Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Wednesday, November 30, 2011
Europe's Debt Crisis, The Free Market vs. the Total State / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis
On November 22, the New York Times published an interactive chart on which governments owe how much money to which foreign nation's banks. The chart reveals the fault lines in Europe's economy. The debts are owed above all to French banks. The biggest debtor is Italy. If Italy defaults, France's largest banks go down. Overnight.
On Monday, November 28, there was a Financial Times article speculating that the Eurozone has less than two weeks to survive. The headline: "The Eurozone really has only days to avoid a collapse." It was written by an associate editor of the publication.
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Wednesday, November 30, 2011
Financial Markets Head and Shoulder Patterns / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Believe it or not, the Euro is the index to watch over the next week or so. The reason is simple. Its master cycle low began on October 3, one day earlier than the equities cycle low. This gives us a one day notice on will happen with the SPX and commodities, for example. It should also give us a one-day notice of the dollar and the VIX top as well.
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Tuesday, November 29, 2011
Confluence of Positive Stock Market Technical Factors Heading Into December / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Our cycle work in the S&P 500 indicates that we are near the timeframe for the establishment of a small cycle low due on November 30 ( 2 days). A small cycle is 20-25 days, and lies within the larger, overriding cycle of 70-75 days. Accordingly, we find that the S&P 500 on Monday and last Friday hit a corrective low at 1158.67/66, and since then has pivoted to the upside into Tuesday's high at 1203.67 (so far).
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Tuesday, November 29, 2011
Stock Market Report Hyperinflation! / Stock-Markets / HyperInflation
I read article after article warning us that excessive printing in the western world is going to produce hyperinflation, and I’ve heard good analysts calling for hyperinflation for almost five years now. Lately the call seems to have morphed into a plea. The Federal Reserve Chairman has pledged to do his part, dropping money out of helicopters if need be, so how could we have deflation given such declarations? We all know that the Fed has created almost US $4 trillion out of thin air over the last three years, so why are the prices of everything from commodities, stocks, real estate and housing on the decline, and why is the US dollar on the rise. It’s a valid question and I want to try to come up with an answer in this report.
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Tuesday, November 29, 2011
Stocks Bear Market 2012 Report / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
The stock market's 17-month drop into March 2009 erased all the gains in the Dow Jones Industrial Average since the late 1990s. That's a full decade's worth of gains.
And the two-week drop that ended August 9 basically wiped out all the gains from 2010 - 2011.
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Tuesday, November 29, 2011
Stock Market Testy Tuesday 11,590 or Bust! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
To quickly summarize the news (see Member Chat for details), Asia was up but not all that much (around 2%) and Europe is up about half a point at 8am. Italy had a very expensive bond auction but at least people bought them just under 7% and they need that 7% because inflation in Belgium just popped to 3.85% in November.
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Tuesday, November 29, 2011
Don't Wait Until January To Play the Stock Market January Effect / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Larry D. Spears writes: A lot of investors have pocketed big gains from the so-called "January Effect." In fact, the January Effect - which refers to the historical tendency for stock prices in general, and small-caps in particular, to rise during the first month of the year - has better than an 80% success rate since the mid-1920s.
Of course, based on recent performance, the phenomenon may soon require a new name - and some new timing guidelines for traders hoping to profit from it.
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Tuesday, November 29, 2011
Why Early Dec Will Be Financial Markets Last Hurrah! Global Economy to Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Part of this article was originally published to C3X clients on 28 Nov 2011 early Asia trading time and discussed in the C3X live trading room, on Nov 18 2011 when the S&P was at 1160 and AUD/USD below 0.9688, EURUSD at 1.3230 and USDCAD at 1.0480. Markets have already moved in the direction of trends and trading calls that we have published since then.
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Monday, November 28, 2011
S&P in Bullish Consolidation / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Heading into the final two hours of trading, the e-mini S&P 500 continues to consolidate at the very upper end of its upmove from Friday's low at 1147.50 to this morning's high at 1196.25. As long as intraday support at 1188.50/00 contains any forthcoming weakness, the pattern overwhelmingly argues for upside continuation that propels the e-SPZ to new recovery highs above 1196.25 into the 1202-1208 next target zone. This is where my work indicates that a rest and corrective process should emerge.
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Monday, November 28, 2011
Stock Market Stalls at Broadening Wedge Trendline / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
SPX appears to have stalled at the Broadening Wedge trendline. This trendline may be challenged, since 17% of all Broadening Wedges see either a challenge of the lower trendline or a throwback into the wedge itself. The obvious second target is the 50-day moving average at 1206.57.
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Monday, November 28, 2011
The War Between Creditors and Debtors / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis 2012
The news headlines have been fixated on the debt drama unfolding in Europe. It's important that we give some thought to this since it paves the groundwork for the upcoming 120-year cycle bottom in 2014 and will increasingly play a bigger role in the financial market in 2012 and beyond.
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Monday, November 28, 2011
Prechter: "The Trend Is Exhausted", What's the Real Problem with Today's Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
What is the real problem with today's market? Watch this excerpt from Robert Prechter's special, video issue of the August 2011 Elliott Wave Theorist. Prechter shows you how the buildup of dollar-denominated debt has brought us to what he calls a critical market juncture.
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Monday, November 28, 2011
Stock Market Futures Sneak Attack / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
he weekend futures market received a massive dose of liquidity, sending the Pre-Market up nearly 3%. It appears that the minimum decline targeted by the complex Head & Shoulders pattern has been accomplished. What we are witnessing this morning is a minor wave [c] of wave iv, although it doesn’t feel like it.
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Monday, November 28, 2011
Stock Market Wave 3 Or Corrective Wave B? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into 2014.
SPX: Intermediate trend - An top was made at 1292. Future action will tell us if this is a resumption of the bear market, or another corrective wave.
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Sunday, November 27, 2011
Will Gold and Stocks Christmas Rally Be Like 2007 and 2008? / Stock-Markets / Seasonal Trends
Thus far in 2011 the overall stock market movement has been much different from what we had in 2010. This year we have seen nothing but sideways to lower prices with wild price swings on a day to day basis. There just has not been any really solid trends to take advantage of this year. Instead we had to actively trade the oversold dips and sell into the overbought rallies to just pull money out of the market on a monthly basis. Last year we saw 3 major rallies that lasted several months making it easy for anyone who bought into the trend to make money if managed properly.
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Sunday, November 27, 2011
A Glimpse Into The Future Of The Stock Market And Dollar / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
The "accident" many have been waiting for has finally happened, and it’s called Europe. That doesn’t bode well for the U.S. stock market.
A lot of technical analysts and financial pundits are expecting a standard-issue Santa Claus Rally once a "solution" to Europe’s debt crisis magically appears. There will be no such magical solution for the simple reason the problems are intrinsic to the euro, the Eurozone’s immense debts and the structure of the E.U. itself.
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Sunday, November 27, 2011
Are Stocks Staring Into the Abyss? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Europe’s financial woes are serious. We believe the financial crisis will hit the fan starting in 2012 which will eventually lead to a political union of several major European nations, perhaps even a broader political union of western nations including Great Britain, the United States and Canada. It may be what results from developing global economic chaos. This is Grand Supercycle degree wave {IV} down underway from May 2nd, 2011, a dangerous Bear Market wave of long-term duration. Life will change by the time it finishes.
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Sunday, November 27, 2011
European Headlines Continue To Dominate Our Markets..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
There are no doubts about our trading days beginning with the futures over in Europe and ending with whether their markets will recover or not. Our markets continue to remain oversold on the short-term charts as they seem to stay focused on the headlines out of Europe. Unfortunately, the news out of the Euro-zone is never good news. There are bank problems, an inability to agree on solutions, yields rising, sentiment crumbling, and just no good news from anywhere about anything significant happening on any given day. It's beginning to cause the market to lose hope and faith, and trust that something good will be had anytime soon. Just like the average trader and investor, we all fear that financial disaster awaits us, and that the debt crisis spreading around the world will end unfavorably.
Sunday, November 27, 2011
Stock Market Downtrend Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Markets lost ground for the second week in a row this week as the SPX/DOW were -4.75% and the NDX/NAZ were -4.85%. Economic reports swung slightly to the negative. On the uptick: existing home sales, personal income, PCE prices and the WLEI. On the downtick: Q3 GDP, personal spending, durable goods orders, consumer sentiment and weekly jobless claims rose. Trading in the US was cut short to three and one half days due to the Thanksgiving holiday. Economic highlights next week include: The FED’s beige book, ISM and the monthly Payrolls report. Best to your week!
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Saturday, November 26, 2011
Stock Market Bears Still In Control / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
The market spoke again and really stuck it to the bulls this week just gone, the bleed this week was a tough read I suspect for most, although we found it easy as it simply told us its intentions early enough to get us back into bear mode.
From last week's article I was 60-40 in favor of the bullish idea, and we were expecting a gap down on Monday towards the 1200-1190ES area, but we wanted to see a reaction. If you recall we wanted a reaction in those safety markets such as USD/CAD, ZB and DX etc. you never saw that.
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