Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, September 08, 2008
Financial Markets Make Stunning Reversals Following Fannie and Freddie Takeover / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
I went to bed at 4:00 AM. At the time....
- Treasuries were absolutely getting crucified
- The Dollar was sinking vs. the Euro
- Nasdaq Futures were up 40 points
- S&P Futures were up 38 points
- Gold was soaring
Monday, September 08, 2008
Stock Market at Risk of Significant Decline Until the End of October / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
Current Position of the Market
Long-term trend - The Dow Jones Industrials may be deviating from their typical decennial pattern in an election year. Important cycles going into the Fall could be the reason for this, but one also has to consider the possibility that the downward pressure from the 120-yr cycle, which is due to make its low in 2012-2014, has begun to take effect and that October 2007 was the top of the bull market. This is not yet confirmed and remains only a possibility.
SPX: Intermediate trend - Last week's action suggests that the intermediate trend correction has not yet run its course.
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Monday, September 08, 2008
How the Credit Disaster Is Now Spreading, Next Dominos to Fall / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
Martin D. Weiss writes: We are busy preparing for Hurricane Ike. Everyone in Florida knows what to do. And hopefully, it will pass us by.
But the financial pandemic that's spreading to the entire economy is another matter entirely.
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Monday, September 08, 2008
Stock Market Over Valued, Over Bought ETF's and Emerging Market Bargains / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
Bill King (The King Report): Albert Edwards – economic and equity market meltdown imminent“Last week saw the publication of Q2 US whole economy profits data. They were shockingly bad. Core measures of profitability are in free-fall and have now reached a tipping point, where corporate activity could easily implode. We have also reached the point where companies give up ‘manipulating' their profits higher and admit they are actually in free-fall. A combination of economic and reported profits slumping will catalyse the next equity downleg.”
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Monday, September 08, 2008
Financial Tsunami Sweeps Across World Economies / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
Investors not only returned to a shortened trading week after the Labor Day holiday on Monday, but also to a bruising on stock markets, at least for those with long equity positions.
Concerns about the global economic outlook and continued financial duress spooked bourses around the world, with a number of other factors also adding to investors' nervousness. In particular, Pimco's Bill Gross, the manager of the world's largest bond fund, said the US needed to step up and buy assets to avoid a “financial tsunami” (Bill is renowned for talking his book on occasion!), Dwight Anderson's big Ospraie commodity hedge fund closed after suffering large losses, and Russia was selling foreign currency reserves to prop up the rouble after foreign capital fled the country following Russia's invasion of Georgia.
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Sunday, September 07, 2008
The End of Fannie and Freddie Pushes PIMCO into Deep Trouble! / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Welcome to the Weekly Report. This week we look at the end of Fannie and Freddie and ponder why PIMCO are screaming for help.
Regular readers may have noticed that the Weekly Report hasn't been available on the excellent Safehaven.com or The Market Oracle since July. Nothing sinister to report, I just thought that subscribers deserved a bit of added value and some excellent TA on the direction of gold.
Sunday, September 07, 2008
Gold Boosted by the Greatest Financial Collapse in History / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
Gold Bugs, this week around the world, will be joining together to celebrate the greatest financial collapse in history, past or future. In bureaucrat-speak, a conservatorship for FNM & FRE is being created. However, Gold Bugs know a duck when they see one. Part of that celebration will be our heartfelt thanks for those at Federal Reserve. In this week's chart we recount the glory of that institution.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, September 07, 2008
Paulson Moves to Prevent Financial System Collapse / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
The GSE deal has been announced. Here is the Statement by Secretary Paulson on Treasury and FHFA Action to Protect Financial Markets and Taxpayers .The title of the statement suggests two things.
1. This agreement will not reduce risk on the financial markets
2. This agreement will not protect the taxpayer
Let's take a look at excerpts to see how long it takes to verify that cynicism.
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Sunday, September 07, 2008
Government Manipulation Vs Market Forces / Stock-Markets / Government Intervention
Jack Crooks writes: In America, times like these don't come around often. Usually, Americans are blessed with economic prosperity. Enduring periods of stagnant or shrinking economic growth are exceptions to the rule.
There's a big reason we've been so fortunate ... something often referred to as the market process. Contrary to what the current Federal Reserve or U.S. Treasury might have you believe, it is this naturally occurring progression that keeps the markets functioning the way they ought to function — free of interference.
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Saturday, September 06, 2008
Financial Markets Boyz are Back in Town / Stock-Markets / Futures Trading
Volume finally started to pick up this week, but it was all downhill for several days after opening Tuesday morning over 1300 on the S&P 500. Though we had some targets for a move higher, we've been skeptical of gap openings in either direction for the past several months and, as usual, looked to see the market set up a trade for us rather than guessing or assuming. The last two updates included important numbers we'd use to gauge price action and plan our trades. Among them were 1306, 1264, and 1292.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, September 06, 2008
Institutional Investors Stock Market Core Holdings Warning of Severe Downtrend / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
You know the reality ... Institutional Investors have the directional control over the markets because they are responsible for 50% to 70%+ of the stock market's volume on any given day.
Below is a chart showing the "top core holdings index" held by the large Institutional Investors. Take a quick look at it ... what do you see?
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Saturday, September 06, 2008
Stock Markets Expected to Rally from Oversold State / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
The good news is: We are close to or at an intermediate term low.
Short Term In the past month NASDAQ upside volume has declined from, close to, the high for the year to, close to, the low for the year.
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Saturday, September 06, 2008
Global Stock Markets, Commodities, and the Economic Downturn / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
Back in 2006 and 2007 everywhere we turned we heard about China and their enormous consumption of commodities and why the Chinese were largely responsible for fueling the commodity boom. During this same time, we were seeing one of the longest extensions of the 4-year cycle in US stock market history. Then, between July and October of 2007 we began to see a Dow theory non-confirmation occur. By November this non-confirmation had evolved into a full blown orthodox Dow theory bearish trend change.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, September 06, 2008
Counter Trend Stock Index Futures Position Trading / Stock-Markets / Futures Trading
Semi-Generational Long Haul is Toast: For one reason or another, Fibonacci time intervals of 34-units have maintained an excellent record of accomplishment over the past 150 years in identifying semi-generational peaks and troughs in the major equity indices. 1857-1891, 1932-1966, and 1974-2008 each represent 34-year long-haul bull market runs, all of which ended with 3, 5, or 8 years of bear market declines. If 150-years of pristine history are any guide, the current bear market will (at minimum) continue running its course through 2011, 2013, or 2016 prior to an absolute low marking its eventual bottom.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, September 05, 2008
Stocks Bear Market is Smashing Everything- Shorting the Rallies / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
On Thursday the DOW fell over 300 points. I made a killing on my short positions, but gold stocks fell hard too. Luckily I got stopped out for a small loss the day before, but nonetheless I don't like seeing gold and commodities drop at all here. The bear is acting worse than even I had expected and is now smashing everything in sight.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, September 05, 2008
Stock Market Panics Into September, a Historically Bad Month / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
Many reports have been published over the past few days about stock market seasonality and, specifically, about September typically being the worst month of the year.
I included the following paragraph in a recent post : “Seasonality indicates that ‘September has firmly secured the rank as the worst month of the year' ( Stock Trader's Almanac ), but that a year-end rally typically starts in late September / early October.”
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Friday, September 05, 2008
Financial Markets Monthly Analysis and Stock Pick / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
The markets continue to be range bound with the Dow Jones Industrias bouncing between 11,000 and 11,750.
The S&P 500 is caught between the 1220 and the 1300 level. In both cases this containment has prevailed since July and indicates the lack of conviction by the major players. Obviously nobody is convinced yet that the credit crisis is over.
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Friday, September 05, 2008
Stocks Bear Market Trend Resumption Alert! / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
If you want to learn to invest, one of the best ways is to follow the trend. Following the trend is a proven way to beat the market and grow your stock portfolio. Basic technical analysis provides the tools to identify and follow the trends of the market as determined by the S&P 500.It is best to begin with the big picture in mind and then work our way down to weekly and then daily views of the charts. You will notice that the chart and the value of the indicators change as we move from a monthly to a weekly and then a daily chart.
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Thursday, September 04, 2008
Stock Market SPY Likely to Break Below July Low / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
From a swing move perspective, the fact that the S&P 500 Depository Receipts (AMEX: SPY) have violated 125.55/50 indicates that the current decline off of Tuesday's rally peak at 130.71 should accelerate lower to test and likely violate the 7/28 low at 123.42 on the way to 122.40/30 next. Any recovery rally effort is unlikely to be able to penetrate resistance above 126.30/50 prior to hitting 122.40/30 first.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, September 04, 2008
Stock & Commodity Futures Markets Analysis / Stock-Markets / Futures Trading
The September NASDAQ 100 was lower overnight as it extends this week's decline. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If September extends this week's decline, the reaction low crossing at 1801.75 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 1908.45 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted.Read full article... Read full article...