Best Financial Markets Analysis Article We had a slow start to the week with prices drifting sideways and upward on below average volume. Wednesday the market put in a nice rally with small and mid cap stocks leading the way higher. The chart of the Dow or the DIA exchange traded fund shows the low volume clearly. Most indexes are now trading just below a short term resistance level and Wednesdays rally was on light volume. I don't like to be a bear, low volume rallies are not a bullish sign.

DIA Trading Analysis

Gold and Gold Stocks
Gold and gold stocks continued to pullback today after putting in a reversal candle last Monday. Looks like investors were pulling their money out of precious metals and buying small and mid cap stocks today.

Gold Chart:
Gold is trading at the top of it s range and is currently at the high of the previous bounce which generally causes resistance. Buying at this level carries high risk considering support is down around the $82 level (7% risk from support). Waiting for a proper pullback and reversal is important in keeping risk low.

Gold Trading Signals

Gold Stocks:
Gold stocks have been posting solid gains and out performing the broad market for the past 3 months. Technically they do have some issues now. They are trading below the 200 moving average and have not been able to break above it. Also momentum and stochastic have turned down as well. To top that off, resistance has been tested 3 times in the past month and in most cases that means it's not going to move higher. That being said, gold equity ETF's like XGD.TO, GDX etc… are getting close to a possible buy signal, and with any luck it could be within the next 2-5 days. We need a couple things to fall into our favor before that happens though.

Gold Stocks Chart:
Gold Stock Trading Signals

Crude Oil:
Oil is such a hot topic and investment, although I think most people are losing their shirts trying to pick a bottom. Buying at support when risk is very low after a trend line breakout and reversal candle, change in momentum, and everything else for that commodity looks to be in my favor is when I put my money to work. Oil Looks really tempting right here but I don't have a buy signal and I think its about to continue its slide lower in the next few days.

Crude Oil Chart:
Oil Trading Signals

Conclusion:
With volatile times like what we are in now, cash is a safe position to be in. Only when the stars align with a proper setup with risk under 3% for a trade will I take a stab at the markets. I don't want to sound like a broken record but it seems like everyone is bullish on Gold & Oil right now and if that's the case, almost everyone should be long, leaving only one way for it to go, down. We all work way too hard for our money and to toss our money in when things are like a yo-yo is just silly. Patients are a must in times like this.

I have put together a package for yearly subscribers which is if you join for a year ($299) I will send you $300 in gas vouchers FREE which are valid at the major gas stations in USA & Canada. Valid At: Chevron, Texaco, Sunoco, CITGO, Mobil, Esso, Shell, BP, And More... as Holiday Special!

If you interested please act fast as I only have a few of these gas vouchers before they are gone for good.

If you have any questions please feel free to send me an email. My passion is to help others and for us all to make money together with little down side risk.

I look forward to hearing from you soon!

By Chris Vermeulen
Chris@TheGoldAndOilGuy.com

Please visit my website for more information. http://www.TheGoldAndOilGuy.com

Chris Vermeulen is Founder of the popular trading site TheGoldAndOilGuy.com. There he shares his highly successful, low-risk trading method. For 6 years Chris has been a leader in teaching others to skillfully trade in gold, oil, and silver in both bull and bear markets. Subscribers to his service depend on Chris' uniquely consistent investment opportunities that carry exceptionally low risk and high return.

This article is intended solely for information purposes. The opinions are those of the author only. Please conduct further research and consult your financial advisor before making any investment/trading decision. No responsibility can be accepted for losses that may result as a consequence of trading on the basis of this analysis.

Chris Vermeulen Archive

Comments

Marcos
30 Jan 09, 04:13

correction

DIA is Diamonds NYSE and not DJIA.....can't see much of a reference for that comparison between the DOW.....you better change that chart Chris.... cheers Trader10 AUS

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

The Market Oracle is a FREE Financial Markets Forecasting & Analysis web-site.
(c) 2005-2024 MarketOracle.co.uk (Market Oracle Ltd) - Market Oracle Ltd asserts copyright on all articles authored by our editorial team and all comments posted. Any and all information provided within the web-site, is for general information purposes only and Market Oracle Ltd do not warrant the accuracy, timeliness or suitability of any information provided on this site. nor is or shall be deemed to constitute, financial or any other advice or recommendation by us. and are also not meant to be investment advice or solicitation or recommendation to establish market positions. We do not give investment advice and our comments are an expression of opinion only and should not be construed in any manner whatsoever as recommendations to enter into a market position either stock, option, futures contract, bonds, commodity or any other financial instrument at any time. We recommend that independent professional advice is obtained before you make any investment or trading decisions. By using this site you agree to this sites Terms of Use. From time to time we promote or endorse certain products / services that we believe are worthy of your time and attention. In return for that endorsement and only in the cases where you purchase directly though us may we be compensated by the producers of those products.