
End of the World Stock Market Chart! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Rambus_Chartology
I have only one chart to show you tonight which I call the “History Chart of the End of the World,” which I built out in 2013. I usually show this chart a couple of times a year just to keep the big picture in perspective. This long term monthly chart shows all the earth shattering events that felt like the end of the world when they occurred and I can personally attest to that fact because I was in the markets in each one of those events.
The crash into the 2009 low was the last time we had anything that really felt like it would be a life changing event similar to the 1929 crash. As you can see, that end of the world event in 2009, formed the fourth reversal point in that 10 year blue triangle consolidation pattern. The last slightly little thing to put a scare into investors was the BREXIT vote in early 2016 that turned out to be a non event. Most have already forgotten about it, but for several weeks it was big news.
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Saturday, June 09, 2018
5 "Tells" that the Stock Markets Are About to Reverse / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: EWI
Dear Reader,
Our friends at Elliott Wave International (elliottwave.com) just released a new, free report: "5 'Tells' that the Markets Are About to Reverse”. It reveals many false indicators – a.k.a. “head fakes” -- investors like you and me see every hour of every day.
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Friday, June 08, 2018
Fed’s Interest Rate Hike is Short term Bearish for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
The Fed is expected to hike interest rates next Wednesday.
Rate hikes in the current rate hike cycle have been a short term bearish factor for the stock market. The stock market has tended to go down or swing sideways during the next 2 weeks after a rate hike.
Here’s what happened to the S&P 500 after each rate hike in the current rate hike cycle.
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Thursday, June 07, 2018
Axel's Stock Market Outlook / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Axel_Merk
Ask me what I am currently most enthusiastic about in the markets, and I’ll tell you it is the underpricing of rate hike expectations. Let me elaborate on why, what it means for investors’ portfolios and how to possibly profit from it.
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Thursday, June 07, 2018
Blue Chips Take the Lead, Enough to Push Stock Market Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Paul_Rejczak
Investors' sentiment continued to improve on Wednesday, as the broad stock market accelerated its short-term uptrend following Monday's breakout above three-week-long consolidation. The S&P 500 index gets closer to march local high. Will the uptrend continue? There are still two possible medium-term scenarios, but bulls are much happier now.
The U.S. stock market indexes gained between 0.7% and 1.4% on Wednesday, extending their short-term uptrend, as investors' sentiment continued to improve and blue-chip stocks regained their strength. The S&P 500 index broke above 2,750 mark and it currently trades just 3.5% below January's 26th record high of 2,872.87. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 1.4%, as it was relatively stronger than the broad stock market yesterday, and the technology Nasdaq Composite gained 0.7%.
Thursday, June 07, 2018
Stock Market More Important for Gold than US Dollar / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne
The fundamental drivers for Gold and the US Dollar are similar and that is why they typically trend together. Negative and/or falling real rates drive Gold and the same drives the greenback though with respect to differentials between the other competing currencies. When real rates are rising or strong in the US that is bearish for Gold and bullish for the US Dollar. The opposite is also true. And with the US Dollar being the global reserve currency, it naturally competes with Gold, which is an alternative. All being said, history as well as recent action suggests that weakness in the stock market is more crucial to Gold’s future than weakness in the US Dollar.
Wednesday, June 06, 2018
SPX Extends But in a Limited Range / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX futures are higher this morning as they progress toward their ultimate target at/near 2762.00. The Cycles Model has tomorrow tagged as the turn date, but we should see waning strength and possibly a turn in the indicators as early as today. The hourly Trading Bands are very tight, suggesting a reversal is coming in the SPX.
ZeroHedge reports, “Global stocks, US equity futures and Treasury yields extended gains while the dollar slumped as "risk-on" sentiment returned after the U.S. and China exchanged trade proposals meant to avoid an escalation of economic tensions, while European bonds declined and the euro strengthened following a Bloomberg report and hawkish comments from ECB speakers suggesting that the ECB's next, June 14 meeting will be "live" to debate the end of QE.”
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