Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Sunday, May 31, 2009
The Stock Market Correction that has Failed to Materialise / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The good news is: The NASDAQ composite (OTC) finished at a multi month high last Friday and all of the NASDAQ summation indices (SI's) turned upward.
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Sunday, May 31, 2009
Stock Market Investor Sentiment Intent on Crushing the Bears / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
There is no meaningful difference in the "Dumb Money" and "Smart Money" indicators from last week. The "dumb money" is extremely bullish, and their persistence is being rewarded as the major indices turned in winning performances for the month of May. The "smart money" is bearish but not to an extreme degree.
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Sunday, May 31, 2009
Stock Market Shrugs off GM Bankruptcy / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Main Street takes a hit in GM bankruptcy - The loser in a General Motors Corp. bankruptcy would be Main Street, not Wall Street, said a lawyer who represented Chrysler LLC’s dissident lenders and is trying to organize bondholders who hold up to $7 billion in GM’s debt. What’s being offered is the U.S.-backed plan to give the American and Canadian governments as much as 69 percent of the equity and a 17.5 percent trust for unions, while bondholders only get 10%. GM plans to file for bankruptcy on June 1, people familiar with the matter said.
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Saturday, May 30, 2009
Stock Market Investors Mindset of Guaranteed Economic Destruction / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
Gary North writes: Most people will not change. Too radical. Not going with the flow. Not betting against the herd.
The best examples in the 20th century were Jews in Germany in 1933. They stayed. This included Jewish bankers, all of whom could have left. They thought they could deal with Hitler. They did not read Mein Kampf. They did not take it seriously.
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Saturday, May 30, 2009
Stocks Bear Market Warning! Counter-Trend Moves Spark False Hopes / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
As the counter-trend moves continue, the optimism grows. William Peter Hamilton, the great Dow theorist who followed in the footsteps on Charles H. Dow, warned against allowing “the wish to father the thought.” Based on the technical and statistical work that I do, the data is telling me that pretty much all of the moves we have been seeing over the last 2 to 6 months, depending on which market you are looking at, are counter-trend moves. As a result of these counter-trend affairs, the powers that be continue to think that they have the problem under control. The average person on the street sees that the markets are rising and they too begin to think that the worst is behind us and that maybe the bail-outs and various stimulus packages are working.
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Saturday, May 30, 2009
Stock Market Consolidation Continues... Nasdaq Leading / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
There is a lot of anxiety out there. You can feel it. It has an energy. It has a vibration to it. It's the feeling of fear. The feeling that things are about to fall apart. Like we're sitting on the precipice of disaster. Maybe we are. Are we? You want to try and anticipate things if you're a market player. You want to be ahead of the next big move. We've been lucky enough or fortunate enough to be able to do that the past many years. One of the ways that gets done is when you see something technically that goes against the grain of the current trend.
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Saturday, May 30, 2009
Elliott Wave Theory Based Trading Into and out-of the Stock Market March 2009 Low / Stock-Markets / Economic Theory
We trust that all those who have engaged in trading markets for any period of time will conclude that it is an unrealistic expectation that any single or group of trading strategies can work to perfection all of the time. Price action is elusive more often than not. As a result, losses are a most assured and inevitable part of the entire trading process. However, unwelcomed but anticipated nonetheless, cumulative debilitating losses need not dominate ones trading experience. Similar to a professional baseball player’s batting average, highly successful trading strategies need only perform with consistency a small percentage of the time in order to deliver phenomenal benchmarked measures of success.
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Friday, May 29, 2009
How Manipulated Financial Markets Really Work / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
Wall Street's mantra is that markets move randomly and reflect the collective wisdom of investors. The truth is quite opposite. The government's visible hand and insiders control markets and manipulate them up or down for profit - all of them, including stocks, bonds, commodities and currencies.
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Friday, May 29, 2009
Stocks Bear Market Rally or Real Bull Market Rebound? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
OVERVIEW - THERE is a great divide among economists on whether the global economy has begun a sustainable recovery from its worst recession in 70 years or is simply slowing its rate of contraction. Are the so-called 'green shoots' of recovery firmly rooted, or just frail seedlings destined to wither again in an economic climate of prolonged stagnation and deflation? For investors, this translates into a question of whether stock prices are poised to enter a new bull market or are simply in a classic bear market rally. BT gets the views of four pundits.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, May 29, 2009
Bullish and Bearish Stock Market Plays for the 2009 Hurricane Season / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
Sean Brodrick writes: Whether the 2009 hurricane season turns out to be a snoozer or a bruiser, I have four picks for you — two bullish, two bearish — to play this summer’s potentially wild weather.
The major hurricane forecasters have made their predictions, and it’s for a “moderate” hurricane season. Cooler seas off the coast of Africa and a prediction of a weak El Nino get the credit for the calmer forecast.
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Thursday, May 28, 2009
Financials XLF ETF Coiled Pattern About to Break in Which Direction? / Stock-Markets / Banking Stocks
I scan the various sector charts to see if any of them provide clues about the eventual directional breakout of the major equity market ETFs from "The May Coil" pattern. One “coiling” market is the Financial Select SPDR ETF (NYSE: XLF), which has been traversing a contracting range since its high on May 7 at 13.15. This pattern reflects a classic series of lower highs juxtaposed against higher lows, which when perched atop a major upmove usually breaks out to the upside within the profile of a bull flag continuation pattern.
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Thursday, May 28, 2009
The Great Bond Market Massacre Spills Over into Stocks / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
As I’ve written in this column before, the Fed was always playing a dangerous game of chicken with the market, with its half hearted attempts at Quantitative Easing. To date Quantitative Easing has failed miserably and the rise up in 10 year bond yields to 3.72% from 2.5% in March, sending mortgage rates soaring has completely neutered the Fed.
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Thursday, May 28, 2009
Why the S&P 500 Stock Market Index Could Crash Another 50% / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
With the words “green shoots” and “bull market” getting more and more coverage in the mainstream financial press, it’s worth considering if this current market/ economy is actually improving. Personally I don’t know what data the folks at CNBC are looking at. Because to me, all signs point to further wealth destruction and great economic contraction to come in the months ahead.
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Wednesday, May 27, 2009
Banking Sector Index BKX at Critical Juncture / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Institutional Investors have one special index that they look to when trying to measure the strength of the economy.
What's the Index and why do they favor it?
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Wednesday, May 27, 2009
Can North Korean Nukes Rattle Global Stock & Financial Markets? / Stock-Markets / North Korea
News that North Korea’s mercurial leader Kim Jong Il authorized the detonation of a nuclear bomb on May 25th, comparable to those that obliterated Hiroshima and Nagasaki, barely caused a ripple in the global financial markets. Japanese and South Korean stocks initially fell in a knee-jerk reaction, but soon recouped most of their losses, as traders shrugged off the nuclear fallout, - figuring it was just a harmless display of Kim Jong Il’s temper tantrums that erupts once every few years.
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Wednesday, May 27, 2009
Ending Today's Financial & Economic Crisis Simply and Easily, in America and Globally / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009
Some of the best ideas are often the simplest. When applied to the global economic crisis, the solution is easier than imagined. What's hard, in fact a Gordian Knot, is the political will to embrace it. But even matters that great can be solved by a bold stoke, and according to legend, Alexander the Great's "Alexandrian solution" was achieved with one stroke of his sword, cutting the Knot in half. Applied to the global economic crisis, it means addressing it with effective policies, not ones wrecking America and other troubled nations worldwide.
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Wednesday, May 27, 2009
Dow Jones Stock Index Soars from 8,200 to 10,000 in a Single Day! India Did! / Stock-Markets / India
Tony Sagami writes: How would you react if the Dow Jones jumped from about 8,200 to 10,000 in a single day?
That type of one-day moon shot happened to the Indian stock market last week. The Bombay Stock Exchange’s benchmark Sensex vaulted 2,110.79 points, or 17.3 percent, to 14,284.21 May 18.
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Wednesday, May 27, 2009
Interest Rate Flashing Strong Stock Market Sell Signals / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Claus Vogt writes: One of the first lessons I learned in analyzing and forecasting the direction of the stock market was the extreme importance of interest rates. That’s because holding a stock gives you the right to part of a company’s future cash flow. And to determine the value of that cash flow back to today’s value, you need an accurate interest rate gauge.
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Wednesday, May 27, 2009
Stock Market Feeling Confident on Economic Prospects / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
An upside surprise in the US consumer confidence number (to it’s best level in 8 months) trumped a record drop in the Case-Shiller home price survey report (down 19.1% in Q1 2009, with nationwide US home prices now back at 2003 levels).
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Tuesday, May 26, 2009
Financial Markets and Economic Crash, the Next Leg Down Will be Worse / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Collapsing home prices and credit markets continue to put downward pressure on consumer spending, forcing the Federal Reserve to take even more radical action to revive the economy. Last week, Fed chief Ben Bernanke raised the prospect of further monetizing the debt by purchasing more than the $1.75 trillion of Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities (MBS) already committed. The announcement sent shock-waves through the currency markets where skittish traders have joined doomsayers in predicting tough times ahead for the dollar. Foreign central banks have been gobbling up US debt at an impressive pace, adding another $60 billion in the last three weeks alone. That's more than enough to cover the current account deficit and put the greenback on solid ground for the time-being. But with fiscal deficits ballooning to $3 trillion in the next year alone, dwindling foreign investment won't be enough to keep the dollar afloat. Bernanke will be forced to either raise interest rates or let the dollar fall hard.
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