Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Sunday, December 04, 2011

Gold, Eurodollars, and the Black Swan That Will Devour the US Futures and Derivatives Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: Jesse

The Eurodollars estimate in the chart below is based on the BIS Banking Statistics from Commercial Banks and may not include official reserves held by Central Banks.

As you know the Federal Reserve stopped reporting Eurodollars some years ago, with the consequence that it also stopped reporting M3 money supply.

Sunday, December 04, 2011

Stock Market New Uptrend Nearly Confirmed / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Tony_Caldaro

Markets, worldwide, surged this week on new optimism to a resolution of the European sovereign debt crisis. See the beginning of wednesday’s update for further details. European markets rose 9.6%, US markets +7.2%, Asian markets +5.9%, and the DJ World index +8.4%. Bond prices and the USD weakened, while Crude, Gold and the Euro rallied. Positive economic reports outnumbered negative reports by a ratio of 2:1. On the downtick: new homes sales, Case-Shiller, the WLEI and monetary base, plus weekly jobless claims rose. On the uptick: pending home sales, FHFA housing prices, construction spending, consumer confidence, the Chicago PMI, ISM, auto sales, the ADP and monthly Payrolls, plus the unemployment rate dropped. Next week ISM services, Consumer credit and the Trade deficit highlight a light economic agenda.

Friday, December 02, 2011

Investor Realities, Opportunities & Threats Preview 2012 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012

By: DeepCaster_LLC

 “The E.C.B. has a fire hose — its ability to print money. But the bank is refusing to train it on the euro zone’s debt crisis.”

Wrote Jack Ewing, New York Times, November, 2011

“Why not?  According to the November 28^th Wall Street Journal, ‘The ECB has long worried that buying government bonds in big enough amounts to bring down countries' borrowing costs would make it easier for national politicians to delay the budget austerity and economic overhauls that are needed.’

Friday, December 02, 2011

New Stock Markert Cycle is Bearish for the Year-End / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The up sloping Head and Shoulders pattern had successfully decline to its target of 1160.00. Normally head and shoulders neckline's are not recrossed once they are violated. However, up sloping Broadening Wedge formations have a 7% probability of an incursion back into the formation. This is one of those rare incursions.

Friday, December 02, 2011

French Fried Banks Puts Central Banks in Panic Mode / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2011

By: Gary_North

Ben Bernanke is in panic mode. The November 30 coordinated announcements of six central banks regarding their intervention into the currency markets was exactly that – coordinated. If you think it was coordinated by anyone other than Bernanke, you are out of touch with reality. (Test: name the heads of at least two of the other five central banks.)

Friday, December 02, 2011

Manufactured Metrics and the Great Liquidity Pump / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: Andy_Sutton

Just When You Thought You’d Seen it All - As I wrote in the last installment regarding the situation in Europe, matters are progressing there much more quickly now as the continent sways back and forth between financial oblivion and a nervous peace brought about by paper promises (yes, paper promises) by central banks around the world. The purpose of this article is not to focus on the behind the scenes of these actions – we’ve already done that, but to examine some of the other outlying issues that are rarely mentioned.

Friday, December 02, 2011

Stock Market and AMEX Gold BUGS Contracting Fibonacci Spiral Implications / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: David_Petch

Christmas is in the air, with festivities of Ramadan and the Festival of Lights all culturally intertwining to form a more current version of celebration, as all traditions of the past have formed. Here in Winnipeg, the housing prices finally appear to have topped out, with no visible cutbacks on spending. There is a lot of money in this city...but on the other side, there are those that are barely getting by. This is the most rapidly growing economic group by far. In the past, there was religious discrimination, racial discrimination, sexual orientation and now the latest, economic discrimination.

Thursday, December 01, 2011

Stock Market Money Printing Thrill Gone Already? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: PhilStockWorld

David Fry summed up yesterday’s action perfectly, saying "Wednesday’s massive rally was prompted by sudden global central bank intervention adding (printing money) liquidity (reducing the lending rate overseas to zero basically) to shore up sovereign debt in the eurozone. They basically set up a swap facility to do the job in the future. Is it a cure or a bailout? No, this is a handout. And it doesn’t solve the problems the eurozone is facing."  

Thursday, December 01, 2011

Why the Fed's Latest Rescue Effort is Doomed / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: Money_Morning

Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: World markets got a nice tailwind yesterday (Wednesday) on news that the U.S. Federal Reserve is stepping into the fray along with other central banks to boost liquidity and support the global economy.

Of course it's nice to see stocks get a hefty boost, but to be honest I'd rather see them rising on real news.

Thursday, December 01, 2011

ECB Gift Wrapped Liquidity Christmas Present / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: Ben_Traynor

Is the ECB about to give Europe's governments and banks the biggest Christmas present of their lives...?

WITH CHRISTMAS a little over three weeks away, the European Central Bank may be about to hand indebted European governments – not to mention its banking sector – the biggest gift they ever received: an unlimited credit backstop.

Thursday, December 01, 2011

The Currency War Big Picture Analysis for Gold, Silver & Stocks / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: Chris_Vermeulen

I think you will admit that we are in the middle of one major crazy financial mess. The part that makes things really crazy is that it’s not just in the United States anymore but rather serious global problem which if not handled properly could change the way we live our lives going forward or possibly even spark some type of war, hopefully things don’t get that crazy… But I do know one thing. Fear is the most powerful force on the planet and people do some crazy things when they are backed into a corner.

Thursday, December 01, 2011

Fed Does It Again...... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Jack_Steiman

This should not have come as a surprise to anyone. We've talked many times about the fed and the role of playing the savior. Not on my watch approach. He knew that if the Eurozone fell apart, so would our markets, and thus, the concerted effort with the world central banks to supply massive quantities of liquidity to help Europe out and keep the financial system humming along for at least a little while longer. Outside of our own back yard, the fed convinced England, Switzerland, Japan and Canada to join in and save the day. They agreed when they were made to realize that if the rest of the world goes down, so do each and every one of them. No one would be safe from the financial carnage that would take place. Not too tough a sell.

Thursday, December 01, 2011

Stock Market Panic Buying As Bear Market Goes Up in Smoke on Dollar Printing for Euros / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The past 6 months has seen a very volatile trading range as the stocks bull market has attempted to end its correction and resume its trend to new bull market highs, which has been held back by increasingly worsening debt crisis news out of the Eurozone as the Euro currency block continues to fight to hold itself together whilst it's fragmented political structure ensures that there is always a long delay in policy reaction to bond market crisis events that has had a negative fallout across the worlds banking system and financial markets.

Wednesday, November 30, 2011

Stock Market Manipulation / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation

By: Tim_Wood

My research suggests that the secular bull market, which began at the 1974 low, peaked at the October 2007 high and that we have been in a bear market advance since the March 2009 low. According to Dow theory, all bull and bear markets unfold in 3 phases with important counter-trend moves separating each of the phases. As I have said all along, the rally out of the March 2009 low has been a bear market rally that should prove to separate Phase I from Phase II of the longer-term secular bear market that is now under way. Nothing has occurred to change this point of view. Since the rally out of the October low began, I have received a number of e-mails asking about manipulation and if "they" could prevent or if "they" have perhaps already prevented the phase II decline.

Wednesday, November 30, 2011

Trouble in China, and Trouble for U.S. Banks? / Stock-Markets / Banking Stocks

By: Marty_Chenard

Our country's top Banks and Financial institutions were downgraded yesterday. Stocks included in the downgrade were: BAC, JPM, WFC, C, MS, and GS.

But at 7:16 AM this morning, the futures were indicating that ALL of them were showing a pre-market rise in their values.

Wednesday, November 30, 2011

The European Debt Crisis and Your Investments / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: EWI

In 1999, 11 European countries surrendered their currencies for the euro and a shared monetary authority. Barely a decade later, the once-celebrated EU and its currency are facing collapse. Elliott Wave International has just published a free report to help you gain a valuable perspective on the European debt crisis and get ahead of what it could mean for your portfolio.

Read Your Free Report: The European Debt Crisis and Your Investments.

Wednesday, November 30, 2011

Fed Stock Market Sneak Attack / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX appears to be challenging mid-cycle resistance at 1226.60 or intermediate-term trend resistance at 1228.70. This attack comes from the futures market where high leverage can move markets with small amounts of money. The Fed has bailed out the world once again. However, it may be too little, too late as the markets are on the bearish side of the trend both on the hourly and daily charts, even after the jolt of liquidity overnight.

Wednesday, November 30, 2011

Coordinated Central Bank Action Traps Stock Market Bears! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: PhilStockWorld

The new Beige Book is here, the new Beige Book is here!  

I’m sorry but I get very excited about this kind of stuff.  I love data, especially the kind of data our policy-makers rely on to make their future decisions.  Although the BBook is a gathering of anecdotal evidence from the Fed’s 12 regions (see map below), the data comes from businessmen that are respected by each Fed Governor so THEY take it seriously and if they take it seriously, you’d better too.  

Wednesday, November 30, 2011

Europe Headed for a 'Lehman Moment' Banking System Collapse / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2011

By: Money_Morning

David Zeiler writes: With credit drying up across Europe we may finally see the Eurozone experience its "Lehman moment" - a replay investment banking collapse that triggered the 2008 financial crisis.

Indeed, European banks are having a harder time getting money - part of the fallout from the Eurozone debt crisis - and the resulting credit crunch could freeze business activity, cause bank runs and plunge Europe into a deep recession that would badly damage the global economy.

Wednesday, November 30, 2011

An Early Look at Things to Come / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012

By: Money_Morning

Dr. Kent Moors wites: I made it back late Saturday night from my meetings in Germany.

While I was there, the German Central Bank (the Bundesbank) was unable to sell its full complement of bonds... for the first time ever.