Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Sunday, May 27, 2018
Stock Market Study: How Long After a 10%+ “Small Correction” to Make New Highs? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
The S&P 500 made a 10%+ “small correction” from January- February 2018. In a previous study I looked at how long it usually takes for the stock market to go from its correction bottom to a new all time high.
In today’s study I’m going to look at how long it usually takes for the S&P 500 to go from an old all-time high to making a new all time high.
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Saturday, May 26, 2018
Gold, US Stocks and Bonds / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: Gary_Tanashian
I’ll try to keep things simple with this recap of the 3 of the 5 major food groups (leaving aside commodities and currencies) for investors. No confusing you today with too many inter-market ratios, overly technical language or cute metaphors like the 3 Amigos (although it is notable that Amigo #2 is stopping exactly as we’d forecast, as you’ll see in the Bonds segment below).
So let’s take a technical look at a larger picture of the 3 groups using weekly charts for gold and SPX and a monthly for 30yr bond yields, along with some thoughts. We’ll reserve the shorter-term technical management for subscriber updates and weekly NFTRH reports.
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Friday, May 25, 2018
What to Expect at a Critical Stock Market Point: End of a Wave 2 Rally / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory
By: EWI
"Most investors are convinced that the bull market never went away."
The great game of Wall Street -- where huge amounts of money are at stake every trading day.
Many speculators play this game by watching for events outside of the stock market that they believe will "trigger" the next big move in prices.
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Friday, May 25, 2018
Stock Market Distribution Pattern Revealed / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
SPX futures were positive overnight until 6:45 am, when the Commercials weighed in. I am illustrating a probable way the Commercials went from -132,091 short contracts on January 22 to -511,373 short contracts last Monday. It has been happening gradually over the past two months since the markets have been thin and getting thinner at each rally.
You may be wondering how over $8 billion went into the stock market last week, yet the entire week was a loss. It appears to be happening again this week. The reason is that, while the market isn’t performing as it had, there is still a fear of missing out (FOMO) of the next rally. Wall Street and the media are still sending out glowing reports about the next rally.
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Friday, May 25, 2018
Technical Analysis Confirms Stock Market SPX Support Level / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
This week presented some interesting price rotation after an early upside breakout Sunday night. The Asian markets opened up Sunday night with the ES, NQ and YM nearly 1% higher this week. This upside breakout resulted in a clear upside trend channel breakout that our researchers believe will continue to prompt higher price legs overall. Our researchers, at Technical Traders Ltd., have issued a number of research posts over the past few weeks showing our analysis and the upside potential in the markets that should take place over the next few weeks.
Friday, May 25, 2018
Stock Market Topping - Everything Looks Rosy at the End of a Trend! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: Enda_Glynn
Hello everyone, hope your well.
A couple of interesting stories dropped today.
And the big picture to keep in mind when viewing these stories is this;
At the end of an economic trend, GOOD NEWS IS EVERYWHERE, AND THE FUTURE ALWAYS LOOKS BRIGHT!
Heres the first one: Trump signs the biggest rollback of bank rules since the financial crisis
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Thursday, May 24, 2018
Stock Market Higher Again, but Still No Breakout / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Paul_Rejczak
Stocks were gaining on Wednesday following lower opening of the trading session. Is this an upward reversal or just another move up within two-week-long consolidation? Bulls are happier today, but there are still two possible medium-term scenarios.
The U.S. stock market indexes gained 0.2-0.6% on Wednesday, as investors' sentiment reversed following a lower open. The S&P 500 index got close to its recent local highs and it currently trades 4.9% below January’s 26th record high of 2,872.87. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.2%, and the technology Nasdaq Composite gained 0.6%, as it was relatively stronger than the broad stock market yesterday.
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Thursday, May 24, 2018
Study: Slowing Global Economic Growth IS NOT Bearish for U.S. Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
2017 was the year of synchronized global economic growth. Almost all major economies around the world saw an upswing in economic growth. As you probably already know, 2018 is turning out to be a different story. Global synchronized economic growth is over for now.
- The U.S. economy continues to grow at a healthy, unabated pace.
- Other developed and developing economies are seeing a small decrease in economic growth.
Tuesday, May 22, 2018
Study: A Rising and Strong U.S. Dollar Isn’t Consistently Bearish for the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
Investors and traders are susceptible to recency bias, which means that they emphasis recent observations over those that occurred in the past.
The U.S. Dollar has been rising recently, which reminds some investors of the 2014-2015 USD spike that led to a “significant correction” for the U.S. stock market in 2015-2016.
For starters, it’s important to put things into perspective. The U.S. Dollar’s recent “surge” is more like a small rally.
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Tuesday, May 22, 2018
Upside DOW Stock Market Breakout May Be Just the Beginning / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
At this point, all we can say is “Wow – did you see that breakout?”. If you have been following our analysis, you already know we’ve been predicting this upside price move for over 4 weeks with our specialized price modeling systems, cycle analysis models and other specialized trading tools. Last weekend, we posted very detailed analysis of the Elliot Wave and Fibonacci price levels that suggest we could see another upside price move that no one is expecting.
Monday, May 21, 2018
What Does These Signs Mean for Stock s & Real Estate? / Stock-Markets / Deflation
By: Harry_Dent
We’ve been waiting years for our fixed income trade of a decade…Our target’s at the top of the long-term Treasury Bond Channel near 3% on current 10-year yields. And recently, we advised our Boom & Bust subscribers to buy long-term Treasurys at around 2.99% on the 10-year.
Now we’re thinking it could get better… much better.
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Monday, May 21, 2018
Fibonacci And Elliot Wave Predict Stock Market Breakout Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
There is nothing more exciting to us than reading the price action of the charts to see what will happen in the future. It becomes even more exciting when we find something that everyone else seems to have missed. Right now, traders need to pay attention to our research because we believe we have correctly identified a breakout pattern that is setting up in the US majors – and everyone seems to have missed it.
Recently, our research team began a quest to properly identify the Elliot Wave structure of the US majors in relation to the recent price congestion after the February 2018 price collapse. You can read our earlier research post to better understand our conclusions.
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Monday, May 21, 2018
Stock Market Ideal Cycle Low Near / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.
Intermediate trend – The intermediate correction from 2873 is likely to continue until about early June.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Monday, May 21, 2018
Financial Conditions are Still too Easy for the Stocks Bull Market to End / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
Investors and traders love to fixate on the absolute level of interest rates.
- “It’s all over when the 10 year yield reaches 3%”.
- “It’s all over when the 10 year yield reaches 3.25%”.
- “It’s all over when the 10 year yield reaches 4%”.
- “It’s all over when the 10 year yield reaches 4.5%”.
Instead, investors and traders should focus on how interest rates are impacting various aspects of the economy right now. Focus on the RELATIVE relationship.
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Sunday, May 20, 2018
US Stock Market Elliott Wave Predictions for 2018 and Beyond / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Recently, an interesting concept was discussed among our research team – a very interesting concept about the markets. As many of you know, part of the process or research is to test conclusions that may lie outside common thinking. While we were discussing the Fibonacci and Elliot Wave structures of the US market using longer-term charts, one item kept intriguing our research team. This one item could change everything in terms of how we are thinking about the US markets and Global markets.
Almost everyone knows that Elliot Wave (EW) theory consists of Five Waves to complete a major EW Cycle. The most common form of EW price cycles is A, C & E (or 1, 3 & 5) waves advancing and B & D (or 2 & 4) waves declining for an uptrend.
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Sunday, May 20, 2018
Saudi Arabia Stock Market Technical Update: Tadawul All Share Index (TASI) / Stock-Markets / Saudi Arabia
By: MarketsToday
- Larger advance stalls at the 50% retracement zone.
- Deeper short-term pullback may occur.
- Followed by advance to new highs.
Sunday, May 20, 2018
US Stocks - Why I am Short-term Bearish, Medium-term Bullish / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
To be clear: the Medium-Long Term Model currently states that:
- The S&P 500 (U.S. stock market) is still in a bull market.
- This 11.8% “small correction” won’t turn into a “significant correction”. Hence the stock market’s medium term downside is limited.
The Medium-Long Term Model predicts “significant corrections” based on a set of conditions. When none of those conditions are met (i.e. right now), it is highly unlikely for a “small correction” to turn into a “significant correction”. This means that the stock market will eventually make a new high given enough time.
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Saturday, May 19, 2018
Semiconductor Stock Market Canaries: Chirp, Warble… Soon a Croak and Silence? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Gary_Tanashian
In light of earnings reactions in the Semiconductor Equipment sector, it’s time for an update of a theme we have had in play since November, 2017
The canary is no longer chirping in a healthy manner and the economy’s coal mine has a toxic gas leak. While the recent Lam Research (LRCX) earnings report was pretty good and there were positive aspects to that of Applied Materials (AMAT), these highly cyclical companies that have been at the front end of the entire economic cycle that had its beginnings in 2013 are showing signs of wear.
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Friday, May 18, 2018
Stock Market Indexes Fill Tuesday Price Gap Now Where? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The 30-minute chart price pattern with a large gap down in price on Tuesday morning created what we call a “Gap Window”. Almost all gaps in the SP500 get filled eventually, and both the top and bottom areas of a gap window become short-term resistance or support.
A three-wave a-b-c correction is generally what causes stop orders to be run, panic selling, and creates a pivot low. This is displayed with a red line on the chart.
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Thursday, May 17, 2018
What Happens Next When Small Cap (Russell) Leads the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
Small cap stocks (Russell 2000 Index) made a new all-time HIGH yesterday even though mid/large cap stocks (S&P 500) are still lagging. The S&P is still 5% below its all-time high.
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