Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, August 19, 2011
Permanently Engineered Stock Market Volatility, The New Abnormal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Shah Gilani writes: If the gut-wrenching market volatility of the past few weeks has made you sick to your stomach , I have some bad news for you: violent volatility is the new normal - or more precisely, the new ab-normal.
After massive market moves last week, the Dow Jones Industrial Average tumbled 419.63 points yesterday (Thursday). And, while t hat may be bad news for average investors, it's something Wall Street wants.
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Friday, August 19, 2011
See Prechter's Stock Market "FREE FALL TERRITORY" Chart for Yourself / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
In the May 2008 issue of his monthly Elliott Wave Theorist, Robert Prechter showed this chart of the Dow Jones Industrials. As you can see, prices go back to the 1970s.
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Friday, August 19, 2011
Investment Impact of Primary Stocks Bear Market Trend Since 2000 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
If you happen to be a retiree, you will understand this is your gut: The Primary Trend of the US equity market has been “down” since 2000. As is clearly visible from the 80 year chart below (courtesy Decisonpoint.com) the market peaked in 2000 – that’s 11 years ago. Any arguments about a pending bull market are just noise. There is no evidence to support the argument being made by stockbrokers and investment funds that the markets will rise to new heights in the foreseeable future. For 11 years they have been talking to their book. Since 2000, the only way to make money on the market has been by trading in an out- which is why the hedge fund industry boomed.
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Friday, August 19, 2011
Stock Market Yikes!! Dead Cat Bounce Or Flash Crash? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
The 5% drop in the US markets on Thursday was exciting, fortunately I hadn’t got around to doing anything about the decision I made in early August to jump in at SPX 1,150…Oops!!
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Friday, August 19, 2011
Robert Prechter's Stock Market Critical Juncture Report Last Chance / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Dear Investor,
The Dow has plummeted over 2000 points in the past weeks and it seems like volatility is here to stay.
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Friday, August 19, 2011
Stock Market Sure Looks Like 2008 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
"He observed that human emotions collectively had major impacts on the on stock prices and the patterns seen in the Stock Markets in general." ~ From a book on the teachings of Jesse Livermore
When you think of it in the short term markets are nothing more than a group of people trying to process data and understand what others are doing all under the stress of losing personal wealth. They are trying to solve a problem that in may ways is not solvable unless one can adapt. Similar to a group of Navy SEALs on a mission. They are successful only if they can adjust to the changing situation. There's a reason few are SEALs and few are successful in this business.
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Friday, August 19, 2011
Economists Refuse to Recognize the New Great Depression / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
The recent financial slump has caused economists to take stock of the possibility of a "double dip" recession. Most of them, however, won't admit that the economic contraction which began in late 2007 is still underway and, worse still, has a few more years to run according to the Kress cycles. In this commentary we'll address this issue and have a look at where the cycles are leading the financial market and the economy.
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Thursday, August 18, 2011
Are Gold and the Stock Market Behaving Logically or Irrationally / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Back on August 7th the S&P 500 was in the midst of a panic induced selloff and the bulls were running scared. Prices were collapsing and the bulls were racing to the exits. In the following weeks, piles of money flew out of equity mutual funds as the retail investors rang the register and pulled their money out near the lows which seems to be a regularly recurring event.
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Thursday, August 18, 2011
Stock Market Crash 2011 Critical Juncture Report / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Dear Investor,
The Dow plummeted some 1800 points in the past weeks.
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Thursday, August 18, 2011
How to Save Your Wealth From Stagflation / Stock-Markets / Stagflation
Sean Hyman writes: The year was 1973.
I was just a toddler, so I couldn't fully appreciate the next-generation Camaro that had just come out or the release of the new Pontiac Firebird Formula.
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Thursday, August 18, 2011
Volatility is Not The Same As Risk in the Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Volatility
If it looks like risk, feels like risk and acts like risk, it is natural to conclude that it is risk. But in turbulent times, such as now, investors must remind themselves that volatility is not the same as risk.
The stock markets are nothing more than a collection of businesses and risk is highest in individual companies and can be categorised as follows;
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Thursday, August 18, 2011
Gold and Stocks Are About To Move in Opposite Directions Get Ready! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
The past few weeks traders and investors have been completely spooked from the surge of negative news and collapsing stock prices. This fear can be seen by looking at the volume on the GLD gold ETF fund. With gold being in the spot light for several years now and the fact that anyone can own gold simply through buying some GLD shares. It only makes sense that reading the volume on this chart gives us a good feel for what the masses are feeling emotionally.
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Thursday, August 18, 2011
Stock Market Handle Time Continues... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
And that means whipsaw, but little action worth talking about. The top today at 1208 should be the near-term high, although we will look for signs that it could be exceeded in the days ahead. 1101 is the clear low, and that level may never be taken out to the down side. The question I am being asked, already, is how long do these handles last. The best answer I can give is, no one knows, but a multi-month handle is very possible, if not likely. The bears did their best to take the markets down below 1249, and they did a great job. When we got extremely oversold, the market bottomed at 1101, and I talked about a handle to form, and that's in place now. It will be boring, and probably long lasting. Lots of whipsaw. Very emotional. In the end nothing from nothing. In the months to come, it'll make a move out of that handle, and there's no way to know, for sure, which way it'll break. It'll be dependent upon economic reports to come over that time.
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Wednesday, August 17, 2011
Stock Market Bears Yell Fire in Empty Theater / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Let’s clarify the SP 500 situation here:
The lows at 1101 were a convergence of fibonacci weeks, months, sentiment bottoms and VIX extremes along with major insider buying all at the same time.
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Wednesday, August 17, 2011
Coming in October: Next Major Stock Market Cycle Low / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
A major price cycle on the daily S&P 500 chart, which shows reliability in bottoming about every 15.5 months, is due for its next low on or about October 31. The cycle appears to have been influencing prices since the 2002-03 lows.
To any market historian, the suggestion that such a major cycle is due to bottom next in the second half of October sends shivers down the spine of the most ardent market optimist.
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Tuesday, August 16, 2011
Road to Apathy, Catching Out the Knee-Jerk Stock Buyers of 2008/2009… / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
If we had to choose to indulge in just one form of pseudo financial mysticism, we would undoubtedly go for the view that financial assets tend to move in generational cycles. In short, we believe that nothing is more conducive to action than good old muscle memory. Here, I explain why the recent crash in the array of ‘risk assets’ is corroborating our hunch about the generational nature of trends in financial assets. Moreover, I consider one way in which widespread apathy towards speculation may come to pass.
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Tuesday, August 16, 2011
Zombie Wars and the Stock Markets Next Attack / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Whew!
What a week. Traders must be reeling. The rest of us are staggering.
And nobody knows anything.
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Tuesday, August 16, 2011
Stock Markets Brace for More Volatility / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Last week was one of the most volatile weeks in the history of the stock market. In my opinion the cause of these wild swings and the subsequent spike in the VIX has been a loss in confidence in investors. The wild swings we witnessed in the market is proof that after three years from a near Armageddon in the financial markets we are far from having an economy that is recovering. There is not a doubt in my mind that we will be in for more volatility in the market because our leaders have been unable to deal with the core issues of a staggering debt and a stagnating economy.
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Tuesday, August 16, 2011
Stock Market Counter Trend Still Rocking.....Not Necessarily Bullish.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Text book market back test under way off the lows, which I've talked about. It's normal market behavior to test back up once you get a massive breakdown such as we've gotten. The oscillators got violently oversold. Oversold at levels rarely, if ever, seen on the daily charts. It certainly makes you take notice, since it begs the question, why did things get this bad? We don't have to understand it, but we do have to recognize that the market didn't like what it saw. We went down 2200 on the Dow, and have since retraced 900 of those points. It could go higher still. That doesn't necessarily mean things are bullish now. Not at all. Only a clean blow through 1249 would change that thesis, and I don't think we'll be seeing that any time soon.
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Monday, August 15, 2011
Stocks Rally Back Toward 1,260 Possible Even If Bear Market Has Kicked-Off / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
We are participating in a PIMCO conference call this morning with Mohamed A. El-Erian and Bill Gross. PIMCO is very well connected and knowledgeable regarding the bond markets. We may be able to gain some insight into the debt problems in Europe and the United States. Serious debt problems remain and the solutions are not going to be easy since haircuts and negative impacts will be involved.
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