Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, September 23, 2008
Credit Crisis Analysis and Conclusions / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: John_Mauldin
This week we look at a very solid piece of analysis on the world economy from my friends and London business partners Niels Jensen and Jan Wilhelmsen of Absolute Return Partners ( www.arpllp.com ). I find it is quite useful to read the considered opinions of those from outside the US and particularly from people who have developed keen insight from years in the trenches. Niels and Jan are certainly in that category. The world economy is clearly out of balance and they point out where some of the opportunities and problems lie. I think you will find this edition of Outside the Box quite useful. If you care to, you can write them at info@arpllp.com . Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, September 22, 2008
Dead Zombie Banks Rise From Their Financial Graves / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis Bailouts
By: V_Clark
The Return of the Mutant Flying Pigs -
Things are getting curiouser and curiouser. This Friday, in a new financial landscape dreamed up by Salvador Dali in collaboration with Troma films, the banking dead were rising from their graves and financial stock zombies were seen stumbling through the trading day with the disjointed, uncertain gait of trauma victims being forced to take a long march when they would rather take a nice ride on a gurney.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, September 22, 2008
Paulson's Bold Bailout Plan Supportive of a Stock Market Bottom / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis Bailouts
By: Paul_J_Nolte
Trust me, I'm from the government and I'm here to help. In essence, those words are exactly what Treasury Secretary Paulson is saying in laying out the bailout of the banking system. He would have rein over hiring of managers to purchase the debt and be able to do so as needed without oversight from any other part of government. While desperate times require desperate measures, this might be a bit too desperate. The limit on national debt will be raised by nearly $1 trillion and gives the Treasury the authority to buy up to $700 billion in mortgage related assets. While there are few worries if the plan works, the proposal severely hamstrings the government to act on any other issue that may come up and is likely to increase government borrowing over the coming two years from sources that are already up to their eyeballs in our paper.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, September 22, 2008
Deleveraging Delusions, Denial, and Disorder / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: Captain_Hook
When first conceptualizing this piece I thought long and hard on an appropriate title. The first one that came to mind was ‘Deer In The Headlights – Desensitized To Risk'. And most certainly, this title does capture the essence of what has happened to the vast majority of the investing population. Through years of propagandized conditioning sponsored by corporate America, its self-serving financial institutions, and the governments they have put in place, the media has been used to desensitized investors to the risks associated with the financial markets, debt (excessive borrowing), and a fiat currency system designed to enslave the unwary. (i.e. and serve the elite.) Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, September 22, 2008
The Fed and Government Have NOT Erased Investor Fears... / Stock-Markets / Volatility
By: Marty_Chenard
As you may recall, last Friday we mentioned that, "The big problems have not been erased. We still have rising unemployment, a credit crunch, a recession, and a weak economy that many analyst expect to weaken further." ... and, "My point is that, if we do get an upside rally, it will still be an up move in a Bear Market. Before anyone gets exuberant, investors need to see if Institutions will back a rally, and that did not happen yet in yesterday's (Thursday's) short covering rally. " Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, September 22, 2008
Paulson Will Morph Toxic Banks into Toxic US Dollars / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis Bailouts
By: Michael_Swanson
This Doesn't Have to Happen - On Thursday right before CNBC reported on rumors of the bank bailout plan, Ben Bernanke was meeting with lawmakers and selling the plan to them. Inside a conference room that is part of Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi's office he was meeting with the Congressional leadership. According to the Washington Post he told them that if they don't pass the plan "it will be nothing short of disaster for our markets." He claimed that stock market would crash and money market funds would get wiped out.
In a conference call with Republicans on Friday Bernanke said, "many of your constituents hold money in money markets — those funds are losing money" and now the "critical issue is what do we do about these bad assets clogging up our credit system.”
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Monday, September 22, 2008
Paulson's Lies Keep Escalating: What YOU Can Do About It / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis Bailouts
By: Mike_Shedlock
Somehow Paulson has gone from "Our banking system is a safe and a sound one" (See You Know The Banking System Is Unsound When.... ) to Paulson telling Congress “That we're literally maybe days away from a complete meltdown of our financial system, with all the implications here at home and globally.” Inquiring minds may wish to consider a recap of things that have happened since Paulson made his "Our banking system is a safe and a sound one" speech.
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Monday, September 22, 2008
Financial Markets Stabilize After Recent Beatings / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Regent_Markets
Traders, investors, and financial journalists must have been glad to reach the end of a week that will surely go down in the history of financial markets. The FTSE closed the week just 66 points down which the S&P 500 actually managed a small profit. Homeowner, the closing figures do not even begin to tell the whole story with the FTSE trading in a 521 point range and posting its best one day rally in history on Friday.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, September 22, 2008
Irony: Fed Decisions To Undermine U.S. Banking System? / Stock-Markets / Market Regulation
By: David_Haas
Let's start with an important quote gleaned from an excellent article in today's Washington Post which describes the Fed's massive and unprecedented bailout plans that are intended to rescue the entire financial system from further implosion:
“The program announced this morning runs the risk in the long run of profoundly changing the nature of our financial system and, specifically, undermining the nation's banking system,” wrote American Banker's Association President Edward Yingling.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, September 22, 2008
Stock Market Cycle Projections and Turning Points / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
Long-term trend -
The Dow Jones Industrials may be deviating from their typical decennial pattern in an election year. Important cycles going into the Fall could be the reason for this, but one also has to consider the possibility that the downward pressure from the 120-yr cycle, which is due to make its low in 2012-2014, has begun to take effect and that October 2007 was the top of the bull market. This is not yet confirmed and remains only a possibility.
SPX: Intermediate trend - Last week's action suggests that the intermediate trend correction may have run its course, but a test of the low is quite probable.
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Sunday, September 21, 2008
Historic Week: US Government Avoids Financial Armageddon / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The financial markets aptly ended a tumultuous week with record busting rallies as Hank Paulson at the US Treasury suspended the FREE MARKET so as to prevent a collapse of the financial system. The two triggering events for the turnaround in stock markets were
a. The SEC banning of short-selling of 799 financial stocks.
b. The US government announcement of the intention to buy up bad bank debt, where the initial outlay will cost the US Tax payer 700 billion.
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Sunday, September 21, 2008
Americans Suckered into Bailing-out Investment Banking Drug-pushers / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: Alex_Wallenwein
POOF! Ashes to Ashes, Debt to Dust Question: What happens when you destroy a negative? Is that a bad thing, or a good thing?
Answer: It depends on how good of a liar you are. If you can get everybody to believe that the negative is something of positive value, its destruction will be seen as a catastrophe.
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Sunday, September 21, 2008
Credit Crisis Week's Events / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: Money_and_Markets
Jack Crooks writes: I applaud you if you've made it through this past week with only a few scratches and bumps in your trading account. I know for a fact that plenty of traders got their lunch handed to them.
Thanks to what I call the "visible hand" theory of central banks and the U.S. Treasury, times like these make it even harder to get positioned and stay positioned without being whipsawed.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, September 21, 2008
How to Stop the Credit Crunch and Save the Financial System / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Mick_Phoenix
Welcome to the Weekly Report. This week we look at the withdrawal of the US from the capitalist system and why my Moral Hazard Outrage Indicator has melted into a lump of molten plastic.
More importantly The Collection Agency comes up with a viable plan on how we stop the credit crunch, depression and the end of the Western World.
Sunday, September 21, 2008
Stock Markets Setting Themselves Up for a October Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Mike_Paulenoff
After what appeared to be a crash in September, and a BIG SAVE by the Govt,
everyone will be "happy and long" into the end of this month, when many of
the recent technically overbought conditions will be reloaded into the
technical set-up... and which will place the stock averages in a VERY
precarious position... IN OCTOBER!!
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Sunday, September 21, 2008
Paulson's Market Manipulation Bailout Will Fail Because.. / Stock-Markets / Government Intervention
By: Robert_McHugh_PhD
As a trader, I stopped getting disgusted at government manipulation of markets several years ago, didn't pretend it wasn't happening, just tried to find when it was coming. I decided to develop an indicator that would tell me when the probability was extremely high that the Master Planners would intervene. That approach has served us well, and that indicator is known as the Plunge Protection Team (PPT) Indicator. It flashed a new “buy” signal Monday, September 15 th at the close, rising above positive + 20.00, warning that the decline from August 11th was terminal. The Industrials have risen 565 points since that buy signal. When this measure rises above positive + 20.00, it is usually early, but very right, an early warning indicator telling us to enjoy the decline for a few more trading days but get ready for a spike rally. Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, September 21, 2008
Stock Market Update: It's A Trader's World / Stock-Markets / Futures Trading
By: Dominick
It's incredible to be living and trading in these historic times which people will be reading and talking about for decades to come. But making some money while we're at it is even better, especially since so many are in the red for this year. Now that we've gotten this huge move of over 120 points off of Thursday's low, we have to respect the rally and expect some follow-through in the short term, even while the choppy, volatile action continues. Looking at some of the internals on this move, shown below, you have to figure there's a good chance that a feel good rally into the election has just begun, an idea we'll be exploring in greater depth this weekend for members only. The charts below show us the extremes that we saw this week in up volume, total volume, and the Vix.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, September 21, 2008
President Paulson's $700 Billion Bailout Plan / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: Mike_Shedlock
The New York Times has the Text of Draft Proposal for Bailout Plan . Given this is legislation, under fair use terms, here is the complete draft. My thoughts follow.
LEGISLATIVE PROPOSAL FOR TREASURY AUTHORITY
TO PURCHASE MORTGAGE-RELATED ASSETS
Saturday, September 20, 2008
The Markets and Government Manipulation / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
By: Submissions
Walter J. Burien writes: Let's Talk
Many people over the years have commented to me per the markets: "This is going to definitely happen" and then: " This is unbelievable that this has happened" as they watched their account balances flush down the toilet.
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Saturday, September 20, 2008
Stock Markets Extreme Volatility / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Burk
Short Term Over the past week the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) moved and average of 2.4% a day, the highest level of volatility since the low of October 2002.
The chart below covers the past 6 months showing the DJIA in red and an indicator showing the average daily percentage change of the DJIA over the previous 5 trading days in black. The indicator is calculated by adding the absolute value of the percentage change of the DJIA over the previous 5 trading days and dividing by 5. Dashed vertical lines have been drawn on the 1st trading day of each month.
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