Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, September 18, 2008
Precarious Global Financial Position Set to Worsen / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
Despite the incessant, nauseating calls for a bottom in real estate and banks, financial firms now find themselves in their most vulnerable conditions since the credit crisis began last summer. Just this week alone we were given three data points that help underscore just how precarious a situation these companies are in.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, September 17, 2008
Global Financial Seizure, Massive Flight to Safety, Gold Soars / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Gold bulls have something to smile about today as it is soaring by more than $50 in the wake of renewed financial seizures. The markets have greeted the news Nationalization of AIG: Treasury to get 80% stake in return for $85 billion with a bang.Treasury Secretary Paulson has been on the phone all day assuring multiple countries Don't Worry, The Banking System Is Sound .
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Wednesday, September 17, 2008
Credit Crisis Reaches Boiling Point: Buy Gold Now! / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
There could be heroes that emerge in the market tumult, but I urge you not to try to be one of them.
Financial markets around the world are now fraught with uncertainty and fragility. The cemetery of those who have lost their shirts trying to call "the bottom" is rapidly running out of vacant grave sites.
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Wednesday, September 17, 2008
Comrade Bernanke and the Socialist Republic of the United States / Stock-Markets / Nationalization
By nationalizing nearly 80% of AIG for $85 billion, the Fed is doing a lot more than simply flushing taxpayer money down the toilet. The greater wrong is allowing the agency that has the power to print money to take control of a private enterprise, especially without the approval of the company's shareholders. The move represents the largest lurch toward socialism that this country has ever seen, and signals the end of the vibrancy of America's once vaunted free market economy. Since there is no limit to the amount of money the Fed can create, there is no limit to the number of assets they can acquire.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, September 17, 2008
Financial Markets Fear and Uncertainty Remain After AIG Bailout / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
"The U.S. government seized control of American International Group Inc. -- one of the world's biggest insurers -- in an $85 billion deal that signaled the intensity of its concerns about the danger a collapse could pose to the financial system. The step marks a dramatic turnabout for the federal government, which had been strongly resisting overtures from AIG for an emergency loan or some intervention that would prevent the insurer from falling into bankruptcy. Just last weekend, the government essentially pulled the plug on Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc., allowing the big investment bank to go under instead of giving it financial support." Wall Street Journal, 9/16/2008Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, September 17, 2008
Paulson- Don't Worry, The Banking System Is Sound / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
Dateline July 21, 2008Paulson: U.S. Banking System Fundamentally Sound
"Our banking system is a safe and a sound one."
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Wednesday, September 17, 2008
Investing in Credit Chaos, the Financial Storm is Here / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
All the Swans Are BLACKSaturdays and Sundays
Used to be fun
Weekends were holidays
Perhaps time in the sun
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Tuesday, September 16, 2008
Nasdaq Q's Signaling Technical Bottom / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
In a "normal" market environment, if the Q's exhibited the current technical set-up that shows a glaring positive momentum divergence, the form of a completed downleg from the 8/15 high at 48.57 into the AM's low at 41.41, and a rally (today) that has subdivided into what I interpret as a bullish "recovery form," I would be very enticed to enter a new long position. In fact, our model portfolio is long based on the explained technical set-up. HOWEVER, we all know that this is not a normal market.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 16, 2008
Stock Markets Comparison Against the 1930's Depression / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
Analog Comparisons - The term analog is rooted in the word analogy , which for our purposes is being used with reference to an analog signal measuring a variable signal that is continuous (similar) in amplitude and time. In terms of analyzing the financial markets, and how price movements have a tendency to repeat in terms of pattern (amplitude) and time, it is this understanding that was the primary precept in the work of W. D. Gann , which to this day remains THE comprehensive / definitive template to unlocking the mystery of how markets work. The primary understanding then, is that price movements in markets have a tendency to repeat in pattern and time.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 16, 2008
Wall Street is Screaming BUY Emerging Market Stocks / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
Tony Sagami writes: Wow — talk about a disaster. Bad news at AIG, Lehman, and throughout the financial sector led to a world-class pummeling on Wall Street. The Dow lost more than 504 points, while the S&P 500 dropped more than 4.6%, the worst single-day decline since right after the 9/11 terrorist attacks.
Definitely stay tuned to Money and Markets for more updates on where we're going next.
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Tuesday, September 16, 2008
Financial and Credit Markets Seizure / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
Distrust between banks is growing. They are all wondering "who's next". Fear of an AIG implosion is on everyone's mind. But what to do about it? See The Crime In Buying AIG Time for some non-solutions that will put Life insurance policies, retirement annuities, and the like at risk just so AIG can make good on a bunch of derivative bets gone bad.LIBOR Soars Amid Global Credit Seizure
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Tuesday, September 16, 2008
The Death of Wall Street- Protect Yourself from the Banks / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
Searching for SanityWall Street's business model is broken. The high stakes game of Russian Roulette which Wall Street never seemed to lose, is taking them down one by one. Commercial banks aren't in much better shape either. In fact, the business model of the entire financial system is broken. And the pain is only going to get worse.
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Tuesday, September 16, 2008
Stocks Bear Market Risk and Gold Bottoming / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Tuesday likely will be another pivotal day for equities, with Goldman Sachs earnings due out before the opening bell, and at 2:15 PM ET, the FOMC decision. Some people already are calling for a rate cut of 50 bps (to 1.50%) in order, I suspect, to allay investor fears in the aftermath of the Fed refusing to throw more money at companies with ugly balance sheets and bad debts.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, September 15, 2008
Credit Crisis Developments Explained - China Cut Short-Term Interest Rates / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
There appears to be a good deal of opacity in what the Fed has said on Sunday regarding a broadening of the collateral it is willing to hold on short-term emergency loans to primary dealers. The exotic financial instruments created this week-end by the Fed are very difficult to price. The effects are less contained than in the past and they are larger given that they emanate from the subprime crisis and directly affect the net worth of households.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, September 15, 2008
Lehman's Bankruptcy the Ultimate Wall Street Derivatives Defaults Nightmare / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
Martin D. Weiss writes: In the wake of Lehman's demise, Fed Chairman Bernanke and Treasury Secretary Paulson will try to put out the word that it's no great trauma.
But it's a lie and they know it. If they openly admitted that the Lehman collapse will paralyze Wall Street, torpedo the stock market and sink the economy, they'd have to pony up $100 billion or more to support it. Instead, their agenda was to push big banks to put up the money. And they failed to do so.
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Monday, September 15, 2008
The Death of Wall Street -Part 1 / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Although not yet official, the verdict is on the way. Bear Stearns led the death march a few months ago. Now, Lehman's bankruptcy filing signals the halfway mark of what will end up being the death of Wall Street. Now Goldman Sachs stands alone as the sole remaining true Wall Street firm.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, September 15, 2008
Stock Markets Fizzle Out After Freddie and Fannie Bailout Rally / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
A week that showed so much promise ended up being a huge let down. A lot of ink was spent on the take over of Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae by the US government, and it allowed equity markets around the world to open the first trading day up 3%. This sadly didn't last, as traders realized quickly that this take over was akin to putting a band-aid over a third degree burn; it was not a long term solutionRead full article... Read full article...
Sunday, September 14, 2008
Bailouts Killing Free Market Capitalism / Stock-Markets / Government Intervention
Back on August 1, I asked the question: "When is enough, enough?" I wrote:
It seems like every week we get another borrower bailout initiative.
Or another multi-billion dollar package of legislation.
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Sunday, September 14, 2008
Stock Markets Close to Making an Intermediate Low / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
The good news is: We are close to an intermediate term low.
Short Term The market is overbought. The chart below covers the past 3 months showing the S&P 500 (SPX) in red and an indicator showing the percentage of the last 3 days that have been up (%UP) in black. Dashed vertical lines have been drawn on the 1st trading day of each month.
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Saturday, September 13, 2008
Definitive Guide to Financial Markets Trading / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
The Ultimate in Tactical Price Forecasting – Bar None When it comes to strategically trading broad market equity indices profitably, there is simply no match for Elliott Wave Technology's Near Term Outlook . We respectfully challenge any short-term advisory or software generated algorithms to improve upon or better optimize the efficiency of tactical trading dynamics we dispatch daily for the Dow, S&P, or NDX.Read full article... Read full article...