Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, August 22, 2011
Gold and Crude Oil Trading Thoughts, What's Next? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The past few weeks have been fast moving with fearful investors clearly in control. As we all know fear is the most powerful force in the financial market and when the hedge funds and the masses get spooked they all dart in one direction like a school of fish. Watching the charts and volume levels it’s clear that money was/is flowing out of stocks and into precious metals as the risk off safe plays. This was explained in last week’s report on how the GLD etf can be used as a fear/sentiment indicator (read here).Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 22, 2011
Stock Market Dip Buyers Beware: Odds Favor Lower Lows in Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Chris_Ciovacco
Whether you rely on fundamentals, technicals, or a combination of both, investment analysis centers around looking at probabilistic future outcomes based on historic outcomes that occurred under similar circumstances. Given the weight of the fundamental and technical evidence we have in hand and in the context of history, the odds have shifted from favoring higher highs in stocks and risk assets to favoring lower lows. Until conditions improve, we will continue to err on the side of caution and treat the current market climate as unfavorable for intermediate to longer-term investing. We have minimal exposure to global stocks. We have positions in gold (GLD), silver (SLV), bonds (TLT), and cash.
Monday, August 22, 2011
Stock Market Long Term Looks Bleak – Not The Short Term / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Andre_Gratian
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into about 2014.
SPX: Intermediate trend - The bull market which started on March 2009 at 667 appears to have ended at 1370. The first intermediate decline of the new bear market may be close to being over.
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Sunday, August 21, 2011
Is High-Frequency Trading Causing Higher Stock Market Volatility? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Investment_U
Justin Dove writes: Where were you on August 9, 2011?
Alright, it wasn’t some landmark event like Black Monday. Heck, it wasn’t even the 2010 Flash Crash. But to Art Cashin, it was one of the wildest days for the stock markets in 50-plus years.
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Sunday, August 21, 2011
How Far Down Can Stock Markets Go ? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Andrew_McKillop
The crash of Oct. 19, 1987, AKA “Black Monday” witnessed a 20-percent-plus fall of index numbers, and therefore nominal stock market value in 1 day: since early August 2011 we have had falls of around 15 percent in 15 days.
Retrospective mythmaking on the 1987 crash noted that Iran had fired missiles over the Persian Gulf, causing some nervous moments, rather like Hamas firing missiles on Israel, today. The decisive factor, for some mythmakers treating the 1987 event, was that 24 years ago the US wanted a lower-valued dollar, rather like today, prompting foreign investors to start to dump stocks fearing exchange rate-related losses.
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Sunday, August 21, 2011
Stocks Bear Market Begins / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Donald_W_Dony
World markets have broken important support levels over the past three weeks. Global equity indexes have now fallen into a new bear market.
Fears about the spiraling European debt crises and a stalling US economy is largely the cause for the decline (Chart 1). Most indexes have already dropped 10% to 14% in August as investors run to safe havens. An additional 10% to 12% is expected by year end.
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Sunday, August 21, 2011
Scarlett O'Hara's Risk-Free Rate / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Fred_Sheehan
The death of the long-established risk-to-reward asset categories was the subject of "It's Over." From lowest to highest: cash, bonds, and stocks, are the pecking order of institutional investment policies. Pension plans and endowments that have wandered into warehouses and gas-pipeline management often retain the outline as a mental diagram. The assets with the highest assumed risk (using statistical measurements) are expected to produce the highest return. The genesis for this construction is the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), a deeply flawed academic theory.
Sunday, August 21, 2011
Nasty Stocks Bear Market Below S&P 1249 Continues / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Jack_Steiman
We look for defining moments that tell us something has changed. That what was once one trend is now another, although it's hard to see it initially. It's about trusting those technicals that tell you where one market ended and another began. S&P 500 1249 was that level. Losing it lost the up trend line off the March 2009 lows. It also meant losing huge horizontal support, and the bottom of the big triangle in place at the time. It opened the door to much lower prices potentially, and that potential has been filled. I don't think anyone would deny that. It's been ugly since we lost S&P 500 1249. Some short-term rallies along the way, but the trend has been to sell and sell hard almost on a daily basis. Some monster days lower of 4% plus. One day like that is unusual enough. Multiple days like that tell you something is terribly wrong economically.
Sunday, August 21, 2011
Major Stock Market Low Soon? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Tony_Caldaro
After last week’s rebound, which carried into mid-week, world equity markets headed south on thursday and friday. While the SPX/DOW were losing 4.35%, the 10 Year US Bond hit an all time low of 1.98%, and Gold soared to $1881 on friday. Recession fears, centered around Europe this time, are driving rates lower. While monetary fears, centered around the developed countries, are fueling the rise in Gold. On the economic front reports came in mixed with an interesting theme: rising prices during a weakening economy. On the negative side: housing starts, existing home sales, building permits and the monetary base were all lower. The NY and Philly FED, plus the WLEI, are now all in contraction and negative.
Sunday, August 21, 2011
The Stock Market Bear Lives On / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: WavePatternTraders
Last weeks article was titled "setting up the next decline." I mentioned to readers that we could see a push higher towards the 1200ES area in the early part of the week, but I still suspected we would find a high in that area.
The market made it a little more frustrating that I wanted to see, but it eventually it came good, having put in 2 false breakouts, the 3rd attempt finally cracked lower, a what a move!, it finally made the effort that we put in looking for that 4th wave high all the more worth it.
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Saturday, August 20, 2011
Financial Markets and the Descending Triangle of Doom / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Barry_M_Ferguson
The Dow has been trending lower since July 22, 2011. Other than a fabulous 600-point rally from 3PM to 4PM following the Fed meeting of August 9, 2011, the trend downward has been brutal and abrupt. There was also a 400-point rally two days later that was followed with two more rally days on falling volume. That may have been a warning sign. The Dow then turned lower oddly enough at just about the 38% Fibonacci retracement line of the descent. The Dow now sits at 10817. What will happen when the markets open on Monday?
Saturday, August 20, 2011
High Frequency Trading are destabilis​ing Global Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Sam_Chee_Kong
“ Markets are purely about Speculations. There is no more such thing as INVESTING in the markets. It is just Speculation on different timeframes “
Traditionally we have the market that is made up of retail and institutional investors together with the market makers that facilitates these investors. In the last couple of years, there have been much changes in the investment landscape and that is High Frequency Trading or HFT for short. HFT accounted for about 70% of daily trading volume in NYSE, 60% in Europe and 50% in Asia. In other words there is a paradigm shift in the traditional Investors Buy and Hold market to a Trader’s market.
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Saturday, August 20, 2011
Financial Meltdown: The Case Against the Ratings Agencies / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2011
By: Michael_Hudson
In today’s looming confrontation the ratings agencies are playing the political role of “enforcer” as the gatekeepers to credit, to put pressure on Iceland, Greece and even the United States to pursue creditor-oriented policies that lead inevitably to financial crises. These crises in turn force debtor governments to sell off their assets under distress conditions. In pursuing this guard-dog service to the world’s bankers, the ratings agencies are escalating a political strategy they have long been refined over a generation in the corrupt arena of local U.S. politics.
Saturday, August 20, 2011
The Early August Market Swings Were Unprecedented and Unnatural / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Ellen_Brown
What just happened in the stock market? Last week the Dow Jones industrial average rose or fell by at least 400 points for four straight days, a stock market first.
The worst drop was on Monday, Aug. 8, when the Dow plunged 624 points. Monday was the first day of trading after U.S. Treasury bonds were downgraded from AAA to AA+ by Standard and Poor’s.
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Saturday, August 20, 2011
How To Prepare for Economic Depression / Stock-Markets / Great Depression II
By: The_Gold_Report
The week of August 15 was one of the most volatile stock market performances in years. Negative news about the global economy, gloomy forecasts and mixed signals on the jobs front battered stocks and sent gold repeatedly above $1,800/ounce. The Gold Report asked an analyst, two newsletter writers and an economist the following: What should be a precious metals investor's next move?
Friday, August 19, 2011
Investors Profitably Surmounting Plutocratic Perfidy / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: DeepCaster_LLC
“Tuesday’s Fed meeting was sad. They failed to do what wise men urged, ie, cut the fat rate Fed pays banks that put reserves with Fed to zero. That would have caused banks to remove reserves & free them up for lending. Not doing this reveals banks control Fed & Fed is a banks cartel. That’s why Thomas Jefferson said he feared banks more than standing armies.”
Harry Schultz, The Big Picture, 8/11/11, The Aden Forecast
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Friday, August 19, 2011
Permanently Engineered Stock Market Volatility, The New Abnormal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Money_Morning
Shah Gilani writes:
If the gut-wrenching market volatility of the past few weeks has made you sick to your stomach , I have some bad news for you: violent volatility is the new normal - or more precisely, the new ab-normal.
After massive market moves last week, the Dow Jones Industrial Average tumbled 419.63 points yesterday (Thursday). And, while t hat may be bad news for average investors, it's something Wall Street wants.
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Friday, August 19, 2011
See Prechter's Stock Market "FREE FALL TERRITORY" Chart for Yourself / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: EWI
In the May 2008 issue of his monthly Elliott Wave Theorist, Robert Prechter showed this chart of the Dow Jones Industrials. As you can see, prices go back to the 1970s.
Friday, August 19, 2011
Investment Impact of Primary Stocks Bear Market Trend Since 2000 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Brian_Bloom
If you happen to be a retiree, you will understand this is your gut: The Primary Trend of the US equity market has been “down” since 2000. As is clearly visible from the 80 year chart below (courtesy Decisonpoint.com) the market peaked in 2000 – that’s 11 years ago. Any arguments about a pending bull market are just noise. There is no evidence to support the argument being made by stockbrokers and investment funds that the markets will rise to new heights in the foreseeable future. For 11 years they have been talking to their book. Since 2000, the only way to make money on the market has been by trading in an out- which is why the hedge fund industry boomed.
Friday, August 19, 2011
Stock Market Yikes!! Dead Cat Bounce Or Flash Crash? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Andrew_Butter
The 5% drop in the US markets on Thursday was exciting, fortunately I hadn’t got around to doing anything about the decision I made in early August to jump in at SPX 1,150…Oops!!
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