Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Thursday, April 12, 2018

Hot War and Cold Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Raul_I_Meijer

This is turning into a comedy. A black comedy, for sure, but still. As both the Skripal novichok ‘poisoning’ case in Britain and the ‘chemical attack’ in Douma, Syria fall flat on their faces on a total and absolute lack of evidence, it’s becoming clear that western ‘authorities’ are not at all planning to let go of the privilege that in times gone by allowed them to claim whatever they wanted and demand to be believed.

And despite the insane amounts of spying that underlies their business models and will lead to their demise(s), here is where social media do play a decisive role. See, if you’re an ‘authority’, there’s nothing you would rather do than to close down those social media that let people spread news that contradicts and/or doubts what you just said, and undermines that privilege. But that also would mean you can’t spy on them anymore through social media. A toss-up?!

Thursday, April 12, 2018

Stock Market High Volatility is Not Consistently Bearish for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

The stock market started off in 2018 with a lot of volatility. The S&P 500 saw 23 trading days of >1% movements in Q1 (CLOSE vs previous day’s CLOSE).

This is supposed to be a long term bearish sign for the market. See this popular tweet:

Thursday, April 12, 2018

ADL Price Anomaly and TNA Stet-up for a 5% to 10% Stock Price Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Our Adaptive Dynamic Learning (ADL) modeling system has been hot.  Now we want to share something super exciting with all our followers – a super trade setup in the ES.  Our research team at Technical Traders Ltd. has identified what may be one of the best trading signals we’ve seen in a long time – a potential +100pt move.  That’s right, our advanced predictive modeling system is been calling a bottom in the markets for over 10 days now and we believe the following charts show us the that S&P will be one of the leaders in the move higher.  Therefore, we want to urge our followers to be prepared for a potential 100+ pt upside move in the ES within the next 3~5 days and to trade accordingly – we certainly will be.

Tuesday, April 10, 2018

Top 8 Reasons to Find the Stock Market Emergency Exit Before this Fall / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Michael_Pento

The stock market was trading at an all-time high valuation of 150% of GDP this January. That was indeed the bell rung at the very top. Stocks have since started to roll over, but valuations are still at 140% of the underlying economy. And that is, historically speaking, way off the chart. The average of this metric was around 45% throughout the decades of the 70’s thru the mid-1990’s. Therefore, the market is screaming for investors to hit the sell button now while there are still ample bids left. But, if your complacency and procrastination prevent you from realizing the truly dangerous bubble in equities right now, here are eight of the most salient reasons why you’ll definitely need to find the nearest emergency exit before this fall.

Tuesday, April 10, 2018

Stock Market Long Upward Path / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Donald_W_Dony

As the U.S. and China "trade war" continues to escalate, the current market commentary often leans toward the negative and a possible market top.

Nothing could be further from the truth.

Thought the rhetoric clearly causes concern with investors, major U.S. market indexes continue to forge higher and have posted new all-time levels in Q1.

Monday, April 09, 2018

Stocks Breaking Down? Not Yet / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Paul_Rejczak

The stock market retraced most of its last week's Wednesday - Thursday's gains on Friday, as investors reacted to worse-than-expected monthly jobs data release, trade tariffs announcement. Friday's sell-off brought the S&P 500 index back to its medium-term upward trend line. Will it break lower this time?

The U.S. stock market indexes lost 2.2-2.3% on Friday, following worse-than-expected monthly jobs data release, among others. The broad stock market retraced most of its Wednesday - Thursday's rally, and it got back to medium-term upward trend line. Both, Dow Jones Industrial Average and the technology Nasdaq Composite lost 2.3% on Friday.

Monday, April 09, 2018

US Stock Market - Donald Loves Me, Donald Loves Me Not / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Avi_Gilburt

As everyone seems glued to their twitter accounts or their news feeds, the market has been both rallying and fading despite all the negative news of these trade wars that are supposedly going to tank our equity market.

I mean, its not like we began this correction well before trade wars began in earnest. Right? In fact, does any of this surprise you in any way, especially since the President certainly told us that these are some of the actions he will take even before he became POTUS. And, if you suggest otherwise, then you are simply not being honest with yourself.

Monday, April 09, 2018

Stock Market Retest of the Low? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.
 
Intermediate trend – The intermediate correction from 2873 should now continue until May.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends. 

Sunday, April 08, 2018

Political Posturing Distracts – Trade The Stock Market Wall Of Worry / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Recent news about the US and China posturing for Trade Deals and the continued increase in rhetoric has weighed heavily on the markets these past few weeks.  Yes, trade issues are a concern for nations and fair trade is essential to support both economies.  Yet, the news seems to be exaggerated in scale and scope when one considers the totality of it all.  Our research team at Technical Traders Ltd. has recently completed a detailed analysis of the Chinese economy including a study of the expected pressures that are mounting throughout most of China/Asia.  A property market cycle, extended debt issues, foreign capital projects, military tensions and now “trade tariffs” are adding up to quite a bit of headwind for the Chinese.

Sunday, April 08, 2018

Stock Market’s High Uncertainty is Medium Term Bullish for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

The stock market’s volatility has been crazy recently. It’s clear that the majority of investors and traders are undecided. It soars a few percent over 2 days, then tanks a few percent over 2 days, then soars, then tanks…

We can see this uncertainty in the market’s breadth as well. The NYSE’s Up Volume indicates the number of stocks that went up today.

8 out of the past 11 trading days have seen Up Volume either above 80% (i.e. most stocks surging) or below 20% (i.e. most stocks going down). This is a rare medium term bullish sign for the stock market.

Saturday, April 07, 2018

As the Gold, Stocks, and Bond Markets Macro Turns… / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Gary_Tanashian

We began months ago, noting the 3 Amigos destined for their goals. Here’s a post from November 2017 explaining the macro fundamentals involved:

Updating the 3 Amigos of the Macro

1. Amigo #1 (SPX vs. Gold): Either reach major theoretical resistance (it’s a ratio, after all) or abort mission by establishing a downtrend.
2. Amigo #2 (10yr yield to 2.9% and 30yr yield to 3.3%): Destinations reached!
3. Amigo #3 (also known as the slower, dumber Amigo, the 10yr-2yr Yield Curve): Still on his journey, flattening. The trouble would be indicated by steepening.

Friday, April 06, 2018

Soccer World Cup: Will it help the Russian Stock Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Dimitri_Speck

Dear Investor,

You may be following sporting events as passionately as you follow market price trends. Or perhaps you’re not a sports fan, and you’re only interested in the stock market?

Either way, there is an exciting question about what effect big international sporting events have on share prices. The country that hosts Olympic Games or soccer World Cup draws huge media attention, the domestic mood improves, and big investment projects are carried out. All of this can affect the stock market.

Friday, April 06, 2018

Stock Market Update: S&P 495 Versus The Big 5 FANG Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: WMA

We have been marveling at the outperformance of the biggest five companies in the S&P 500 (Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Google, and Facebook) for some time (see our May 5, 2017 Commentary, “The S&P 500 or The S&P 495?”).  Technology has almost single-handedly driven the equity market into an extraordinary bubble. Tech had been red hot since the January 2016 equity market correction. Tech was hot, but now it is not.

Enthusiasm for the mega cap tech stocks even provoked the creation of a new index, the NYSE FANG+ Index.  The equally-weighted index includes ten companies which the market has fallen in love with: Apple, Netflix, Google, NVIDIA, Amazon, Tesla, Baidu, Alibaba, Facebook, and Twitter. The chart below shows the FANG index relative to the Russell 3000. These ten stocks almost DOUBLED the broad market performance in two years time.

Thursday, April 05, 2018

Stock Market Bulls Happier Again, but... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Paul_Rejczak

Bulls regained their strength on Wednesday, as stocks retraced Monday's sell-off following lower opening of the trading session. The S&P 500 index extends its short-term consolidation despite trade war, interest rate hikes fears. So, is medium-term bullish case valid again?

The U.S. stock market indexes gained 1.0-1.5% on Wednesday, following much lower opening of the trading session, as investors' sentiment improved after rebounding off recent local lows. The broad stock market broke above the level of 2,600 again and got closer to 2,650 mark. The S&P 500 index trades 7.9%  below January 26 record high of 2,872.87. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 1.0%, and the technology Nasdaq Composite gained 1.5%, as big cap tech stocks were relatively stronger than the broad stock market yesterday.

Thursday, April 05, 2018

Stock Markets Rise Impressive as Expected at 200 DMA: What Next ? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Builderadv

We had expected the double bottom on stock market to result in a significant bounce. Read our report here: Markets to rise. The stock market staged an impressive upside turnaround today. After opening 500 points lower this morning, the Dow Industrials ended the day 230 points (0.96%) higher. That's a gain of more than 700 points from its opening price. Stock indexes gained roughly 3% from their sharply lower opening this morning. The fact that those upside turnaround took place at their 200-day averages was especially impressive. The Dow Industrials scoring an upside reversal day from just above its 200-day line. Initial overhead for the Dow to overcome is at 24,400. S&P 500 closing well above its 200-day average after opening below it this morning. That's a very encouraging sign. Initial overhead resistance for the SPX is at 2674. A close above that initial barrier would be an even more encouraging sign. The Nasdaq Composite Index also find support near its 200-day average. The Nasdaq was the day's strongest index with help from biotech and technology stocks. Small caps also had a strong day.

Thursday, April 05, 2018

Adaptive Dynamic Learning Predicts Massive Stock Market Bottom / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Our research team at Technical Traders Ltd. has been hard at work trying to identify if this recent downside price move is more concerning or just a rotational move.  The recent global news regarding the US/China trade tariffs as well as the fallout that started nearly two weeks ago in Technology with Facebook, Snap and others has spooked the markets.  Our additional research shows that China and Asia are extremely fragile at the moment and the global Central Bankers as well as the Real Estate market could be key to any future unraveling of the markets.

Wednesday, April 04, 2018

On the Stock Market the Federal Reserve Impersonates Dikembe Mutombo! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Barry_M_Ferguson

NBA fans will remember Dikembe Mutombo as the former defensive-minded center who carved his niche in the league by blocking shots. Upon swatting a shot away, Dikembe would shake his head ‘no’ and wag his forefinger back in forth at his opponent as admonishment for even attempting a shot near his presence.

Wednesday, April 04, 2018

Stocks, Gold and Commodities are Building a Base to Rise / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Builderadv

Wednesday, April 04, 2018

Stock Market Close Below the 200SMA is Medium-long Term Bullish for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

The S&P 500 closed below its 200 daily moving average for the first time in 442 trading days yesterday. This is actually a medium-long term bullish sign for the U.S. stock market.

This means that the S&P 500’s trend was insanely strong from the second half of 2016 to January 2018. When the market’s trend was insanely strong and subsequently makes a “small correction”, that “small correction” doesn’t turn into a bear market.

Wednesday, April 04, 2018

Improving Moving Average Systems with Andrews Pitchfork / Stock-Markets / Technical Analysis

By: Submissions

By Ron Jaenisch: In Traders world publication last year, “A Winning System” was included, by this author. The system was a 50/100 week moving average crossover system. A track record was shown that documented the systems 100% record of winning trades for the last eighty years.

Since I learned Andrews and Babson techniques, from Dr. Alan Hall Andrews at his kitchen table and use them in my own trading, I decided to experiment with the idea of combining the Pitchfork with the crossover moving average system. This article will show some of the results of this experiment.