Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Friday, November 25, 2011
Stock Market Breaks Support, Heading Lower / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: UnpuncturedCycle
When I last sent out an article for public consumption we were talking about Greece and the potential for a wide spread problem in Europe. The G-20 was about to meet and there was wild anticipation that a EU “solution” to the sovereign debt crisis was finally at hand. By now we know that Europe has yet to do anything to alleviate the situation. In the US we learned two days ago that the “Super Committee” was a super bust. They weren’t able to agree on anything so a series of automatic cuts, to be implemented two years down the road, totaling US $1 trillion will take place. That’s a far cry from the US $3.7 trillion that they were aiming for and is typical of the political leadership on both sides of the pond.
Thursday, November 24, 2011
Stock Market Thanksgiving Update / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Tony_Caldaro
SHORT TERM: markets try to rebound from oversold levels, DOW (YM) -19
Overnight the Asian markets were mixed. Europe opened higher and closed -0.20%. US index futures were higher, then lower overnight: SPX (ES) -0.75 and NDX (NQ) -3.75. The US market is closed for the holiday and will reopen tomorrow. Bonds lost 15 ticks, Crude gained 70 cents, Gold slipped $1.00, and the USD was lower.
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Thursday, November 24, 2011
Stock and Financial Markets Thanksgiving Thoughts / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: PhilStockWorld
What an ugly finish November is having!
We’ve been trying to get bullish with little success and, if we are not reversing tomorrow, I will be regretting the wasted time poking at bullish plays when we could have been going "wheeeee" on the slide.
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Thursday, November 24, 2011
Gold, U.S. Dollar, U.S. Treasuries, & China: Contrarian Investor Opportunities? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: DeepCaster_LLC
“What I am about to say is true. But under this system we are not allowed to speak the truth… Lies are required to maintain political harmony… the Chinese regime is in a serious economic crisis – on the brink of bankruptcy… every province in China is Greece.” (emphasis added)
Larry Lang, Professor of Finance, Chinese University of Hong Kong
Widely Held Opinion about Emerging Markets has it that Asia in general, and China (with its 1.3 billion people) in particular, will be The Great Growth Engine, which prospers while the over-indebted U.S. and Eurozone languish in the Slough of Despond.
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Wednesday, November 23, 2011
Near-Term Low Approaching for S&P Stocks Index / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Mike_Paulenoff
The next optimal target zone for the current downleg in the e-mini S&P 500 is 1155/50. This represents the 50% retracement support plateau of the entire up-leg from the Oct 4 low at 1068 to the Oct 27 high at 1289.25.
Right now, we are getting anecdotal evidence only that the internal power of the decline is dissipating somewhat, which is an initial warning signal that a meaningful near-term low is approaching.
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Wednesday, November 23, 2011
Stocks Bear Market Focus Point: The Nasdaq 100 Leaders’ Indices - Weighted Interpretations / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Garry_Abeshouse
Below is just one example of what very basic careful comparative analysis, completely devoid of elaborate indicators and envelopes can tell you. The two charts below are just simple daily charts of the Nasdaq 100 Index. The $NDXE is equal weighted and the $NDX is a modified capitalization-weighted index. What is unique about the Nasdaq 100 Index is that as well as being a leaders’ index of 100 of the largest companies listed on US exchanges, they are also the only US composite indices that contain no finance stocks at all. None. Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, November 23, 2011
We are at a Critical Juncture for Stocks and Bonds / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Money_Morning
"Can I be honest with you?"
I hate it when people ask me that. As if I’m going to respond, “No, lie to me.”
But the truth is, it’s usually a preface that suggests we’re not going to want to hear what we’re about to be told.
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Wednesday, November 23, 2011
Stock Market Making Lower Lows / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Adam_Brochert
There are a few global stock market indices that have broken below the recent early October fall lows. This is not a good sign. The most important of these is Japan, which I wrote about a few days ago. Here is a 6 month daily candlestick chart of the $NIKK Japanese stock market index thru today's close:
Wednesday, November 23, 2011
How to Trade Using Stock Market Sentiment and the Holiday Season / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The months of November and December are the second strongest back to back months for the financial markets. Many traders and investors use this time of the year to reap big gains as they close the year out. The fact that most traders and investors are sitting in cash and underweight stocks in their portfolio’s leaves me to believe a Santa Clause rally is just around the corner. Reason being is everyone has cash on hand to buy stocks because they are selling their positions in this pullback we are in right now. I know traders well enough, they will buy back into the market trying to catch the holiday rally in the coming weeks.
Wednesday, November 23, 2011
Stock Market Set to Start the Strongest Part of the Current Decline / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
-- The VIX came to rest today at the bottom trendline of the diamond formation, above intermediate-term trend support at 31.63. It remains on a buy signal and may be poised for a breakout above the top of the diamond formation. This is a bullish reversal formation that has the potential 13% failure rate and an average target of approximately 50.00 in the VIX.
Wednesday, November 23, 2011
Robert Prechter on the importance of Keeping Your Money Safe in a Stocks Bear Market Environment / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: EWI
In an interview with the Mind of Money, Robert Prechter stresses the importance of keeping your money safe in this bear market environment. According to the Elliott wave model, we have entered a critical phase in the market. This 3-minute video clip will help you to prepare for what's ahead.
Wednesday, November 23, 2011
Stock Market Crash Watch is Still On / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
As you can see, Cycle Bottom resistance is keeping the SPX from advancing. The same is happening with the NDX. Domestic equities have one more day to bounce higher, since the ½ cycle turn occurs on Thursday. Even if the market rallies tomorrow, the rally may be short lived and untradable.
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Tuesday, November 22, 2011
Perfect Storm, European Banks Heading for Chapter 11 Bankruptcy / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2011
By: Mike_Shedlock
Panic is spreading says Steen Jakobsen, chief economist at Saxo Bank. Steen eyes the perfect storm including a potential "Chapter 11" call for European banks.
Via Email
Read full article... Read full article...This morning there is too much bad news.
Tuesday, November 22, 2011
Russell Napier on Generational Cycles, Stocks Bear Market Bottoms and West Vs. East / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Aftab_Singh
Russell Napier (renown financial historian and consultant for CLSA) has articulated some fantastic insights on the generational cycle, bear market bottoms and currencies in recent years. So for this reason we decided to compile a ‘Russell Napier’s Greatest Hits’ video for you to enjoy. See below for the video and summary.
Tuesday, November 22, 2011
MF Global Revelations Keep Getting Worse / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Janet_Tavakoli
· Shortfall estimated at $1.2 billion or more (up from $600 million)
· “Repo-to-Maturity” is a “Total Return Swap-to-Maturity,” a Type of Credit Derivative
· Probable Shortfalls Throughout 2011
· Regulators Waive Required Tests for Jon Corzine
Tuesday, November 22, 2011
Will Stock Market Turn Positive For Thanksgiving Holiday? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX back-tested the bottom trendline of the Broadening Wedge and Cycle bottom Resistance at 1200.64. There are two potential paths for the SPX from here. The first pattern would recognize the top of wave ii at 1277.55. That suggests a further drop to 1145, fulfilling the minimum target for the upward-slanting Head & Shoulders neckline before a bounce back to Cycle bottom resistance, or higher. I favor that pattern, although it has some flaws.
Tuesday, November 22, 2011
Super Dud Committee... Not Really.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Jack_Steiman
Having expectations when you look at where we're at fundamentally makes little to no sense whatsoever. What was the super committee really going to be able to come up with when you break it down? We have the entire euro zone ready to go under, and many brilliant minds have been unable to come with any good solution. Why would they be able to? The structural problems are so deep that sometimes you have to throw your hands up in the air and say I give up. There truly is nothing we can do. We want to help, but maybe helping would only create deeper problems in the long-term, and that's something we all have to watch closely. Hopefully, there will be no more sacrificing the moment to get some relief for long-term destruction. Everyone seems to be more aware of that, but let's hope that they don't lose sight of it all when things get worse.
Monday, November 21, 2011
Stock Market Extreme Over Valuation Warning / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
By: EWI
This is one of our favourite charts, it depicts two different valuation measures. On X axis, we show the S&P500 annual dividend yield, and on the Y-axis the S&P Industrials' price to book value ratio. The box shows you normal valuation, at least as it was established in the 20th century. You can see that the dividend yield fluctuated from around 3% at tops in the market to 6 or 7 percent at bottoms in the market.
Monday, November 21, 2011
Gold and Stock Market Trading Surrounded by European Sovereign Debt Crisis Risk / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: J_W_Jones
The current trading environment is one of the most difficult that I can recall in recent memory. Risks abroad regarding the European sovereign debt crisis is keeping market participants on edge as headline risk seemingly surrounds traders at every turn.
In addition to the risk posed by Europe, the market’s reaction to the Congressional Super Committee’s upcoming statements also poses risks. As it stands now, the media is reporting that the committee is in gridlock and has yet to compromise. The deadline for the Super Committee is Wednesday, November 23rd. The gridlock leads to uncertainty, and Mr. Market hates uncertainty. High levels of uncertainty corresponds with increased volatility levels, thus caution is warranted.
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Monday, November 21, 2011
Stock Market Emini S&P Nearing Key Fib Support / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Mike_Paulenoff
A big picture perspective of the e-mini S&P 500 shows that the decline off of the Oct 27 high at 1289.25 is nearing key Fibonacci support plateaus at 1179.25 and then 1153.50.
Let's notice that since last Thursday's weakness, the e-SPZ has broken and sustained beneath the prior "bullish" coil pattern, as well as my "directional" EMAs of 14, 30, 50 and 200, all of which have rolled over into varying degrees of a negative slope.
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