Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, April 16, 2009
Stock Sectors that Could Lead the Next Bull Market / Stock-Markets / Sector Analysis
If I told you that the four sectors with the most potential to undergo a secular trend change are semiconductors, housing, retail, and airlines you would probably say "wow". Certainly, that would be a good broad base rally to get excited about if these sectors could provide leadership. Of course, there is the current dynamic of an overbought market within the context of a longer term bear market, but I believe that these sectors are setting up to be the next bull market leaders.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, April 16, 2009
Nasdaq Q's Powerful Bullish Setup / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
Yesterday's weakness in the PowerShares QQQ Trust (NASDAQ: QQQQ) filled the up-gap left behind on last Thursday at the 31.95 open, and then reversed to the upside into a strong close. This morning's early strength continued yesterday's late rally, which now appears to represent the start of a new upleg in the aftermath of a retest of last week's upside breakout from a multi-month bottom pattern. Let's watch the action in the Q's very closely now because based purely on the developing pattern, the bulls have a VERY POWERFUL technical set-up that could trigger a panic-like climb towards a test of the sharply declining 200 DMA, now at 34.76. In other words, a 5%-6% up-spike COULD be directly ahead, and likely will conclude the Mar.-Apr. upmove.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, April 16, 2009
Late Day Stock Market Rally Lifts Indices / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Markets were choppy all day yesterday until the end. Despite lacking a clear catalyst, the Dow Jones picked up over 100 points in the hour before close to finish the day up 1.38%. Just five of the index’s 30 components failed to join the rally, including three tech stocks. The bear market rally rolls on for now. Note that the Dow Futures are off about 0.8% this morning after a weak European open and Asian session.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, April 16, 2009
New Stocks Bull Market or Bear Market Rally? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Martin Hutchinson writes: Since sinking to a 12-year low of 676.53 on March 9, the Standard and Poor’s 500 Index had risen 24% — the best such short-term rally since 1933. But this isn’t 1933 and you shouldn’t trust the rally. Happy Days are NOT here again, at least not yet.The 1933 rally came after a record-breaking decline. Real gross domestic product (GDP) fell by 25% during the Great Depression and the Dow Jones Industrial Index fell by almost 90%.
Thursday, April 16, 2009
Nasdaq Trails in Mixed Session, As Blue Chips Hold Support and Rally Back / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
We had a very interesting session on Wednesday. Most indices managed to end in the positive column except for the Nasdaq 100 and Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOXX), which pressured the NDX all day. But the story was how firmly the S&P 500 and Dow held despite three consecutive new intraday lows on the NDX. That positive divergence caused a late, short-covering rally that popped the indices and closed them near the highs for the day going away.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, April 15, 2009
Investing 2009- Leading ETFs, What To Watch Now / Stock-Markets / Exchange Traded Funds
For those less familiar with technical analysis, markets often pause or reverse at their 200-day moving average, which can act as strong resistance.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, April 15, 2009
Goodbye to the Stock Market Rally? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
The market rallied on great Wells Fargo news. However, I am skeptical if not outright cynical of such bullishness. I am not the only one.Minyan Peter, one of the best reads anywhere, seems to agree. Please consider Goldman Sachs: Green This Morning, Hurricane Tonight?
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Wednesday, April 15, 2009
Stock Market Corrections Are Beautiful and Necessary / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
Every correction is the same, a normal downturn in one or more of the markets where we invest. There has never been a correction that has not proven to be an investment opportunity. You can be confident that governments around the world are not going to allow another Great Depression "on their watch".Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, April 15, 2009
Is This a New Stocks Bull Market? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
A month ago when this rally began most people were skeptical, but now all anyone is asking is how much higher will the market go? It is still down for the year, but now almost everyone is looking for the rally to continue from here - with many thinking this may be the start of a new bull market.
Many people are wondering whether or not this is the start of a bull market and whether they should buy now. Most guests on CNBC have been gushing over the market rally and some of the recent earnings reports.
Wednesday, April 15, 2009
Stock Market Indices Fall on Profit Taking / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Indices fell yesterday due to profit-taking and a further reminder of the weak economy with weak US retail sales figures. The bulls took a breather from their recent run, but they were due a rest. The Dow Jones fell 1.71%, which is nothing really when compared to the 21.98% surge over the previous five weeks. What happens today is crucial. An up day with the bulls returning could signal that there are plenty of legs left in this rally. However, another fall will see the positive momentum halted even more and may see a return to risk aversion as traders don’t want to be caught on the long side as they go through earnings season.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, April 14, 2009
New Stock Market and Commodities Bubbles Brewing in Shanghai and Wall Street / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
After Shocks from the October Meltdown, - October is famous for stock markets crashes, - the Crash of 1929, “Black Monday” 1987, the Asian Contagion crash in October 1997, and the Sub-Prime crash of October 2008. US Treasury chief Henry Paulson’s ill-fated decision on Sept 14th, to pull the plug on the 158-year old brokerage firm of Lehman Brothers, set in motion a horrific chain of events that unleashed a torrent of panic selling on commodity and global stock markets, froze the European and US banking systems, and changed the direction American politics for years to come.
Tuesday, April 14, 2009
Stock Market Rally's Momentum Blunted, on Sharp Selloff / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
It was a decidedly negative session in a turnaround Tuesday as the indices gapped lower, bounced, and then moved sharply lower midday before an afternoon bounce brought them back. But in the last 10-15 minutes, they spiked lower again bringing the SPX and Dow near the lows for the day. Net on the day the Dow was down 137.63 at 7920.18, the S&P 500 down 17.22 to 841.51, and the Nasdaq 100 down 14.36 to 1522.31. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOXX) lost 6.10 to 250.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, April 14, 2009
This Only Happens at the Stock Market Bottom and the Top / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
I’ve got good and bad news for you. The bad news…David Dreman was fired. Last week, the trustees of DWS Dreman High Return Fund (KDHRX) announced Dreman would no longer be managing the fund. He managed the fund for more than 20 years.
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Tuesday, April 14, 2009
Nasdaq Q's Break Important Near-Term Support / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
The PowerShares QQQ Trust (NASDAQ: QQQQ) have violated important very near-term point and figure support at 32.60/50 this past hour, which has triggered some downside follow-through to an intraday low at 32.33, perhaps on the way towards a test of more important support along the Mar-Apr trendline, now at 32.00. A sustained break below 32.00 will be cause for concern for the bulls near-term.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, April 14, 2009
Goldman Sachs Bounces To Q1 Profit / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
US indices yesterday managed to cut losses they had racked up during the day to finish only slightly down on a choppy session. Futures on the S&P 500 are slipping after rising to 858.73 yesterday – the highest level since February, mostly on speculation that banks’ profits for the first quarter will be better than expected. European markets rose in early trade after the Easter break, with miners benefitting from more solid metals prices and financial stocks gaining ground following strong numbers from Goldman Sachs.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, April 14, 2009
Consumer Spending Shifts to Discretionaries. A Sign of a Healing Economy / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
As the consumer represents the largest single component of the economy, their spending habits and shifts in purchasing asset groups, which represent attitudes of either safety or optimism, is of prime importance to investors and to the decisions regarding which sectors and securities should be overweighted or underweighted in their portfolios.
Tuesday, April 14, 2009
Stock Market Rebound Closely Linked with Economic Data Surprises / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
This week we will look at two shorter essays for this edition of Outside the Box. The first is some thoughtful words by Tom Au on whether or not we have put in a true bottom for the market. I particularly want you to read his thoughts on what earnings will look like going forward, and whether we can get back to the highs in corporate earnings we saw in 2006.
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Tuesday, April 14, 2009
Watch Out For the Second Leg of the Stock Market Downturn / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
This week we will look at two shorter essays for this edition of Outside the Box. The first is some thoughtful words by Tom Au on whether or not we have put in a true bottom for the market. I particularly want you to read his thoughts on what earnings will look like going forward, and whether we can get back to the highs in corporate earnings we saw in 2006.
Monday, April 13, 2009
Resilient Stock Market Continues to Act Well / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
This resilient market continues to act well. Despite losses in the morning, it came on in the afternoon in a strong 3-wave rally, took out the rally highs and were at the session highs with about 15 minutes to go, but rolled over into the close to end mixed on the day.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, April 13, 2009
Stock Market Counter Trend Rally Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Giving Up The Ghost Revisited - In the spirit of previous undertakings similarly focused on measuring the general sentiment of investors today, and in borrowing the title of a timely piece we penned last fall, we revisit the theme investors remain reticent about ‘Giving Up The Ghost’ on being bullish about stocks these days. Therein, and largely, they have not changed in their gambling ways, however time has temporarily eroded the bull’s convictions, or at least their pocket books, such that betting practices have been altered, which is allowing for the present counter-trend rally in stocks. As you know, this sentiment change has recently been detected in a decided turn higher in most of the index related open interest put / call ratios we follow, which has proven to be the only reliable measure capable of predicting price altering mood swings.