Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, December 15, 2011
Pathogenesis Of Central Bank Ruin, Next Ground Zero Is Italy / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis 2012
Central banks are the current sovereign debt market. It is a vacated market. They are the majority bidders via debt monetization. The monetary inflation has become the New Normal and a travesty. In perverse fashion, the financial markets celebrate the monetized purchases, even calling for higher volume. In the process, bond and stock market integrity has been destroyed. Foreign creditors depart the USTreasury Bond market. Large European banks depart the Southern Europe sovereign debt market. Central banks step in to avert panic as the underlying structure to the global monetary system crumbles. When government bond yields rose quickly in Europe, it was not from abandonment by their central bank. The big Euro banks sell boatloads of bonds while the EuroCB buys only truckloads. The bond market integrity has been deteriorating very quickly. The dependence upon the debt monetization process is vividly clear. It is hyper monetary inflation to fill the void, thus providing the dominant bid. Ironically, the dullard stock market mavens celebrate the arrival of the central bank purchases without truly comprehending the destroyed integrity of the bond market. IQ levels are falling along with stock index levels.
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Thursday, December 15, 2011
Multiple Stock Market Crash Hindenburg Crash Omens / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
The NYSE gave us a second Hindenburg Omen yesterday. As I said earlier, I just noticed the first one on Tuesday. There may even have been one on Monday, as well. The point is, Hindenburg Omens come in clusters. A single omen has no meaning, but multiple omens are the harbingers of crashes.
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Thursday, December 15, 2011
Do Five 'C's Equal A Market Crash? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
1. The first 'C' is for Christmas time and the trading volumes are already getting thin, as they often do, at this time of the year;
2. The second 'C' is for Capital flows which are increasingly leaving illiquid and riskier asset classes like peripheral sovereign debt and currencies like the euro and heading towards perceived safer cash havens like the US dollar, Japanese yen, Swiss franc and UK sterling;
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Thursday, December 15, 2011
Re-Hypothecation ABC in Gold and Securities Markets: What You Need to Know / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2011
Kevin Brekke, Casey Research writes: A new polysyllabic term has entered the Wall Street lexicon and is sweeping through the investing world like a brush fire through a dry canyon: "hypothecation." With its connection to the MF Global bankruptcy and aftermath, it engenders the kind of fear a homeowner might feel while monitoring the approaching flames.
The rise of hypothecation as the lead suspect in the MF Global tragedy has caused a fair bit of confusion about what, exactly, it is – and is not. Proving the idiom that nature abhors a vacuum, the blogosphere has weighed in with all manner of explanations, many of which have been less than accurate.
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Thursday, December 15, 2011
Credit Crisis part 2 or another reprieve? / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2011
Recent investor disappointment is being blamed on the Federal Reserve and the fact that it didn’t announce another round of stimulus at its latest meeting. Recent market action can also be chalked up to a continuation of the lingering disappointment from last week’s EU summit meeting. Participants are upset that the European Central Bank (ECB) refuses to engage in a major bond buying program to provide liquidity and bolster investor confidence.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, December 15, 2011
Gold, Silver, Dollar, Stocks and Crude Oil Trend Forecasts / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
It’s that time of year again and I’m not talking about the holiday season… What I am talking about is another major market correction which has been starting to unfold over the past couple weeks.
I have a much different outlook on the markets than everyone else and likely you as well. However, before you stop reading what I have to say hear me out. My outlook and opinion is based strictly on price, volume, inter-market analysis, and crowd behavior and you should put some thought as to what I am saying into your current positions.
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Thursday, December 15, 2011
Gerald Celente on his Missing MF Global Money, Where Is My Money? / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2011
Today MF Global's former executives, the CFO and the COO, along with Jon Corzine, the former CEO, testified before the senate agriculture committee. They told the committee that they don't know how an estimated 1.2 billion dollars in customer funds went missing.
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Wednesday, December 14, 2011
Stock Market SPX Index A Possible 50 Point Drop? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
The SPX has broken through its supports and is ready to reach escape velocity. The next target is cycle bottom support at 1163.34, but that is a soft target and may only produce a small bounce, if at all. The real targets are either the new Head And Shoulders minimum target of 1025.00 or the original Broadening Top average target of 980.00.
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Wednesday, December 14, 2011
Stock and Financial Markets Stay Range Bound / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
The markets have spent the best part of 6 months doing nothing but causing pain to both bulls and bears, you only have to look at the triangle formation on the daily chart to note the wild swings we have been seeing over the past few months, those are not helping either side, this market has now become a traders play ground, it's not for the investor or swing trader imo.
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Wednesday, December 14, 2011
Can the Markets Survive Without QE3? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
WTF?
Do Ben Bernanke and I live on different planets? "For a lot of people," he said during a speech at Fort Bliss, "I know it doesn’t feel like the recession ever ended." For what people exactly, Dr. Bernanke, does it seem like it did end? Study after study after study show that, if you are not lucky enough to be in the top 10% of our society (and certainly not a shade of Johnson’s "Great Society" anymore) then you are pretty much f*cked – and, no, there’s not a nicer way to put it.
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Tuesday, December 13, 2011
Stock Market SELL / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Traders should sell the SPX here. The risk of a flash crash below 1221-1224 is very high. We should see weakness here, leading to acceleration to the downside.
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Tuesday, December 13, 2011
Important Stock Market Support Levels at 1230.59 to 1227 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Today's graph shows the S&P 500's action for 2011. Our C-RSI indicator in red measures the strength of the underlying index.
I should say that it is measuring the strength of the market on this chart because the S&P 500 is regarded as the best index for depicting the condition of the economy. The reason Institutional Investors give for this, is that they say "the S&P 500 represents the best picture of what is happening to important Sectors in our economy".
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Tuesday, December 13, 2011
It's Time to Brace for a Repeat of Financial Crisis 2008, Recession 2012 / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2012
Martin Hutchinson writes: If you think the global economy is out of the woods now that the European Union (EU) has expanded its effort to solve the sovereign debt crisis, then I'm afraid you're sorely mistaken.
No doubt, the European crisis is far from being solved - but that's hardly the only potential economic catastrophe looming on the horizon.
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Tuesday, December 13, 2011
How MF Global Collapsed by over Hypothecating and Who is Next? / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2011
Another month another new implosion. Europe really seems to be stuck in a financial black hole, unable to free itself out of it. Before we even have time to digest all those exotic treasury products like CDO,CDS,MBS, ALT-A, Sub-Prime, Swaps and , now there is this new toy called ‘Hypothecation’.
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Tuesday, December 13, 2011
Global Stock Markets Heading for Lower Lows / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
As someone in the USA who tends to read more US-centric commentary, I continue to see analysts look almost exclusively at the US markets. Because US stock markets have been relatively strong recently, a frequently read conclusion is that the US economy is holding up well and terms like "de-coupling" are making their way back into the financial lingo. This is a ridiculous concept in the current global economy, but people want to believe good times are just ahead just like when "green shoots" and "goldilocks" were bandied about in prior cycles.
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Tuesday, December 13, 2011
Stocks Bear Market Heading for Critical January 2012 Low / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
The low that is expected in mid-January will be critical in this bear market. It will represent the first test for support since the start of the decline in early August. Bear market bottoms are normally a series of troughs at the same level creating a base. This anticipated low in January could be the beginning of that foundation. It all depends on how deep this coming low will be.
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Tuesday, December 13, 2011
Stock Market Crash Hindenberg Omen Today / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Today we saw a Hindenburg Omen in quite a while. I must apologize if this has been going on last week, since I missed it. The significance is that when more than one Omen occurs within a limited period, the probability of a crash increases significantly. Regardless of the status of the Hindenburg Omens,we should be on full alert for a crash.
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Tuesday, December 13, 2011
Barton Biggs Flips to Being Bullish on Stocks, Argues he Was Not Bearish, Favors U.S. and Asia / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Barton Biggs, founder of Traxis Partners, spoke to Bloomberg TV's Betty Liu and said he's still bullish on stocks. Biggs said that "I'm biased on the long side" and that "U.S. big-capitalization, U.S. stocks and Asian stocks are the best houses in a fairly tough, bad neighborhood."
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Monday, December 12, 2011
Breaking Stock and Financial Market Supports / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
There seems to be quite a bit of complacency in the VIX this morning. That is not unusual since the VIX had already completed a reversal pattern as of Friday. Therefore the VIX is already on its cyclical buy signal and that buy signal may be confirmed by crossing intermediate-term trend resistance at 30.49. The patterns suggest that the VIX has quite a distance to go in this next move so hang tight.
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Monday, December 12, 2011
Currencies Favor Stock Market Bears Longer-Term / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
The correlation between the S&P 500 and the euro has been running extremely high in recent months. Therefore, if the euro can mount a sustained charge higher, stocks could do the same.
As we mentioned on December 9, the 22-week moving average is a good way to get a 30,000 ft view of many markets. When the slope of the 22-week is positive, a market tends to be healthy. When the slope of the 22-week is negative, further weakness may be in the cards.
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