Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, January 31, 2014
Stock Market Thursday Rebound / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Courtesy of Doug Short: Before the market opened, the weekly initial jobless claims missed the mark, but the Advance Estimate for Q4 GDP was a solid 3.2% — in line with expectations. The S&P 500 surged at the open, consolidated for an hour or so and then rallied to its 1.38% intraday high during the lunch hour. The index traded in a relatively narrow range and closed with a trimmed gain of 1.13%. With one day to go, to the index is up 0.22% for the week.
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Friday, January 31, 2014
Markets Critical Forecast Signals, Gold Price Explosion to Come / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
“U.S. Major markets will Implode, if Emerging Markets Implode.Jim Sinclair
Sinclair’s claim is correct, but the Markets’ recent Negative Reaction to Argentina’s Devaluation and Turkey’s Massive Rate Increase provides us one Superb Forecasting Signal.
Indeed, so far in 2014 the Markets have provided us with several Superb Forecast Signals in Key Sectors.
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Thursday, January 30, 2014
The Disappearing Stock Market Bears / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
See what happens in the financial markets when the bears vanish
If Inspector Gadget or Maxwell Smart had lived in the digital age, their bosses would have used the smartphone app Snapchat to deliver their secret missions.
Snapchat is a popular app with about 8 million users that lets your smartphone send a photo that self-destructs seconds after your recipient views it. As of September 2013, users were sending about 350-400 million vanishing messages a day -- which compares with the 127.5 million shares that changed hands in the Dow on Jan. 27, 2014.
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Thursday, January 30, 2014
Stock Markets Deepen Losses on Fed Decision / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook remains neutral:
Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: neutral
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: neutral
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Thursday, January 30, 2014
Stocks Pop, Gold & Bonds Drop / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
The SPX Pre-Market calls for a higher open. However overhead resistance in the form of the hourly Cycle Bottom awaits at 1784.98. This bounce may not last.
The Department of Labor reports, “In the week ending January 25, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 348,000, an increase of 19,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 329,000. The 4-week moving average was 333,000, an increase of 750 from the previous week's revised average of 332,250.”
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Thursday, January 30, 2014
Emerging Markets Crisis or Media Hysteria? / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
Courtesy of Doug Short: Emerging markets have been hemorrhaging this year and are now grabbing media attention. However, as the charts show, the decline in these markets and currencies has been taking place for some time now and is certainly not a sudden development. Question is: does the drop in these markets now present a real emerging threat to the rest of the globe, especially the stock markets of major developed economies? Let’s take a look…
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Thursday, January 30, 2014
Stock Market Nasty Down Day with Negative Technicals / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
The stock market indices suffered another nasty session, except for theTheTechTrader.com, which looked good and channeled up nicely. That includes some of the natural gas ETFs, particularly the UGAZ. But the day was an ugly one.
The day started out with a gap down, and then 3-wave corrective move to fill the declining topsline, and then they rolled over again in a 3-wave plunge. They took out the lows slightly, then snapped back after the FOMC, by came down again into the close.
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Thursday, January 30, 2014
Fed Tapers.... Stock Market Falls.... Short-Term Positive Divergences In Place.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Well, it was an interesting day. I don't think anyone would argue that. The market went up a 12 handle last night on the S&P 500 futures when they announced a rate hike. I have no idea why a rate hike would spike our market to such a degree but it did. By the time we woke up this morning that green 12 was a red 12 handle. The market was not in the mood for anything to the upside with complacency trying to work itself off now. We gapped down hard and then blasted back higher after drifting back down fairly hard.
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Wednesday, January 29, 2014
All Asian Pacific Stock Markets Analysis including China, Korea, India, Japan, Australia... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Today's post of the State of the Global Markets Report features unique insights on all of the major Asian-Pacific markets, including China, Korea, India, Japan, Australia and more. You will also get two special reports from Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast Editor Mark Galasiewski: Emerging Markets Reflect Social Mood and Australia: Labor's Loss and the Bull Market Ahead.
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Wednesday, January 29, 2014
Is U.S. Fed Responsible for Emerging Markets Crisis? / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
From the bully pulpits in São Paulo to the blogosphere in cyberspace, the Fed is blamed for the turmoil in Emerging Markets (EM). That’s a bit like blaming McDonald’s for obesity. Blaming others won’t fix the problems in EM economies, it won’t fix investors’ portfolios and it is an unlikely way to lose weight. Investors and policy makers need to wake up and realize that they are in charge of their own destiny. Let us explain:
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Wednesday, January 29, 2014
How Does This Stocks Bull Market Rank Against Past 100 Years Rallys? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
Courtesy of Doug Short: Today’s chart of the day is a simple analysis using Prof. Robert Shillers stock market data to look at where the current stock market rally exists in relation to previous market rallies following either cyclical or secular bear market corrections. I have analyzed the data using both nominal and real (inflation adjusted) prices.
If we look at nominal market prices going back to 1900, we find that the current rally of 135.23% (as of January 27th close) ranks as the 7th longest rally in history. As shown in the chart below the current rally ranks behind the 1920-29 market bubble, the post-WWII bull market and the “tech boom” of the 90′s.
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Tuesday, January 28, 2014
The Hottest Investable Market on Earth 2014 / Stock-Markets / Investing 2014
China has been dominating the headlines in recent days.
And not in a good way.
Since late last week, worries about slowing growth, financial-system shenanigans and the potential for an “Asian-Contagion” type spillover have whacked global stocks – and have left folks wondering if the “China Miracle” is over.
But China’s kind of like a still-young tech venture: There are going to be reversals, it’s going to be volatile, and it’s normal to expect this kind of whipsaw market action.
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Tuesday, January 28, 2014
Stock Market New Head and Shoulder Formations / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
A Very Chilly Good Morning!
I don’t know whether it is because of the -30 degree wind chill or some other problem, but a lot of things don’t work this morning, including my cable internet.
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Tuesday, January 28, 2014
Global Market Forecasts 2014 for Stocks, Bonds, Currencies and Commodities / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
Dear investor,
Consider yourself warned.
The global market outlook is far less rosy than the so-called experts would have you believe.
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Monday, January 27, 2014
Stock Market Fear - One Last Shot For The Fed? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Friday was a scary down day for many and Market fear was in the air.
But the Fed may still have one shot to hold the market from a bad day today. That hope comes from the support line on the New York Stock Exchange Index (NYA).
Monday, January 27, 2014
When Bubbles Bite - Debt Rattle 2014 / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
I guess I may be getting myself in a bit of a jam here, since I posted no Debt Rattle yesterday, but did do the Daily Links, and I do have things to say about some of those. For instance, I think it’s a big piece of news to see Stephen Hawking say black holes don’t exist, and I also think that Mish’s line “Bubbles burst when the pool of greater fools runs out” is important to note, certainly in view of recent events. So this will be a lightly longer Debt Rattle, in all likelihood. I’ll just get started, and let’s see where this goes. Please do note that present bubbles in finance have an incestuous releationship with those in energy: when one pops, the other starts biting.
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Monday, January 27, 2014
Stock Market Heading Lower / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
A sharp fall down to 1783 on Friday suggests that the S&P is heading lower now in wave 4. Wave 4 is a corrective leg so this can be only a temporary weakness but we still need three legs down, (a)-(b)-(c), before we may turn bullish again. Ideally a three wave pattern will find a support around 1740/55 area.
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Monday, January 27, 2014
Gold Improving Bullish Sentiment, Could Witness Stock Market Bloodbath / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
Gold's technical picture has improved since the last bullish update just over a month ago, but it has still not broken out the intermediate downtrend that started back last August, which we can see drawn on the 8-month chart shown below.
On Friday the gold price arrived at a short-term target at the upper boundary of the downtrend, which is a good point for it to turn down again, especially as its moving averages are still in bearish alignment, and world markets have started to tank, which was predicted on the 2nd January on the site in the article, more about which later. If it does turn down again shortly bulls will want to see continued basing action above its lows of last June and July, and December leading to an upside breakout from this downtrend.
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Monday, January 27, 2014
Stock Market Anticipated Intermediate Decline Has Started / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the Fed policy of keeping interest rates low has severely curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - The anticipated decline into late February has started.
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Sunday, January 26, 2014
Robert Prechter's The Next Big Drop Stock Market Warning / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
On January 24, the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ all lost close to two percent. On a day like that, it's worth talking about the one indicator they don't often mention on financial networks - namely, market sentiment.
When is the best time to get out of the stock market? When everyone else is invested and extremely optimistic. When is the best time to buy, then? Exactly: when you see the opposite sentiment.
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