Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Wednesday, March 26, 2008
Global Stock Markets P/E Ratio and Prospective Growth Analysis for 2008 / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The sharp drops in global stock markets has led to a fall in the current price earnings ratio's, however this fall needs to be tempered against lower GDP and earnings growth forecasts as the sharp US economic slowdown will impact most economies to varying degrees, shaving between 1.5% to 3% off the growth rates of many emerging markets.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, March 26, 2008
Stock Market Technical's and Fundamentals Remain Weak / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
By: Chris_Ciovacco
While there is no question stocks are trying to form what market technicians call a double bottom, not much has really changed in recent weeks in terms of market leadership. It is helpful to take a step back and see what is actually happening from both a technical and fundamental perspective when times are uncertain and people are continually asking, "Has the market found a bottom?"Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, March 26, 2008
Unwinding of the "Yen Carry Trade" is Bearish for Global Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Yen Carry Trade
By: Donald_W_Dony
Global equity traders had, for many years, a ready source of funds at almost no interest charge. Traders have been shorting the Yen and using the funds to purchase stocks, currencies and high-yielding securities around the world. However, as of mid-2007, that "free bank account" is becoming more and more costly. The Yen carry trade is starting to unwind with very negative results for stocks. Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, March 25, 2008
Dow Transports Signaling More Bullish Times Ahead / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Paulenoff
The iShares DJ Transportation Index ETF (AMEX: IYT) continues to act as though oil prices are considerably lower than $101/bbl and that the U.S. economy is hitting on more cylinders than currently perceived. Let's note with interest that crude oil prices ENDED their prior correction ($86) during the third week of January, which also coincided with the corrective low in the IYT at 71.62, and since then oil prices have climbed to a $111.80 high, while the IYT has continued to climb as well.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, March 25, 2008
Media Ignores China Stock Market's Precipitous 40% Drop! / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
By: Marty_Chenard
I received an email from someone watching CNBC's Cramer last night. He said that Cramer was bullish about yesterday's market movement because the financials were leading yesterday's up move.
I won't say that the banking sector is devoid of strength ... because yesterday, 69% of the sector's stocks had a Relative Strength reading of 50 or higher. 31% had a Relative Strength reading below 50.
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Tuesday, March 25, 2008
Global Stock Market Forecasts and Outlook for 2008 / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Given current uncertainty and volatility, it is more difficult than usual to project an outlook for the global stock markets 12 months forward, therefore to be able to generate an outlook there is first a need to arrive at key assumptions that will impact on stock prices going forward before I turn my attention to the technical picture contained within the stock charts.
Key Assumptions
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Tuesday, March 25, 2008
Bernanke's Credit Crisis "Nuclear Option" / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: Money_and_Markets
Seven days and 12 hours after Fed Chairman Bernanke's history-breaking actions, while financial markets continue to gyrate wildly, market pundits continue to debate madly.
Their incessant question: Why?
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Tuesday, March 25, 2008
Bear Stearns Saga / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: Regent_Markets
Just when you think a trend has been established, the market throws you a wrench and totally changes the whole picture. Before the markets even opened, the Bear Stearns saga hit its highest note, with JP Morgan offering $2 per share for Bear Stearns, and the latter accepting, mainly because the only other option was Bankruptcy.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, March 25, 2008
Stock Market Bulls vs Bears- The Battle Rages On! / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Michael_Nystrom
If you're reading this, you're probably like me in this respect: Watching the market try to make up its mind is fun, the same way that watching a game is. The best part about this game is that you don't have to wait until Sunday – it is always on, and there is no shortage of pre- and post game analysis. True, it is always the same two teams – the Bulls vs. Bears, but each day they go at it with a vengeance, and recently the games have been nail biters! Furthermore (and perhaps the very best part) is that there is absolutely nothing illegal about placing bets on your favorite team for both fun and profit. In fact, you're encouraged to do just that. Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, March 25, 2008
Nasdaq Breaks Out from Base Formation Whilst Onslaught Against Gold Continues / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Mike_Paulenoff
The Q's emerged from a three-week base formation today, breaking above key
near-term resistance at 43.40/50, and then following through to attack the
next important resistance plateau at 44.50/70. My overall pattern and
oscillator work indicate that the Q's are poised to climb t 46.00 in the
upcoming hours/days, and at that point we will find out if the price
structure has established lows for the year.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, March 24, 2008
The End Of The Financial World As We Know It? / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: Captain_Hook
The end of the world as we know it is coming. That's right – according to the flamboyantly named Ambrose Evans-Pritchard – where it's likely a challenge just attempting to live up to his name – life as we know it is about to change – big time . And while I in fact agree with this assessment in terms of inevitabilities, at the same time putting this sentiment together with a perceived widening acceptance financials are all toast, it appears time to put on our contrarian's hat again, especially with the business cycle for financials set to turn positive in mere days. This means based on a growing number of pivotal factors (sentiment, cycles, and technicals), and as evidenced by the price action in the market over the past few days, we are growing increasingly skeptical stocks will swoon much further in the immediate future, not before an exhaustion of negative forces set for this month cause a sharp reversal higher. Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, March 24, 2008
New Recovery Upleg Signalled for Semi-Conductor Holder Stocks ETF / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
By: Mike_Paulenoff
Breakout above 30.00 for the Semiconductor HLDRs (AMEX: SMH) is a very constructive sign and should signal the emergence of a new recovery upleg off of the January low at 26.54 that projects to the 31.50-32.00 target zone next. Components ADI, INTC, AMAT, NSM, among others, exhibit very positive chart patterns that should help propel the SMH higher in the days ahead.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, March 24, 2008
Banks Bleeding Value And Hiding Desperation as US Housing Slump Continues / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: Ronald_R_Cooke
The decline in fixed asset values continues. Homes. Shopping Centers. Commercial and industrial properties. Land. And the decline is not done. Not by a long shot.
Residential Housing
Let's look at the decline in residential housing valuations.
Monday, March 24, 2008
Stock Market In the Process of Making Important Low / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Election years that fall in the 8th year of the Decennial pattern call for consolidation in the early part of the year followed by a strong finish. But the 6-yr cycle which is scheduled to bottom in late Summer/early Fall could also play a restraining role, followed by an eventual bull market top in 2009-2010.
SPX: Intermediate trend - an extended intermediate-term consolidation is in the process of ending and may already have ended.
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Sunday, March 23, 2008
Words from the Investment Wise for the Week that Was (23rd March)-Part2 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Prieur_du_Plessis
Continued from Part 1
Ambrose Evans-Pritchard (Telegraph): Foreign investors veto Fed rescue
“As feared, foreign bond holders have begun to exercise a collective vote of no confidence in the devaluation policies of the US government. The Federal Reserve faces a potential veto of its rescue measures.
“Asian, Mid East and European investors stood aside at last week's auction of 10-year US Treasury notes. ‘It was a disaster,' said Ray Attrill from 4castweb. ‘We may be close to the point where the uglier consequences of benign neglect towards the currency are revealed.'
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Sunday, March 23, 2008
Words from the Investment Wise for the Week that Was (23rd March)- Part 1 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Prieur_du_Plessis
Phew – what a tumultuous week! Once again, the fall-out of the subprime mess had a lot to do with it. For some variety, however, it was not only financial's that were in the limelight, but also commodities that corrected sharply.
Unrelated to St Patrick's Day, the week started off with a sense of fear for a market meltdown after it had been announced over the weekend that the Federal Reserve of New York facilitated the sale of Bear Stearns (BSC) to JP Morgan Chase (JPM) for the princely sum of $2.00 per share.
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Sunday, March 23, 2008
Market Update: Da Numbas! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Dominick
S&P - You didn't need to be a bull back in January to buy the exact low in the Socgen situation and we did, and you didn't have to necessarily be long term bullish to do it again this week. All it really took was to be unbiased at the very moment of that low, which is impossible to do if you are dancing from free chatroom to chatroom looking for someone else's trade or idea. Nor can you do it by listening to other services that have been consistently bearish for the last few years.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, March 23, 2008
Stock Market Volatility Peaks Near Bear Market Lows / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Mike_Burk
The good news is: It is likely last Monday's low will mark the low point for the next several weeks.
Short Term
Last Monday there were 477 new lows on the NASDAQ, about the same as there were near the lows of last August, but substantially fewer than the 877 at the January low. Every day for the remainder of the week had less than half as many new lows as Monday.
Saturday, March 22, 2008
Credit Crisis Thoughts- Fed Bear Stearns Action Saved Trillions in Losses / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: John_Mauldin
- Thoughts on the Continuing Crisis
- Margin Clerks of the World, Unite!
- Where Do We Find New Sources of Credit?
- In Defense of Alan Greenspan
- What Now for Gold, Oil, Etc?
My essay in Outside the Box last Monday seemed to ignite a lot of response in the blogosphere. My basic contention was that the Fed had to act to facilitate the sale of Bear to prevent a meltdown in the markets. Many agreed, but others said Bear should have been left to hang, pointing out that a thorough cleansing is what is needed. Others scoffed at the notion that allowing Bear to fail would have created a massive stock market sell-off. This week we will reexamine that concept, look at the drop in gold and commodities, come to the defense of Alan Greenspan (which should be food for a little more controversy), and think through to the end game of the economic crisis.
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Saturday, March 22, 2008
A Reply to John Mauldin's Outside The Box - Let's Get Real About Bear / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: Mick_Phoenix
An Occasional Letter From The Collection Agency - I have been, and still am, a long time fan of John Mauldin (JM). I enjoy his take on the bigger picture, even if there are areas I disagree with, from time to time. Generally my disagreements are more to do with the severity of a particular problem or the benefits of a highlight. For instance, JM might allude to a recession but think that it will be mild and happen over a certain time scale, fitting his “muddle through” model. I would agree with the talk of recession but not necessarily the depth, timing or effect. You get the point. Read full article... Read full article...