Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Saturday, March 21, 2009
Financial Markets Analysis - Fed Adopts Quantitative Inflation / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The big story of the week was the U.S. Fed's head long fling over the cliff into Quantitative Easing by printing more than $1 trillion (electronically) , this is on top of the $800 billion already printed on the sly as the Fed buys toxic junk such as the weeks announcement of buying $1.25 trillion of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac mortgage backed securities, as well as other junk bonds, on top of $300 billion of US Government bonds to help finance the ever growing budget deficit. The implications of this extra supply of dollars is inflationary that devalues the value of all dollars. I have already warned indepth of the consequences of Quantitative Inflation so won't repeat it here.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, March 21, 2009
More Weakness Likely for Stock Market S&P 500 Index / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Mike_Paulenoff
The S&P 500 had an interesting week. In the aftermath of the FOMC
announcement on Wednesday, the SPX climbed to 803.24 to make new recovery
highs off of the March low. However, let¹s notice that the high for the
week failed to penetrate significant resistance represented by the declining
10-week moving average and the Jan-Mar down trendline, and, in fact,
reversed to the downside to close the week at 768.54. Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, March 21, 2009
Stock Market Indices Extend Losses / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Harry_Boxer
The market suffered another decline today, as we expected, although the day started out differently. The indices went higher at the opening, and reached the session highs within the first 15 minutes on the NDX. But the SPX did not keep pace and barely made it higher, and then they both turned lower. They went down steadily and sharply for the next few hours until about an hour to go when they staged a snapback rally that reached right back up test resistance at the earlier breakdown points, getting up to 1195 NDX and 776 SPX. But they pulled back in the last 20 minutes to add to the losses.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, March 21, 2009
U.S. Treasury Bonds and Gold Soars Whilst Stocks Correct Following Quantitive Easing / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
It's a circus in Washington. - Denouncing a "squandering of the people's money," lawmakers voted decisively Thursday to impose a 90 percent tax on millions of dollars in employee bonuses paid by troubled insurance giant AIG and other bailed-out companies. In some cases the bonuses might be taxed 100 percent leaving the recipients with nothing. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 20, 2009
Stock Market Dow 30 Components Collective Risk of Ruin Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Joseph_Russo
So goes the EMPIRE… With each small victory, we get a little bit closer to winning our country back - Until the last man stands, status central bankers alongside their political and corporate cohorts will defend their collective monopolies until fiat currencies reach one pip north of ZERO if need be. The sad fact remains that the majority of institutions and citizenry are eager to drink from the hyper-spiked cool-aid jug just so that they can “feel better” and have a better psychological outlook relative to the harsh reality of the collective insolvency dilemma imposed by their masters.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 20, 2009
What Must Happens Before a New Stocks Bull Market Starts? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
By: Marty_Chenard
It has probably been a few months since we last shared our Institutional Index chart with you. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 20, 2009
Some Signs of a Trend Reversal from Stocks Bear to Bull / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
By: Richard_Shaw
We think these would be some important signs of a major, sustainable trend reversal:
1. Visual clues to trend reversal (price chart and multiple moving averages pointing up). That has not yet happened.
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Thursday, March 19, 2009
Stock Market Profit-Taking Sets In / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Harry_Boxer
Profit-taking finally set in after 7 out of 8 days on the upside, as the indices were extremely overbought this morning, with the McClellen Oscillator +328. I wasn't surprised to see the market move lower, but they did start out with a pop to the upside, reaching the session highs right in the first few minutes. Then they stair-stepped down in a 3-wave decline from 1220 NDX to about 1196, about a 24-point drop in the first hour and a half or so, and the SPX dropped from 803 to 783, about 20 points.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, March 19, 2009
Stocks Bear Market Rally at Cross Roads / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Chris_Ciovacco
Even after the current "powerful rally", the S&P 500 is still down over 12% YTD , something to keep in mind if you feel we are missing something. All we have missed year-to-date is a 12% loss. Bear markets always give people a reason to stick around. Yesterday , we commented, ...rather than signaling the end of the bear market, the more probable outcome for the current rally in the S&P 500 is for it to fail somewhere between current levels and 806. This rally may have further to run, but Wednesday's high on the S&P 500 was 803. Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, March 19, 2009
Are We Near a Low in the Stock Decline? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: EWI
Two Unique Charts Reveal the Answer - Robert Prechter, New York Times best-selling author and renowned market analyst, was recently asked to present his thoughts on the real estate market and the financial crisis to the Georgia Legislature. The following article has been adapted from the transcript. Elliott Wave International has made the full presentation available free , including the full transcript and 30-minute online video. Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, March 19, 2009
Stock Market Investing Buy and Hold vs. The Right Time to Buy / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Hans_Wagner
Many investors were taught that buy and hold is the best investing strategy. None other than Professor Jeremy Siegel author of Stocks for the Long Run, 4th Edition: The Definitive Guide to Financial Market Returns And Long Term Investment Strategies is a strong proponent of the buy and hold approach support this method. In a recent editorial in the Wall Street Journal, stating that stocks were cheap now and investors should buy. With the DJIA at lows not seen since 1997, it has been very tough for the buy and hold crowd. Could you have done better by timing your entries and exits? Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, March 18, 2009
Stock Market Indices Now Short-Term Overbought After Post-FOMC Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Harry_Boxer
It was a very interesting market today on FOMC announcement day. The indices backed and filled in the morning, were lower for most of the morning session, rallied by mid-day before the FOMC announcement, and then exploded after the FOMC announced the purchase of hundreds of billions dollars worth of treasuries. After a spike up that took the NDX up to 1225 and the SPX up to 803, at key overhead resistance on the SPX and above it on the NDX, the indices then had a sharp pullback that brought them back down by 30 NDX points and about 18 SPX points. In the last 15-20 minutes they bounced again and took back some of the late losses.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, March 18, 2009
Stock Market Bottom and the Bookstore Indicator / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
By: Clif_Droke
It’s hard to be positive about the stock market when all around us gloom prevails. Visiting a local Barnes & Noble recently made me conscious of just how gloomy everyone is feeling these days.
While there I made a list of some of the titles in the financial section. Finding a book these days with a bullish theme – or even a non-emotional, level-headed theme –is like trying to find a needle in a haystack. All I saw was one bearish tome after another. Here’s the list of titles I compiled:
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Wednesday, March 18, 2009
Stock Market Volume Gives Shorts The Upper Hand / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Chris_Ciovacco
Rather than signaling the end of the bear market, the more probable outcome for the current rally in the S&P 500 is for it to fail somewhere between current levels and 806. Trading volume can help us understand market participants' collective desire to buy or sell a particular security or index. To formulate probable outcomes for the current rally in stocks, we will compare the S&P 500 long ETF (SPY) with the S&P 500 short ETF (SH). As we walk through this analysis, notice we are focusing on observable facts rather than forecasting what the future may hold. We assume we will get more of the same (lower lows in SPY/S&P 500 Index) until we see evidence to the contrary (higher highs, better volume, etc).
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Wednesday, March 18, 2009
Main Street vs. Wall Street: And the Winner Is… / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
By: Q1_Publishing
Last Sunday, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke jumped into the Public Relations Politics foray when he appeared on 60 Minutes .
The political marketers were out in full force on this one. They did everything from the visit of Bernanke's childhood home (which is now in foreclosure) to the close up of “Main Street” sign to the conversation on the street side bench in rural South Carolina. It was the perfect image of “I'm like you” kind of PR the government decision-makers are looking for right now.
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Tuesday, March 17, 2009
FTSE 100 Index Stealth Bull Market as Bear Market Bottoms at 3,460 / Stock-Markets / UK Stock Market
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The FTSE 100 index fulfilled its bear market target as per the forecast of 20th January 2009 which called for a target Low at 3,400. Whilst much of my analysis has been focused on the Dow Jones Index, however as I have stated several times over recent months that the FTSE would closely track the DJIA in terms of bear market timing, but with a more positive % advantage to the Dow Index due to the impact of the overall continuing bearish trend of Sterling against the U.S. Dollar. Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, March 17, 2009
Stock Market Will Not Bottom Without the Banking Index / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Marty_Chenard
Some investors were excited last week with a nice market move on oversold conditions.
Is it real, or is it part of a market attempt to find a bottom?
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Tuesday, March 17, 2009
Stock Market P/E Ratios could fall to 5 Before the Market Hits Bottom / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: FleetStreetInvest
Measured in terms of the price to earnings ratio (P/E), the US stock market looks good value. That's if you look at recent history and how the market was priced in previous recessions. At the market bottom in 2001, for example, the P/E ratio of the US S&P 500 index was around 20. In the 1990-1991 recession, that figure was around 15.
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Tuesday, March 17, 2009
The Huge Chain Reaction Driving Share Prices Higher / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
By: FleetStreetInvest
Fundamentals have led a lot of investors into “value traps”. These are stocks that look cheap (i.e. with low price to earnings ratios) but more importantly have miserable prospects going forward. However, there's one indicator that continues to reveal winners despite the credit crunch… It's time to look into the world of currencies.
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Tuesday, March 17, 2009
Stocks Bear Market Has not Bottomed But Some Stocks Worth Buying / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: MoneyWeek
The FTSE 100 rose sharply yesterday, buoyed up by increased optimism on the banking sector.
And quite a few high profile names have been saying it's time to buy. Anthony Bolton has been calling the bottom (though not for the first time), while famously bearish US fund manager Jeremy Grantham has become increasingly upbeat on stocks in recent months.
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