Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Sunday, January 26, 2014
Forecast 2014 - The Second Most Expensive Stock Market in the World / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: John_Mauldin
South Africa's Cape of Good Hope is one of the most dangerous stretches of coastline anywhere in the world, where the warm Agulhas Current (also called the Mozambique Current), rushing down from the Indian Ocean, meets the cold Benguela Current, pushing up from Antarctica. The difference in water temperatures alone is a recipe for legendary storms, but the two opposing ocean currents just so happen to converge where the African Continental Shelf drops off into a deep abyss.
Sunday, January 26, 2014
The Most Dangerous Stock Market Chart in the World / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Toby_Connor
Last month I warned about the bubble in the stock market, and what was going to happen when it popped. Make no mistake the chart of the S&P is the most dangerous chart in the world. When this parabolic structure collapses, it is going to bring down the global economy.
Sunday, January 26, 2014
Stock Market Primary Wave IV? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Tony_Caldaro
The last two days, of a holiday shortened week, resulted in a nasty decline for the entire week. The market started Tuesday with a gap up opening, hitting SPX 1849 in the opening minutes. Then bounced around between SPX 1832 and 1847 by Wednesday’s close. Thursday, however, started with a gap down opening and the market continued to decline into Friday’s close. For the week the SPX/DOW were -3.05%, the NDX/NAZ were -1.55%, and the DJ World index lost 2.55%. Economic reports for the week were sparse. On the uptick: FHFA housing prices, leading indicators and the WLEI. On the downtick: existing home sales. Next week is a busy one. We have the FOMC meeting tues/wed, Durable goods orders, the Chicago PMI, and Q4 GDP. Best to your week.
Saturday, January 25, 2014
A Bank Run in London? Debt Rattle 2014 / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2014
By: Raul_I_Meijer
It seems to come as a surprise to some, but when you think about it, it seems obvious that it only makes sense that if you try to hide a crisis behind huge amounts of money and credit leaked into global financial markets, those markets become addicted to credit injections faster than you can say taperworm.
There may be something to say for stimulus and Keynesianism in certain situations, but not in all cases, and certainly not in a world already drowning in piles of leveraged debt. There it merely serves to further distort economic systems, a distortion that makes it so difficult for people to see what is real and what is not, that it can and will safely be used by the financial industry to dump its part of the debtload on everyone else. It is then inevitable that cracks will appear, first among the weaker parties involved: Argentina, Greece, Venezuela.
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Saturday, January 25, 2014
Stock Market Tumble Baked in the Cake Years Before / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Fred_Sheehan
When markets tumble, the immediate cause is often baked into the cake years before. The structural (decades old) trouble with large, U.S. publicly traded companies is managements that care first, second, and third about boosting the stock price today: carpe diem, and so forth.
In 2013, IBM's net income was $16.5 billion. The company spent $13.9 billion repurchasing its own shares during the year: 84% of its profits were used for these purchases. Buying back shares, all else equal, boosts per share earnings, thus the share price.
Saturday, January 25, 2014
Stock Market Big Selloff, Is a Correction Underway? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short: The S&P 500 opened lower and traded steadily lower, closing at its intraday low for a loss of 2.09%. That’s the biggest daily decline since the 2.50% drop on June 20th. The holiday-shortened four-day week was down 2.63%. That’s the biggest weekly decline since the 3.02% drop in May of 2012.
The question on everyone’s mind is whether we’re seeing the start of a significant correction. And Fed watchers are no doubt wondering whether the central bank might rethink the taper timetable.
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Saturday, January 25, 2014
Stocks Plunge, Horrific Jobs, Was The Fed Too Hasty With Its Taper Decision? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Sy_Harding
The Fed surprised markets with its December decision that the economy is strong enough to stand on its own with less stimulus. The majority of economists and analysts expected it to wait until March for more evidence to accumulate.
In the month since the decision, economic reports from key areas of the economy; jobs, housing, auto sales, and consumer confidence, have not been impressive.
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Saturday, January 25, 2014
Stock Market Plunge on Argentina Crisis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Bloomberg
Goldman Sachs President and COO and AIG Non-Executive Chairman Steve Miller spoke with Bloomberg Television's Erik Schatzker and Stephanie Ruhle at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland today.
Cohn downplayed the market reaction on Argentina: "Markets going through some jitters trying to figure out exactly what's going on, emerging markets, we're seeing some repricing of assets. This is not extraordinary movements in the market. We have seen movements like this before...These are growth markets, they're not developed markets."
Saturday, January 25, 2014
Goldman Sachs on Argentina Crisis Contagion and Wall Street Still in Public's 'Penalty Box' / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Bloomberg
Goldman Sachs CEO Lloyd Blankfein spoke with Bloomberg Television's Erik Schatzker and Stephanie Ruhle from the World Economic Forum in Davos today about the outlook for financial markets, the firm's hiring practices and the banking industry.
On the reputation of the banking industry, Blankfein said, "A lot of work has been done, a lot of work still to do, and we will be in the penalty box of the American public. And why not? It was a very big trauma, there were a lot of causes, but one of them has to be poor risk judgments made by certain banks and to the extent that banks were getting a lot of benefits from their good risk management and it turned out to be flawed, you know, it is fair that you pay some price of reputation when it does not go well."
Saturday, January 25, 2014
U.S. Stock Market Sharp Drop - How to Spot the NEXT Big Turn / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: EWI
On January 24, the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ all lost close to two percent. On a day like that, it's worth talking about the one indicator they don't often mention on financial networks - namely, market sentiment.
When is the best time to get out of the stock market? When everyone else is invested and extremely optimistic. When is the best time to buy, then? Exactly: when you see the opposite sentiment.
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Saturday, January 25, 2014
The Coming Stock Market Bear Market Rally Bust / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Tim_Wood
Regardless of what we hear from various sources, fact is, the economy peaked in 2000. This peak corresponded with the stock market top in 2000, which was followed by the decline into the 2002 low. Since that decline began, the money masters have tried to reignite the underlying economy and in the process they have only made matters worse.
Saturday, January 25, 2014
Stock Market Snaps / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jack_Steiman
And this is no joke. Snap go the 50-day exponential moving averages on the Dow and S&P 500. It took only two-long sticks on consecutive-down days to take out 21, overall, up days on the indexes. That's how things work when they snap on the indexes. Lots of grinding up in to massive complacency, and then snap, down she goes, taking a month's worth of upside out in two simple days of nastiness.
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Friday, January 24, 2014
Stock Market SPX Breaks More Support Levels / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Minute Wave [iii] has now violated the 50-day moving average and is about to cross the smaller Orthodox Broadening Top trendline. As previously mentioned, this wave may now extend considerably below 1800.00.
A Fib Wave [iii] expansion is generally at least 1.618 times the size of Wave [i], which would be approximately 61 points, giving a probable target of 1767.50.
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Friday, January 24, 2014
The End Game - Case for Deflation is Quietly Strengthening / Stock-Markets / Deflation
By: Jonathan_Davis
It is interesting that, nearly 5 years after the setting of the EMERGENCY interest (Base) rate of 0.5% we are still at 0.5% and our illustrious ‘capitalist’ government is borrowing £110 Billions per annum (to add to the admitted-to debt of £1100 Bns and the off balance sheet further liabilities of £4000 Bns). Carney, at the Bank of England, and Osborne, the Chancellor and Alexander, his puppy, tell us the recovery is locked in. And most believe them.
And yet we have an emergency interest rate and the govt is borrowing £110Bns pa. Locked in??? It is all about bailing out bankers, the hyper rich and the political establishment. This is not capitalism. It is socialism for the rich and powerful. And I very much doubt we will see capitalism again for at least a generation, if at all. This is step by step encroaching Marxism and surely everyone knows how that ends?
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Friday, January 24, 2014
What Stagflation Means for Investors / Stock-Markets / Stagflation
By: Profit_Confidential
Michael Lombardi writes: The Bureau of Labor Statistics just reported that inflation in the U.S. economy increased by 0.3% in the month of December and that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for the entire year of 2013 increased by only 1.5%. (Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, January 16, 2014.)
Is inflation in the U.S. economy really this low?
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Friday, January 24, 2014
Stock Market Spooked by China and Q4 Earnings / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: PhilStockWorld
Before the US markets opened the Flash China Manufacturing PMI came in at 49.6 in January (versus 50.5 in December), a six-month low. Markets around the world sold off at the unexpected news. The S&P 500 opened at its -0.14% intraday high and sold off to its -1.34% intraday low at 2 PM, when buyer’s apparently sniffed an opportunity. The index closed with a trimmed loss of 0.89%. The ongoing mixed bag of Q4 earnings didn’t help.
Friday, January 24, 2014
What Could go Wrong for Stocks and Right for Gold in 2014 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Clif_Droke
Are investors too bullish on the stock market’s prospects for 2014 and too bearish for gold’s? It would certainly seem that way based on the near unanimity of analyst consensus. Most institutional analysts have published bullish forecasts for equities in 2014 and a bearish, or at least cautionary, outlook for gold. The favorable forecast for stocks and bearish gold outlook is based on the assumption that deflation remains at bay for the coming year.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 24, 2014
SPX Stock Market Sell Signal Confirmed / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
My best reading on the decline so far is the Minute Wave [i] may be complete and Minute Wave [ii] of Minor Wave C] may now be underway. Wave (c) of Minute Wave [ii] has a potential target between 1829.00 and 1833.00. The Minute Wave [iii] target may be near 1775.00, with a minimum of 1800.00.
SPX may spend the rest of today bouncing to its 1833.00 target. Tomorrow we may see the larger Wave [iii] decline.
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Friday, January 24, 2014
Gold and S&P500 Inverse Relationship - Elliott Wave Forecast / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Dan_Stinson
Gold has bounced as a double bottom and it is likely that we should see further upside. The downside for the metals and especially Silver has been bearish, but the declined for the metals was relentlessly while the equity markets have gone parabolic. This is a very substantial inverse relationship and suggests reversals for both. Parabolic advances always end poorly and further upside for the metals is expected after the recent over sold conditions.
Thursday, January 23, 2014
Citigroup - U.S. Taper Is Not QE Tightening / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
By: Bloomberg
Michael Corbat, Chief Executive Officer of Citigroup Inc., talks about the structure of the bank, Federal Reserve monetary policy and global growth rates. He speaks with Erik Schatzker on Bloomberg Television's "Countdown" on the sidelines of the World Economic Forum's annual meeting in Davos, Switzerland. Corbat told Schatzker, “People shouldn’t want us to be everything to everyone…We’ve gone through a pretty significant transformation. We’ve got the right business mix.”