Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, January 12, 2009
Financial System in Serious Trouble, Investment Gods Are Angry / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
By: Steve_Selengut
The Working Capital Model (WCM) is an historically new methodology, but with roots deeply imbedded in the building blocks of capitalism, and financial psychology--- if there actually is such a thing.
The earliest forms of capitalism sprung from ancient Roman mercantilism, which involved the production of goods and their distribution to people or countries around the Mediterranean.
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Sunday, January 11, 2009
Stock Market Correction Targets Retest of the Lows / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend -
Down! The very-long-term cycles have taken over and if they make their lows when expected, the bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until 2012-2014. This would imply that much lower prices lie ahead.
SPX: Intermediate trend - An intermediate low may have been reached in November, but this remains to be confirmed. There is good possibility that January 2009 will bring a new low, or at least a test of the lows.
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Sunday, January 11, 2009
Stock Market Ready For The Breakdown... / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Jack_Steiman
The wedges are hanging on by a hair. Horrific late action tells us the likelihood is for a break down out of those wedges we've been showing you and moving back towards a retest of the old lows over time with bounces along the way. Some have already broken and some are about to. You'll see that on the charts sent with this newsletter. It looks bad folks. I guess the hope for the bulls is that we'll get another successful retest of those lows. The divergences on a move down lower will put in positive divergences but any bounce better be good or we're headed for something we all don't want to think about. Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, January 11, 2009
Fair-Value and Mark to Market...The Most Expensive Scam in History? / Stock-Markets / Derivatives
By: Andrew_Butter
Time for "Surprise-Free" Valuation Standards? - Once upon a time accountants used to count beans. But then they realized (a) that's not very complicated and (b) you don't get paid much for jobs that are not very complicated (particularly after "out-sourcing").
So they decided to be management consultants. That can be as complicated as you want it to be, so it's very difficult to see if you did the job properly or not. Which is why there was (is) much more money in it, because if the punter doesn't have a clue what he's buying you can charge him a lot of money...if you get your branding right.
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Sunday, January 11, 2009
Global Stock Markets Spluttered Due to Dreadful Economic Data / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
By: Prieur_du_Plessis
Global stock markets reversed course during the last three days of the first full trading week of 2009 as investors were confronted with dreadful economic data, escalating layoffs and a bleak earnings outlook. As investor sentiment soured, the MSCI World Index and the MSCI Emerging Markets Index declined by 2.5% and 1.7% respectively during “turnaround week”. Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, January 11, 2009
Stock Market Investor Sentiment: Sell Strength (Again!) / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Guy_Lerner
The "dumb money" and "smart money" sentiment indicators are neutral on the equity markets. While a neutral reading is not particularly telling regarding market direction, it should be noted that this is the fifth week in a row where the "dumb money" is neutral, and this is not a scenario that is generally supportive of higher prices especially with prices on the S&P500 under their 40 week moving average. The ideal situation for higher equity prices would be for the "smart money" to be bullish and the "dumb money" bearish (i.e., bull signal).Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, January 11, 2009
Stock Market Selloff Relieves Overbought Pressure / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Burk
The good news is: Although all of the major indices were down substantially last week, new lows hit their lowest levels since November 2006.
Short Term New highs expand in strong markets. Recently we have seen the lowest levels of new highs since late 1987 when there were about half as many issues traded on the NYSE and 20% fewer on the NASDAQ than there are currently.
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Saturday, January 10, 2009
Stock Market Investors Don't Buy The Hype / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Tim_Wood
Historically, bear markets have run approximately one-third the duration of the preceding bull market. From my perspective, the last bull market began at the 1974 low and tried to conclude at the 2000 top. But, as I have said many times before, the powers that be would not let nature take its course. As a result, they created the largest credit bubble in history, not to mention the housing and commodity bubbles, all in an effort to save the stock market. This resulted in what I view as the last gasp up into the 1974 to 2007 bull market top and I believe that the correction of that bull market likely has a lot further to go. Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, January 10, 2009
Stock and Financial Markets Outlook for 2009 / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
By: Joseph_Dancy
The S&P 500 index of some of the largest and most profitable companies in the world was down 38.5% in 2008 – the worst performance since the Great Depression. Illiquid market sectors performed worse. Over the last ten years a long term investor in the S&P 500 would have lost money – so much for the ‘buy and hold well known companies' theory of investing. Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, January 10, 2009
Stock Market Mega-trend Super-cycle Wave IV / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory
By: Joseph_Russo
Working out the largest of Big-Picture Visions - The equity price-chart below is a compilation of data points starting with the British All shares Index (1693-1853), the Clement Burgess Index (1854-1895), and then spliced using ratio multipliers with the Dow Jones Industrial Average from 1896 to present. The 315-year result is the longest contiguous record of equity prices in the history of Humankind.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, January 10, 2009
Financial Doomsday for All Asset Classes / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Employment situation… grim. Nonfarm payroll employment declined sharply in December, and the unemployment rate rose from 6.8 to 7.2 percent, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. Payroll employment fell by 524,000 over the month and by 1.9 million over the last 4 months of 2008. In December, job losses were large and widespread across most major industry sectors. Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, January 10, 2009
Stocks Close Near Lows of the Day and Week / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Harry_Boxer
The indices had a quite negative finish not only to the session but the week, and they went out with a 4-day downtrend, near the lows for the day, particularly on the Dow and S&P 500. The day started out with a very sharp move lower after the employment report. They bounced around and then edged up slowly in bear-flag fashion for the next 4-5 hours. In the last hour or so when they failed at the declining tops resistance going back 4 days, they rolled over in a 3-wave decline and closed at the lows for the afternoon on the Nasdaq and the lows for the week on the S&P 500 and Dow.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, January 10, 2009
Gold, Housing and Emerging Markets 2009 and Beyond / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
By: Q1_Publishing
“This level of stimulus is at the point that it's like taking a bottle of Viagra and nothing happens...” - Harry S. Dent
We've entered an unprecedented period of uncertainty. The markets have collapsed and $30 trillion of stock market “wealth” has evaporated.
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Friday, January 09, 2009
Stock Market Crash Count Wave Four Triangle / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Mike_Shedlock
The S&P 500 is in a wave 4. Please see S&P 500 Crash Count if you are new to this discussion. It is the very nature of waves 4's to morph, and morph it has. Over the past month the preferred count has changed at least 3 times. If you chose to play waves 4's it is best to be nimble. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 09, 2009
Rydex Asset Data: Stock Market Leveraged Bulls v. Leveraged Bears / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Guy_Lerner
I have presented a lot of data recently suggesting an intermediate term top for equities, and the weakness in prices this past week seems to be consistent with that view. Just as investors begin to embrace the hope that better times are coming, it's "bam" back to reality. This is still a bear market - sell hope, buy fear. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 09, 2009
Nasdaq Q's in Meaningful Correction / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
By: Mike_Paulenoff
Purely from a pattern perspective, my work argues that there should be little doubt that the Q's (Nasdaq: QQQQ) are in the midst of a meaningful correction of the upmove from the 12/29 low at 28.47 to the 1/06 high at 31.63. Today's downside breach of yest.'s intraday low at 30.08 coupled with the form of the decline from this AM's pre-market rally high at 30.90 indicates strongly that the Q's have ended a... secondary downleg off of the 1/06 high (31.63), which should press prices towards a test of key support along the Nov.-Jan. trendline, now at 29.65.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 09, 2009
All Eyes On U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: PaddyPowerTrader
Equities overcame Wal-Mart's gloomy outlook to finish only modestly lower yesterday buoyed by Microsoft's rollout of Windows 7 today. In the final hour of trading, investors seemed cheered by news of a breakthrough agreement that could help curtail home foreclosures. Senator Richard Durbin hailed a decision by Citigroup to drop opposition to legislation that would give bankruptcy judges the power to eliminate some mortgage debt. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 09, 2009
Stock, Commodities and Currency Futures Markets Analysis 9th January 2009 / Stock-Markets / Futures Trading
By: INO
The March NASDAQ 100 was lower in overnight trading as it consolidates some of Thursday's rally. Stochastics and the RSI have turned bearish signaling that a short-term top might be in or is near. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 1218.58 would confirm that a short-
term top has been posted. If March extends the rally off November's low, the reaction high crossing at 1321.75 is the next upside target. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 09, 2009
Gold and Stock Markets Volume and Time Series Analysis / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
By: Brian_Bloom
There are those who are arguing that the equity markets are due for a bounce – maybe even an upward surge in prices. Some are very seasoned analysts who have decades of experience under their belts. They may be right, but this analyst has been struck by the relative lack of emphasis by these bullish analysts on the issues of volume and cyclical timing.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 08, 2009
Flight to Safety 2009 to U.S. Dollar, Gold, Euro and Yen / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
By: Christopher_Laird
The USD remains stronger than one might think into the beginning of 2009. Between the latest Mid East tensions and general flight to safety it rallied again to 83 on the USDX when it looked like it might crack into the 70's again, the low being 70ish last year, before the USD rallied after April of 08, which caught the commodity and metals complex. Read full article... Read full article...