Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Friday, January 24, 2014
What Stagflation Means for Investors / Stock-Markets / Stagflation
By: Profit_Confidential
Michael Lombardi writes: The Bureau of Labor Statistics just reported that inflation in the U.S. economy increased by 0.3% in the month of December and that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for the entire year of 2013 increased by only 1.5%. (Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, January 16, 2014.)
Is inflation in the U.S. economy really this low?
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Friday, January 24, 2014
Stock Market Spooked by China and Q4 Earnings / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: PhilStockWorld
Before the US markets opened the Flash China Manufacturing PMI came in at 49.6 in January (versus 50.5 in December), a six-month low. Markets around the world sold off at the unexpected news. The S&P 500 opened at its -0.14% intraday high and sold off to its -1.34% intraday low at 2 PM, when buyer’s apparently sniffed an opportunity. The index closed with a trimmed loss of 0.89%. The ongoing mixed bag of Q4 earnings didn’t help.
Friday, January 24, 2014
What Could go Wrong for Stocks and Right for Gold in 2014 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Clif_Droke
Are investors too bullish on the stock market’s prospects for 2014 and too bearish for gold’s? It would certainly seem that way based on the near unanimity of analyst consensus. Most institutional analysts have published bullish forecasts for equities in 2014 and a bearish, or at least cautionary, outlook for gold. The favorable forecast for stocks and bearish gold outlook is based on the assumption that deflation remains at bay for the coming year.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 24, 2014
SPX Stock Market Sell Signal Confirmed / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
My best reading on the decline so far is the Minute Wave [i] may be complete and Minute Wave [ii] of Minor Wave C] may now be underway. Wave (c) of Minute Wave [ii] has a potential target between 1829.00 and 1833.00. The Minute Wave [iii] target may be near 1775.00, with a minimum of 1800.00.
SPX may spend the rest of today bouncing to its 1833.00 target. Tomorrow we may see the larger Wave [iii] decline.
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Friday, January 24, 2014
Gold and S&P500 Inverse Relationship - Elliott Wave Forecast / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Dan_Stinson
Gold has bounced as a double bottom and it is likely that we should see further upside. The downside for the metals and especially Silver has been bearish, but the declined for the metals was relentlessly while the equity markets have gone parabolic. This is a very substantial inverse relationship and suggests reversals for both. Parabolic advances always end poorly and further upside for the metals is expected after the recent over sold conditions.
Thursday, January 23, 2014
Citigroup - U.S. Taper Is Not QE Tightening / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
By: Bloomberg
Michael Corbat, Chief Executive Officer of Citigroup Inc., talks about the structure of the bank, Federal Reserve monetary policy and global growth rates. He speaks with Erik Schatzker on Bloomberg Television's "Countdown" on the sidelines of the World Economic Forum's annual meeting in Davos, Switzerland. Corbat told Schatzker, “People shouldn’t want us to be everything to everyone…We’ve gone through a pretty significant transformation. We’ve got the right business mix.”
Thursday, January 23, 2014
Stock Market Volatility Increases / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
TNX may be taking another dip lower this morning. It is uncertain whether it will make a new low or simply a partial retracement.
Thursday, January 23, 2014
Weak Q1 Corporate Earnings to Finally Trip Up Illogical Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Corporate Earnings
By: DailyGainsLetter
John Paul Whitefoot writes: Stock markets are only as healthy as their stocks—well, at least they technically should be. But despite its stellar year in 2013, the S&P 500’s component stocks weren’t supporting the growth with strong revenue and earnings growth.
I might sound like a broken record, but the fact of the matter is that the S&P 500 was fuelled by the Federal Reserve and its $85.0-billion-a-month quantitative easing efforts and artificially low interest rates, and the fact that businesses were streamlining operations and implementing aggressive share repurchase programs.
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Thursday, January 23, 2014
Stock Market Closing In On S&P500 1850... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jack_Steiman
The S&P 500 has refused to give it up. It's in a trading range from 1812 support horizontally to 1850 resistance, which is also horizontal support. It's a 2% range, and within 2% can come a lot of emotion. However, it's been riding off the 20-day exponential moving average lately currently at 1833. This tells me the bulls are readying themselves for another move up, so the bears better get busy and fast. If we can clear 1850, and close above with a little force, it means the bears will have to take inventory of what they're holding. That also means they will likely want to lighten up, thus, some added fuel from short covering.
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Thursday, January 23, 2014
Davos Philanthropy, Income Inequality and Private Equity / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Bloomberg
David Rubenstein, CEO of Carlyle Group, joined Bloomberg Television's Stephanie Ruhle and Erik Schatzker today live from Davos to discuss philanthropy, income inequality and the state of private equity.
Rubenstein told Bloomberg TV he sees plenty of opportunity for private equity, having only "touched the surface in the emerging markets."
Wednesday, January 22, 2014
Has US Already Sown Seeds for Next Macro Financial Markets Deflation Crisis? / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2014
By: John_Mauldin
Greg Weldon has long been my favorite slicer and dicer of data – his charts and insights on charts really help me keep my eyes peeled. But in order to get across to us the drastic state of the economy as we plunge headlong into 2014 – a year that we all know will be pivotal – Greg has felt it necessary to resort to a rather trenchant metaphor from the year just past. Yes, says Greg, the economy is … Breaking Bad.
But – listen up now – bad is now good. At least temporarily.
Good, because bad macroeconomic data means an ongoing (if slightly tapering) supply of monetary steroids (Greg's term) will be forthcoming from our pushers, the central banks of the developed world.
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Wednesday, January 22, 2014
Debt, Economy and Markets - 14 Questions for 2014 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: DeviantInvestor
Those who cannot remember the past, are condemned to repeat it." - George Santayana.
Wednesday, January 22, 2014
Stock Market Overbought Consolidation Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the Fed policy of keeping interest rates low has severely curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - As a result of minor cycles due to bottom in late February, a short-term top appears to be in the making.
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Wednesday, January 22, 2014
Why it is Important for Bankers to Attend Davos / Stock-Markets / Banking Stocks
By: Bloomberg
Bank of America President/CEO, Brian Moynihan joined Bloomberg Television's Erik Schatzker and Stephanie Ruhle today live from Davos and said trading operations were profitable almost every day last quarter as the lender helped clients adjust to the prospect of higher interest rates, "I think we made money on every trading day except for two or three. Quarter after quarter, that's been trust. It's because it's a client business." Moynihan also said:
Monday, January 20, 2014
Did We See Stock Market Cycle Top Last Week? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
I have been reviewing my long-term charts and have been updating them. I was surprised when I discovered that today (January 18) is exactly 5.16 years from the November 21, 2008 low in the NDX. I have often been referring to the NDX Cycles, since they seem to be much more accurate than the Dow/SPX Cycles. The deviations from the measurements above are often within 3 days and no longer than 8 days, so this is a wonderful monitoring chart. I am constantly amazed at the relationships between the Cycles and the Waves.
Monday, January 20, 2014
Shocking Stocks, Bonds and Dollar Market Predictions for 2014… And the Evidence to Prove Them / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Money_Morning
Robert Hsu writes: Each January, we hear a chorus of pundits making predictions about where the markets will go in the 12 months ahead. The number and volume level of the "predictions" is matched only by the utter lack of evidence to back them up.
These talking heads will be the first to shout "I told you so!" But when they get it wrong, well... the silence is deafening. Their predictions are of little use to us.
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Sunday, January 19, 2014
Stocks 2014 - It’s All About Corproate Earnings / Stock-Markets / Corporate Earnings
By: John_Mauldin
Piloting on the Mississippi River was not work to me; it was play — delightful play, vigorous play, adventurous play – and I loved it… – Mark Twain
In the 1850s, flat-bottom paddlewheel steamboats coursed up and down the mighty Mississippi, opening up the Midwest to trade and travel. But it was treacherous travel. The current was constantly shifting the sandbars underneath the placid, smoothly rolling surface of the river. What was sufficient depth one week on a stretch of the river might become a treacherous sandbar the next, upon which a steamboat could run aground, perhaps even breaching the hull and sinking the ship. To prevent such a catastrophe, a crewman would throw a long rope with a lead weight at the end as far in front of the boat as possible (and thus the crewman was called the leadman). The rope was usually twenty-five fathoms long and was marked at increments of two, three, five, seven, ten, fifteen, seventeen and twenty fathoms. A fathom was originally the distance between a man's outstretched hands, but since this could be quite imprecise, it evolved to be six feet.
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Saturday, January 18, 2014
Stocks and Bonds Tops, Gold and Silver Bottom Climacterics Now / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: DeepCaster_LLC
“We view prospective near-term and multi-year returns as strongly unfavorable, and prospective market risk as unusually elevated.”John Hussman, January 2014
Choppy, decidedly Unbullish Equities Market Action thus far in 2014 is one Major Clue the Climacterics we earlier forecast have arrived in Key Markets. They may take a few days to a few weeks to fully develop, but they have arrived.
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Friday, January 17, 2014
Pandoras Box 2014 - The Largest Financial Collapse in History / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2014
By: Ty_Andros
Looking for an accident/black swan
As we begin 2014, it is important to recognize the levels of INSANITY currently existent in the world enabling us to understand the apocryphal nature of the times we live in and prepare ourselves to meet the challenges it represents. The world is leveraged to an extent that has never before seen in history! Debt now masquerades as NOMINAL growth and REAL growth has ceased. Headline economic reports are now nothing more than POLITICALLY CORRECT HOAXES to FOOL the public at large and mask the betrayal of the public by the leaders who hold the reins of power. ECONOMIC Stagnation emerged after the 2008 Global financial crisis and in real terms has NEVER ENDED!
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Friday, January 17, 2014
Timing Major Stock Market Peaks, Bear Market Forecast / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: John_Hampson
Starting on the smallest timescale, and working up to the largest.
1. Timing within the month
Lunar phasing influences human sentiment. It produces fortnightly oscillation in the stock market: positivity/optimism around the new moon and negativity/pessimism around the full moon. The cumulative influence of this can be seen in stock market returns over the last 20 years:
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