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Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Monday, June 30, 2008

Worst June for the Dow Jones Since 1930s Deflationary Depression / Stock-Markets / Deflation

By: Paul_J_Nolte

With but one day left of trading to the half-way point of the year, it is becoming more clear that this will not be an ordinary year. Unless today's market rallies something fierce, this will be the worst June for the averages since the Depression. On a less ominous note, the Fed met last week and decided that inflation was more an issue for the economy than growth, however left rates unchanged and likely spurred the latest round of selling. In what could be deemed a rush to call out their brethren, brokerage firms downgraded each other citing additional capital needs in the months ahead. If that weren't enough, oil prices continued their drive higher, altering many 4th of July vacation plans (on a 3-day weekend no less).

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Stock-Markets

Monday, June 30, 2008

Sell, Hedge your Stock Market Investments.. or Be Prepared to Lose! / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Money_and_Markets

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin Weiss writes: The stock market is falling swiftly, and you don't have the luxury of time. So I'll get straight to the point:

If you haven't done so already in response to our many earlier warnings, you'd better sell or hedge your vulnerable investments now . If you don't, be prepared to suffer far deeper losses in the bear market of 2008 and beyond.

But beware: Most brokers will try to talk you out of it. They have a hidden agenda. They want to keep you as a customer; and they know that, once customers sell their stocks, they often close their brokerage accounts.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, June 30, 2008

S&P 500 Stock Market Index Potential Near-Term Double Bottom Pattern / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEarlier this AM, the SPY declined to 127.30 prior to pivoting to the upside for a rally to an intraday high so far at 128.87. Let's notice that the AM low left behind a potential near term Double Bottom type of pattern with Fri.'s low at 127.04. To trigger upside acceleration that unleashes the potential of the "mini Double Bottom," the SPYs must hurdle and sustain above129.00-- for a run at 130.00/30 thereafter.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, June 29, 2008

Stock Market Heading for a Successful Test of March Low / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Andre_Gratian

Current position of the Market

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLong-term trend - The Dow Jones Industrials are deviating from their typical decennial pattern in an election year. Important cycles going into the Fall could be the reason for this, but one also has to consider the possibility that the downward pressure from the 120-yr cycle, which is due to make its low in 2012-2014 has began to take effect and that October 2007 was the top of the bull market. This is not yet confirmed.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, June 29, 2008

Stock Markets Very Oversold Rally Expected Next Week / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Mike_Burk

The good news is: The market is very oversold and likely to bounce.

Short Term For the 1st 3 days of last week the DJIA danced slightly above its March low. Thursday and Friday it lost nearly 4% and the NYSE recorded 492 new lows, better than the 759 new lows recorded at the March low, but still enough to make another retest likely.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, June 29, 2008

Financial Markets Hit by Credit Market Stresses and Deteriorating Corporate Earnings / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets

By: Prieur_du_Plessis

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleT.S. Eliot might have been out by a few months – it looks as though June might turn out to be the cruelest month of the year rather than April.

Renewed fears of inflation and slower growth caused by record energy costs played havoc with global stock markets last week, resulting in the Dow Jones Industrial Average being on track to record its worst June since the Great Depression. As stocks suffered, gold bullion surged and government bond yields dropped due to safe-haven buying.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, June 28, 2008

Dow Stock Market Crash and Iran War Herald End of US Dollar Hegemony / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Alex_Wallenwein

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe June 2008 Dow Crash and the coming first strike attack on Iran herald the end of dollar hegemony.

BREAK-DOW!

They say that pictures speak a thousand words, so let's start this with a picture: Today, the Dow crashed through its eight-year support level at 11,750. There isn't much below now to keep it from dropping all the way back down to the 7,500-range. What that will do to American investor psychology and worse, consumer confidence, and therefore spending, and therefore the economy, is only too apparent.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, June 27, 2008

Corporate Earnings Expectations Are Too High- Prepare for More Downside / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations

By: Hans_Wagner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWe are about to enter the second quarter 2008 earnings season. If you want to beat the market, it important to have a well founded perspective on earnings expectations. Understanding the importance of earnings is critical if you wish to learn to invest.

Since the U.S. is in a recession, it is normal to expect the reported earnings to reflect the slowing economy. However, a number of analysts are still forecasting a higher PE ratio. Is this realistic and a good basis to make investing decisions?

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Stock-Markets

Friday, June 27, 2008

Global Stock Markets Plunge on Soaring Crude Oil Price / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEyes wide open - How could Wall Street brokers tell their clients that auction-rate securities were “…very safe and liquid as possible,” Yet underwriters from the same company telling issuers that demand was softening and demanded higher interest rates. At least 24 proposed class-action lawsuits have been filed against brokerages since March, and a nine-state task force is examining how the firms marketed the securities. Those burned in the meltdown see it as a case of Wall Street hiding known risks from investors, much like the dot-com scandal over former Merrill Lynch & Co. analyst Henry Blodget , who once advised buying a stock while privately calling it ``junk.''

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Stock-Markets

Friday, June 27, 2008

Stocks Bear Market- Talking Heads Speak About Buying Opportunties? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Dudley_Baker

What the heck does this mean? With the financial markets in the United States finally kicking into a full blown bear market, we know where the down is in ‘The Upside of Down'. Don't you love it when the talking heads on the financial TV channels still speak about the buying opportunities? They suggest buying the defensive stocks as they will decline less than the other sectors. What? Why would an ‘investor' want to buy something knowing it will go down, just not as much as the others? I have never understood that silly argument. The financial sector is tanking, the banks are tanking and one of ‘big three' auto companies is now selling at levels not seen since 1955.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, June 26, 2008

S&P 500 Stock Market Index Approaching Critical Test of March Low / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe relentless selling pressure that has transpired since about 3 PM ET yesterday (Wednesday) despite some intense oversold readings and developing momentum divergences has started to convince me that the near-term chart work in the S&P 500, though still extremely important, may not be calling the directional shots any longer. In fact, the developing negativity of the very long term technical work may be the timeframe that IS CALLING -- and will continue to call -- the directional shots for the foreseeable future.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, June 26, 2008

Stock Markets Can Crash When Central Bankers Clash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Gary_Dorsch

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleHyper-inflation in the commodities markets is rivaling the US housing collapse and the global banking crisis, as the biggest threat to the world economy. Finance ministers from the United States, Canada, Japan, France, Germany, Italy, Britain, and Russia, have expressed their alarm over the doubling of agricultural, energy, and key raw material prices from a year ago, which is pushing inflation rates around the world, to their highest in three decades.

Crude oil briefly touched $140 a barrel, and the price of corn, used to make ethanol, hit $8 /bushel. Chinese steelmakers agreed to pay 96% more for Iron ore from Australian miner Rio Tinto, a five-fold increase since 2003. Steel prices have soared almost 50%, this year, as coal and iron ore prices continue to climb and global demand shows little sign of abating. Dow Chemical is raising prices on a wide range of its products by 25%, due to sharply higher energy and raw material costs.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, June 26, 2008

Banks Balance Sheet Destruction and Repair! -Crack Up Boom Part III / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008

By: Ty_Andros

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIntroduction: At no time in my career have I seen greater opportunities for investors who are properly informed. The AVERAGE amount of M3 central bank money and credit creation is simply astonishing. It is clocking in at an average annual rate of 23%. Yes, that's right, 23%. Using the rule of 72, that means those money supplies in one form or another are doubling on average every 3.13 years as money does an imitation of confetti.

In actuality, it is fire hoses of hot money being used to underpin the G7 financial and banking systems. Then it is combined with emerging markets throughout the world with dollar pegs and current account surpluses sterilizing their currencies so they do not ROCKET higher against the dollar. It is a powerful cocktail of stimulus for the emerging world, and an inflationary one for us all.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, June 26, 2008

Dow Jones Stock Market Index Threatening to Break Critical Support Level / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Kurt_Kasun

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIs the Party Over?
For this week, access to much of Elliott Wave International's forecasts and chart work is free. Many traders and investors boldly proclaim that technical analysis, such as that provided by Elliott Wave and others, is akin to voodoo and advise investors to stick to the fundamentals. To which I reply: ignore technical indicators at your peril. Such avoidance/arrogance (you think you are so much smarter than the market) is particularly damaging to portfolios in two instances. One, when they involve macro themes which the names in your portfolio will be unable to escape. Two, when the change in trend only occurs after a long period of time: The longer the period before trend reversal or violation, the more powerful the potential effect on your investment.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, June 25, 2008

Wallstreet Cheerleaders Will Eventually Face Reality / Stock-Markets / Corporate Earnings

By: John_Browne

When listening to the typical, television-based, Wall Street cheerleader work themselves up into a bull market frenzy, one is tempted to wonder if they ever bother to compare the movie that is rolling along in their heads to the one that is occurring in the outside world. Perhaps for those living in a media bubble, the only reality that matters is the one reflected in the camera lens.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, June 25, 2008

Higher Gas Prices Will Help the Chinese Economy / Stock-Markets / China Economy

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleTony Sagami writes: With all the great economic strides China has made, it is sometimes easy to forget that China is still a communist country and is controlled by the Communist Party of China.

Part of that Communist control is over prices. The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) controls the prices on thousands of items: Drugs, grain, edible oils, pork, noodles, milk, eggs, cigarettes, cloth, steel, train and bus fares, cement, fertilizer, college tuition ... and fuel.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, June 24, 2008

Exchange Controls Are Proposed For the United States / Stock-Markets / Government Intervention

By: Julian_DW_Phillips

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn a long week in which attempts to lower the oil price and talks about the $ were disappointed [G-8 meeting and the oil producer's meeting in Saudi Arabia], the threat of much higher oil prices, a weaker $ and perhaps a vicious fall in equity market in the next few months, the Joseph Lieberman the head of the Senate Banking Committeee is proposing what in effect are Exchange Control measures on commodity markets and foreign exchanges that host commodity dealing. This week we saw a glimpse of what is to be proposed and is proposing as we send this out.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, June 24, 2008

We May be Facing a Fall Stock Market Disaster / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Michael_Swanson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt has been almost ten full months now since the Fed first lowered interest rates. If you remember at first there was a lot excitement over the Fed cuts. The DOW and Nasdaq rallied to new 52-week highs a few weeks after the first rate cut in September. The rally and promise of more Fed intervention for the market made many big name commentators extremely optimistic about the market.

But just a few weeks later the market turned lower and has been stuck in a bear market ever since. The banking problems multiplied and inflation skyrocketed with oil rising almost double in price now from where it was a year ago. The rate cuts tasted good at first, but are no longer palatable.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, June 24, 2008

S&P Upside Reversal Has Power / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Mike_Paulenoff

The S&P 500 Depository Receipts (AMEX: SPY) fell out of its Fri-Mon sideways congestion (coil) pattern to new reaction lows at 130.20, which was right near my optimal downside target zone of 130.50, and has since pivoted to the upside for a recovery that has propelled prices back up into the congestion area (131.30-132.10). The reversal has power, and if it hurdles 132.10/25 then my work will confirm that a significant near-term low has been establish on the way to 134.50 as an initial target.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, June 24, 2008

Sun Rising Over Japanese Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Japanese Stock Market

By: Prieur_du_Plessis

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleScanning the globe for investment destinations can be a daunting task. When it comes to stock markets, however, relative strength analysis serves a useful purpose of highlighting under- or outperforming markets (or individual stocks) at a glance. Having perused a bunch of these charts, the Japanese situation stands out as being of particular interest.

Firstly, let's look at the long-term chart of the Nikkei 225 Average. Japan's stock market had an extended multi-year rally that started in earnest in the 70s and accelerated sharply in the 80s. The Nikkei peaked on December 29, 1989 at 38,915. During the devastating deflationary period that ensued the average dropped by a massive 80.5% to 7,607 on April 28, 2003. The Nikkei staged a recovery from 2003 until 2007 when the sub-prime fallout came into play.

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