Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, September 22, 2011
Don't Get Stung by Obama's Deficit-Reduction Plans / Stock-Markets / Economic Austerity
Martin Hutchinson writes: In the last 10 days, U.S. President Barack Obama has unveiled three distinct deficit-reduction plans to solve the nation's economic problems.
While all three have their good points, each has its own set of problems, too - including the time-consuming political firestorm we can expect to see as the plans are debated in Congress.
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Thursday, September 22, 2011
Recent Stock and Financial Market Trends Remain In Place, R U Positioned Properly? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
What a trading session Wednesday was with the FOMC meeting and the FED coming out leaving the Fed Funds Rate unchanged at 0.25% and saying the economy is looking weak and will not likely to get better any time soon. This wave of negative news triggered a selling spree across the board in stocks, metals, and oil. On the flip side all that money being pulled out of those investments was being dumped into bonds and the dollar currency.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, September 22, 2011
Stock Market Reversal Day.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
The market really waited for this day to come. The day fed Bernanke would announce just how much stimulus he is going to flood out banks. Would it be another QE program? Would he buy back treasuries? Would he do nothing at all? The answer became clear today when he announced the buying of long-term treasuries. He also told the world he would keep interest rates near zero on the short-term through mid-2013 at the earliest. Does he see ugly times ahead? Bottom line is at 2:15 PM Eastern Time he told the world of the buyback of those treasuries, and the market hated it. It wanted much more than that. It wanted a full QE program, but didn't get it.
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Wednesday, September 21, 2011
Stock Market Next Selling Wave is About to Begin / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
As many of you already know I expected the dollar index to put in a major three year cycle low sometime this year. The normal timing band would have been for a bottom in the spring. The recent breakout and move to new highs has confirmed that the May bottom did in fact mark the three year cycle low. As expected that also marked the top of the cyclical bull market in stocks.
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Wednesday, September 21, 2011
Financial Capital Burning Sensation Like Peeling OnionsĀ / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2011
Have you ever peeled some onions for a dish you were making? Did you have a burning sensation, which brought tears from your eyes? Like peeling onions, we are watching events today that have, and will set up millions for that “burning sensation” with their financial capital, and why there is a desire to avoid peeling back any more layers of the onion.
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Wednesday, September 21, 2011
Stock Market Forecasting Fed Disappointment / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
As shown in the chart below, the Dow was having a rough day on August 9 as it waited for the Fed’s statement to be released. After digesting the pledge to keep interest rates low “at least through mid-2013”, stocks spent the rest of the day rallying.
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Wednesday, September 21, 2011
The S&P 500 and the U.S. Dollar Ahead of the Fed Statement / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
The Federal Reserve is holding a two-day meeting Tuesday and Wednesday of this week. Market participants are expecting the Federal Reserve to prop up financial markets yet again with some grand new plan. The fact is the Federal Reserve is running out of bullets.Interest rates cannot move much lower in terms of the Federal Funds rate, additional quantitative easing seems redundant since Treasury yields are close to all-time lows, and finally a twisting of maturities will do little to alter the current economic conditions. The Federal Reserve is just repeating practices which have proven over a long term do little to create jobs or get the economy moving in the right direction. A stock market rally does not help a person looking for a job!
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Tuesday, September 20, 2011
Stock Market VIX Fact That There is No Fear is to be Feared / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
There is very little fear in the markets at this point of time. Clear price action, option market activity and VIX all indicate to a relaxed market.
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Tuesday, September 20, 2011
Will it be Japanization, Monetization, or Financial Crisis 2.0? / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2011
I believe the Eurozone will break apart. Eurobonds are dead, so are fiscal unions. The question is really what path the crisis takes.
Via email, Saxo Bank chief economist Steen Jakobsen outlines several scenarios in a series of three emails that I spliced together.
Tuesday, September 20, 2011
Stock Market Some Selling...Sentiment Continues To Help The Bulls.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
You could see that reality take place today in the stock market. There was every reason for the market to get crushed today. There was terrible news overnight from Europe regarding Greece, and some bad news right here at home as Moody's was downgrading our individual states. Not looking good financially for our country. It's a nice toxic mix for the bears to nail the bulls. The futures were getting slaughtered overnight. All of Europe was under severe pressure to the down side. Our futures are reflecting the carnage overseas. Our markets never recovered. It's understandable. We were down nearly 250 on the Dow in the first hour of action. From there the market slowly started to recover off the lows. The Dow finishing down only 108 points with the Nasdaq down only 9 points thanks in most part to Apple Inc. (AAPL), which reached up over $11 today.
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Monday, September 19, 2011
The ShamWow Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Let us record history as it happens. Let us not let the truth become altered by the hands of time so that it fits a message of those who seek to rule us. Let us make permanent a recording of the week that passed in real time so that generations of the future will be able to look back to the moments that changed the rules that govern their life.
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Monday, September 19, 2011
Second Greek Bailout May Not Stabilize Markets / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Financial markets tend to get fixated on a small number of issues, which often leads to questionable decision making for investors. It is important to look at a scenario where the second Greek bailout package is approved. The immediate question for the markets would become, “Now what?” The odds are fairly low approval of the second bailout will stabilize the bond, currency, and stock markets for an extended period of time. The excerpts below shed light on this concept:
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Monday, September 19, 2011
Will Ben Bernanke and the Fed Pump the Stock Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
This is going to turn out to be one of the most interesting weeks of the year for two reasons - first the market is putting itself in a position to turn back up after spending a month now going sideways and building a base and secondly there is a Federal Reserve Open Market Committee meeting on Tuesday in which Ben Bernanke may announce another new massive money pump to try to force another big stock market rally.
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Monday, September 19, 2011
Protect Yourself From the Obama Stocks Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: I just finished a battery of media appearances on Fox Business, Bloomberg, BNN and CNBC Asia, and without exception I was asked about two things: President Barack Obama's jobs bill and the U.S. Federal Reserve's "QE3."
The first thing investors and analysts alike want to know is whether or not the president's jobs bill will work. The answer to that question is "no" - not as it stands, anyway.
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Monday, September 19, 2011
What Crude Oil Is Telling Us About Stock Market SPY? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Crude and SPY are as intimately woven as anything else. They have probably one of the best regression coefficients with the equity indices (esp SPY) and thus highlighting the multi asset pull of Bernanke QE moves.
We analyse crude daily, weekly and monthly charts and the proceed to understand the love relationship between SPY and Crude. Finally we will look at crude fundamental given that SPY rarely does not track crude in the medium term.
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Monday, September 19, 2011
Kabuki Theater Economy / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
The stock market was driven by three major influences this week: the ongoing European “Black Debt” saga, the Dollar, and rumors galore. The rumor that lifted the markets out of their initial funk on Monday was that China would be buying Italian debt.
Discussing the double-edge sword of Chinese investments, Chinese Briefing reported, “Debt-ridden European countries are longing for China’s purchase of their public debt despite fears that the country has motivations of a ‘reverse colonization’ of Europe. Nowadays the message ‘the Chinese are coming’ can often help governments trapped in financial crisis press public refinancing needs and shore up creditworthiness.
Monday, September 19, 2011
Stock Market Waiting Patiently! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
I'm looking forward to getting past this correction. Let's begin this weekend analysis with a review of Friday's action. You will remember that I said my favorite Fibonacci setups are the 78.6% retracement and the 161.8% external retracement. I commented that they were almost always good for at least a scalp. Friday was a day when they were good for more than a scalp.
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Monday, September 19, 2011
Are $1.4 Trillion ETFs The New WMDs? Anatomy Of Highly Toxic UBS Scandal / Stock-Markets / Exchange Traded Funds
We have mounted an investigation into the role of Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) linked to the $2 billion black hole at UBS. We have uncovered a complex entangled world wide web of $1.4 trillion including derivative exposures and counterparty risks.
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Sunday, September 18, 2011
Stock Market Intermediate Support Is Holding / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into 2014 after this bull market has run its course.
SPX: Intermediate trend - The market strength which was experienced last week attests to the seemingly impregnable support which exists in the low 1100's. With the market volatility being what it is, the market profile may change again, but it has become doubtful that the bottoming 3-yr cycle will cause the index to make a new low.
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Sunday, September 18, 2011
Tick Tock, Tick Tock Goes Nasty New Cyclical Stocks Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
I remain convinced that a nasty new cyclical bear market in common equities has begun. Now that Germany's stock market ($DAX) has dropped 35% from its May peak, there is little point in Wall Street trying to pretend that this is "just another correction/buying opportunity." The US stock markets have held up better than most, but this is about to change in my opinion. In fact, it was Germany that held up much better than the US in late 2007/early 2008, only to play catch-up later once the bear market really got rolling. Now, the crisis is centered in Europe (for now), so Germany and the US get to reverse their roles relative to the prior cyclical bear market of 2007-9.
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