Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Friday, April 10, 2009
Stocks Close the Week with a Bang / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Harry_Boxer
The indices ended the week with a bang in a huge up-session Thursday ahead of the holiday weekend. The day started out with a big gap up as the indices exploded on a better-than-expected earnings pre-announcement from Wells Fargo (WFC) which sent the financial sector surging 15.5%, and which induced buying in the broader market as all three major indices were able to log their best single session percentage gain in two weeks and close at their session highs.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, April 09, 2009
Wells Fargo Lights a Fire Under Stock Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Banking Stocks
By: Marty_Chenard
This morning, some pit traders were saying, "Not so fast, slow down ... I don't quite trust this yet".
Trust what?
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, April 09, 2009
Has the Stocks Bear Market Bottomed? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Hans_Wagner
After a long and brutal bear market, investors naturally wonder with each bear market rally whether we have reached a stock market bottom yet. Many analysts do not believe you can tell when the stock market has bottomed. Yet you still see many predictions that the market has bottomed out. Identifying whether we have reached a bottom in the stock market is important to investors who want to beat the market. It is also important to know whether we have reached a bottom in the stock market, so you can reduce your risk of entering to soon. This article provides two methods that you might find useful in identifying when the stock market has bottomed out. Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, April 09, 2009
Postive Divergence a NON-Confirmation of Secular Stocks Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Dow Theory
By: Submissions
Steven Vincent writes: The DJTA did not confirm the DJIA move below 2002 lows.Much has been written about the Dow Theory confirmation of a continuation of a perceived Secular Bear Market. When the Dow Transports Index violated its November '08 lows it is held to have confirmed the INDU's move to new bear market low and thus validated the hypothesis that the markets had entered a Secular Bear Market and that the existing downtrend would continue.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, April 08, 2009
Stock Market Indices Hold Support and Close Higher / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Harry_Boxer
The indices had 5 distinct sharp swings today, but a last-hour rally brought them back from a severe test of support, particularly on the S&P 500 at 815. When that was successful, for the 5th time in 2 days, they rallied back sharply.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, April 08, 2009
Stock Market Bounce, The Suitcase Farmer / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Paul_Lamont
Last month in Panic Selling Will Lead To a Sharp Bounce , we stated: "Bearish sentiment is everywhere. Investors have finally realized what we have been discussing for the last two years. And now that we are near a temporary bottom, some investors are taking action. Unfortunately, investors are reacting to the past. They should have been in cash during the downtrend...Instead, investors should be positioning themselves for a counter trend rally: by either not selling their stocks or if they are in cash, by considering market exposure (depending on your risk tolerance)." Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, April 08, 2009
Recovery Rally in S&P 500 Short SPY ETF / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Mike_Paulenoff
The pullback in the S&P 500 Depository Receipts (AMEX: SPY) from 84.80 to 81.30 since Monday has coincided with the recovery rally in the ProShares Single Leveraged Short SPY (NYSE: SH) from 73.00 to 76.00, which also happens to have filled the down-gap left behind last Thursday. Classic technical behavior would argue for the SH now to decline after having filled the gap. If such a scenario unfolds, then the SH should press back into the 74.00-73.80 area, which would imply a climb towards 84.00 in the SPY concurrently. We maintain a long position in the SH in our model portfolio as a partial hedge against an implosion in our long positions.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, April 08, 2009
Sustainable Stocks Bull Market Not Likely / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Chris_Ciovacco
Rather than relying on hope as the primary driver for making decisions, investors would be well served to focus on the fundamental and technical facts. An analysis of the facts leads us to conclude we are facing the following in terms of probable outcomes:
- Highest Probability – New lows / continuation of bear market.
- Moderate Probability – Cyclical bull – higher highs – followed by retests or new lows.
- Lowest Probability – A sustainable bull market (secular).
Wednesday, April 08, 2009
Stocks Hurt by Fears of Earnings / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: PaddyPowerTrader
Stocks fell for the second straight day. The market opened heavy and traded like that all day. There was no one thing causing this, but comments from famed sages George Soros (that the rally was pretty much done) and Marc Faber (the S&P 500 could drop as much as 10% to around 750) certainly added to the fall. Energy stocks were the big losers, as oil fell below $50. Natural gas hit a 6-year low, while tech shares were also noticeably weak on economic fears hurting orders / sales. After the bell there were weak earnings from Alcoa and fertilizer maker Mosaic who may fell pressure today. Note, Asian stock markets saw an even sharper correction on big losses for Daiwa. Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, April 08, 2009
More Sharp Losses for Stock Indices / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Harry_Boxer
The indices suffered more sharp losses today, as expected. The day started out with a large gap down. The indices moved sharply lower, tested support, bounced, and then took them out mid-day, reaching secondary support around 1270 NDX and 815 SPX. When that held for about an hour, they tried to rally and did so, but with about 10 minutes to go sold off very sharply and gave back the entire rally on the SPX, closing near the lows for the day on that index and not from it on the NDX.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, April 07, 2009
How to Profit from Inefficient Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: Money_Morning
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: One of the single biggest fallacies foisted upon the investing public is the notion of an “efficient market.” Academics love it, which is why the “ efficient-market hypothesis ,” or EMH, as it's known, is taught at all the leading B-schools. The broadest version of this theory holds that securities prices already reflect all known information; EMH proponents believe it's impossible to outperform the markets over time - except by luck. Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, April 07, 2009
Stock Market Snaps Winning Streak / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: PaddyPowerTrader
Former Deutsche bank star banking analyst Simon Mayo (now with French house Calyon) put a dampener on financials yesterday by voicing his concerns that Geithner's new plan may not offer as much hooray as the markets think. The extension of the deadline for participation in the securities side of the Geithner Plan has spooked some investors. There are also fears that private sector interest in the plan is proving less than the market originally expected, and that the extra two weeks and looser selection criteria are a desperate effort to throw the net wider. But that said, equities still managed to jog to the finish well off their worst levels. Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, April 07, 2009
Stock Market Indices Close Lower, though Pare Declines / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Harry_Boxer
The indices had a down session, but came back off the late morning session lows to pare the declines by quite a bit. The day started out with a gap down. They stair-stepped lower, then bounced around mid-morning, stabilized, and then started to rally. It was a 9-wave advance from 11:30 to the close that took the indices back up to neew highs for the session in the late 5 mintues.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, April 06, 2009
Financial and Economic Crisis In Order Of Magnitude / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Captain_Hook
In order of magnitude, it's important for those who pay attention to these things to note what is occurring in the economy and financial markets right now is of the highest degree in terms of importance (and movements), because the world's reserve currency, the US Dollar ($), is in jeopardy of losing this role , which will change everything. Why is this happening right now? Answer: In a nutshell, it's because the global trade loop the US has with China (and the rest of the world to a lesser degree) is increasingly coming unraveled as stressed US consumers purchase less manufactured products from Asia, which in turn reduces currency multiples the Chinese have been using to buy US Treasuries. Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, April 06, 2009
How FAS 157 Mark-to-Market Helped Slow the Economy / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009
By: Frank_Holmes
There's been a lot of discussion of how the FAS 157 mark-to-market accounting rule may have contributed to the current deep recession. The charts below from Citi Research (using Federal Reserve data) make a pretty compelling case for the unforeseen damage caused by the strict application of FAS 157. We are among those who applaud the Financial Accounting Standards Board for taking action this week to add flexibility in how the mark-to-market rule is used going forward. Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, April 06, 2009
Stock Market Rebound? Or... Just Bouncing? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Paul_J_Nolte
This week has been a head scratcher. The government is dictating who should be running General Motors and gave Chrysler an ultimatum – merge or die. Home prices continue to fall, and do so at a faster rate over the past three months than over the past year (not getting “less worse”!). Unemployment (a lagging indicator) continues to deteriorate, as do the weekly jobless claims. Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, April 06, 2009
Stock Market Chooses to Ignore More Dire U.S. Jobs Data / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: PaddyPowerTrader
Stocks shrugged their shoulders and laughed in the face of another atrocious jobs report Friday and forged ahead Stateside. Overnight, Asia continued the firm tone despite those pesky North Koreans in the hermit kingdom firing a missile over the Sea of Japan. Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, April 06, 2009
Investor Sentiment: Converting Stock Market Bears To Bulls / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
By: Guy_Lerner
As the equity markets continued their surge this past week, more bears have been converted to bulls. The number of bulls is by no means extreme, but as key resistance levels are approached, it appears that there will be fewer investors on the sidelines (i.e., new buyers) that could possibly power the market higher. Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, April 06, 2009
Stock Market Counter Trend Rally Could Extend for Several Months / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the MarketSPX: Long-term trend - Down! The very-long-term cycles have taken over and if they make their lows when expected, the bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until 2012-2014. This would imply that much lower prices lie ahead.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, April 05, 2009
Stocks Stealth Bull Market Closes above Dow 8,000, Up 24% in less than 4 weeks / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
By: Nadeem_Walayat
This article seeks to answer in part the approaching 150 emails in response to the recent stealth bull market trading analysis series. The stocks stealth bull market on Friday closed above 8,000 on BAD U.S. unemployment data, having rallied near 24% from the low of 6470, as expected the rally is STILL predominantly perceived as a Bear Market rally that contrary to some statements is still being AVOIDED by ALL but the Smart Money! Read full article... Read full article...
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