Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, December 12, 2011
The ‘Real’ Stocks Mega-Bears / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short. : It’s time again for the weekend update of our “Real” Mega-Bears, an inflation-adjusted overlay of three secular bear markets. It aligns the current S&P 500 from the top of the Tech Bubble in March 2000, the Dow in of 1929, and the Nikkei 225 from its 1989 bubble high.
Monday, December 12, 2011
Stock Market a Little More Consolidation? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Andre_Gratian
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into 2014.
SPX: Intermediate trend - The current action suggests that a wave "C" from 1075 is underway.
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Sunday, December 11, 2011
Are Funds At US Financial Firms Safe? / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2011
By: Jesse
The short answer is 'maybe.' It is more of a buyer beware situation than most had thought, and still think.
It is nice to see someone in the mainstream media addressing this situation intelligently and without making an apology for what is apparently a criminal act and surely an egregious abuse of the public trust.
Sunday, December 11, 2011
Will the U.S. Dollar Ruin the Stock Market Santa Claus Rally? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: J_W_Jones
Experienced traders recognize that volume typically dries up going into the holiday season. Light volume and the holiday seasonality generally push equity prices higher. The discussion of whether Santa Claus comes to Wall Street has arrived in earnest.
I do not envy Santa as he has the most arduous task of determining if Wall Street was naughty or nice. I suppose it depends on whether he reviews recent performance, or if past performance comes into play. Clearly coal will likely be found in a few stockings soon enough. If I were John Corzine, I would not expect to get a lump coal, but something far worse potentially.
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Sunday, December 11, 2011
Two Roads Out of the Global Financial Crisis / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2011
By: David_Knox_Barker
The international political economy and global financial markets are deep in the woods. A long wave winter season is blowing cold, and getting colder. Decades of excess leverage in the banking system and sovereign states is coming to an end. Government and consumer spending are hitting a wall. A critical fork on this wintry road is coming up fast.
Sunday, December 11, 2011
Stocks Bull Market is Resuming / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
By: Tony_Caldaro
A choppy and somewhat volatile market in the US this week that ended on a positive note. Global markets were not as fortunate as the DJ World index ended -0.4%. Positive economic reports again outnumbered negative ones 2:1. On the downtick: factory orders, ISM services, and the Trade deficit increased. On the uptick: consumer credit, wholesale inventories, consumer sentiment, the M1-multiplier, the WLEI, and weekly jobless claims declined. Consumer sentiment has been improving since its 30 year low in mid-August, and the economy appears to be making a u-turn after its double bottom low in mid-October. For the week the SPX/DOW were +1.15%, and the NDX/NAZ were +0.75%. Asian markets lost 2.5%, and European markets gained 0.1%. Next week there is a plethora of economic indicators and the FOMC meeting on tuesday.
Saturday, December 10, 2011
Stock Market Santa Rally May Now Be Over / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
-- The VIX revisited mid-cycle support at 26.38 on a pullback from intermediate-term trend support/resistance at 30.55. However, longer-term the VIX closed below its weekly and monthly support (red line). It appears that the diamond formation that I had been pointing out the last two months has had a false breakout. The cycles, however, point to a higher year-end for the VIX. Despite closing below intermediate-term trend support, the VIX shows a reversal pattern that suggests a breakout next week..
Saturday, December 10, 2011
It’s Small-Stock Sweet Spot Time! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Sy_Harding
Some investing truisms are pure baloney. For instance, that you can rely on the stock market returning 10% to 12% per year on average. That if you want higher profits you have to take more risk. That you can’t time the market. That election years are always positive for the stock market.
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Saturday, December 10, 2011
Investors: Demand Beef; Reject Cake / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: DeepCaster_LLC
”Let them eat cake.”
Attributed to Queen Marie Antoinette, shortly before being guillotined during the French Revolution.
”Where’s the beef?”
Fmr V.P. Walter Mondale to Sen. Gary Hart (1984)
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Saturday, December 10, 2011
Stock Market Report: Pass the Band-aides! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: UnpuncturedCycle
Lost in all the noise regarding the European summit was this morning's Commerce Department report that the U.S. trade deficit narrowed by 1.6% in October to $43.5 billion. The deficit has narrowed for four straight months to the lowest monthly trade gap this year. Underlying the report was a sharp upward revision to the trade deficit in September to $44.2 billion from the initial estimate of $43.1 billion. The October trade deficit was close to the consensus forecast of Wall Street economists of $43.6 billion. Both imports and exports declined in October, with imports falling at a slightly faster pace.¹ The U.S. trade deficit with China widened to $28.1 billion in October in compared with $25.7 billion in the same month last year. October imports from China were the highest on record. The data show that trade with Japan has recovered from last March's earthquake and subsequent tsunami. Imports from Japan in October were the highest since April 2008 while exports to Japan were the highest since March 1997.
Friday, December 09, 2011
Stock Market Bullish Technicals / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Zeal_LLC
The stock markets are still riddled with anxiety, with traders nervously awaiting the next shoe to drop. Will Europe fracture? Does a global recession loom? But in an apprehensive environment where fears are legion, it’s easy to lose the forest for the trees. If you can transcend the day-to-day newsflow slog for a broader perspective, the technicals of the US stock markets are actually quite bullish today.
Friday, December 09, 2011
Don't Let Debt Crisis Uncertainty Scare You Out of the U.S. Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Money_Morning
Kerri Shannon writes:
Compared to its foreign counterparts, the U.S. stock market is one of the best performers this year - even though some nervous investors may find that hard to believe.
The Standard & Poor's 500 Index is basically flat so far this year, but that's a far better performance than the double-digit losses in other markets.
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Thursday, December 08, 2011
Eurozone's Light Bulb Moment / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis
By: EWI
How many European bankers does it take to change a light bulb? That's a joke in search of an answer, but EWI's European analyst Brian Whitmer explained five months ago that the "light bulb moment" was coming -- that's the time when most people would clearly recognize the severity of the European debt crisis. He offered this spot-on analysis back in July 2011, before the larger world came to know recently how bad things really are in the eurozone.
Thursday, December 08, 2011
PIMCO's El-Erian: ECB Waiting for IMF, Governments to 'Step Up' / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis
By: Bloomberg
PIMCO CEO and co-CIO Mohamed El-Erian spoke to Bloomberg Television's Betty Liu about Europe's crisis and said that the ECB is waiting for governments and the IMF to "step up" before taking further action.
El-Erian also said that PIMCO's investment tone is to "be careful" and that the bond fund is maintaining a "generally defensive and selectively offensive" investment strategy.
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Thursday, December 08, 2011
ECB and Dow Theory Undermine Stock Market Bulls / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Chris_Ciovacco
This morning’s activity in the S&P 500 futures underscores what the market cares about. The market is not focused on employment (better than expected this morning), earnings (good), or valuations (respectable). The market cares about one thing – money printing; specifically, having the ECB print money to buy Italian and Spanish bonds.
Thursday, December 08, 2011
To ECB or Not to ECB? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: PhilStockWorld
To bail, or not to bail--that is the question:
- Whether ’tis nobler in the EU to suffer
- The slings and arrows of outrageous swap rates
- Or to print money against a sea of debt
- And by printing, inflate them. To loan, to bail-- No more
- And by a loan to say we end the illiquidity,
- and the thousand natural shocks
- That economies are heir to.
Thursday, December 08, 2011
Negative Real Interest Rates, Central Banks Prepare For the Worst Life After Euro / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis
By: GoldCore
Gold is trading at USD 1,719.40, EUR 1,302.70, GBP 1,109.30, CHF 1,608.40, JPY 135,050 and AUD 1,689.4 per ounce.
Gold’s London AM fix this morning was USD 1,739.00, GBP 1,105.81, and EUR 1,297.28 per ounce.
Yesterday's AM fix was USD 1,731.00, GBP 1,108.20, and EUR 1,289.96 per ounce.
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Thursday, December 08, 2011
Jim Rogers: "The Fed is Lying to Us" / Stock-Markets / Central Banks
By: Money_Morning
David Zeiler writes: Despite statements to the contrary, the U.S. Federal Reserve has continued to pump money into the economy, says investing legend Jim Rogers.
The resulting low interest rates and creeping inflation, he says, are destroying the wealth of millions.
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Thursday, December 08, 2011
Stock Market Violent Whipsaw Yet Again... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Jack_Steiman
Is this crazy or what! This morning, very early on, the Dow futures were up 96 points. Those futures held well overall, until a spokesman from Germany put out a statement that it seemed there would NOT be a resolution for the Eurozone over the weekend. The result was a 1760-point reversal down in the futures. Oh well! No shock as we all know by now we're tied in completely to the news of the moment out of Europe. Our own backyard has become secondary to Europe. The United States is holding its own, and thus, the reason why this market is holding up in the face of such dire news out of Europe. If Europe was positively resolved, things would blast higher above 1265 on the S&P 500, or that nasty trend line of resistance we failed at again late today in the last two minutes. The market gapped down at the open. They spent the day trading a little below the gap open, and down around 25 points on the Dow.
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Thursday, December 08, 2011
Debt Champions and Eurozone Bailout Fund, Another $670Bn Not Enough? / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis
By: PhilStockWorld
I titled yesterday’s post "More Stimulus Please" and, as expected, we did indeed get another $670Bn (500Bn Euros) rumored around noon yesterday as the word is the EFSF is going to either double or eliminate it’s lending cap. This action was backed up by our own little Timmy Geithner, who backed the play, saying: "We’re encouraged by the progress [Europeans] are making, not just to put in place economic reforms across Europe to create the conditions for stronger growth in the future, but to try to build a stronger architecture for a fiscal union … and try to make sure there’s a sufficiently strong firewall in place to support those efforts."