Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Wednesday, December 28, 2011

U.S. Treasury Bonds About To Plunge? Implications For Stocks and Gold Silver / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012

By: Willem_Weytjens

Are Bonds about to plunge? And if so (or if not), what are the implications for stocks and precious metals?

Let’s have a look at TLT, which is the iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond Fund.

Back in 2008, at the climax of the financial crisis, TLT was very stretched above the 200MA, and the RSI was very oversold on a weekly basis.

Wednesday, December 28, 2011

Krugman's Missed Call; Europe/China/Japan; Sideways Markets; Profit Margins; Microsoft / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012

By: Vitaliy_Katsenelson

Paul Krugman wrote about China in his New York Times column last Monday.  That’s a topic that you have researched closely.  He said that "China’s story just sounds too much like the crack-ups we’ve already seen elsewhere," referring to the financial crisis in the US and the Japanese lost decade. Do you agree with his assessment?

Tuesday, December 27, 2011

Stock Market Rally Time for a Pause / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Andre_Gratian

SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into 2014.

SPX: Intermediate trend - The current action suggests that a wave "C" from 1075 is underway and, after a short consolidation, has resumed its uptrend.

Tuesday, December 27, 2011

Stock Market Year End Notes, More Broadening Tops / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

While everyone is looking at the Dow in the SPX, virtually no one is paying attention to the NDX. The rally from August 9 to December 5 was very choppy and overlapping, with the best interpretation being a wave two. Since December 5 it has made an impulsive decline to 2950.71 and three wave correction. As of Friday it has stalled at mid-cycle resistance at 2287.57.

Monday, December 26, 2011

Stock Market Inflection Point / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Toby_Connor

After a rough beginning on monday US stocks surged tuesday, following the ECB’s successful LTRO results, then continued higher for the rest of the week. For the week the SPX/DOW were +3.65% and the NDX/NAZ were +2.25%. Asian markets gained 0.6%, European markets surged 3.5%, and the DJ World index rose 3.0%. Economic reports in the US were mixed, with positives outnumbering negatives 8:7. On the uptick: NAHB, housing starts, building permits, consumer sentiment, durable goods orders, new home sales, the monetary base, and weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: existing home sales, Q3 GDP, leading indicators, FHFA, personal income, the M1-multiplier and the WLEI. Next week, a holiday shortened week, Case-Shiller and the Chicago PMI.

Saturday, December 24, 2011

Stock Market Holiday Short Squeeze and Crude Oil Trade Idea / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Typically, the week before Christmas, stocks and commodities drift higher due to the lack of participants.  Light volume favours higher prices, which is why stocks want to rise going into the holiday season.

The big money players, like hedge fund managers, are finished for the year.  They’re sitting on the sidelines enjoying the holiday season while waiting for their year-end bonus checks.

Saturday, December 24, 2011

Stock Market Bulls Closing In.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Jack_Steiman

One week ago the market was closing in on breaking down below S&P 500 1225. It failed to hold the breakdown once it occurred as the bears just couldn't find any momentum once the level was taken out. A slow grind lower ensued, with the bulls, eventually, holding the line in the sand. Here we are with the bulls trying to press through massive resistance between 1260/1657. You need a gap up and out to confirm the move, so we'll be looking for that on Tuesday when we open for trading once again. The bears choked big time when they had their chance, especially since they actually broke through key support at 1225. Now, the bulls are on the precipice of breaking through their major headache resistance area. Let's see what they can, or can't, do with it.

Saturday, December 24, 2011

Stock Markets in a Pre-Crash Pattern / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

-- The VIX appears to be nearing completion of a doubly indicated bullish Descending Wedge pattern on December 27. It will then have completed a Master Cycle low, beginning a new bullish cycle pattern for the VIX. The master cycle low appears to have been delayed, but I wish to assure you that the low will occur within turn window allowed for it. What follows may be a breakout above the wedge as early as the end of next week.

Saturday, December 24, 2011

Europe Bond Market To Remain Problematic For Stocks In 2012 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Chris_Ciovacco

Wall Street tends to segregate “bond-guys” from “stock guys”. The bond side of the market tends to be more conservative; they also perform more detailed research meaning they actually look at the numbers. The stock side of the market is based more on momentum, gut feel, and stories.

Friday, December 23, 2011

The Stock Market and Recession Crazes / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Zeal_LLC

Recession is a four-letter word in the financial markets, striking terror into the hearts of everyone.  And if reports since August are to be believed, there is a recession hiding behind every tree.  For a myriad of reasons, economists have argued we are due to plunge into the next one any day now.  But speculators and investors have to understand how recession talk is spawned, sometimes leading to recession crazes.

Friday, December 23, 2011

European Debt Is ‘Obviously Unserviceable’ / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: Chris_Ciovacco

Referencing Kyle Bass’ work in a December 18 video, we noted numerous countries have an unstable combination of debt and revenue relative to the size of their banking system. Another excellent source for debt sustainability analysis comes from Jeffery Gundlach, manager of the 2011 top-performing U.S. bond fund. Mr. Gundlach was recently interviewed by the Financial Times. He does not subscribe to the theory European leaders can “put a Band Aid on a system which didn’t break a week ago, or a month ago, or a year ago. It’s been in the process for years.” His analysis came to the same conclusion as Mr. Bass’; default on unpayable obligations will occur. He also believes growing the way out of the problem is not an option since the debt is “obviously unserviceable”.

Friday, December 23, 2011

Markets the Friday Before Christmas, Even NYMEX Crooks Are Going Home Early / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: PhilStockWorld

Really guys! 

Don’t we all have something better to do than watch the markets today?

I’m embarrassed for all of us.  Even the crooks at the NYMEX are going home at 1:30 this afternoon, sacrificing an entire hour of losing money to us to be with their strippers.  That’s right we OWNED those people yesterday, hitting play after play after play on the oil Futures, all based on our very simple premise that – If the crooks at the NYMEX want to pretend they want to buy a barrel of oil for $100 – we are very happy to promise to sell it to them!  

Friday, December 23, 2011

Market Forecasts 2012, The Dow's Annus Horribilis and Gold's... / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012

By: Hubert_Moolman

I must admit that I do not prescribe to the 2012 end of the world or end of an era phenomenon; however, my recent analysis suggests that 2012 could indeed be a very significant year.

I have been following a fractal (pattern) on the Dow chart for the last couple of years. I have written about it before, in a previous article. Basically, the Dow chart is forming a similar pattern to that which was formed in the late 60s to early 70s.

Friday, December 23, 2011

ECB Liquidity Loans Still Not Enough to Stop Stock Market Topping / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: UnpuncturedCycle

Giuseppe L. Borrelli writes: Yesterday we learned that the European Central Bank offered to loan 523 banks a total of 489 billion euros ($641 billion) in funding. The idea is part of a drive to increase liquidity and curtail the threat of sovereign default by some euro-zone members. Unfortunately the short-term liquidity needs for European banks exceed one trillion euros. What's more the ECB is loaning out money to EU banks for three years thereby increasing the overall debt of these troubled banks while allowing them to postpone the problem of how to pay down that debt. In return the ECB is receiving bad sovereign debt as security at face value and it is leaving itself with little cash on hand.

Friday, December 23, 2011

Stock Market Failure at Resistance / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The trendline under wave [c] of ii appears to have been broken.  The chances are that any indication of selling may beget even more selling, as the tacticians are all watching the 200-day moving average. 

Thursday, December 22, 2011

Essential Investor Knowledge For Maximizing Real Gains Gold, Silver, Crude Oil, Equities & The U.S. Dollar / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: DeepCaster_LLC

“Since its inception in 1913, The Federal Reserve Board has been responsible for almost 95% devaluation of the U.S. Dollar. All this has been achieved through its ability to continually inflate the money supply.

And, between 1985 and 2005, the Federal Reserve Board has increased the money supply by five times. This extraordinary money creation is merely the catalyst for debt creation. In a fiat money system, money is debt…there is absolutely no way this money can ever be repaid except by continued inflation. But, now that the credit bubble is blown up, inflation is no longer an option; bankruptcy looms.”

Thursday, December 22, 2011

Plan to Keep Your Assets Safe From an Out-of-control Government / Stock-Markets / Investing 2012

By: Terry_Coxon

Terry Coxon, Casey Research writes: By keeping all your assets in the country where you live, you commit, ahead of time, to ratify whatever policy your home government might adopt, no matter how objectionable, unreasonable or pernicious that policy happens to be. If the next new mandate is "Register today to get a nail pounded into your head," you're already signed up.

Americans, by and large, run all their affairs within the confines of the US. The US economy is so large and so varied that it's easy to assume that everything you want to do with your wealth can be done without crossing any borders. And people in the US, like people anywhere, live with the habits and attitudes developed over generations. They're only human. In the case of Americans, those habits grew out of long experience with a government that was small and that generally practiced the rare virtue of following its own laws. In a happy exception to mankind's experience with rulers, there was little to fear from it.

Thursday, December 22, 2011

Chinese and Indian Tails Wagging the Global Equity Dog? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Adam_Brochert

There is no significant decoupling in our current global economy. As I am typing this, the Chinese stock market (Shanghai Index or $SSEC) is making new lows (intraday basis) for the current decline it has been undergoing. Is the Chinese market signaling what comes next for developed stock markets like the US and Germany? Is the tail predicting what the dog will do? I think it is.

Thursday, December 22, 2011

Gerald Celente's Top 12 Forecast Trends 2012 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012

By: LewRockwell

Hold onto your hat, your wallet, and your wits.

After a tumultuous 2011 in which many of the trends we had forecast became headline news around the world, we are now forewarning of an even more tumultuous year to come.

Wednesday, December 21, 2011

Stock Market SPX SELL / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Trying to sell/sell short on the initial plunge is a dubious endeavor. However, the snap-back often gives you a better entry.

Those that went flat yesterday now have an opportunity to re-enter.