Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Wednesday, November 30, 2011

Fed Stock Market Sneak Attack / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX appears to be challenging mid-cycle resistance at 1226.60 or intermediate-term trend resistance at 1228.70. This attack comes from the futures market where high leverage can move markets with small amounts of money. The Fed has bailed out the world once again. However, it may be too little, too late as the markets are on the bearish side of the trend both on the hourly and daily charts, even after the jolt of liquidity overnight.

Wednesday, November 30, 2011

Coordinated Central Bank Action Traps Stock Market Bears! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: PhilStockWorld

The new Beige Book is here, the new Beige Book is here!  

I’m sorry but I get very excited about this kind of stuff.  I love data, especially the kind of data our policy-makers rely on to make their future decisions.  Although the BBook is a gathering of anecdotal evidence from the Fed’s 12 regions (see map below), the data comes from businessmen that are respected by each Fed Governor so THEY take it seriously and if they take it seriously, you’d better too.  

Wednesday, November 30, 2011

Europe Headed for a 'Lehman Moment' Banking System Collapse / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2011

By: Money_Morning

David Zeiler writes: With credit drying up across Europe we may finally see the Eurozone experience its "Lehman moment" - a replay investment banking collapse that triggered the 2008 financial crisis.

Indeed, European banks are having a harder time getting money - part of the fallout from the Eurozone debt crisis - and the resulting credit crunch could freeze business activity, cause bank runs and plunge Europe into a deep recession that would badly damage the global economy.

Wednesday, November 30, 2011

An Early Look at Things to Come / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012

By: Money_Morning

Dr. Kent Moors wites: I made it back late Saturday night from my meetings in Germany.

While I was there, the German Central Bank (the Bundesbank) was unable to sell its full complement of bonds... for the first time ever.

Wednesday, November 30, 2011

Europe's Debt Crisis, The Free Market vs. the Total State / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: Gary_North

On November 22, the New York Times published an interactive chart on which governments owe how much money to which foreign nation's banks. The chart reveals the fault lines in Europe's economy. The debts are owed above all to French banks. The biggest debtor is Italy. If Italy defaults, France's largest banks go down. Overnight.

On Monday, November 28, there was a Financial Times article speculating that the Eurozone has less than two weeks to survive. The headline: "The Eurozone really has only days to avoid a collapse." It was written by an associate editor of the publication.

Wednesday, November 30, 2011

Financial Markets Head and Shoulder Patterns / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Believe it or not, the Euro is the index to watch over the next week or so. The reason is simple. Its master cycle low began on October 3, one day earlier than the equities cycle low. This gives us a one day notice on will happen with the SPX and commodities, for example. It should also give us a one-day notice of the dollar and the VIX top as well.

Tuesday, November 29, 2011

Confluence of Positive Stock Market Technical Factors Heading Into December / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Our cycle work in the S&P 500 indicates that we are near the timeframe for the establishment of a small cycle low due on November 30 ( 2 days). A small cycle is 20-25 days, and lies within the larger, overriding cycle of 70-75 days. Accordingly, we find that the S&P 500 on Monday and last Friday hit a corrective low at 1158.67/66, and since then has pivoted to the upside into Tuesday's high at 1203.67 (so far).

Tuesday, November 29, 2011

Stock Market Report Hyperinflation! / Stock-Markets / HyperInflation

By: UnpuncturedCycle

I read article after article warning us that excessive printing in the western world is going to produce hyperinflation, and I’ve heard good analysts calling for hyperinflation for almost five years now. Lately the call seems to have morphed into a plea. The Federal Reserve Chairman has pledged to do his part, dropping money out of helicopters if need be, so how could we have deflation given such declarations? We all know that the Fed has created almost US $4 trillion out of thin air over the last three years, so why are the prices of everything from commodities, stocks, real estate and housing on the decline, and why is the US dollar on the rise. It’s a valid question and I want to try to come up with an answer in this report.

Tuesday, November 29, 2011

Stocks Bear Market 2012 Report / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: EWI

The stock market's 17-month drop into March 2009 erased all the gains in the Dow Jones Industrial Average since the late 1990s. That's a full decade's worth of gains.

And the two-week drop that ended August 9 basically wiped out all the gains from 2010 - 2011.

Tuesday, November 29, 2011

Stock Market Testy Tuesday 11,590 or Bust! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: PhilStockWorld

To quickly summarize the news (see Member Chat for details), Asia was up but not all that much (around 2%) and Europe is up about half a point at 8am.  Italy had a very expensive bond auction but at least people bought them just under 7% and they need that 7% because inflation in Belgium just popped to 3.85% in November.  

Tuesday, November 29, 2011

Don't Wait Until January To Play the Stock Market January Effect / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Money_Morning

Larry D. Spears writes: A lot of investors have pocketed big gains from the so-called "January Effect." In fact, the January Effect - which refers to the historical tendency for stock prices in general, and small-caps in particular, to rise during the first month of the year - has better than an 80% success rate since the mid-1920s.

Of course, based on recent performance, the phenomenon may soon require a new name - and some new timing guidelines for traders hoping to profit from it.

Tuesday, November 29, 2011

Why Early Dec Will Be Financial Markets Last Hurrah! Global Economy to Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: Capital3X

Part of this article was originally published to C3X clients on 28 Nov 2011 early Asia trading time and discussed in the C3X live trading room, on Nov 18 2011 when the S&P was at 1160 and AUD/USD below 0.9688, EURUSD at 1.3230 and USDCAD at 1.0480. Markets have already moved in the direction of trends and trading calls that we have published since then.

Monday, November 28, 2011

S&P in Bullish Consolidation / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Heading into the final two hours of trading, the e-mini S&P 500 continues to consolidate at the very upper end of its upmove from Friday's low at 1147.50 to this morning's high at 1196.25. As long as intraday support at 1188.50/00 contains any forthcoming weakness, the pattern overwhelmingly argues for upside continuation that propels the e-SPZ to new recovery highs above 1196.25 into the 1202-1208 next target zone. This is where my work indicates that a rest and corrective process should emerge.

Monday, November 28, 2011

Stock Market Stalls at Broadening Wedge Trendline / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX appears to have stalled at the Broadening Wedge trendline. This trendline may be challenged, since 17% of all Broadening Wedges see either a challenge of the lower trendline or a throwback into the wedge itself. The obvious second target is the 50-day moving average at 1206.57.

Monday, November 28, 2011

The War Between Creditors and Debtors / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis 2012

By: Clif_Droke

The news headlines have been fixated on the debt drama unfolding in Europe. It's important that we give some thought to this since it paves the groundwork for the upcoming 120-year cycle bottom in 2014 and will increasingly play a bigger role in the financial market in 2012 and beyond.

Monday, November 28, 2011

Prechter: "The Trend Is Exhausted", What's the Real Problem with Today's Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: EWI

What is the real problem with today's market? Watch this excerpt from Robert Prechter's special, video issue of the August 2011 Elliott Wave Theorist. Prechter shows you how the buildup of dollar-denominated debt has brought us to what he calls a critical market juncture.

Monday, November 28, 2011

Stock Market Futures Sneak Attack / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

he weekend futures market received a massive dose of liquidity,  sending the Pre-Market up nearly 3%.  It appears that the minimum decline targeted by the complex Head & Shoulders pattern has been accomplished.  What we are witnessing this morning is a minor wave [c] of wave iv, although it doesn’t feel like it. 

Monday, November 28, 2011

Stock Market Wave 3 Or Corrective Wave B? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Andre_Gratian

SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into 2014.

SPX: Intermediate trend - An top was made at 1292. Future action will tell us if this is a resumption of the bear market, or another corrective wave.

Sunday, November 27, 2011

Will Gold and Stocks Christmas Rally Be Like 2007 and 2008? / Stock-Markets / Seasonal Trends

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Thus far in 2011 the overall stock market movement has been much different from what we had in 2010. This year we have seen nothing but sideways to lower prices with wild price swings on a day to day basis. There just has not been any really solid trends to take advantage of this year. Instead we had to actively trade the oversold dips and sell into the overbought rallies to just pull money out of the market on a monthly basis. Last year we saw 3 major rallies that lasted several months making it easy for anyone who bought into the trend to make money if managed properly.

Sunday, November 27, 2011

A Glimpse Into The Future Of The Stock Market And Dollar / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: PhilStockWorld

The "accident" many have been waiting for has finally happened, and it’s called Europe. That doesn’t bode well for the U.S. stock market.

A lot of technical analysts and financial pundits are expecting a standard-issue Santa Claus Rally once a "solution" to Europe’s debt crisis magically appears. There will be no such magical solution for the simple reason the problems are intrinsic to the euro, the Eurozone’s immense debts and the structure of the E.U. itself.