Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Thursday, January 23, 2014
Stock Market Volatility Increases / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
TNX may be taking another dip lower this morning. It is uncertain whether it will make a new low or simply a partial retracement.
Thursday, January 23, 2014
Weak Q1 Corporate Earnings to Finally Trip Up Illogical Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Corporate Earnings
By: DailyGainsLetter
John Paul Whitefoot writes: Stock markets are only as healthy as their stocks—well, at least they technically should be. But despite its stellar year in 2013, the S&P 500’s component stocks weren’t supporting the growth with strong revenue and earnings growth.
I might sound like a broken record, but the fact of the matter is that the S&P 500 was fuelled by the Federal Reserve and its $85.0-billion-a-month quantitative easing efforts and artificially low interest rates, and the fact that businesses were streamlining operations and implementing aggressive share repurchase programs.
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Thursday, January 23, 2014
Stock Market Closing In On S&P500 1850... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jack_Steiman
The S&P 500 has refused to give it up. It's in a trading range from 1812 support horizontally to 1850 resistance, which is also horizontal support. It's a 2% range, and within 2% can come a lot of emotion. However, it's been riding off the 20-day exponential moving average lately currently at 1833. This tells me the bulls are readying themselves for another move up, so the bears better get busy and fast. If we can clear 1850, and close above with a little force, it means the bears will have to take inventory of what they're holding. That also means they will likely want to lighten up, thus, some added fuel from short covering.
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Thursday, January 23, 2014
Davos Philanthropy, Income Inequality and Private Equity / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Bloomberg
David Rubenstein, CEO of Carlyle Group, joined Bloomberg Television's Stephanie Ruhle and Erik Schatzker today live from Davos to discuss philanthropy, income inequality and the state of private equity.
Rubenstein told Bloomberg TV he sees plenty of opportunity for private equity, having only "touched the surface in the emerging markets."
Wednesday, January 22, 2014
Has US Already Sown Seeds for Next Macro Financial Markets Deflation Crisis? / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2014
By: John_Mauldin
Greg Weldon has long been my favorite slicer and dicer of data – his charts and insights on charts really help me keep my eyes peeled. But in order to get across to us the drastic state of the economy as we plunge headlong into 2014 – a year that we all know will be pivotal – Greg has felt it necessary to resort to a rather trenchant metaphor from the year just past. Yes, says Greg, the economy is … Breaking Bad.
But – listen up now – bad is now good. At least temporarily.
Good, because bad macroeconomic data means an ongoing (if slightly tapering) supply of monetary steroids (Greg's term) will be forthcoming from our pushers, the central banks of the developed world.
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Wednesday, January 22, 2014
Debt, Economy and Markets - 14 Questions for 2014 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: DeviantInvestor
Those who cannot remember the past, are condemned to repeat it." - George Santayana.
Wednesday, January 22, 2014
Stock Market Overbought Consolidation Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the Fed policy of keeping interest rates low has severely curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - As a result of minor cycles due to bottom in late February, a short-term top appears to be in the making.
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Wednesday, January 22, 2014
Why it is Important for Bankers to Attend Davos / Stock-Markets / Banking Stocks
By: Bloomberg
Bank of America President/CEO, Brian Moynihan joined Bloomberg Television's Erik Schatzker and Stephanie Ruhle today live from Davos and said trading operations were profitable almost every day last quarter as the lender helped clients adjust to the prospect of higher interest rates, "I think we made money on every trading day except for two or three. Quarter after quarter, that's been trust. It's because it's a client business." Moynihan also said:
Monday, January 20, 2014
Did We See Stock Market Cycle Top Last Week? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
I have been reviewing my long-term charts and have been updating them. I was surprised when I discovered that today (January 18) is exactly 5.16 years from the November 21, 2008 low in the NDX. I have often been referring to the NDX Cycles, since they seem to be much more accurate than the Dow/SPX Cycles. The deviations from the measurements above are often within 3 days and no longer than 8 days, so this is a wonderful monitoring chart. I am constantly amazed at the relationships between the Cycles and the Waves.
Monday, January 20, 2014
Shocking Stocks, Bonds and Dollar Market Predictions for 2014… And the Evidence to Prove Them / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Money_Morning
Robert Hsu writes: Each January, we hear a chorus of pundits making predictions about where the markets will go in the 12 months ahead. The number and volume level of the "predictions" is matched only by the utter lack of evidence to back them up.
These talking heads will be the first to shout "I told you so!" But when they get it wrong, well... the silence is deafening. Their predictions are of little use to us.
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Sunday, January 19, 2014
Stocks 2014 - It’s All About Corproate Earnings / Stock-Markets / Corporate Earnings
By: John_Mauldin
Piloting on the Mississippi River was not work to me; it was play — delightful play, vigorous play, adventurous play – and I loved it… – Mark Twain
In the 1850s, flat-bottom paddlewheel steamboats coursed up and down the mighty Mississippi, opening up the Midwest to trade and travel. But it was treacherous travel. The current was constantly shifting the sandbars underneath the placid, smoothly rolling surface of the river. What was sufficient depth one week on a stretch of the river might become a treacherous sandbar the next, upon which a steamboat could run aground, perhaps even breaching the hull and sinking the ship. To prevent such a catastrophe, a crewman would throw a long rope with a lead weight at the end as far in front of the boat as possible (and thus the crewman was called the leadman). The rope was usually twenty-five fathoms long and was marked at increments of two, three, five, seven, ten, fifteen, seventeen and twenty fathoms. A fathom was originally the distance between a man's outstretched hands, but since this could be quite imprecise, it evolved to be six feet.
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Saturday, January 18, 2014
Stocks and Bonds Tops, Gold and Silver Bottom Climacterics Now / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: DeepCaster_LLC
“We view prospective near-term and multi-year returns as strongly unfavorable, and prospective market risk as unusually elevated.”John Hussman, January 2014
Choppy, decidedly Unbullish Equities Market Action thus far in 2014 is one Major Clue the Climacterics we earlier forecast have arrived in Key Markets. They may take a few days to a few weeks to fully develop, but they have arrived.
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Friday, January 17, 2014
Pandoras Box 2014 - The Largest Financial Collapse in History / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2014
By: Ty_Andros
Looking for an accident/black swan
As we begin 2014, it is important to recognize the levels of INSANITY currently existent in the world enabling us to understand the apocryphal nature of the times we live in and prepare ourselves to meet the challenges it represents. The world is leveraged to an extent that has never before seen in history! Debt now masquerades as NOMINAL growth and REAL growth has ceased. Headline economic reports are now nothing more than POLITICALLY CORRECT HOAXES to FOOL the public at large and mask the betrayal of the public by the leaders who hold the reins of power. ECONOMIC Stagnation emerged after the 2008 Global financial crisis and in real terms has NEVER ENDED!
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Friday, January 17, 2014
Timing Major Stock Market Peaks, Bear Market Forecast / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: John_Hampson
Starting on the smallest timescale, and working up to the largest.
1. Timing within the month
Lunar phasing influences human sentiment. It produces fortnightly oscillation in the stock market: positivity/optimism around the new moon and negativity/pessimism around the full moon. The cumulative influence of this can be seen in stock market returns over the last 20 years:
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Friday, January 17, 2014
Happy 100th U.S. Fed Birthday / Stock-Markets / US Federal Reserve Bank
By: EWI
On December 23, the U.S. Federal Reserve celebrated its 100th birthday. When legislation creating its existence was signed on December 23, 1913 (in a sneaky move during a holiday week), Congress granted the Fed a monopoly on creating dollars backed by debt.
The ongoing QE program is an unprecedented use of that power. This chart of the Fed's stated capital of $55 billion compared to its total assets of $4 trillion shows the extent to which the Fed is the focal point of dollar creation and therefore credit creation.
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Friday, January 17, 2014
Can the Fed Beat the Stock Market Expanding Wedge Pattern? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Marty_Chenard
If it wasn't for the Fed, this DJI chart would already in big trouble. While the yearly DJI chart does show its first 2014 tick as being inside the expanding wedge pattern, a lot of money is being pumped in to try and get the DJI back up higher.
The question will be: Will this turn out to be money well spent? I ask the question because expanding wedge patterns typically identify exhaustion levels where a pull back occurs like at labels 1 and 2.
Thursday, January 16, 2014
Bitcoins Goes Mainstream - How Washington is Ruining the Economic Recovery / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Clif_Droke
Columnists and newsletter writers are tripping over themselves to describe what they collectively believe will be a bullish year for stocks and the economy in 2014. They point to the Fed’s artificially low interest rates and continued commitment toward a lower unemployment rate as key reasons why the party will continue in the coming year. They also believe that government intervention both at home and abroad will produce a sixth year of recovery.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 16, 2014
Stock Market Liquidity Boom - Enjoy it While it Lasts / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
By: Fred_Sheehan
"Enjoy it while it lasts"
-Sir Alan Greenspan, June 13, 2007,after suggesting "the global liquidity boom, which he dates back to the end of the Cold War, is nearing its end."
"The fragile five" appears with rising frequency in the financial columns. This warning to stand aside, much as the "Asian contagion," in 1997, is bound to boomerang on Wall Street since Wall Street will keep selling as long as demand exists. At that time, U.S. investment banks were distributing sub-prime, Thai auto-loan securitizations to Greenwich. The hedge funds leveraged such securities into a Fed-led, Wall Street bailout in October 1998. The question of whether the Long-Term Capital Management (LTCM) rescue party should be considered a bailout was answered conclusively in Alan Greenspan's Age of Turbulence scrapbook: "[A]n orderly liquidation of [LTCM] was by no stretch of the imagination a bailout." Greenspan's assertions of blamelessness when he is guilty-as-charged are the foundation for his fortune.
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Thursday, January 16, 2014
How American Investors Can Profit from the Canadian Economy’s Demise / Stock-Markets / Canada
By: DailyGainsLetter
Mohammad Zulfiqar writes: Our neighbor to the north is facing some headwinds. In Canada, there are troubles developing that may drive the country toward an economic slowdown. In 2008, the ripple effects from the U.S. economy into the global economy caused an economic slowdown in many countries. The Canadian economy was one of the few nations that didn’t suffer a major hit; it was able to stand strong.
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Thursday, January 16, 2014
The Stocks Bull is Back! S&P 500 New All-Time Closing High by 0.001% / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short: The S&P 500 rose today on a relatively unremarkable Producer Price Index and a surprisingly strong Empire State Manufacturing report. The index opened at its intraday low with a 0.09% gain. It then rallied to its all-time intraday high, up 0.65%, shortly after 11 AM. It then traded in a narrow range for the rest of the day, closing with a trimmed gain of 0.52%. That was enough to set a new all-time closing high by the 0.02 points — up 0.001% from its previous closing high on December 31st.