Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Saturday, September 06, 2008
Global Stock Markets, Commodities, and the Economic Downturn / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
By: Tim_Wood
Back in 2006 and 2007 everywhere we turned we heard about China and their enormous consumption of commodities and why the Chinese were largely responsible for fueling the commodity boom. During this same time, we were seeing one of the longest extensions of the 4-year cycle in US stock market history. Then, between July and October of 2007 we began to see a Dow theory non-confirmation occur. By November this non-confirmation had evolved into a full blown orthodox Dow theory bearish trend change. Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, September 06, 2008
Counter Trend Stock Index Futures Position Trading / Stock-Markets / Futures Trading
By: Joseph_Russo
Semi-Generational Long Haul is Toast: For one reason or another, Fibonacci time intervals of 34-units have maintained an excellent record of accomplishment over the past 150 years in identifying semi-generational peaks and troughs in the major equity indices. 1857-1891, 1932-1966, and 1974-2008 each represent 34-year long-haul bull market runs, all of which ended with 3, 5, or 8 years of bear market declines. If 150-years of pristine history are any guide, the current bear market will (at minimum) continue running its course through 2011, 2013, or 2016 prior to an absolute low marking its eventual bottom.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, September 05, 2008
Stocks Bear Market is Smashing Everything- Shorting the Rallies / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Michael_Swanson
On Thursday the DOW fell over 300 points. I made a killing on my short positions, but gold stocks fell hard too. Luckily I got stopped out for a small loss the day before, but nonetheless I don't like seeing gold and commodities drop at all here. The bear is acting worse than even I had expected and is now smashing everything in sight. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, September 05, 2008
Stock Market Panics Into September, a Historically Bad Month / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Prieur_du_Plessis
Many reports have been published over the past few days about stock market seasonality and, specifically, about September typically being the worst month of the year.
I included the following paragraph in a recent post : “Seasonality indicates that ‘September has firmly secured the rank as the worst month of the year' ( Stock Trader's Almanac ), but that a year-end rally typically starts in late September / early October.”
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Friday, September 05, 2008
Financial Markets Monthly Analysis and Stock Pick / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Christopher_Quigley
The markets continue to be range bound with the Dow Jones Industrias bouncing between 11,000 and 11,750.
The S&P 500 is caught between the 1220 and the 1300 level. In both cases this containment has prevailed since July and indicates the lack of conviction by the major players. Obviously nobody is convinced yet that the credit crisis is over.
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Friday, September 05, 2008
Stocks Bear Market Trend Resumption Alert! / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Hans_Wagner
If you want to learn to invest, one of the best ways is to follow the trend. Following the trend is a proven way to beat the market and grow your stock portfolio. Basic technical analysis provides the tools to identify and follow the trends of the market as determined by the S&P 500. It is best to begin with the big picture in mind and then work our way down to weekly and then daily views of the charts. You will notice that the chart and the value of the indicators change as we move from a monthly to a weekly and then a daily chart.
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Thursday, September 04, 2008
Stock Market SPY Likely to Break Below July Low / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Mike_Paulenoff
From a swing move perspective, the fact that the S&P 500 Depository Receipts (AMEX: SPY) have violated 125.55/50 indicates that the current decline off of Tuesday's rally peak at 130.71 should accelerate lower to test and likely violate the 7/28 low at 123.42 on the way to 122.40/30 next. Any recovery rally effort is unlikely to be able to penetrate resistance above 126.30/50 prior to hitting 122.40/30 first.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, September 04, 2008
Stock & Commodity Futures Markets Analysis / Stock-Markets / Futures Trading
By: INO
The September NASDAQ 100 was lower overnight as it extends this week's decline. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If September extends this week's decline, the reaction low crossing at 1801.75 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 1908.45 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted. Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, September 04, 2008
FDIC To Raid Federal Reserve Coffers / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: Money_Morning
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: The "Bailout Bens" are at it again.
I'm talking, of course, about U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke, who's clearly decided it will be " bailouts for all ."
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Wednesday, September 03, 2008
In the Eye of the Storm of the Credit Crisis Hurricane / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: John_Browne
As we enter the height of the hurricane season, it may be worthwhile to recall, when considering the economy at large, the particular deception that lurks in the “eye” of the storm. After a raging tempest, the sudden appearance of the calm ‘eye’ can all too easily encourage people to leave their shelter in order to assess and even repair damage, exposing themselves to the often more devastating second leg of the hurricane. Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, September 03, 2008
Stock Market Crash Opportunities, Broken Printing Presses, Cattle and Hogs / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Paul_Lamont
As we mentioned two months ago , a speculative commodity bust would fit with the onset of a deflationary collapse. During the month of July, commodities began this correction with the largest monthly decline in 28 years . They are still falling. Similarly, Lombard Street Research 's measure of M3 fell in July the most on record (since 1959). The chart of the percentage change in money growth is below. Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, September 03, 2008
Stock Market Bears Ready to Strike During September / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Michael_Swanson
We just had the summer rally. You may have missed it, but the S&P 500 managed to finish the month of August up a whopping 1.1% while the Nasdaq ended with a gain of 1.8%. You might detect some sarcasm here and there is a bit. You see despite the lack of conviction in the market action many people are calling for a new bull market in the financial media and on TV.
This week's Barrons has a story titled The Reluctant Bulls. It quotes Francois Trahan as saying that the "the US is the best stock market to be in." He claims that oil is going into a bear market, wage growth is shrinking and therefore inflation should fade. Combine that with interest rate cuts made by the Fed earlier this year that should begin to kick in to the economy and you have a recipe for "reviving domestic economic prospects," he says.
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Wednesday, September 03, 2008
Once in 100 Years Credit Crisis, World Heads for Deflationary Collapse / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: Dr_William_R_Swagell
“The credit crunch of the past year has not followed the path of recent economically debilitating episodes characterized by a temporary freezing up of liquidity ─ 1982, 1989, 1997-8 come to mind. This crisis is different ─ a once or twice in a century event deeply rooted in fears of insolvency of major financial institutions.
This crisis was not brought to a closure by the world's central banks' injection of huge doses of short-term liquidity.
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Wednesday, September 03, 2008
Sectors Rotating into Recession as Credit Contraction Deepens / Stock-Markets / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Kurt_Kasun
Things are about to get really bad. Rotating bubbles are now becoming rotating sector recessions as the positive feedback loops, created as money and credit growth ballooned over the last 25 years, have reversed and are now becoming negative feedback loops. I expect to see those 25 years of excesses to dramatically unwind over the course of the next few years. The evaporation of paper wealth will be breathtaking. A "buy on the dips" mentality has been replaced by "sell on the rallies." Declining house values will further hinder the finance sector which will impede the real economy, causing asset prices to further plunge. The tipping point for debt creation's positive impact has been reached and we can expect economic convulsions similar to what a drug addict experiences after kicking the habit "cold turkey." Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 02, 2008
Nasdaq Q's Trying to Break out of Dowtrend / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
By: Mike_Paulenoff
After 90 minutes of trading, let's notice that the Q's have put in an intraday high so far at 47.07 which is right at the down trendline off of the 8/15 high, and which preserves the down-channel as well. From a strict technical perspective, as long as the 47.00 to 47.30 resistance zone continues to put a lid on strength, the near-term downtrend from mid-Aug will remain the dominant direction. Should the Q's continue to slide, a break below 46.30 will argue that the bulls have given up today's attempt to reverse and to sustain near-term trend direction.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 02, 2008
Global Stock Markets Decimated: China Retraces 75% of Gains of Last 3 years / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
By: Prieur_du_Plessis
“All the things they said would happen to you
Don't you know they're all coming true
Goin' nowhere fast
“Nothing's strange as when it seems
You're living out all your worst possible dreams
Goin' nowhere fast”
Sunday, August 31, 2008
Stock Market Dead Cat Bounce —What to do... / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Money_and_Markets
Martin Weiss writes: Don't let last weeks rally in the Dow fool you. There are two crucial reasons why I'm convinced it was nothing more than a dead-cat bounce:
First, it was on extremely light volume. With most of Wall Street traders already on their Labor Day vacations, a handful of traders can easily move the market no matter how dire the underlying fundamentals are.
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Sunday, August 31, 2008
Credit Crisis Set to Intensify as Economies Begin to Crumble / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: Prieur_du_Plessis
The gyrations of financial markets ahead of the Labor Day weekend tested the patience of bulls and bears alike. As big swings took place in thinly-traded markets, I was reminded of Albert Schweitzer's words: “As we acquire more knowledge, things do not become more comprehensible but more mysterious.”
None the wiser, I also did not succeed in capturing a leprechaun and finding the gold during my visit last week to the Emerald Isle. However, the beautiful Irish scenery, hospitality and “open for business” attitude resulted in a very successful trip and will keep me going back in search of the “buried treasure”.
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Sunday, August 31, 2008
Credit Crisis Financial Armageddon / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: Christopher_Laird
Where are we now in the credit crisis, and why isn't the massive Fed and ECB weekly lending working to loosen interbank lending? Why is the credit crisis not really improving? Where is this going next? We describe what may happen next as Credit Crisis II in this article.
Now that the credit crisis that started in 2007 is a year old, there has been a debate about whether the financial system will recover, or will the Western/world financial system end up like the Japanese financial system after the stock and real estate crashes in the 1990's. In that case, the Japanese banks more or less carried their tremendous losses for ten years, and Japan entered a mild but painful decade of deflation. To this day, Japan is battling some of the deflationary forces from that time.
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Sunday, August 31, 2008
Fed Imposes Financial Sector Imperialism over US Economy / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
By: Mike_Whitney
Michael Hudson: "Greenspan saw his job as a cheerleader for people who were able to get rich fast; sort of like a pilot fish for sharks" Mike Whitney Interviews Michael Hudson
1 Mike Whitney: The United States current account deficit is roughly $700 billion. That is enough "borrowed" capital to pay the yearly $120 billion cost of the war in Iraq, the entire $450 billion Pentagon budget, and Bush's tax cuts for the rich. Why does the rest of the world keep financing America's militarism via the current account deficit or is it just the unavoidable consequence of currency deregulation, "dollar hegemony" and globalization?
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