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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Saturday, September 10, 2011

Moving Average Sell Signals on the S&P Stock Market Index / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Only twice in the last 11 years (2000 & 2007) have all of my directional weekly moving averages turned down into a negative crossing, which subsequently confirmed that an acute, intermediate-term bear phase was underway.

In 2000, after the downside moving average inflection point, the S&P 500 declined from 1380 to 768 (-45%), and in 2007 the SPX declined from 1475 to 666.79 (-55%).

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, September 10, 2011

Greece Debt Default On Deck.... Stock Market Anxious... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Jack_Steiman

Late this morning, after the market started recovering from its early move lower to start the day, there was news from Germany that Greece was likely to default by some time next week. The Dow fell two hundred points in a very short period of time as traders and investors started removing themselves from long plays. Hard to blame them, of course, as this type of news, should it become fact, would be devastating for markets around the world. The market spent the rest of the day spinning and churning once we got to -300 on the Dow. There was no collapse past that initial move lower off the news, but no real rally either.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, September 10, 2011

Prepare For A Recession and Stocks Bear Market! / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Sy_Harding

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBrace yourself for a recession.

Central banks around the world seem to be doing so, making little effort to prevent it this time around, resigned to letting the business cycle play out.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, September 10, 2011

Investor Opportunities Credit Crunch / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: DeepCaster_LLC

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article “In doing what the Swiss National Bank is doing (Ed. Pegging the Swiss Franc to the Euro), it has effectively ended the Swiss Franc as a currency.” Dennis Gartman, The Gartman Letter

Crises are Magnifying and Intensifying but are also providing Substantial Profit Opportunities, providing one knows what to focus on, and what to avoid – our dual focus here.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, September 09, 2011

Stock Market Bear Selling / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Zeal_LLC

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEarly August’s sharp stock-market plunge ignited an explosion of bearish theories.  And with the headline stock indexes still grinding along near lows over the month since, fears of a new bear market continue to proliferate today.  But interestingly, the fast selling velocity that spooked traders is not characteristic of young bear markets.  Instead it is a bull-market-correction phenomenon.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, September 09, 2011

Fed Can’t Twist Stock Market Sell Signals Away / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Wall Street Journal’s cover story on September 8 boldly proclaimed “Fed Prepares to Act”. The article hinted that ‘Operation Twist’ may be in the works (more on that below). Can you imagine the market’s reaction to a headline like that in the late 1990s when the Fed was looked at as some kind of miracle worker? The S&P 500 futures would have popped in the morning and inflation-protection assets would have had a strong open. On the morning of said Wall Street Journal article, the markets barely took notice of possible Fed action. This is clear evidence the markets no longer place central bankers on the miracle worker’s pedestal. It also shows fear of debt-induced deflationary outcomes is now outweighing the fear of inflation. These are significant and dangerous shifts for the market’s risk/reward profile. If this shift continues, stocks (SPY) and commodities (DBC) may experience further, and rapid declines in the next six months, if not much sooner. We added to our short positions (SH) on August 8.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, September 08, 2011

Stock Market Shorts May Prey On Serious Problems In Europe / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Chris_Ciovacco

Bridgewater Associates is the world’s largest macro hedge fund firm, meaning they have a good handle on the problems in Europe. Some excerpts from a Bloomberg article on the firm’s current outlook:

These days, the view from Bridgewater is dour. They divide the world into two groups: developed debtor nations that are deleveraging and emerging creditor countries that are leveraging up. After years of overspending financed by borrowing, the former are being forced to lower their debt relative to their income levels, constraining spending levels and employment gains.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, September 08, 2011

Stocks Bear Market Rally May Not have Ended / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Tim_Wood

The post March 2009 closing high for the Industrials occurred on April 29th at 12,810.54 and for the Transports that high occurred on July 7th at 5,618.25.  This in turn left a Dow theory non-confirmation in place.  This was then followed by a close below the March 2011 secondary low points on August 4th.  As a result of this close, a Dow theory primary trend change occurred.   This is the first such occurrence since the bear market rally out of the March 2009 lows began and I do not take this development lightly.  But, at the same time, based on other technical factors, I also have to question this trend change.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, September 08, 2011

Stock Market Sentiment At Extremes...Nearly Inverted... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Jack_Steiman

I started speaking about this phenomenon last week when the bull-bear spread got down to 4.3%. It was 7.6% the week before, and I must admit, I was surprised to see it drop to that 4.3% level. Then today the sentiment figures got even more bearish on the spread. Only a 1.1% spread between bulls and bears with the bulls at 38.7% and the bears at 37.6%. When levels get this low, and it is unusual that they do, getting sustainable downside action is not easy for the bears any longer. That doesn't mean there won't be down days because, of course, there will be. Some will be nasty. It just suggests that sustainable downside action will become far more difficult as the bear trade is full. When the bears are all in it gets too tough to kill the market. No different than when the bulls go all in. Upside action becomes more difficult. The bull-bear spread can invert negatively but that is rare.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, September 07, 2011

Stock Market Crash 1929, Mystery Unraveled? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Submissions

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWim Grommen writes: In the twenties of the last century the world, and especially the United States, experienced an economical high. As a result of this, share and stock prices rose to unprecedented heights, beyond reasonable values. The underlying economy had decreased in strength without this being reflected on the stock exchange. Investors were euphoric and stock prices were forced up against all economic logic. (1)

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, September 07, 2011

EURO Volatility and S&P Risk / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: Capital3X

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEUR/USD correction from 1.4550 on 29 Aug 2011 has now extended to 1.3960 levels on 6 September 2011, correction of 600 pips. We did forecast for such a move given the weakening fundamentals in EU zone and the pickup in volatility. Refer our EURO volatility charts

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, September 07, 2011

The Fed's Twisted Plan / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: PhilStockWorld

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhile world markets sell off, and President Obama and Congress wrangle over some form of job-creating legislation, the Federal Reserve is busy with its own problems as it attempts to deal with stubbornly high and persistent unemployment. Expectations for additional quantitative easing (QE) are running very high, but there is the possibility that the Fed may undertake a different kind of QE program, designed to provide stimulus without actually putting more money into the system.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, September 07, 2011

How to Find Investment Opportunities from Blood, Debt and Fears / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: John_Derrick

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMy long-time friend and mentor Seymour Schulich forwarded an email to me that puts today’s U.S. government debt mountain startlingly into context. By removing several zeros, one can place the debt situation in terms we all can understand—that of a family’s income and expenses.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, September 06, 2011

Stock Market Glass More Half Empty Than Half Full / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Richard_Shaw

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe battle between bulls and bears is tense right now (as the attached cover image from this week's Barrons illustrates)

WHAT WE SAID BEFORE:

We have previously provided charts and data supporting the Bull case, showing high and growing earnings with historically "normal" range valuation multiples, at the same time that bonds offer little in terms of yield and must eventually go down when rates must eventually go up -- with many stocks (even the S&P 500 index) providing dividend yields competitive with 10-year Treasuries.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, September 06, 2011

Stock Market Odds Favour More Declines Ahead / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Andre_Gratian

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into about 2014.

SPX: Intermediate trend - The bull market which started on March 2009 at 667 appears to have ended at 1370. It is unclear if the first intermediate decline of the new bear market is over.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, September 06, 2011

Logical Case for a 49% Stock Market Crash / Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Chris_Ciovacco

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWith an apparent acceleration of the debt crisis in Europe and a prolonged budget fight set to continue in the United States, we have bear market drivers in place from a fundamental perspective. On Monday, two-year Greek notes traded at 50% of face value; the yield on 10-year Italian bonds rose another 27 basis points. Angela Merkel’s party lost weekend elections in Germany, which brings into question public support for more bailouts in Europe.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, September 06, 2011

The Stock Market Black Monday the Public Doesn’t Know About / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI hope everyone had a fantastic Labor Day weekend. I truly enjoyed myself and was able to have some creativity with my 18 month daughter. I got some new office chairs last week and I finally had time to assemble them during the rainy and windy black Monday here in Canada… Just like a child on their birthday, I tossed the chair parts aside and played with the large boxes with Mirabelle.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, September 06, 2011

Europe and Asia Stock Markets Labor Day Sell Off / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: George_Maniere

           For years, Labor Day weekend was a time to take a break from work and celebrate the fruits of our labor. Sadly last weekend was a time when millions of Americans wished they had a job to take a break from.  If you were awake or remotely paying attention last Friday September 2nd The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released the August 2001 jobs report and in a word - it was abysmal. The report showed that no jobs had been created in August. If this statistic was not so sad it would be laughable. What is even more telling then this report was that the prior two months had been revised down and I expect next month for the same thing to play out. The report will be revised down from zero to a negative number. There is no fudging the numbers. The jobs market is getting worse and fast.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, September 05, 2011

Charts and Economic Data Point to a Bloody September for Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: Capital3X

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSeptember is known to slay the mighty and yet it may just be the best opportunity of all months to make strong returns if one is able to realign portfolio to ride the momentum.

We will analyze charts from the Treasury market, S&P 500 Index, Volatility indices and AUD/USD to understand the market positioning. The data over the last couple of weeks has been negative the least to say.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, September 04, 2011

Stock Market Big Picture / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Tony_Caldaro

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhat started off as a promising week for the equity markets ends mixed in the US: SPX/DOW -0.3%, and the NDX/NAZ +0.2%. In between, the market gapped up monday morning from friday’s SPX 1177 close. Then hit SPX 1231 on wednesday only to gap down friday ending the week at SPX 1174. Economic reports continued to be slanted to the downside. On the upswing: personal income/spending, PCE prices, the Case-Shiller index, factory orders, auto sales, the m1-multiplier, and jobless claims improved. On the downswing: pending home sales, construction spending the Chicago PMI, ISM manufacturing, the ADP index, monthly Payrolls, the monetary base, the WLEI, and consumer confidence plunged. Asian markets gained 1.9%, European markets gained 1.7%, the Commodity equity group gained 3.7%, and the DJ World index rose 1.6%. Next week we have the FED’s Beige book, ISM services, and Consumer credit.

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