Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Friday, February 07, 2014
Many Are Betting on a Calm Stock Market. We're Not / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: EWI
Here's one good reason why: a historic market sentiment extreme
The DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ are struggling to bounce. Yet the bullish convictions remain high. Says a February 5 Investor's Business Daily headline:
"Why Mutual Fund Investors Need Not Panic After January Sell-Off"
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Friday, February 07, 2014
Stock Market Rally Before the Big Jobs Report / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short: Before the market opened, the latest new jobless claims report was a bit better than expected and European markets were rallying. The S&P 500 followed suit, rallying at the open and trading higher through the day to its 1.24% close, just fractionally off its 1.28% intraday high shortly before the bell. Today’s rally comes in advance of tomorrow’s big employment report for January. The mainstream consensus is for 175K-185K new nonfarm jobs. My forecast? A beat will be good news, and a miss will probably be dismissed as weather related.
Thursday, February 06, 2014
Global Stock Markets Throw a Taper Tantrum / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Gary_Dorsch
A sharp sell-off in the global stock markets so far this year has left many small investors a bit puzzled and panicky, and unsure how to react. Retail investors in the US, who watched the from the sidelines in a state of disbelief, as the “Least Loved” Bull market on Wall Street, continued to climb to new all-time highs, - finally decided to throw in the towel in the second half of 2013, and jumped aboard the Bullish bandwagon. The late converts plowed $175-billion of their savings into US-equity funds, helping to push the S&P-500 Index to an all-time high at the 1,850-level. They gave little thought that maybe, the “Least Loved” Bull had climbed “too far and too fast” after gaining +175% from the Great Recession low.
Thursday, February 06, 2014
Stock Market Bottoms Have Two Elements: We’re Still Missing One / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short: Monday’s ISM wipeout pushed the stock market into deeply oversold territory as fear levels in the market began to surge. The ISM Manufacturing PMI came in at 51.3 versus the estimated 56.0 reading and down from 57.0 for December 2013 and was the biggest miss in years, elevating growth fears. However, while many bears will dismiss pundits blaming the cold weather and see the miss as a sign of things to come, the ISM national PMI is just one survey and it moved opposite to many of the regional Fed manufacturing surveys for January. In fact, when reviewing various PMI readings across the country there were more positive improvements than negative with the average among surveys increasing during the month, as shown below. Note the positive changes in the Austin PMI (+9.4) and the Empire Manufacturing Survey (+10.3) were greater in size than the negative declines. Another encouraging development was a slight uptick in the JP Morgan Global Composite PMI.
Thursday, February 06, 2014
Why Emerging Markets Are Heading for Falling Over the Cliff / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
By: Frank_Shostak
In countries such as Turkey and Argentina a tighter stance implemented by central banks has set in motion an economic bust. In Turkey the central bank has raised the one week repo rate to 10 percent from 4.5 percent while in Argentina the 3-month Treasury bill rate climbed to 25.89 percent from 16 percent in early January. In Argentina an increase in rates took place once the central bank aggressively curbed its monetary pumping, while in Turkey the central bank raised its policy rate.
Thursday, February 06, 2014
Why I Wouldn’t Give Up on This Stock Market Yet / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: DailyGainsLetter
George Leong writes: Another day and another 300-point decline in the Dow Jones Industrial Average—that seems to be the norm right now. But despite my assurances that things will inevitably get better, I continue to see extreme nervousness out there.
Now it’s probably time for more hand-holding as we move along during this mini crisis in the markets.
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Thursday, February 06, 2014
Steps to Overcoming Losses in a Falling Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: DailyGainsLetter
Mohammad Zulfiqar writes: “What should you do when the house isn’t in order?”
A good friend of mine asked this question back in 2011. At that time, key stock indices were plunging lower due to issues regarding the U.S. debt ceiling. There was uncertainty, and many wondered what would happen next. I remember this question now because the key stock indices nowadays are falling due to troubles in the emerging markets and there seems to be panic—similar to what we were experiencing when I first heard this question.
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Thursday, February 06, 2014
Zombie Banking System Still A Clear and Present Danger to Financial Stability / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2014
By: Mike_Whitney
The selloff that began in May 2013, when the Fed announced its plan to scale back its asset purchases, resumed with a vengeance on Monday as global shares were slammed in heavy trading sending the Dow Jones for a 326 point-loss on the day. The proximate cause of the rout was a worse-than-expected manufacturing report and sluggish construction spending, but the underlying source of the trouble was the Fed’s decision to wind down QE which, according to Bloomberg news, “helped drive the S and P 500 up 157 percent from a 12-year low in 2009.” The Fed’s tightening has reversed the dynamic that pushed equities into the stratosphere and generated an unprecedented boom in the emerging markets. Now capital is fleeing the EMs to the safety of US Treasuries while jittery investors ditch stocks and wait to see if the storm passes or gradually gains strength.
Thursday, February 06, 2014
The Financial System is Crumbling… Again / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2014
By: Graham_Summers
We find it truly extraordinary that anyone is surprised the financial system is under duress again.
After all, what have the Central Banks accomplished in the last five years?
1) Did they clear out the bad debts that caused the 2008 collapse? NOPE
Thursday, February 06, 2014
Stock Market Sentiment Playing Out perfectly....... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jack_Steiman
Just a few weeks ago we were at 46% on the bull-bear spread. We had spent numerous weeks trading with a number above 40%, which is extremely rare and unusual. You know it can't last, but you never know when it's going to snap. We finally snapped, and look where we are now. 28.5%. How sweet is that! The market is doing its dirty deed to get folks extremely pessimistic. It had to come, and now it's here. We're happy about that to be sure. Now we need to get it lower. Teens would be a thing of beauty. I think it'll happen, and it won't take too much longer. Another 2-4 weeks of poor action, and we'll be looking at a spread below 20%. That would be music to the ears of all the bulls out there. The only problem, of course, would be that the bulls will be too afraid to do any buying when the right time is here. They'll be fearful of the market that has allowed the spread to get under 20%.
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Thursday, February 06, 2014
Stock Market Decline an 'Old-Fashioned Correction' / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Bloomberg
Larry Fink, Co-Founder, Chairman and CEO of BlackRock, joined Bloomberg Television's Erik Schatzker and Stephanie Ruhle today to discuss volatility in global financial markets, the economies of the U.S. and China, and shareholder activism.
Fink called the stock market decline a "good old-fashioned correction." He also shared thoughts on China: "I'm surprised the market is upset the Chinese economy has slowed down in the short run... I don't think it's as problematic as some people believe."
Thursday, February 06, 2014
Stocks Peak One Year After Bonds, History Set to Repeat? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: EWI
Financial parallels between the 1920s and today
When the financial media mentions the late 1920s, they usually
mean the 1929 stock market top. But today's investors can
also learn from what happened in 1928. That
was the year that the bond market topped, while commodities
peaked even sooner.
Wednesday, February 05, 2014
State of the Global Financial Markets Special Report 2014 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: EWI
The State of the Global Markets 2014 special 50 page report includes videos such as a presentation titled "Batten Down the Hatches" that Robert Prechter delivered at the New Orleans Investment Conference. Bob will show you definitive signs of a top in several major markets and share some eye-opening analysis about how copper can be used as an indicator in other major markets. When you watch it, you will see why we saved this one for last.
Wednesday, February 05, 2014
Top 1% 'Pummeled' Because It's Politically Convenient / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Bloomberg
Sam Zell, billionaire investor and chairman and co-founder of Equity Group Investments, spoke with Bloomberg Television's Betty Liu today about the real estate and financial markets as well as Microsoft's new CEO, Satya Nadella and Obama's new policies.
When asked about Tom Perkins's letter and comments, Zell said: "I guess my feeling is that he's righ. The 1 percent are being pummeled because it's politically convenient to do so."
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Wednesday, February 05, 2014
Stock Market Forecast Unfolding As We Projected, What Is Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: David_Banister
Back on January 15th we wrote an article and also a elliott wave forecast for both the public and our subscribers showing a likely top at a maximum of 1868 on the SP 500. We said that Elliott Wave Major 3 of Primary Wave 3 would top no higher than that level. In fact, we can go back to September 4th 2013 and we projected a Major 3 high as 1822-1829.
Wednesday, February 05, 2014
Stock Market Disaster Forecast / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Ronald_Rosen
This is not a correction. It is an absolute and total disaster. The stock averages will be losing 66 % of their maximum value.
Wednesday, February 05, 2014
The Super Bowl Indicator; Did the Right Team Win? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: DailyGainsLetter
Mohammad Zulfiqar writes: This past Sunday, the Seattle Seahawks won their first Super Bowl with a final score of 43 to 8 against the Denver Broncos. My favorite team, the Dallas Cowboys, wasn’t playing, but I still watched the game, because the ads and half-time show are always fun—plus, it can predict where the stock market is going to go for the year.
Yes, you read that correctly; the Super Bowl is supposedly an indicator of the stock market. The indicator is very simple: whenever a team from the NFC division wins, the stock market increases. If the team from the AFC division wins, then key stock indices decline.
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Wednesday, February 05, 2014
Bill Gross on China 'Mystery Meat' of Emerging Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Bloomberg
Bill Gross, co-founder of Pacific Investment Management Co., joined Bloomberg Television's Stephanie Ruhle and Erik Schatzker today to discuss the outlook for financial markets, investment strategy and the resignation of Pimco Chief Executive Officer Mohamed El-Erian.
Gross said, "I call China the mystery meat of emerging market countries. Nobody knows what's there and there's a little bit of baloney, so we're just going to have to wonder going forward through this year as to the potential problems in China and other emerging markets."
Tuesday, February 04, 2014
Stock Market Bull - Bear Spread for Sentimental Reasons / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
By: Ed_Carlson
The song (I love you) For Sentimental Reasons was recorded by Nat King Cole in 1946 and I feel as if I’ve been staring at my sentiment indicators for nearly that long trying to tell if equity markets are due for a bounce this week.
Survey-driven metrics such as the AAII (American Association of Individual Investors) and NAAIM (National Association of Active Investment Managers) have definitely fallen but don’t appear to have fallen to levels associated with past lows in the S&P 500. The chart below shows the AAII bull-bear spread. It has turned negative for the first time since last August but it certainly hasn’t reached the level seen in late August which succeeded in turning the equity market back up from its low then.
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Tuesday, February 04, 2014
Stock Market Dead Cat Bounce / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Yesterday I had suggested that we may see a pop to (falling) Cycle Bottom resistance at 1757.86. However, the bounce already seems to be failing. There is still a possibility of another probe higher, but a move below 1748.00 (the Broadening Top trendline) may signal the end of the dead cat bounce.
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