Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Saturday, March 15, 2008
US Banking System in a Vicious Circle Ending In Systemic Financial Meltdown / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: Mike_Whitney
"It's another round of the credit crisis. Some markets are getting worse than January this time. There is fear that something dramatic will happen and that fear is feeding itself," Jesper Fischer-Nielsen, interest rate strategist at Danske Bank, Copenhagen; Reuters
Wednessday's action by the Federal Reserve proves that the banking system is insolvent and the US economy is at the brink of collapse. It also shows that the Fed is willing to intervene directly in the stock market if it keeps equities propped up. This is clearly a violation of its mandate and runs contrary to the basic tenets of a free market. Investors who shorted the market yesterday, got clobbered by the not so invisible hand of the Fed chief.
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Saturday, March 15, 2008
Forward Thinking for the Markets / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: Mike_Paulenoff
I am not the only market-watcher who has noticed that although the news seems to get progressively worse for the banks and brokers, and stress to the financial system and the Fed (lender of last resort) gets progressively more intense, the stock indices for the most part have held above their January lows. The Jan. 22 low in the Dow at 11,635, for instance, was tested Monday at 11,732, and perhaps we should consider Friday's low at 11,833 as yet another test -- amidst treacherous news and innuendo about the efficacy of Bear Stearns.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, March 15, 2008
Over Leveraged Hedge Funds Dancing with the Devil / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Hedge funds are now facing their worst crisis since the 1998 Long Term Capital meltdown. Banks are now raising their collateral requirements even on hedge funds with the best (AAA-rated) assets. Many hedge funds have made money for their wealthy investors by borrowing heavily to buy high quality mortgage securities. Their earnings were made by exploiting the spread between the interest paid on shorter-term loans and the interest earned on the longer-term mortgages. However, they figured if a little debt could magnify returns, then a lot of debt would be that much better. Until, that is, the subprime market caused a hiccup in higher-quality bonds, too. Carlyle Capital , which leveraged its portfolio 32-to-1, collapsed on Thursday after failing to come up with additional capital to protect itself from creditors seizing its assets. One domino after another is falling after the turmoil is forcing other hedge funds to come up with extra capital. The problem is, their assets are also deteriorating, as they cannot find a market, even for their higher-quality debt instruments. Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, March 15, 2008
Asian Emerging Market Stock Market Sell off Excellent Buying Opportunity / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
By: Yiannis_G_Mostrous
The current market weakness presents an excellent opportunity to buy Asian stocks.
Although the state of the US economy and the global credit crisis is gloomy, and it's on track to remain so for some time, the global financial system won't completely collapse. It seems that the US monetary policy is losing credibility, which will be difficult to restore to previous levels. But the order of the world is changing, and everyone wants to avoid total destruction.
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Friday, March 14, 2008
Big Daily SPX Stock Market Moves Indicative of Bear Markets / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Zeal_LLC
On Tuesday March 11th, the flagship S&P 500 (SPX) stock index rocketed 3.7% higher in a single trading day! This big rally proved a welcome respite for embattled stock traders. Not only did it nicely boost most sectors, but it temporarily dispelled the oppressive fog of fear billowing out of the mortgage markets.
While it was certainly a profitable day for me as a speculator, I found it far more interesting as a student of the markets. The catalyst for this particular surge as well as the extensive commentary on CNBC about how long it had been since we'd last seen a similar rally led me to ponder big SPX daily moves in general.
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Thursday, March 13, 2008
Financial Stocks Retest of Lows Looks Bullish / Stock-Markets / Banking Stocks
By: Mike_Paulenoff
Deep retest of Monday's low or another tease? Technically I have lots of indicators telling me it is the former and that the Financial Selecct SPDR (AMEX: XLF) is now in the early stages of revisiting Monday's high at 25.91 on the way to 26.50 thereafter.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, March 13, 2008
What Advice have the Big Wall Street Firms Given their Large Clients this Year ? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Marty_Chenard
The answer: Sell on rallies.
Is that what has been happening this year?
The chart below provides the answer. This chart shows the New York Stock Exchange Up-Volume plotted against the Dow Jones Industrials on a 60 minute chart going back to the beginning of the year.
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Wednesday, March 12, 2008
True Cost of This Global Banking Crisis / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: Adrian_Ash
"...If only the big central banks would sit on their hands and let this crisis work out, they could save Western taxpayers up to 98% of the potential mopping-up costs..."
HOW TO KEEP YOUR HEAD when all about you are losing theirs?
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Wednesday, March 12, 2008
How to Beat the Stock, US Dollar and Credit Market Bears / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Money_and_Markets
The recent action on Wall Street is enough to send shivers up the spine of even the biggest bull. Despite yesterday's Fed-induced rally, we have multiple bear markets closing in simultaneously, with everything from stocks to the U.S. dollar to the credit markets getting clawed to pieces.
But there is one sector that is still in a raging bull market — commodities. And the bearish action in the other markets could actually pump up commodities even more.
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Wednesday, March 12, 2008
Dow Transports Set to Trend Higher / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Paulenoff
After a morning dip on profit-taking and because of still-higher oil prices (ahead of the API report), the iShares DJ Transportation Index ETF (AMEX: IYT) pivoted to the upside and has thrust above its nearest-term resistance line at 82.40, which triggers higher projections in my work to 83.80-84.20 next, on the way to a retest of much more important resistance at 86.40/50.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, March 12, 2008
Why the Rich are Getting Poorer / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: John_Browne
As our consumer dominated economy faces the threat of imminent stagflation (economic recession and financial inflation at the same time), losses will not be limited to the poor. Many get-rich-quick investors also will become poorer!
The effects of recession, falling asset prices, insolvency, inflation and a falling dollar are set to have a sometimes devastating effect on the real value of many investment portfolios, including those of the wealthy.
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Wednesday, March 12, 2008
Fed's $200 Billion Baillout Is Positive, But Not a Cure for Credit Markets / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: Chris_Ciovacco
From a perspective of investor confidence, yesterday's move by the Federal Reserve to allow banks and brokerages to temporarily swap mortgage-backed bonds for U.S. Treasuries was important. Stock market reaction was broad based and could be the beginning of a sustained rally. However, previous moves by the Fed aimed at restoring investor confidence were quickly counteracted by more announcements of credit writedowns in the banking and brokerage sector. Therefore, to call a long term bottom in stocks with any degree of confidence you have to believe the Fed's actions will address the root cause of the problem in the credit markets. Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, March 12, 2008
George Soros and the Worst Financial Market Crisis in 60 Years / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: Clif_Droke
“Blood in the streets” is the central theme of the financial news lately. Barely a day goes by without a barrage of bad news hitting investors like a runaway freight train. In just the past few weeks in the Financial Times newspaper we see the following headlines: Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, March 12, 2008
Stock Market Leading Indicators: All Showing Major Weakness / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Donald_W_Dony
The important key leading indicators on the Dow Jones Industrial Average have one item in common now that has not been shown before; they are all displaying weakness. This unified first signals that the U.S. bear market has now moved into a stronger phase and can be expected to show more of its teeth over the next 1-2 years. Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, March 11, 2008
Nasdaq Q's Have More Room to Advance / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
By: Mike_Paulenoff
Earlier when the Q's (NASDAQ: QQQQ) were at 41.60, they had retraced just about 50% of the entire upmove from yesterday's low at 40.98 to this morning's high at 42.19, which is where they held and turned back to the upside. The initial upside exhibits bullish form, while the intraday weakness exhibits corrective form and tells me (so far) that the Q's have additional upside remaining prior to the completion of a larger developing recovery rally period. My sense is that the Q's are only partially finished with the advance, and that they will thrust towards a test of 43.00 in the upcoming hours.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, March 11, 2008
Definitive Proof The Stock Market Bear Is Alive And Well / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Captain_Hook
Well – so much for follow through. With the increase in volume in the stock market rally on Wednesday, yesterday's sell-off was a bit surprising, especially combined with the fact it was on declining volume. As mentioned yesterday however, price managers need to keep equities low going into the Fed meeting on March 11 th to justify more rate cuts, so it's not surprising to see the rally fail from this perspective. What more, it's important to note that not only do nominal rates need to fall further in aiding a failing credit cycle, but real rates need to fall more as well, meaning commodities need to cool off.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, March 11, 2008
Plan to Save the US Financial System From Collapse / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: John_Mauldin
Caroline Baum is one of my favorite financial columnists, who writes with a voice of calm reason. She writes for Bloomberg, and I encourage you to read her regularly. This week she touches on the problems in the markets and the continuing calls for government intervention.
Things are coming loose in an ever-widening array of markets in the financial world. No one is suggesting that the subprime problems will be contained, as almost every authority figure did last summer. We now know that everything is seemingly connected, a theme that I have written about for years.
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Tuesday, March 11, 2008
Stock Markets To Follow Housing and Unemployment Sharply Lower / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Ty_Andros
BEWARE: The Ides of March, aka FIRESTORM! Volatility is opportunity and we are seeing it in spades. The markets are jumping and thus creating juicy opportunities for the prepared investor. Currencies, interest rates, stocks and commodities are roaring all over the place. The moves are big but in general quite ORDERLY. This is set to continue as far as the eye can see. It also provides you with a measuring stick to how well you and your investment advisors have done in preparing to capture these opportunities and not be harmed by them. Just look at your portfolio bottom line and that will tell you whether you and your advisors get an A for excellent, something less or even an F for failure. Take note!
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Monday, March 10, 2008
UltraShort S&P Climbs to New Recovery High / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Paulenoff
Although the ProShares UltraShort Inverted SPY ETF (AMEX: SDS) has climbed to a new recovery high at 70.52 today, my work continues to warn me that unless the buyers propel the price structure into a vertical thrust right from here, the likelihood is that the SDS will reverse from the channel resistance line and make another attempt to swoon towards the 68.00 support area, which is why I don't want to be long the SDS "up here."Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, March 10, 2008
Stock Market Pricing in a Recession / Stock-Markets / Recession
By: Paul_J_Nolte
Investors are beginning to price into the markets a recession. The non-farm payroll figures out last Friday were worse than the street expected, showing a loss in jobs that for many, solidified a recessionary outlook. Calls for more rate relief from the Fed pushed the expectations for not just a half percent cut in rates later this month, but a strong likelihood of three quarters, if not a full percent cut. While a nice thing to do to get the economy going, the impact of any rate cut this month will not likely be felt until early 2009 due to the lag effect of changes in monetary policy. Read full article... Read full article...