Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, January 13, 2009
Timing the Next Stocks Bull Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
By: Guy_Lerner
What is it going to take before we see a bottom in stocks leading to a new bull market? Time.
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Tuesday, January 13, 2009
Capitalism At Risk: Live Free Or Die / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009
By: Axel_Merk
The Federal Reserve (Fed) has gone beyond playing with fire, and may have indeed set the house on fire. It's one thing to push interest rates to near zero to stimulate the economy; it's another to “ monetize the debt ” by printing money to buy government debt. In recent weeks, the Fed has broken outside even those boundaries and become actively engaged in managing the private sector beyond the core banking system. Worse still, the steps taken may be difficult to reverse and as such may shape the U.S. economy for a long time. Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 13, 2009
Stock and Commodity Market Investments Themes for 2009 / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
By: Money_and_Markets
Larry Edelson writes: At the beginning of every new year, just as we do with our personal lives, it pays to take a few steps back … put the past year in the markets into perspective … and contemplate the year ahead.
And today, this is more important than ever.
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Tuesday, January 13, 2009
Stock, Commodities, Futures and Forex Markets Analysis 13th January 2009 / Stock-Markets / Futures Trading
By: INO
The March NASDAQ 100 was lower in overnight trading as it extends Monday's decline below the 20-day moving average. Stochastics and the RSI are bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If March extends this week's decline, the reaction low crossing at 1156.25 is the next downside target. Closes above the 10-day moving average crossing at 1231.67 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted. Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 13, 2009
How Deregulation Fueled the Financial Crisis / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: Money_Morning
Shah Gilani writes: No one person is responsible for the credit crisis, the failure of investment banks, the insolvency of commercial banks world-wide, the implosion of the world's stock markets, or for leading us to the precipice of another great depression.
The truth is there were many.
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Tuesday, January 13, 2009
Banking Stocks Lead Equities Lower / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: PaddyPowerTrader
There is more than a whiff of October 2008 about the price action yesterday with Citibank (–17%) and Bank of America (–12%) leading equities tumbling. Investors gave a clear thumbs down to the plan by Citi to sell its brokerage business to Morgan Stanley as it smelt like a desperate attempt to raise capital. Some wag called it Citi-Morg! Alcoa kicked off US earnings season and came in with numbers that missed with some style. Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 13, 2009
Financial Markets Vertigo and Forecasts for 2009 / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
By: John_Mauldin
I get a lot of newsletters from money managers around the country, which I try and read as they are written by people who are “in the trenches,” actually making decisions on behalf of their clients. It broadens my perspective. Frankly, most are not all that well written and unimaginative, but who ever said writing was easy? But some really strike a chord with me. Today’s Outside the Box I have read twice, which is unusual for me. Cliff Draughn is a wealth manager in Savannah, Georgia (Draughn Partners) and a good friend. His letter is a wide ranging tome on a variety of topics, but is full of common sense and one that I think will resonate with readers. I trust you will enjoy this.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 13, 2009
Wall Street's Rigged Casino / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
By: Jennifer_Barry
Last year was certainly a turbulent one for investors. Not only did good assets and companies sell off with bad, but the very integrity of the U.S. markets was brought into question. Financial firms spend millions of dollars convincing the average citizen that investing in stocks is necessary and prudent, yet the playing field is far from level. Fraud, naked shorting and other forms of manipulation are now endemic to the American markets. As Overstock's lawyer, John O'Quinn points out, “You have more chance to be treated fairly in a casino in Vegas.” How can you invest if you can't trust the system? Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, January 12, 2009
Stock Markets Another Negative Start to the Week / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Harry_Boxer
The markets had another very negative start to the week, much like we've seen over the last few months. The day started out with negative pre market futures, but they weren't too bad. However, The market just opened lower and kept going down.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, January 12, 2009
Stock Market Index Sector Weightings, the Anatomy of a Bubble / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Q1_Publishing
Good Things Come to Those Who “Weight” - There's nothing like a bubble to make the markets really exciting. You can make a lot of money in bubbles…if you get out in time (emphasis on the “if”).
It's not very easy though.
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Monday, January 12, 2009
US Stock Market Index Open Interest Put / Call Ratio Analysis / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Captain_Hook
Well, Santa has come and gone and provided those who bet on a Christmas time rally a nice return, the best ever in fact with respect to the broads. After such an outcome, it's traditional to see a pullback to work-off an overbought condition when the majority of traders return from holidays, so don't be surprised if the broad markets fall early this week. Given continued high and rising US index open interest put / call ratios however, updated here for your review, any weakness in coming days should be temporary, with further squeezing into expiry only two-weeks away now anticipated in knowing speculators have turned increasingly bearish. A review of Figures 1 through 7 in the attached above is the basis of this conclusion.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, January 12, 2009
Nasdaq Q's Approaching Key Downside Targets / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
By: Mike_Paulenoff
The Q's (NASDAQ: QQQQ) are approaching key near-term swing targets off of the Jan 6 rally peak at 31.63, the first of which is 29.35/30, which if violated will point to a press towards more important support at 28.80/70. My Oct-Jan pattern work argues that in either case (mentioned above), the larger pattern indicates that we should be expecting another upmove from 29.35/30 or 28.80/70. Having said that, however, my strategy for the Q's if I was short would be to cover "down here," but not to go long until we have signals to do so.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, January 12, 2009
Stock, Commodities, Futures and Forex Markets Analysis 12th January 2009 / Stock-Markets / Futures Trading
By: INO
The March NASDAQ 100 was steady to slightly higher in overnight trading as it consolidates some of last Friday's decline. Stochastics and the RSI are bearish signaling that a short-term top might be in or is near. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 1219.07 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If March renews the rally off November's low, the reaction high crossing at 1321.75 is the next upside target. Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, January 12, 2009
Stock Markets Retreat Ahead Of U.S. Corporate Earnings Season / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: PaddyPowerTrader
Friday saw a late in the day sell-off of over 200 points in the Dow Jones. This was a reality check for those who tried (in vain) to trade the nonfarm jobs number as not quite as bad as feared . Standing back, while the headline number was not the kitchen sink number some had predicted, the downward revisions to previous months and the uptick in the unemployment rate meant the report was about as bad as it could have been. The major worry for equities remains earnings revisions and daily analyst downgrades which are sapping sentiment and sucking the life out of the appetite for risk. Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, January 12, 2009
Financial System in Serious Trouble, Investment Gods Are Angry / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
By: Steve_Selengut
The Working Capital Model (WCM) is an historically new methodology, but with roots deeply imbedded in the building blocks of capitalism, and financial psychology--- if there actually is such a thing.
The earliest forms of capitalism sprung from ancient Roman mercantilism, which involved the production of goods and their distribution to people or countries around the Mediterranean.
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Sunday, January 11, 2009
Stock Market Correction Targets Retest of the Lows / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend -
Down! The very-long-term cycles have taken over and if they make their lows when expected, the bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until 2012-2014. This would imply that much lower prices lie ahead.
SPX: Intermediate trend - An intermediate low may have been reached in November, but this remains to be confirmed. There is good possibility that January 2009 will bring a new low, or at least a test of the lows.
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Sunday, January 11, 2009
Stock Market Ready For The Breakdown... / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Jack_Steiman
The wedges are hanging on by a hair. Horrific late action tells us the likelihood is for a break down out of those wedges we've been showing you and moving back towards a retest of the old lows over time with bounces along the way. Some have already broken and some are about to. You'll see that on the charts sent with this newsletter. It looks bad folks. I guess the hope for the bulls is that we'll get another successful retest of those lows. The divergences on a move down lower will put in positive divergences but any bounce better be good or we're headed for something we all don't want to think about. Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, January 11, 2009
Fair-Value and Mark to Market...The Most Expensive Scam in History? / Stock-Markets / Derivatives
By: Andrew_Butter
Time for "Surprise-Free" Valuation Standards? - Once upon a time accountants used to count beans. But then they realized (a) that's not very complicated and (b) you don't get paid much for jobs that are not very complicated (particularly after "out-sourcing").
So they decided to be management consultants. That can be as complicated as you want it to be, so it's very difficult to see if you did the job properly or not. Which is why there was (is) much more money in it, because if the punter doesn't have a clue what he's buying you can charge him a lot of money...if you get your branding right.
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Sunday, January 11, 2009
Global Stock Markets Spluttered Due to Dreadful Economic Data / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
By: Prieur_du_Plessis
Global stock markets reversed course during the last three days of the first full trading week of 2009 as investors were confronted with dreadful economic data, escalating layoffs and a bleak earnings outlook. As investor sentiment soured, the MSCI World Index and the MSCI Emerging Markets Index declined by 2.5% and 1.7% respectively during “turnaround week”. Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, January 11, 2009
Stock Market Investor Sentiment: Sell Strength (Again!) / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Guy_Lerner
The "dumb money" and "smart money" sentiment indicators are neutral on the equity markets. While a neutral reading is not particularly telling regarding market direction, it should be noted that this is the fifth week in a row where the "dumb money" is neutral, and this is not a scenario that is generally supportive of higher prices especially with prices on the S&P500 under their 40 week moving average. The ideal situation for higher equity prices would be for the "smart money" to be bullish and the "dumb money" bearish (i.e., bull signal).Read full article... Read full article...