Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Saturday, December 10, 2011
It’s Small-Stock Sweet Spot Time! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Some investing truisms are pure baloney. For instance, that you can rely on the stock market returning 10% to 12% per year on average. That if you want higher profits you have to take more risk. That you can’t time the market. That election years are always positive for the stock market.
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Saturday, December 10, 2011
Investors: Demand Beef; Reject Cake / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
”Let them eat cake.”
Attributed to Queen Marie Antoinette, shortly before being guillotined during the French Revolution.
”Where’s the beef?”
Fmr V.P. Walter Mondale to Sen. Gary Hart (1984)
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Saturday, December 10, 2011
Stock Market Report: Pass the Band-aides! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Lost in all the noise regarding the European summit was this morning's Commerce Department report that the U.S. trade deficit narrowed by 1.6% in October to $43.5 billion. The deficit has narrowed for four straight months to the lowest monthly trade gap this year. Underlying the report was a sharp upward revision to the trade deficit in September to $44.2 billion from the initial estimate of $43.1 billion. The October trade deficit was close to the consensus forecast of Wall Street economists of $43.6 billion. Both imports and exports declined in October, with imports falling at a slightly faster pace.¹ The U.S. trade deficit with China widened to $28.1 billion in October in compared with $25.7 billion in the same month last year. October imports from China were the highest on record. The data show that trade with Japan has recovered from last March's earthquake and subsequent tsunami. Imports from Japan in October were the highest since April 2008 while exports to Japan were the highest since March 1997.
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Friday, December 09, 2011
Stock Market Bullish Technicals / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
The stock markets are still riddled with anxiety, with traders nervously awaiting the next shoe to drop. Will Europe fracture? Does a global recession loom? But in an apprehensive environment where fears are legion, it’s easy to lose the forest for the trees. If you can transcend the day-to-day newsflow slog for a broader perspective, the technicals of the US stock markets are actually quite bullish today.
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Friday, December 09, 2011
Don't Let Debt Crisis Uncertainty Scare You Out of the U.S. Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Kerri Shannon writes: Compared to its foreign counterparts, the U.S. stock market is one of the best performers this year - even though some nervous investors may find that hard to believe.
The Standard & Poor's 500 Index is basically flat so far this year, but that's a far better performance than the double-digit losses in other markets.
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Thursday, December 08, 2011
Eurozone's Light Bulb Moment / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis
How many European bankers does it take to change a light bulb? That's a joke in search of an answer, but EWI's European analyst Brian Whitmer explained five months ago that the "light bulb moment" was coming -- that's the time when most people would clearly recognize the severity of the European debt crisis. He offered this spot-on analysis back in July 2011, before the larger world came to know recently how bad things really are in the eurozone.
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Thursday, December 08, 2011
PIMCO's El-Erian: ECB Waiting for IMF, Governments to 'Step Up' / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis
PIMCO CEO and co-CIO Mohamed El-Erian spoke to Bloomberg Television's Betty Liu about Europe's crisis and said that the ECB is waiting for governments and the IMF to "step up" before taking further action.
El-Erian also said that PIMCO's investment tone is to "be careful" and that the bond fund is maintaining a "generally defensive and selectively offensive" investment strategy.
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Thursday, December 08, 2011
ECB and Dow Theory Undermine Stock Market Bulls / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
This morning’s activity in the S&P 500 futures underscores what the market cares about. The market is not focused on employment (better than expected this morning), earnings (good), or valuations (respectable). The market cares about one thing – money printing; specifically, having the ECB print money to buy Italian and Spanish bonds.
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Thursday, December 08, 2011
To ECB or Not to ECB? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
- To bail, or not to bail--that is the question:
- Whether ’tis nobler in the EU to suffer
- The slings and arrows of outrageous swap rates
- Or to print money against a sea of debt
- And by printing, inflate them. To loan, to bail-- No more
- And by a loan to say we end the illiquidity,
- and the thousand natural shocks
- That economies are heir to.
Thursday, December 08, 2011
Negative Real Interest Rates, Central Banks Prepare For the Worst Life After Euro / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis
Gold is trading at USD 1,719.40, EUR 1,302.70, GBP 1,109.30, CHF 1,608.40, JPY 135,050 and AUD 1,689.4 per ounce.
Gold’s London AM fix this morning was USD 1,739.00, GBP 1,105.81, and EUR 1,297.28 per ounce.
Yesterday's AM fix was USD 1,731.00, GBP 1,108.20, and EUR 1,289.96 per ounce.
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Thursday, December 08, 2011
Jim Rogers: "The Fed is Lying to Us" / Stock-Markets / Central Banks
David Zeiler writes: Despite statements to the contrary, the U.S. Federal Reserve has continued to pump money into the economy, says investing legend Jim Rogers.
The resulting low interest rates and creeping inflation, he says, are destroying the wealth of millions.
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Thursday, December 08, 2011
Stock Market Violent Whipsaw Yet Again... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Is this crazy or what! This morning, very early on, the Dow futures were up 96 points. Those futures held well overall, until a spokesman from Germany put out a statement that it seemed there would NOT be a resolution for the Eurozone over the weekend. The result was a 1760-point reversal down in the futures. Oh well! No shock as we all know by now we're tied in completely to the news of the moment out of Europe. Our own backyard has become secondary to Europe. The United States is holding its own, and thus, the reason why this market is holding up in the face of such dire news out of Europe. If Europe was positively resolved, things would blast higher above 1265 on the S&P 500, or that nasty trend line of resistance we failed at again late today in the last two minutes. The market gapped down at the open. They spent the day trading a little below the gap open, and down around 25 points on the Dow.
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Thursday, December 08, 2011
Debt Champions and Eurozone Bailout Fund, Another $670Bn Not Enough? / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis
I titled yesterday’s post "More Stimulus Please" and, as expected, we did indeed get another $670Bn (500Bn Euros) rumored around noon yesterday as the word is the EFSF is going to either double or eliminate it’s lending cap. This action was backed up by our own little Timmy Geithner, who backed the play, saying: "We’re encouraged by the progress [Europeans] are making, not just to put in place economic reforms across Europe to create the conditions for stronger growth in the future, but to try to build a stronger architecture for a fiscal union … and try to make sure there’s a sufficiently strong firewall in place to support those efforts."
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Thursday, December 08, 2011
Marc Faber Says Euro Will Survive and U.S. Stocks 'Not Terribly Expensive' / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Marc Faber, publisher of the Gloom, Boom & Doom Report spoke to Bloomberg TV's Lisa Murphy and Adam Johnson and said that U.S. equities are not "terribly expensive" and that he thinks the euro will survive.
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Thursday, December 08, 2011
How to Make Money in a 'Fugly' Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Gold & Silver Stocks
Despite the "fugly" future that Bob Moriarty, founder of 321gold.com, talks about in this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, he's downright bullish on the U.S. dollar for the time being. He says it's not only a safe haven but "the best investment to be in for the last six months." As for equities, Moriarty makes it clear that he takes no pleasure in watching a company lose 25% of its value in a week when there is nothing wrong with the company. At the same time, he's alert to bargains. Any time you have the opportunity to buy cash at a discount, he advises, "throw money at it."
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Wednesday, December 07, 2011
Stock Market Journey to Nowhere, Been a Wild Trip Since August / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Futures are being pushed around by the normal push-pull of the rumor mill out of Europe - it has reached the point of jump the shark. Late yesterday the market rallied for about an hour on news of a second bailout fund to run along the already mocked ESFS. Then the question of how it would be funded came to be asked, and the market sold off. It's just trial balloon after trial balloon. Tomorrow (morning for Americans) we hear what the ECB is doing with interest rates - a cut is expected, but will it be 25 or 50 basis points and most important are there any 'additional cookies' to be handed out to the class of unruly 2nd graders demanding Oreos by the dozens. Then Friday everyone awaits a new bazooka.
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Wednesday, December 07, 2011
Bob Prechter is Back... and Shockingly, Still Bearish on Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
It's been almost a year since I posted a Bob Prechter video, and (sit down for this) ... he is bearish, comparing this current period to the late 1930s. Other than a few short massively oversold periods in 2008 and 2009 I can't recall Prechter really being bullish - but I don't watch him that closely. For the Elliot Wave crowd however, please see below
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Wednesday, December 07, 2011
Stock Market Cycle Turn Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Good Morning!
Today is the Trading Cycle turn date. You may recall that I had suggested that this may be an inverted cycle. I had originally inferred that the Master cycle low (November 25) would coincide with the Trading Cycle, which is normally a low. But the Master cycle bottomed 12 days too early. The Trading Cycle only allows 4 – 8 days for a turn window, which have now passsed. What’s left is an inversion, which sets us up for a potential crash.
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Wednesday, December 07, 2011
Testy Stock Market – More Stimulus PLEASE! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
What a crazy ride!
The chart on the left is a take on market sentiment but it’s the kind of mood swings that should be talking place over a span of weeks or months, not HOURS – like it has been recently.
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Wednesday, December 07, 2011
How to Survive and Prosper in the Coming Financial Meltdown / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
The current global financial crisis can be said to be caused by the macroeconomic expansionary monetary policies of global governments and also at the same time the lack of regulatory framework from the authorities. As a result of the expansionary monetary policies the market is full of liquidity or in other words too much cash is available. The lack of regulatory framework from the authorities actually help to hasten the process of the financial crisis. The current financial crisis can be best described with the following three stages of manifestation.
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