Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, January 27, 2014
Stock Market Heading Lower / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
A sharp fall down to 1783 on Friday suggests that the S&P is heading lower now in wave 4. Wave 4 is a corrective leg so this can be only a temporary weakness but we still need three legs down, (a)-(b)-(c), before we may turn bullish again. Ideally a three wave pattern will find a support around 1740/55 area.
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Monday, January 27, 2014
Gold Improving Bullish Sentiment, Could Witness Stock Market Bloodbath / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
Gold's technical picture has improved since the last bullish update just over a month ago, but it has still not broken out the intermediate downtrend that started back last August, which we can see drawn on the 8-month chart shown below.
On Friday the gold price arrived at a short-term target at the upper boundary of the downtrend, which is a good point for it to turn down again, especially as its moving averages are still in bearish alignment, and world markets have started to tank, which was predicted on the 2nd January on the site in the article, more about which later. If it does turn down again shortly bulls will want to see continued basing action above its lows of last June and July, and December leading to an upside breakout from this downtrend.
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Monday, January 27, 2014
Stock Market Anticipated Intermediate Decline Has Started / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the Fed policy of keeping interest rates low has severely curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - The anticipated decline into late February has started.
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Sunday, January 26, 2014
Robert Prechter's The Next Big Drop Stock Market Warning / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
On January 24, the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ all lost close to two percent. On a day like that, it's worth talking about the one indicator they don't often mention on financial networks - namely, market sentiment.
When is the best time to get out of the stock market? When everyone else is invested and extremely optimistic. When is the best time to buy, then? Exactly: when you see the opposite sentiment.
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Sunday, January 26, 2014
Another Big Stock Market Slide on Global Growth Jitters / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
"There was a strange temper in the air. Unsatisfied by material prosperity, the nations turned fiercely toward strife, internal or external. National passions unduly exalted in the decline of religion, burned beneath the surface of every land with fierce if shrouded fires. Almost one might think the world wished to suffer. Certainly men everywhere were eager to dare." - Winston Churchill
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Sunday, January 26, 2014
Stock Market Crash - Dow Crashes 450 in 2 Days / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Anyone reading that headline would think it's some sort of surprise to most traders that the markets crashed 450 points in 2 days, but for us a wavepatterntraders.com we have been looking for a reversal in the markets for a few weeks and it was only a matter of time before things reversed. So it's no surprise to us, it was expected and I expect much more if a top is in place.
Is this the start of the large move lower that I am expecting? Well to answer that question honestly, it's too early to say, but regardless of the answer, what we can say for sure is that if it is the start of something sinister, we will be riding it lower.
Sunday, January 26, 2014
Forecast 2014 - The Second Most Expensive Stock Market in the World / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
South Africa's Cape of Good Hope is one of the most dangerous stretches of coastline anywhere in the world, where the warm Agulhas Current (also called the Mozambique Current), rushing down from the Indian Ocean, meets the cold Benguela Current, pushing up from Antarctica. The difference in water temperatures alone is a recipe for legendary storms, but the two opposing ocean currents just so happen to converge where the African Continental Shelf drops off into a deep abyss.
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Sunday, January 26, 2014
The Most Dangerous Stock Market Chart in the World / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Last month I warned about the bubble in the stock market, and what was going to happen when it popped. Make no mistake the chart of the S&P is the most dangerous chart in the world. When this parabolic structure collapses, it is going to bring down the global economy.
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Sunday, January 26, 2014
Stock Market Primary Wave IV? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
The last two days, of a holiday shortened week, resulted in a nasty decline for the entire week. The market started Tuesday with a gap up opening, hitting SPX 1849 in the opening minutes. Then bounced around between SPX 1832 and 1847 by Wednesday’s close. Thursday, however, started with a gap down opening and the market continued to decline into Friday’s close. For the week the SPX/DOW were -3.05%, the NDX/NAZ were -1.55%, and the DJ World index lost 2.55%. Economic reports for the week were sparse. On the uptick: FHFA housing prices, leading indicators and the WLEI. On the downtick: existing home sales. Next week is a busy one. We have the FOMC meeting tues/wed, Durable goods orders, the Chicago PMI, and Q4 GDP. Best to your week.
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Saturday, January 25, 2014
A Bank Run in London? Debt Rattle 2014 / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2014
It seems to come as a surprise to some, but when you think about it, it seems obvious that it only makes sense that if you try to hide a crisis behind huge amounts of money and credit leaked into global financial markets, those markets become addicted to credit injections faster than you can say taperworm.
There may be something to say for stimulus and Keynesianism in certain situations, but not in all cases, and certainly not in a world already drowning in piles of leveraged debt. There it merely serves to further distort economic systems, a distortion that makes it so difficult for people to see what is real and what is not, that it can and will safely be used by the financial industry to dump its part of the debtload on everyone else. It is then inevitable that cracks will appear, first among the weaker parties involved: Argentina, Greece, Venezuela.
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Saturday, January 25, 2014
Stock Market Tumble Baked in the Cake Years Before / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
When markets tumble, the immediate cause is often baked into the cake years before. The structural (decades old) trouble with large, U.S. publicly traded companies is managements that care first, second, and third about boosting the stock price today: carpe diem, and so forth.
In 2013, IBM's net income was $16.5 billion. The company spent $13.9 billion repurchasing its own shares during the year: 84% of its profits were used for these purchases. Buying back shares, all else equal, boosts per share earnings, thus the share price.
Saturday, January 25, 2014
Stock Market Big Selloff, Is a Correction Underway? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Courtesy of Doug Short: The S&P 500 opened lower and traded steadily lower, closing at its intraday low for a loss of 2.09%. That’s the biggest daily decline since the 2.50% drop on June 20th. The holiday-shortened four-day week was down 2.63%. That’s the biggest weekly decline since the 3.02% drop in May of 2012.
The question on everyone’s mind is whether we’re seeing the start of a significant correction. And Fed watchers are no doubt wondering whether the central bank might rethink the taper timetable.
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Saturday, January 25, 2014
Stocks Plunge, Horrific Jobs, Was The Fed Too Hasty With Its Taper Decision? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
The Fed surprised markets with its December decision that the economy is strong enough to stand on its own with less stimulus. The majority of economists and analysts expected it to wait until March for more evidence to accumulate.
In the month since the decision, economic reports from key areas of the economy; jobs, housing, auto sales, and consumer confidence, have not been impressive.
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Saturday, January 25, 2014
Stock Market Plunge on Argentina Crisis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Goldman Sachs President and COO and AIG Non-Executive Chairman Steve Miller spoke with Bloomberg Television's Erik Schatzker and Stephanie Ruhle at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland today.
Cohn downplayed the market reaction on Argentina: "Markets going through some jitters trying to figure out exactly what's going on, emerging markets, we're seeing some repricing of assets. This is not extraordinary movements in the market. We have seen movements like this before...These are growth markets, they're not developed markets."
Saturday, January 25, 2014
Goldman Sachs on Argentina Crisis Contagion and Wall Street Still in Public's 'Penalty Box' / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
Goldman Sachs CEO Lloyd Blankfein spoke with Bloomberg Television's Erik Schatzker and Stephanie Ruhle from the World Economic Forum in Davos today about the outlook for financial markets, the firm's hiring practices and the banking industry.
On the reputation of the banking industry, Blankfein said, "A lot of work has been done, a lot of work still to do, and we will be in the penalty box of the American public. And why not? It was a very big trauma, there were a lot of causes, but one of them has to be poor risk judgments made by certain banks and to the extent that banks were getting a lot of benefits from their good risk management and it turned out to be flawed, you know, it is fair that you pay some price of reputation when it does not go well."
Saturday, January 25, 2014
U.S. Stock Market Sharp Drop - How to Spot the NEXT Big Turn / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
On January 24, the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ all lost close to two percent. On a day like that, it's worth talking about the one indicator they don't often mention on financial networks - namely, market sentiment.
When is the best time to get out of the stock market? When everyone else is invested and extremely optimistic. When is the best time to buy, then? Exactly: when you see the opposite sentiment.
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Saturday, January 25, 2014
The Coming Stock Market Bear Market Rally Bust / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Regardless of what we hear from various sources, fact is, the economy peaked in 2000. This peak corresponded with the stock market top in 2000, which was followed by the decline into the 2002 low. Since that decline began, the money masters have tried to reignite the underlying economy and in the process they have only made matters worse.
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Saturday, January 25, 2014
Stock Market Snaps / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
And this is no joke. Snap go the 50-day exponential moving averages on the Dow and S&P 500. It took only two-long sticks on consecutive-down days to take out 21, overall, up days on the indexes. That's how things work when they snap on the indexes. Lots of grinding up in to massive complacency, and then snap, down she goes, taking a month's worth of upside out in two simple days of nastiness.
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Friday, January 24, 2014
Stock Market SPX Breaks More Support Levels / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Minute Wave [iii] has now violated the 50-day moving average and is about to cross the smaller Orthodox Broadening Top trendline. As previously mentioned, this wave may now extend considerably below 1800.00.
A Fib Wave [iii] expansion is generally at least 1.618 times the size of Wave [i], which would be approximately 61 points, giving a probable target of 1767.50.
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Friday, January 24, 2014
The End Game - Case for Deflation is Quietly Strengthening / Stock-Markets / Deflation
It is interesting that, nearly 5 years after the setting of the EMERGENCY interest (Base) rate of 0.5% we are still at 0.5% and our illustrious ‘capitalist’ government is borrowing £110 Billions per annum (to add to the admitted-to debt of £1100 Bns and the off balance sheet further liabilities of £4000 Bns). Carney, at the Bank of England, and Osborne, the Chancellor and Alexander, his puppy, tell us the recovery is locked in. And most believe them.
And yet we have an emergency interest rate and the govt is borrowing £110Bns pa. Locked in??? It is all about bailing out bankers, the hyper rich and the political establishment. This is not capitalism. It is socialism for the rich and powerful. And I very much doubt we will see capitalism again for at least a generation, if at all. This is step by step encroaching Marxism and surely everyone knows how that ends?
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