Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Wednesday, April 22, 2009
Investors Path to Permanent Wealth / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
The path to permanent wealth is paved with high-yielding dividend stocks and reinforced with gold. With a housing market that's in tatters and an economy that's reeling, most U.S. investors see the current market as perhaps the worst ever to even think about such topics as saving, investing and wealth. Corporate profits are plunging, as unemployment soars. Investors have watched as the worst bear market since the Great Depression savaged their savings and plundered their pensions.
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Wednesday, April 22, 2009
Nasdaq Q's Heading Higher / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The daily chart on the PowerShares QQQ Trust (Nasdaq: QQQQ) is scary because is so bullish – and represents a much more powerful pattern than the SPYs. The reason that it is scary is because the Q’s are poised to confront the declining 200 DMA, now at 33.34, which is 3% above current prices. However, my upside measured targets off of the huge base pattern are 35.20/40, and then 38.00. The weakness earlier in the week in the Q’s tested and held critical intermediate-term support at 32.00-31.80 and since yesterday morning the price structure has turned up—and is accelerating towards a test of the 200 DMA (34.50 area). Only a plunge that breaks 31.80 will wreck the near and intermediate-term bullish set-up.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, April 22, 2009
Airlines Act Like Stock Market Leader / Stock-Markets / Sector Analysis
The AMEX Airline Index (symbol: $XAL.X) was up 10% yesterday on earnings reports from Delta Airlines (symbol: DAL) and UAL Corporation (symbol: UAUA). Delta Airlines is the world's largest airline and UAL Corp. is the parent of United Airlines.
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Wednesday, April 22, 2009
Six Month Correlation Among iShares ETFs / Stock-Markets / Exchange Traded Funds
Owning multiple funds with close correlations is mostly wasted effort and potentially self-deception. Owning multiple funds with a significant correlation spread can be helpful in reducing overall portfolio volatility.
Here is a table with the 6-month correlation of daily returns of selected iShares ETFs with at least 6 months of history (as of April 21, 2009), as rendered by the iShares website.
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Wednesday, April 22, 2009
Geither’s Soothing Words Send Stock Markets Higher / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Yesterday saw a nice little wrestling match between Tim Geithner and his former colleagues at the IMF, a match that was easily won by the US Treasury Secretary. The respected IMF Global Financial Stability Report pointed to cumulative worldwide financial losses through to 2010 of slightly over $4tr. Assuming a 17 times leverage ratio, the US financial system was seen as unable to earn its way out of the problem and in need of as much as $500bn of fresh capital.
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Tuesday, April 21, 2009
Exclusive Interview with One of the “Most Sought-After Fund Managers” / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
To say it’s not often we get an opportunity like this is an understatement. Today we’re sitting down for an exclusive one-on-one with the man the New York Times calls “one of the most sought-after fund managers in the country…”In his ongoing quest to uncover hidden opportunities, get past the mainstream headlines to find safe investments, Andrew Mickey, Q1 Publishing’s Chief Investment Strategist, had the opportunity to speak to John P. Calamos, Sr.
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Tuesday, April 21, 2009
Surprisingly Strong Stock Market Session / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The markets had a surprisingly strong session after yesterday's sharp losses. The indices were strong from the get-go, then had a steep early pullback that retested the lows but held, and then rallied back up to new session highs on the S&P 500, but the NDX at that point trailed miserably. On several occasions, they tried to punch through key overhead resistance but couldn't and they rolled back in the early afternoon, first bounced and then thrust to new session snapback highs, pulled back with about 15 minutes to go, but closed strongly right near the session highs.
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Tuesday, April 21, 2009
Trouble on the Dow Transportation Index? / Stock-Markets / Dow Theory
In the past few days, I have done something I don't normally do. I have reported on the same thing for two days in a row, and will report on it again this morning ... about what is happening on the Transportation Index.
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Tuesday, April 21, 2009
Are Stock Markets Facing Green Shoots or Just Weeds? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Monday, and the bull lays down on Wall Street as investors fret that Bernanke’s “green shoots” are just weeds. Bank of America’s sharp boost in loan-loss reserves and its downbeat outlook shocked the market after it had been lulled into a false sense of security with the Citi and Wells Fargo “numbers”. Which set do we believe now? Therein is the investor’s dilemma. Elsewhere, in the tech space, Texas Instruments added to the bulls’ woes after the bell with disappointing numbers. Sun Mircosystems soared as Oracle stepped up to the plate left vacant by Big Blue with a $7bn deal. Oil fell below $46 barrel.
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Monday, April 20, 2009
Putting Finance Capitalism "Back in Its Box" / Stock-Markets / Articles
So writes Philip Augar in an April 13 Financial Times (FT) op-ed. He's a former UK investment banker/broker and author of The Death of Gentlemanly Capitalism, The Greed Merchants, and most recently Chasing Alpha: How Reckless Growth and Unchecked Ambition Ruined the City's Golden Decade. More on his newest book below.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, April 20, 2009
Financial System Still Struggling to Gain a Firm Footing / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009
Based upon the earnings of the banks so far, it looks as though the TARP program is working. Provide banks a whole bunch of money and create a very wide spread between short and long rates and even the less than stellar banks should make money. However, with much of the gains coming from the benevolent government aid (that is not likely to be repeated in subsequent quarters), the above average (and positive) earnings may be nothing more than a one-quarter phenomenon. There was additional evidence this past week that the economy is still deteriorating.
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Monday, April 20, 2009
Three Stages of Stocks Bear Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
In just six weeks the S&P 500 has climbed about 30% and the broader, small-cap focused Russell 2000 has soared 40%. It’s the steepest rally in more than 70 years. The bulls are off and running.
Despite it all, very few people believe this rally can last. And it’s because there are still so very few people getting in on this rally, odds are it won’t end very soon.
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Monday, April 20, 2009
Stock Market Ominous Sell-Off / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The indices had a very sharp decline on Monday that may very well have reversed the entire 6 week uptrend. With the indices closing at the lows for the day and down sharply, led lower by the financials which had led the market up, it was a seemingly significant negative day on Wall Street.
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Monday, April 20, 2009
Forecasts and Analysis for ALL Major Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Forecasts & Technical Analysis
For the first time ever, EWI is giving away one month of its most popular global analysis publication, a 120-page "little black book" of investment insights called Global Market Perspective, which includes EWI's three regional publications:
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Monday, April 20, 2009
Over Bought Stock Market Pauses / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
That’s where we are in terms of whether equities, and the inflation mindset, continue to fill with air past this point – it’s time for a pause. This is basically what Carl Swenlin is pointing out in making the observation intermediate-term technicals are now overbought, and that the stock market should pullback somewhat from here before building the necessary steam to produce a more lasting breakout. And this is what I expect also, as long as increasingly negative sentiment in the betting parlors allows prices to continue climbing the wall of worry. Because as alluded to in discussing our fraudulent and dysfunctional markets last week, you should understand that all of our markets work on the same premise, where the gamblers and speculative sentiment largely control price movements, not fundamentals, at least not until it’s too late.
Monday, April 20, 2009
Markets Are a Mixed Bag ETF Attributes: Part 2a - iShares Bonds / Stock-Markets / Exchange Traded Funds
In Part 1, we examined Vanguard bond and stock ETFs. In this Part 2a, we look at iShares bond funds with 12 or more months of distribution data (plus their preferred stock fund).
iShares is the largest ETF provider. Their ETFs differ importantly from Vanguard’s in two important ways.
Monday, April 20, 2009
Corporate Earnings to Test Stock Market Strength / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
A make or break week for the six week long gravity-defying rally as a huge list of earnings reports beckon. The Dow is up 24% since March 10th, with the S&P 500 up nearly 29% and the Nasdaq up 32%.
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Monday, April 20, 2009
Stock Market Investor Sentiment: Time To Sell the Bear Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
This is now the fifth week in a row where investor sentiment, as measured by the "Dumb Money" indicator, remains neutral. When we couple this with the fact that prices on the major stock indices remain below their 40 week moving averages, there is a high likelihood that the market will rollover in the next several weeks. I have previously discussed these observations in the article, "Investor Sentiment: Some Context".
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Monday, April 20, 2009
Are global stock markets on the road to recovery? / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
Another week goes by, and world markets put more distance between current levels and the lows of March. The broad S&P 500 managed to register its sixth positive week on the trot, something that would have seemed impossible just a month ago. Leading the charge has been the resurgent financial sector with major US banks beating analysts’ estimates with their latest earnings announcements.
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Monday, April 20, 2009
Stock Market Another Leg Down? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
In this morning’s media, (April 19th 2009) a Reuters article appeared, entitled U.S. transport Q1 earns watched for recovery signs (http://news.yahoo.com/..)
In it, the following statements appeared:
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